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Transcript
Geophysical Research Abstracts
Vol. 19, EGU2017-9939, 2017
EGU General Assembly 2017
© Author(s) 2017. CC Attribution 3.0 License.
Influence of fault heterogeneity on the frequency-magnitude statistics of
earthquake cycle simulations
Jack Norbeck (1,2) and Roland Horne (1)
(1) Stanford Center for Induced and Triggered Seismicity, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA, (2) Earthquake
Science Center, United States Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, USA
Numerical models are useful tools for investigating natural geologic conditions can affect seismicity, but it can
often be difficult to generate realistic earthquake sequences using physics-based earthquake rupture models.
Rate-and-state earthquake cycle simulations on planar faults with homogeneous frictional properties and stress
conditions typically yield single event sequences with a single earthquake magnitude characteristic of the size
of the fault. In reality, earthquake sequences have been observed to follow a Gutenberg-Richter-type frequencymagnitude distribution that can be characterized by a power law scaling relationship. The purpose of this study
was to determine how fault heterogeneity can affect the frequency-magnitude distribution of simulated earthquake
events.
We considered the effects fault heterogeneity at two different length-scales by performing numerical earthquake rupture simulations within a rate-and-state friction framework. In our first study, we investigated how
heterogeneous, fractal distributions of shear and normal stress resolved along a two-dimensional fault surface
influenced the earthquake nucleation, rupture, and arrest processes. We generated a catalog of earthquake
events by performing earthquake cycle simulations for 90 random realizations of fractal stress distributions.
Typical realizations produced between 4 to 6 individual earthquakes ranging in event magnitudes between those
characteristic of the minimum patch size for nucleation and the size of the model fault. The resulting aggregate
frequency-magnitude distributions were characterized well by a power-law scaling behavior. In our second study,
we performed simulations of injection-induced seismicity using a coupled fluid flow and rate-and-state earthquake
model. Fluid flow in a two-dimensional reservoir was modeled, and the fault mechanics was modeled under a
plane strain assumption (i.e. one-dimensional faults). We generated a set of faults with an average strike of +/- 30
degrees from the direction of maximum principal stress and with a fractal distribution of lengths. The faults were
randomly prescribed an initial shear stress ranging between critically-stressed and subcritically-stressed within
one stress drop. High-rate injection into a single well in an infinite reservoir ultimately triggered a sequence of
earthquakes. We investigated the sensitivity of the frequency-magnitude statistics to the different distributions of
fault sizes and initial proximity to failure.