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Lecture 9: Short-Term Financial Planning Short-term financial planning focuses on managing a firm’s current assets and liabilities. This chapter examines a number of short-term planning strategies and provides a greater understanding of how firms develop short-term financial plans. 19-1 Short-Term Planning Short-term financing needs are tied to the firm’s long-term decisions. Total Capital Requirement • The total cost of the assets that a firm needs to run efficiently. 19-2 Short-Term Planning As the business grows, it is likely to need additional fixed assets and current assets. 19-3 Planning Strategies Three approaches: a) Relaxed Strategy -permanent cash surplus b) Middle-of-the-road Policy c) Restrictive Policy -permanent need for short-term borrowing 19-4 Planning Strategies Managers typically list three considerations when determining the “best” mix of short-term and long-term financing: Matching Maturities Permanent Working Capital Requirements The Advantages of Liquidity 19-5 Liquidity Some firms choose to hold more liquidity than others. Why do many high-tech companies hold huge amounts of short-term securities while many manufacturers (ex. steel) hold much smaller reserves? What are the costs associated with holding excess cash? 19-6 Working Capital Much of short-term financial planning focuses on variations in working capital. Components of Working Capital: Current Assets Current Liabilities 19-7 Working Capital: Example What will be the change in net working capital if current assets increase by $170,000 and current liabilities decrease by $60,000? 19-8 Current Assets Common current assets: Accounts Receivable • Trade Credit • Consumer Credit Inventory Cash & Marketable Securities • • • • Demand Deposits Time Deposits Commercial Paper Treasury Bills 19-9 Current Liabilities Common current liabilities: Accounts Payable Short-term Borrowing 19-10 The Cash Conversion Cycle Typically, most firms have positive net working capital. But why do they need working capital at all? Simple Cycle of Operations 19-11 The Cash Conversion Cycle Cash Conversion Inventory Receivables + = Cycle Period Period - Accounts Payable Period 19-12 Useful Ratios Why are these ratios useful? 19-13 Cash Conversion Cycle: Example What is the cash conversion cycle for a firm with $3 million average inventories, $1.5 million average accounts payable, a receivables period of 40 days, and an annual cost of goods sold of $18 million? Cash Conversion = Cycle (CCC) Inventory Receivables + Period Period - Accounts Payable Period 19-14 The Working Capital Trade-Off Working capital can be actively managed; it is not set in stone. Carrying Costs Costs of maintaining current assets, including opportunity cost of capital. What are some carrying costs associated with holding inventory? Shortage Costs Costs incurred from shortages in current assets. 19-15 Changes in Working Capital: Example How would the following affect cash and net working capital? The firm repurchases outstanding shares of stock. Both cash and net working capital will decrease. The firm uses cash on hand to buy raw materials. Cash will decrease; net working capital will be unaffected. The firm sells long-term bonds and puts the proceeds in its bank account. Both cash and net working capital will increase. 19-16 Cash Budgeting 3 Steps to preparing a cash budget: 1. Forecast the sources of cash. 2. Forecast the uses of cash. 3. Calculate whether the firm is facing a cash shortage or surplus. The financial plan gives the strategy for investing cash surpluses or financing any deficit. 19-17 Sources of Cash Ending Accounts Beginning Accounts = + Receivable Receivable Sales - Collections Example: What was the sales volume in the current quarter if beginning accounts receivable, at $5,000, was $1,000 higher than ending, and $20,000 was collected? 19-18 Uses of Cash Uses of cash can be split into four broad categories: Payments of Accounts Payable Labor, Administrative, and Other Expenses Capital Expenditures Taxes, Interest, and Dividend Payments 19-19 The Cash Balance Are large cash outflows in early periods generally a sign of trouble for a firm? Our calculations only give us a best guess about future cash flows. Undertake scenario analysis for better planning 19-20 Short-term Financing Plan: Example (with calculations) 19-21 Sources of Short-Term Financing Bank loans Lines of Credit Secured Loans Commercial Paper 19-22 Bank Loans The simplest and most common form of short-term finance is a bank loan. Line of Credit • Agreement by a bank that a company may borrow at any time up to an established limit. Term Loans • A loan that lasts for an extended period of time. Self-liquidating Loans • A loan that provides the cash to repay itself with the sale of goods. 19-23 Secured Loans If a bank is concerned about credit risk, it will demand that a firm provide collateral for the loan. Accounts Receivable Financing • The firm assigns its receivables to the bank. Inventory Financing • The bank accepts the firm’s inventory as collateral. 19-24 Commercial Paper Large companies bypass the bank and issue commercial paper directly to large investors. Is commercial paper typically secured debt or unsecured debt? 19-25