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___________________________________________________________________________ 2013/SOM1/EC/WKSP/007 Session 2 Promoting a Better Functioning and Regulated Financial Market in Viet Nam Submitted by: Viet Nam Macro APEC New Strategy for Structural Reform Workshop: Mid-Term Progress in Implementing ANSSR Jakarta, Indonesia 30-31 January 2013 2/1/2013 Promoting a Better Functioning and Regulated Financial Market in Vietnam Jakarta, 30 January 2013 Outlines | Background | Vietnam’s ANSSR priority: financial market development | Timeline for implementation | Progress in 2011-2012 | Practical challenges during implementation 1 2/1/2013 Background Some features of Vietnam’s financial market prior to 2010 | | Rapid development, especially since 2005 when the prospect of WTO accession became more apparent. Increasing participation of foreign entities, alongside transformation of local-level private banks into national-level ones. | Largely bank-based. | Financial depth: still shallow, albeit improving. Some key issues | Inherent risks of speculation, while financial supervision has been less than fully effective. | Low competitiveness of some local private banks. | Increasing cross ownership in banking. | NBFIs remained weak. | Weak resilience of financial system to adverse shocks. 2 2/1/2013 Vietnam’s ANSSR Priority: Financial Market Development Some key socio-economic targets by 2015: | Economic growth of 6.5-7.0% p.a.; | Contribution of TFP growth to economic growth: 28-30%; | Gross investment: 35-36% of GDP in 2011-2015; | Inflation: < 10% p.a.; | Budget deficit: < 5% of GDP; | Poverty rate decreases by 1.5-2 percentage points p.a. Vietnam’s ANSSR priority for better functioning and regulated financial market Improving efficiency and governance of financial intermediaries Establishing and enforcing effective system of financial supervision 3 2/1/2013 Timeline for implementation | Duration: 2011-2014. | Starting first with resolution of bad debts (toxic level) in line with restructuring of weak banks: by mid2013? | Improvement of financial supervision: gradually, but should proceed fundamentally by 2013. | Promotion of financial market competition: gradually. | Regional financial cooperation: tentatively 2015 and beyond. Progress in 2011-2012 Slow progress, due to: y Difficulties in international and domestic economic context. y Untimely documentation of risks and adjustment costs related to financial market restructuring. y Weak enforcement of regulations over financial supervision. | Yet successes so far: y Increasing competition in financial market Æ more efficient allocation of resource y Improved credibility of financial and monetary policies. | 4 2/1/2013 Practical challenges during implementation | Underdeveloped information system. | Market-based adjustment vs. administrative intervention. | Measurement of contribution by different policy instruments. Q&A THANK YOU! 5