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Seeking higher returns or lower risk through ETFs BROUGHT TO YOU BY: Contents Seeking higher returns or lower risk through ETFs 03 Factors and the rise of smart beta 06 Reducing risk through smart beta strategies 06 Enhancing return through smart beta strategies 08 Smart beta ETFs 09 The iShares Edge Minimum Volatility ETFs 10 The iShares Edge Multifactor ETFs 11 2 Seeking higher returns or lower risk through ETFs Exchange-traded products (ETPs) continue to grow economies, equity sectors (such as healthcare and in popularity, among both retail and institutional consumer staples), and other asset classes, such investors. According to the September 2016 edition as fixed income, commodities and currencies. The of the BlackRock Global ETP Landscape, 2016 could newest generation of ETFs encapsulate exposure to end up being the biggest year ever for ETPs. Global fundamental factor-based or “style based” strategies. ETPs gathered US$30.5 billion in September, with Factors year-to-date flows climbing to US$243.8 billion, ahead of 2015’s record-setting pace. There’s now These ETFs target particular “factors”, which are US$3.39 trillion invested in ETPs. fundamental underlying drivers of long-term investment return. Factors can be macro-economic, One of the main reasons why ETPs and exchange- such as the pace of economic growth and inflation, traded funds (ETFs) have been some of the most which can explain returns across asset classes successful investment products ever launched is like stocks and bonds: for example, strengthening that they cover a very wide range of asset classes economic growth can boost stock prices while rising and investment exposures, accessible through one inflation can drive bond prices lower. listed stock. Retail investors in particular use ETFs to obtain a range of precise exposures, to more Alternatively, these factors can be “style” factors, effectively diversify a portfolio. which help to explain returns within asset classes. Most of the new generation of ETFs target equity style factors. “One of the main reasons why ETPs and ETFs have been the most successful investment products ever launched is that they cover a very wide range of potential applications.” For example, within equities, “value” stocks – which have low prices relative to fundamental measurements (such as price/equity ratio, dividend yield or net asset value) – have historically outperformed the broad equity market over the long term. The style factors this guide will focus on are: value, momentum, quality, smaller size (market capitalization) and minimum volatility. These factors cater for investors who want stock market The progression of ETF product development has exposure, but would like that exposure to be offered Australian investors access to broad global designed so as to harness factors to target particular mainstream market-cap share indices (for example outcomes. the MSCI World and the S&P 500), single-country indices in both the developed world and emerging 3 Let’s look at these factors more closely. are likely to outperform stocks that showed poor performance in the period, in the belief that the stocks with strong momentum will generate excess Value return in the next period. This is often a technically- Value stocks are considered cheap because they are driven (price charts) strategy. out of favour with the market and are consequently priced low, relative to the company’s earnings or assets. A value stock is usually considered to have Company quality a relatively low price/earnings (P/E) ratio and a low Company “quality” is usually assessed on criteria price to net tangible assets (NTA) value, but a high such as balance sheet strength, low debt levels, dividend yield (because its price has fallen). Value a record of consistent earnings and dividend investors look for such value anomalies and buy growth, high return on equity (ROE), profitability, the stock because they believe that the market will management efficiency, consistently rising cash eventually recognise its true value and the stock will flow generation, high dividend payout ratios and be re-evaluated (bid up in price). Inexpensive stocks sustainable competitive advantage. – relative to these fundamental measurements – have tended to outperform. Some of these criteria are more subjective than others, but the term “quality” generally denotes Price momentum companies that historically have weathered Momentum refers to the rate of change of a price. A economic and market downturns better than stock changing price quickly has momentum: there other stocks. Quality stocks traditionally have their is an empirically observed tendency for stocks rising strongest relative performance during economic in price to keep rising, and for stocks with falling downturns. Quality can be considered a defensive prices to keep falling. Momentum investing seeks attribute: it has tended to under-perform, on a to ride this trend, to buy stocks with strong past relative basis, only during stronger economic times. performance in a particular period because they 4 Size (capitalisation) Minimum volatility Small caps – or small market capitalisation The stocks in a market index that show the lowest companies – generally tend to outperform their historical volatility – that is, they fluctuate in price larger counterparts, for a range of reasons. They less than the overall index – tend to be more mature often have high growth rates, and there is often companies that are less dependent on continued an exploitable ‘information gap’ because they are economic growth: such stocks also tend to have poorly covered by analysts, and as this gap is filled, higher than average dividend yields. They tend to fall the small-cap stocks can appreciate in value quite by less in market downturns, but they also tend not quickly. Small, high-growth companies have tended to rise as much in market rallies. to outperform their larger counterparts. (There is no universal definition for “small capitalisation,” which differs from market to market: in Australia, for example, “small caps” usually refers to stocks in the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Index, which have a market value of about $2 billion or lower.) 5 Factors and the rise of “Smart Beta” Investors have become conditioned to think of Smart beta strategies are growing in popularity, with “beta” as the market return from an asset class. In most strategies available today investing in stocks. equities, beta is usually sought through exposure to Whether they use a multiple factor or a single factor a broad market index based on market capitalisation approach, smart beta strategies give investors the weights. A newer approach is to target “smart beta,” potential to fine-tune their exposures and reduce through strategies that aim to outperform traditional unintended risks. As a result, using smart beta benchmarks by targeting exposure to one or more strategies can result in a more deliberate allocation of these factors. to potential sources of risk and return, so as to enhance the possibility of extra returns – while Like traditional beta strategies, smart beta strategies bearing a similar amount of risk as the market – or also use rules-based indexes; investing in factor- to reduce risk. driven indices through smart beta strategies can allow investors to seek improved returns, reduced Smart beta strategies blend the characteristics risk or enhanced diversification. The factors that can of active and passive investment. They can be be targeted for smart beta are clear and persistent considered active in that they can potentially drivers of investment returns that have been enhance returns and reduce risk through exposures identified in the professional investment markets for to proven drivers of return. But they are passive in many years, and which have given investors excess that they are index-driven, and their implementation returns (that is, over the broad stock market index) is transparent, systematic and rules-based. This over extended time frames. 1 means that they tend to have lower fees and higher capacity than traditional active strategies. Reducing risk through smart beta strategies Some smart beta strategies are built with the goal of Minimum volatility funds have historically lost less reducing risk. These “minimum volatility” strategies during market declines but have still captured have historically delivered market-like returns with meaningful gains during market upswings. As less risk, by targeting lower volatility stocks. Some shown below, using back-tested data, over the last minimum volatility strategies will also take into ten years, the MSCI Australia IMI Select Minimum account the correlations among stocks and will Volatility Index has captured 87.7% of the upside of have guardrails in place to limit sector and country the broader market but only 73% of the downside. concentrations. 1. BlackRock publication Smart Beta: Capturing the Power of Factor Investing, Page 2. This publication does not define the “excess returns,” nor the “extended time frames”. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. 6 Over the same period, the MSCI World Minimum them over entire market cycles to realise their full Volatility (A$) Index has captured 70.7% of the potential benefits. There are minimum volatility upside, but only 52.1% of the downside. (Upside strategies that are constructed to mirror the sector and downside capture ratios measure the portion and country exposures of a broad market index, so of broad market return captured by a given index in investors can use them as long-term building blocks positive months and negative months respectively.) for their portfolios. 2 Because minimum volatility strategies are designed to work best during periods of market volatility and over the long term, you might consider holding 2.BlackRock, MSCI, as of 31 August 2016. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. 7 Enhancing return through smart beta strategies While minimum volatility strategies are designed to debt levels and stable earnings. To implement this reduce risk relative to the overall market, investors in their portfolio, investors could tactically use a have used smart beta strategies with exposures to “quality” exposure as a single-factor smart beta factors like value, quality, momentum and smaller strategy. size (market cap) to seek enhanced returns with similar amount of risk as the market. Alternatively, an investor could choose to balance a share portfolio skewed toward growth stocks by introducing a smart beta equity fund tilted toward Single-factor strategies value. With single-factor smart beta funds, investors Smart beta strategies capturing one factor can can build custom portfolios that reflect their own be used tactically or they can be used to help investment views and needs. Having said that, there portfolio diversification. For example, during the late is evidence to suggest that it is difficult to pre-empt economic cycle when earnings are deteriorating and or ‘time’ factors. That is where multifactor strategies financially healthy stocks are in particular favour, can help. investors might do better holding stocks with low 8 target key drivers of return while owning a portfolio Multifactor strategies with a similar profile and risk to the broad stock Multifactor strategies are designed to provide market: in effect, this means that multi-factor equity diversified exposure to several factors. Depending funds are diversified portfolios that can be used for on the market environment, individual style factors long-term core allocations. may be more or less relevant, so a portfolio using a multi-factor approach can potentially add value The table below explains what factors these in a variety of market conditions. Over the long multifactor strategies incorporate and how they are term, combining factor exposures may produce calculated. even more consistent results than factor exposures 3 individually. Smart beta multifactor strategies help Quality Financially healthy firms with strong balance sheets typically outperform lower quality stocks over time Higher return on equity, earnings consistency, lower debt to equity Value Stocks that are inexpensive relative to their fundemental value generally outperform growth stocks. Lower P/E and P/B Size Smaller companies, often overlooked or mispriced, have tended to outperform larger cap stocks Lower market cap Momentum Trending stocks have historically continued to appreciate due to the “herding effect” of return-following investors Price appreciation Smart beta ETFs New-generation smart beta ETFs are designed The new iShares Edge range of Smart Beta ETFs to give investors effectively the ability to diversify consists of four minimum volatility and multifactor within the return stream of equities, by capturing funds designed to provide Australian investors with investment factors or market inefficiencies in a a low-cost way to strengthen portfolios, by reducing rules-based, transparent manner. risk or enhancing returns. In an environment with lower returns and increased volatility, being able to Smart beta ETFs are built around a different index to generate outperformance or reduce stock market the traditional market-capitalisation-based indices, risk at low cost is increasingly important to investors. with the index designed to harvest a different return – allowing heightened diversification as well as the opportunity to earn enhanced risk-adjusted returns. 3. BlackRock publication Smart Beta: Capturing the Power of Factor Investing, Page 3. 9 iShares Edge Minimum Volatility ETFs The iShares Edge Minimum Volatility ETFs are risk. Importantly, their benchmark indices have lost available across Australian and global equities. less during downturns, when broad markets have They seek to deliver market-like returns with less suffered. 4 Fund Name: iShares Edge MSCI Australia Minimum Volatility ETF Ticker: MVOL Fee*: 0.30% Description: This ETF aims to give investors a diversified exposure to Australian stocks and achieve returns in line with the market, while incurring potentially less risk. The ETF is designed to allow investors to invest with confidence through market cycles, with a strategy that aims to reduce losses relative to the broader market during downturns. Using back-tested data, the ETF’s benchmark index, the MSCI Australia IMI Select Minimum Volatility (A$) Index, has delivered similar return to the MSCI Australia IMI (A$) Index but with significantly less risk. 5 Fund name: iShares Edge MSCI World Minimum Volatility ETF Ticker: WVOL Fee*: 0.30% Description: This ETF aims to offer diversified exposure to a broadly diversified portfolio of global stocks, achieving returns in line with the MSCI World Index with potentially less risk. The ETF is designed to allow Australian investors to diversify into global stocks with confidence through market cycles, with a strategy that aims to reduce losses relative to the broader market during downturns. Using back-tested data, the ETF’s benchmark index, the MSCI World Minimum Volatility (A$) Index, has delivered similar return to the MSCI World (A$) Index but with significantly less risk. 6 4. https://www.blackrock.com/au/individual/ishares/smart-beta 5. https://www.blackrock.com/au/individual/literature/brochure/ishares-edge-au-minimum-volatility-brochure.pdf 6. https://www.blackrock.com/au/individual/literature/brochure/ishares-edge-world-minimum-volatility-brochure.pdf Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. 10 iShares Edge Multifactor ETFs The iShares Edge Multifactor ETFs are also available companies that have the potential to deliver above across Australian and global equities. These ETFs market returns over the long term, with similar risk provide a cost effective way to seek outperformance and exposure to the broad market, by focusing on by investing in either domestic or international the four main factors identified above. Fund name: iShares Edge MSCI Australia Multifactor ETF Ticker: AUMF Fee*: 0.30% Description: This ETF is designed to harvest factor-driven outperformance over the long term in a portfolio of Australian stocks with a similar profile and risk to the broad market. The ETF aims to target four proven drivers of return in Australian equities: quality (financially healthy firms), value (inexpensive stocks), size (smaller companies) and momentum (stocks in a rising price trend). Using back-tested data, the ETF’s benchmark index, the MSCI Australia IMI Diversified Multiple-Factor (A$) Index, has outperformed the MSCI Australia IMI (A$) Index over the long-term, achieving improved returns while running a similar level of risk. 7 Fund name: iShares Edge MSCI World Multifactor ETF Ticker: WDMF Fee*: 0.35% Description: This ETF aims to generate factor-driven outperformance over the long term in a portfolio of global developed market stocks, while bearing a similar profile and risk level to the broad market. The ETF aims to target four proven drivers of return in a diversified international shares exposure: quality (financially healthy firms), value (inexpensive stocks), size (smaller companies) and momentum (stocks in a rising price trend). 7.https://www.blackrock.com/au/individual/literature/brochure/ishares-edge-au-multifactor-brochure.pdf Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Index performance returns do not reflect any management fees, transaction costs or expenses. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index. 11 Why iShares for Smart Beta? BlackRock is a pioneer in factor-based investing, provide an easy, transparent and low-cost way to with decades of expertise in factor research and access factors, targeting outcomes such as reducing implementation. iShares Edge Smart Beta ETFs risk or enhancing returns. The most comprehensive Over 30 years of experience Backed by BlackRock, trusted to range of smart beta ETFs and rigorous research in factor manage more money than any listed on the Australian based investing and index based other investment manager in Securities Exchange (ASX).^ asset management. the world.* ^Source ASX, as at 14 October 2016. *Based on US$5.117 trillion in AUM as of 30 September 2016. * Management fee as a percentage of a fund’s net asset value. Subject to change. DISCLAIMER This document has been issued by Switzer Financial Group Pty Ltd ABN 24 112 294 649 AFSL 286 531 (Switzer) and provides general information and advice only. It has not been prepared having regard to your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before making an investment decision, you need to consider whether this information is appropriate to your objectives, financial situation and needs. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Switzer, its officers, employees and agents believe that the information in this document and the sources on which the information is based (which may be sourced from third parties) are correct as at June 2016. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this document, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility for this information is accepted by Switzer, its officers, employees or agents. Any investment is subject to investment risk, including delays on the payment of withdrawal proceeds and the loss of income or the principal invested. While any forecasts, estimates and opinions in this document are made on a reasonable basis, actual future results and operations may differ materially from the forecasts, estimates and opinions set out in this document. No part of this document may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior written permission of Switzer. Switzer has commercial arrangements in place with BlackRock Investment Management (Australia) Limited ABN 13 006 165 975 AFSL 230 523 (BlackRock) in relation to the BlackRock iShares range of products. All views expressed in this document are those of Switzer. BlackRock does not accept any responsibility or liability for the views, opinion or content of this document unless otherwise specified. BlackRock does not pay any commissions or remuneration in relation to its iShares products. 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