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Interest Rates A2 Business Studies Past exam questions • • • In 2012, many companies such as Thornton's, the chocolate retailer, and Comet, the electronics retailer, announced poor financial results as a result of difficult trading conditions. Several commentators claimed that such businesses had been unprepared for changes in their external environment. To what extent do you think that it is possible for businesses to prepare effectively for changes in their external environment? Justify your answer with reference to Thornton's, Comet and/or any other organisations that you know. (40 marks) The external environment in which businesses operate can have a significant effect on their success. To what extent do you think that the external environment in the UK is favourable for businesses at the moment? Justify your answer with reference to external factors and/or businesses that you know. (40 marks) Starter 1. What is an interest rate? 2. What have UK interest rates been like in the past? 3. Why do some businesses and customers favour low interest rates? Watching the first two minutes of the following video might help. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e0PMduYaYPI Learning Objectives • Explain what an interest rate is. • Analyse the consequences of a high or low interest rate on different businesses. • Identify strategies appropriate for business at different levels of interest rates. Interest Rate • The reward for saving or cost of borrowing • Example: If a business borrows £10,000 from a bank for a year and the interest rate is 7% - it has to pay _______ of interest. The same principle applied if the business is saving money. Bank of England Base Rates in % Interest rates have been at a record low rate of 0.5% since March 2009. However back in the early 90s interest rates peaked at 18%!!! Imagine the impact on businesses back then. Who sets the interest rates? • The Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of England set the base rate. • Current base rate = ? • All interest rates set by banks relate to the base rate. • Businesses are affected by the rate of interest. Activity: What do you think happens to businesses when the interest rates are high? The effect of high interest rates • Businesses will have to pay back in interest on loans. Firms may borrow less money resulting in investment decisions being postponed or cancelled. • Consumers may stop borrowing from banks and credit cards and prefer to save it, they will spend less in shops – this will have a negative effect on businesses. • Foreign investors may seek high returns in the UK banks, demand for £ increase and this raises the price of our £ (leading to a higher exchange rate), this could mean that foreigners are also spending less on our goods, having another negative affect on business. What impact would high interest rates have on the following businesses and how might these businesses respond? 1. Businesses which sell luxury products e.g. Tiffany’s and Land rover Jaguar. 2. Businesses whose products are bought on credit such as new kitchens and bathrooms e.g. Moben 3. Businesses involved in overseas trade such as companies who export their products from the UK e.g Morgan Cars or Mini’s 4. Businesses involved in the housing market e.g. Foxtons the Estate Agent. Business Responses: • Less borrowing from the banks. • Less expansion of the business. • Reduce costs, make workers redundant, switch to a cheaper supplier, reduce production. • Introduce favourable credit terms to customers or have interest free periods. • Accept lower prices and profits. • No response as their product is demanded as it is a necessity good e.g. milk and bread. The Bank of England has proposed a cut in interest rates by 0.5 to 0% • Mr Sheridan, MD of a house building company says he fears the cut might be "too little, too late". He says it may help if the banks use the rate cuts to cut the amount his company pays to borrow money for developments. They often borrow at a rate a few points above the Bank of England base rate so local banks would still be charging interest on loans although it should be lower than at present. • “Banks are not lending as much as they used to. The cost of borrowing is not as much of a problem as how much you can get from them. If they will lend us 10% less on a £1m project, that's £100,000 we have to find somewhere else," he says. • He hopes it may encourage first-time buyers to get mortgages, if they think they might get a better deal. "But it's too early to see what impact the interest rate cut will have over the coming months. "The housing market has slowed down but hopefully this is the bottom of the drop. If the banks can get confidence back up it will help.” Question • Evaluate the impact of the interest rate cut on the house building industry. (Hint: It depends on where we are in the business cycle) Groups Inflation Growth Ellie Unemploy- Exchange ment Rates Carly Chloe Fran Danielle Nicole Laura Sophia Hanne Aimee Annabel Katie Clemmie