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DIRECT MARKETING - What Is It? An Aspect of Total Marketing - not a fancy term for mail order. Marketing is the total of activities of moving goods and services from seller to buyer. Direct Marketing has the same broad function except that Direct Marketing requires the existence and maintenance of database. a) to record names of customers, expires and prospects. b) to provide a vehicle for storing, then measuring, results of advertising, usually direct response advertising. c) to provide a vehicle for storing, then measuring, purchasing performance. d) to provide a vehicle for continuing direct communication by mail and/or phone. THUS DIRECT MARKETING is interactive, requiring database for controlled activity: By mail, by phone, through other media selected on the basis of previous results. DIRECT MARKETING makes direct response advertising generally desirable since response (inquiries or purchasing transactions) can be recorded on database for building the list, providing marketing information. DIRECT MARKETING plays no favorites in terms of Methods of Selling...and there are only three: a) Where buyer seeks out seller - retailing, exhibits b) Where seller seeks out buyer - personal selling c) Where buyer seeks seller by mail or phone, or electronically - mail order DIRECT MARKETING requires that a response or transaction at any location be recorded manually or on computer. DIRECT MARKETING can be embraced by any kind of business as defined by the U.S. Census Standard Industrial Classification system: Agriculture ....................................................................................................................... 0100-0999 Mining/Construction ....................................................................................................... 1000-1799 Manufacturing ................................................................................................................. 2000-4999 Wholesale ........................................................................................................................ 5010-5199 Retail ............................................................................................................................. 5210-5999 Department Stores (5311) Financial Services ............................................................................................................ 6010-6799 Services ............................................................................................................................ 7010-7999 Advertising Agencies (7311) Computer Houses (7372) List Brokers (7388) Non-Profit ........................................................................................................................ 8010-8999 Public Administration ..................................................................................................... 9100-9999 DIRECT MARKETING is an interactive system of marketing which uses one or more advertising media to effect a measurable response and/or transaction at any location. Source: Direct Marketing Magazine, Hoke Communications I- 1 Direct marketing serves any one of three methods of selling: A) In-store Sales B) Personal Selling Where seller seeks out buyer. C) Mail Order Where seller entices buyer to respond by mail or phone or electronically. The subject of this report is: C) Mail Order It applies where the individual or business consumer places the order by mail, phone or electronically, not requiring the orderer to visit the store or the vendor to collect the order by visiting the home or the office. It excludes sales: Through personal selling by any means even though outside the store. Where the order is placed at the catalog desk or elsewhere in the store even in response to a catalog or other direct response communication received in the home or office. Outside the store where the buyer seeks out the vendor's agent or vending machine. Where the order is obtained by personal selling even though an inquiry or lead obtained through a direct marketing communication. On the other hand, it includes sales: Where the product or service is delivered in the store as long as the order was placed by mail, phone or electronically. I- 2 Mail Order Sales Definitions Mail Order Sales Orders placed by mail, phone or electronically without the person ordering coming to the point of sale to place the order or the seller coming to the office or home of the orderer to take the order or using an agent to collect the order. Mail Order Specialty Vendor Segments Segments are defined by the primary merchandising classification of the specialty marketer and all the sales of the business are attributed to that segment. Thus the sales of the Sporting Goods segment contain apparel sales to the extent that apparel is included in the merchandise mix of mail order sporting goods businesses and sales of the Apparel segment contain sporting goods to the extent that sporting goods are included in the merchandise mix of mail order apparel businesses. Mail order specialty segments are comparable to the sales outlet structure used by the Census of Retail Trade and not comparable to the Merchandise Line structure of the Census of Retail Trade. Estimates of the U.S. mail order sales are substantially lower and more defensible than those provided by WEFA and elsewhere with estimates of consumer and business product sales exceeding a trillion dollars. The estimates in this report: Are based on individual, identifiable businesses whose sales are stripped of retail, wholesale, non-mail order direct marketing and non U.S. sales. Our estimates exclude: Sales generated by Outbound Telemarketing, another form of personal selling. In-store sales where sales consequence of direct marketing communication is traffic generation and in-store ordering. Personal selling where consequence of direct marketing communication is lead or inquiry converted by personal selling. Non-sales where direct marketing communication through any medium occurs after the sale for billing, customer service, collection or some other non-sales purpose. There is no transaction in the economy which is not or has not to some degree been influenced by a direct marketing communication. Confusion in economic impact studies confusing personal selling and mail order (typified by crediting outbound telephone to mail order rather than personal selling) can result in crediting the entire gross national product to mail order. I- 3 METHODOLOGIES FOR MAIL ORDER SALES ESTIMATES Micro Estimates Micro estimates developed for mail order sales segments on the basis of estimates of sales size of individual mail order businesses in the segment: Identify mail order businesses in the segment. For each identified mail order business in the segment estimate the size of mail order sales net of: Retail, wholesale and non-mail order sales Non-U.S. sales where subject market is U.S. market Utilize the most authoritative available sources for sales size estimating including: • Company reports • List data • Press reports • Publishing schedule data • Industry reports Develop a unique estimate for each business reconciling many possible data sources for each business. Segment estimates are restricted to identified businesses. No allowances are made for any residual unidentifiable businesses. Estimates are made for businesses identified but lacking sales sources using available distributions of mail order businesses by sales size ranges. Micro estimates are based on information in the proprietary Marketing Logistics Inc. database of information on 10,000+ businesses and companies. Airline Syndication Animal Care Apparel Astrology/Occult Audio-Video Auto Clubs Automotive/Aviation Business Supplies (excluding Computer Software and Hardware) Catalog Retailers Collectibles Consumer Electronics/ Science Micro Estimated Segments Crafts Credit Card Security Services Educational Products Financial-Credit Card Security Services Food Gardening Gifts Hardware/Tools Health Products Home Construction I- 4 Housewares Jewelry Multi-Products (except for Infomercials, TV Networks, TV NonNetworks) Oil Company Syndication Photographic Products Religious Products Sporting Goods Stationery Tobacco Toys/Games/Children's Products Macro Estimates Macro estimates developed for mail order direct marketing sales segments on the basis of aggregate estimates of mail order sales in the segment, or aggregate bases from which mail order sales are extrapolated from a source for that sales segment. Macro Estimated Segments Financial Brokerage Services No-Load Mutual Funds Flowers by Mail Home Study Infomercials Information Service Programming Magazine/Periodical: Subscriptions Books Cable TV Catalog Showrooms Computer Hardware Computer Software Cultural Events Department/Specialty Stores Mailing List Services Newsletters Newspapers Photofinishing Services Prepaid Legal Services Recorded Music Service Contracts Sports Events Mixed Micro/Macro Estimates Estimates developed for mail order direct marketing sales segments in two steps: 1. Aggregating micro estimates of mail order sales for leading mail order businesses in the segment. 2. Extrapolating aggregate mail order sales for the entire segment by making an assumption of sales concentration represented by the leading businesses. Mixed Micro/Macro Estimated Segments Air Freight Services Business Communication Services Business Information Services Business Supplies Educational Services Industrial Supplies Mailing List Services TV Networks, TV NonNetworks Trade Subscriptions I- 5 METHODOLOGY: COMMENTARY There are two fundamentally different issues in measurement of mail order sales: (1) Estimation of the size of mail order sales. (2) Estimation of the growth rate of mail order sales. From year to year estimates of the overall size of mail order sales vary with (1) actual growth in sales as well as (2) improvements in the available information base about sales segments and individual businesses as well as (3) improvements of aggregation methodology and (4) recognition of additional sales segments previously unincorporated in the base of sales segments. The first three factors also account for changes from year to year in the estimates of the sizes of individual sales segments, in addition to changes caused by occasional structural shifts in the assignment of subsegments of mail order businesses to sales segments. Because of the possible mix of actual growth and information base and methodology improvements, the reader is cautioned against making year to year comparisons of either overall mail order sales estimates or segment estimates to extrapolate growth rates. The issue of growth rate estimation is fundamentally different and is addressed by a separately developed methodology with a separate information base of growth indicators. The section of this report on Growth Rates includes a listing of information indicators which were considered in drawing an inference on the growth rate range of mail order sales for 1998. It is noteworthy that the difficulty of the task of estimating the size of total mail order sales is compounded by the anonymity of some very large firms quite willing to rent lists of customers but who don't want their own identity revealed. The task is already complicated by the void in realistic reporting by federal government sources; by the paucity of information provided by publicly held companies for their mail order profit centers; and by the information void about privately held businesses. To these must be added the practice of what appear to be significant mail order businesses to operate under pseudonyms, making verification and cross-checking of estimates even more difficult. I- 6 INTRODUCTION TO ESTIMATES AND INFORMATION LIMITS 1. Estimates of sizes of individual sales segments can reflect changes in sources of updating information as well as actual changes in the marketplace. 2. Compiled 1998 consumer and business-to-business mail order sales of $289.1B compare to 1997 totals of $254.7B an increase of 13.5%. This is 1.5 percentage points more than the estimated growth rate for 1998 of 12.0%. The difference is largely accounted for by the following structural changes in the report from 1998: Type of Change Amount of Segment Change ($Billion) New Segment Change In Base Insurance 2.0 X Industrial/Maintenance 1.3 X Travel .9 X No-Load Mutual Funds .8 X Cultural Events .6 X Toys/Children’s/Mothers’ .2 X Magazines -1.4 X Net Total 4.4 (1.7% of 1997 Total) 3. Structural differences in individual segment sales are listed under relevant segments in Chapters I, V, and VI. 4. 1998 Business Event information compiled in Chapter XIII is as of 12/31/98. Directory information about company executives and parent affiliations in Chapters XIV and XV is also as of 12/31/98. 5. In the event that data did not become available before the Guide's data collection deadline of February 15, 1999, best possible estimates were prepared. The estimates contained in the Guide represent the best possible projections from available information sources and within the limits of reasonable aggregation procedures. The compilers and publishers of this report despite diligence and care in preparing this report do not hold themselves responsible for any residual errors or differences between their best estimates and actual fact. I- 7 1998 ANNUAL SUMMARY 1998 was the year of the expansion of the Internet into the third major channel of mail order sales: Telephone Mail Electronic It is estimated that consumer U.S. Internet sales amount to $5.6 billion, 3.0% of total U.S. consumer mail order sales: The major product categories for mail order sales were: Discount Brokerage General Merchandise Computer Hardware And Software Cultural And Sports Events Travel Services The five top ranked Internet businesses in U.S. on-line sales were: eBay Schwab.com Gateway Egghead.com Amazon Books Mail order with growth 6.1 percentage points higher than retail growth in 1998 was still modest in the scale of retail trade and overall economic activity (11.5 percent of general merchandise sales, 4.0 percent of retail sales, 2.2 percent of consumer services, 2.1 percent of gross national product). Overall mail order sales were $358.8 billion, with consumer mail order sales at $185.0 billion, business mail order at $104.0 billion and charitable direct response at $69.8 billion. Consumer product mail order at $109.0 billion was divided into $90.8 billion for specialty merchandisers and $18.1 for general merchandisers. Consumer Services were at $76.1 billion in sales. Overall growth in consumer/business mail order in 1998 is pegged in the 10.0% - 14.0% (12.0%) range in money (current dollar) terms and 8.0% - 12.0% (10.0%) in real (adjusted for inflation) terms. It is estimated that 4 percentage points of the 12 percentage point increase was due to the Internet, leaving conventional mail order sales with an increase of 8 percentage points, only about 2 percentage points greater than the retail growth of 5.9%. I- 8 Among specific sales segments and sub-segments, growth was above average for: Apparel: Great Outdoors Apparel: Women’s Big & Tall Books On-line Cosmetics Consumer Electronics: Computer Hardware Direct Broadcast Satellite Services Financial Services: Internet Brokerage Multi-Products: On-Line/Internet Insurance Recorded Music: On-line Sporting Goods: Athletic Equipment Business: Computer Hardware, Computer Software Business: Business Specialties: Libraries & Schools Industrial: Electronics Industrial: Industrial Maintenance/Materials Handling Industrial: Medical Growth was below average for: Apparel: Women’s Fashions Books: Mail Order Publications Books: Encyclopedias/Yearbooks/Reference Collectibles: Stamps & Coins Crafts Gardening General Merchandise: Catalog Retailers Home Furnishings: Bedroom/Bathroom Magazines Multi-Products: Infomercials Newpapers Photographic Among individual companies, major size companies with noteworthy growth include: Amazon Books, Barnes & Noble, CD Now/N2K, Coldwater Creek, Crate & Barrel, Delia*s, 800 Flowers, Golfsmith, Nordstrom Catalog, Pottery Barn, West Marine Bertelsmann, DM Management Co., Dayton Hudson, Walt Disney Co., Fingerhut, International Cornerstone Group, La Redoute, Mattel Inc., Nature’s Bounty Computer Discount Warehouse, Gateway, PC Connection America Online, L.L. Knickerbocker Co. GEICO Insurance New England Business Service, Staples, U.S. Office Products, Viking Office Products Dell Computer, Insight Enterprises, Programmer’s Paradise Barnett Inc., Cisco Systems, FreeMarkets Online, Global DirectMail Corp, MSC Industrial Supply, Onsale, Inc., Henry Schein, I- 9 Growth laggards were: Artistic Greetings, L.L. Bean, Bedford Fair, Biobottoms, Brownstone Studio, Chadwick’s Of Boston, J. Crew, Current, Domestications, Land’s End, MedPartners, Nordic Track, J. Peterman Co., Spiegel Catalog Bradford Exchange, CML Group, Cendant, Fulcrum Direct, Hanover Direct, Reader’s Digest Deluxe Corp. Newark Electronics Remember, this information should be used as a base to build from. For current direct marketing statistics please refer to these titles: The Direct Marketing Statistical Fact Book the Direct Marketing Response Rate Study and the Catalog Age 150. I-10 HIGH PENETRATION MAIL ORDER AND MARKETING DATABASE SEGMENTS The Gross National Product estimates total domestic production including the end value of products, services, investment, net exports and government purchases. It is a measure of the total output of the U.S. economy including what is currently produced and consumed or added to inventory. The Gross National Product is made up of product, service and investment categories each of which is measured in terms of end value where end value includes without duplication the values added by each Standard Industrial Classification contributing to the end product. For example, for the gross national food product, the value added contributions are reflected for each stage making the end food product possible: Food Production/Marketing Stage Agriculture Food Processing Wholesaling Retailing Since there is reselling from Agriculture to Food Processing to Wholesaling to Retailing, the value of sales across these four stages contains duplications. The value of agricultural sales is included in the value of food processing which includes in addition the value added by food processing. Gross national product for food is substantially less than the duplicated sum of the four stages since only the added value of each stage is reflected in GNP. Mail order is one channel of distribution for the gross national product and service groups. That is, many companies are using mail order as a channel of sales for products and services. There are even more companies, however, which are using a Marketing Database in order to sell products and services. These are companies which compile and maintain information on their inquirers and customers whether used to obtain the sale at the customer's home or office through a mail, phone or electronic order (mail order), or to obtain the sale through an agent visiting the customers' home or office (direct selling) or to obtain the sale by attracting the customer to the vendor's place of sale. The scope of Marketing Database sales is greater than that of mail order sales since it includes mail order sales plus direct selling and vendor's location selling, accomplished or stimulated through database marketing. Of six million U.S. firms, it is estimated that 400,000 have databases compared to 10,000+ with significant mail order sales. Industrial segments which make up Gross National Product for which there is a high penetration of Marketing Database sales are more numerous than those with a high penetration of Mail Order sales. This is even when the standard used for high penetration is much lower for Mail Order (2%+) than for the Marketing Database (25%+). While high penetration for Mail Order is confined to Clothing/Jewelry among Non-Durable Goods and Insurance, Legal, Private Educational, Recreational among Services, high penetration for the Marketing Database, in addition to the listed segments for Mail Order, includes Motor Vehicles and Furniture/Household Equipment among Durable Goods, Food, Gas & Oil among Non-Durable Goods, Household Operations, Banking/Brokerage, Legal, Transportation, Health and Hotels, among Services, and Non-Residential and Residential Fixed Investment, Exports and Government Purchases. I-11 GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT MODEL: HIGH PENETRATION MAIL ORDER AND MARKETING DATABASE SEGMENTS Gross National Product (1997) GNP Segment Grand Total $Billion High Penetration Segments % Of Total Mail Order 2%+ Marketing Database 25%+ $8,083 100.0 5,489 67.9 659 263 268 129 8.2 3.3 3.4 1.6 1,593 776 278 136 403 19.7 9.6 3.4 1.7 5.0 Services Housing Housing Operations Transportation Health Other Auto (repair, garage) Hotels Life Insurance Legal Private Education Recreational Social Services 3,238 826 329 236 855 990 40.1 10.2 4.1 2.9 10.6 12.2 Gross Private Domestic Investment Fixed Investments Non-Residential Residential Business Inventories 1,238 15.3 1,173 845 328 65 14.5 10.5 4.1 0.8 * * -97 -1.2 * 1,454 525 929 18.0 6.5 11.5 * * Personal Consumption Expenditures Durable Goods Motor Vehicles Furniture & Household Goods Other Non-Durable Goods Food Clothing, Jewelry Gas & Oil Other Net Exports Government Purchases Federal State & Local * * * * * * * * * I-12 * * * * * * * * * GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT VS. BUSINESS RECEIPTS OF INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATIONS Industrial Classification (1994) Gross Domestic Product ($B) (1994) Business Receipts ($B) GDP % Of Business Receipts Unduplicated % Total Gross Domestic Product 6,931 14,380 48 52 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing 118 124 95 5 90 127 71 29 269 730 37 63 1,197 4,110 29 71 606 1,147 53 47 Wholesale & Retail Trade 1,072 4,343 25 75 Finance, Insurance, Real Estate 1,274 2,191 58 42 Services 1,343 1,602 84 16 931 -- -- -- Mining Construction Manufacturing Transportation, Public Utilities Government Enterprises Duplication % The differences between GDP of industrial classifications versus total sales of industrial classifications are demonstrated in the above table. On the average, GDP is only about one-half (48%) of Business Receipts, with GDP reflecting unduplicated added values, and Business Receipts including duplicated sales of one business to another or to the end-user. The lowest duplication with negligible buying from other sectors is Extraction (Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing) with minimal duplication (5%). At the other extreme, the greatest duplication (75%), that is the lowest GDP to Business Receipts ratio (25%), exists for Wholesale and Retail Trade which encompass in receipts all the duplicated added values of the extraction and manufacturing stages of production. I-13 NON MAIL ORDER: SALES SIZE AND COMPOSITION Catalog Showrooms Direct Selling 4 1998--Total Sales ($Million) 4,000 1998--Sales Growth % -48.0 7.5 1997--Total Sales ($Million) 7,580 20,840 -4.3 7.5 1997--Sales Growth % Merchandise Category % Sales 22,400 1 2 Personal Care Products, Cosmetics 0 29% Jewelry, Watches, Clocks, Silver Gifts 47 Food & Vitamins 0 Housewares, Electronics, Home Maintenance, Equipment & Supplies Vending Machines 4 Total Consumer Product Mail Order Total General Merchandise Sales 41,350 67,750 108,910 923,800 5.0 -0.1 12.0 -- 39,380 67,800 101,690 855,450 5.0 -- -- -- 3 3 0% ____ ____ ____ 0 ____ ____ ____ 13 78 ____ ____ ____ 36 34 0 ____ ____ ____ Sporting Goods, Toys, Photo Equipment & Amusement Services 12 6% 16 ____ ____ ____ Books, Magazines 0 0 ____ ____ ____ Tobacco 0 0 4 ____ ____ ____ Other Products 5 -- 2 ____ ____ ____ 100 100 100 ____ ____ ____ TOTAL Sources: 1 Upscale Discounting: 1989 Annual Survey Direct Selling Association (1997 data) 3 Vending Times 1997 Annual Survey 4 Marketing Logistics 1998 estimates 2 I-14 Three major non-mail order sales channels are Catalog Showrooms, Direct Selling and Vending Machine delivered products and services. Catalog Showrooms and Direct Selling are at about the same sales volume of $4-$20 billion with Vending Machine at the much higher level of $41 billion. Together all three non-mail order channels account for $68 billion in consumer sales, less than the level of consumer mail order sales at $109 billion. Sales concentration is substantially greater by companies in non-mail order marketing than in mail order. The greater sales concentration is probably accounted for by the higher entry requirements in non-mail order compared to mail order: retail distribution for Catalog Showrooms and sales representative recruiting for Direct Selling compared to marketing investment in Mail Order. I-15 1989 UPSCALE DISCOUNTING MARKETPLACE Product Category Electronics Total Sales Upscale Discounting Total Direct Discounters (Teleshopping/ Mail Order) Discount Department Stores Specialty Discounter Catalog Showroom Warehouse Clubs Specialty Superstores Traditional Merchandising Electronics & Office 100% 69 3 22 ____ 11 8 25 31 Video 100% 73 4 21 ____ 14 9 25 27 Telecommunications 100% 62 2 23 ____ 15 4 18 38 Home Office Electronics 100% 67 3 10 ____ 14 11 28 33 Watches 100% 66 6 28 9 21 2 ____ 34 Karat Gold Jewelry 100% 47 7 10 ____ 29 1 ____ 53 Diamond Jewelry 100% 33 3 6 ____ 24 1 ____ 67 Silver 100% 36 3 7 ____ 25 1 ____ 64 Tabletop/Serving Products 100% 60 2 33 ____ 18 7 ____ 40 Jewelry/Watches I-16 1989 UPSCALE DISCOUNTING MARKETPLACE Product Category Housewares Total Sales Upscale Discounting Total Direct Discounters (Teleshopping/ Mail Order) Discount Department Stores Specialty Discounter Catalog Showroom Warehouse Clubs Specialty Superstores Traditional Merchandising Personal Care 100% 60 1 36 ____ 13 10 ____ 40 RTA Furniture 100% 54 ____ 25 ____ 18 11 ____ 46 Small Electrics 100% 57 1 34 ____ 14 8 ____ 43 Clocks 100% 61 1 30 ____ 21 9 ____ 39 Cookware/Bakeware 100% 49 1 30 ____ 10 8 ____ 51 Instant Camera 100% 65 ____ 49 6 9 1 ____ 35 35mm Cameras 100% 74 ____ 30 32 11 1 ____ 26 Photofinishing & Film 100% 46 ____ 35 5 5 1 ____ 54 Lenses 100% 57 ____ 11 25 20 1 ____ 43 Tripods 100% 57 ____ 10 28 18 1 ____ 43 Bags 100% 60 ____ 12 29 17 1 ____ 40 Photographic Source: Upscale Discounting, Annual Study of Upscale Discounting, 9/89 I-17 DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE REPORTS ON MAIL ORDER SALES Mail Order Sales ($ Millions) Annual % Growth 1993 29,333 -5.8 1992 31,139 15.3 1991 27,003 9.5 1990 24,660 -1.2 1989 25,132 7.0 1988 23,494 13.1 1987 20,765 21.0 1986 17,156 8.3 1985 15,848 5.5 1984 15,014 -- -- 7.7 1984-1993 Source: "Combined Annual And Revised Monthly Retail Trade, 1/84-12/93," U.S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Mail Order Sales ($ Millions) Annual % Growth 1998 54,931 12.9 1997 48,672 11.1 1996 43,798 9.4 1995 40,030 0.3 1994 39,907 -- -- 8.3 1994-1998 Source: "Current Business Report, Monthly Retail Trade Sales And Inventories," U.S. Department of Commerce, Economics and Statistics Administration Note: Department of Commerce estimates drastically understate the magnitude of mail order sales as a result of bias in its data collection methodology. I-18 DISTRIBUTION OF MAIL ORDER SALES BY TYPE OF FIRM # Units In Firm Single Units Multiunits TOTAL Sales Size of Firm ($Millions) 25+ 10-24.999 5-9.999 2.5-4.999 1-2.499 .5-.999 .25-.499 .1-.249 .05-.099 .025-.049 .010-.0249 -.010 TOTAL Employee Size of Firm3 100+ 50-99 20-49 15-19 10-14 7-9 5-6 3-4 2 1 TOTAL # Firms Sales ($ Million) 6,197 1,576 7,773 10,103 24,477 34,580 208 169 205 372 1,206 1,313 993 1,052 788 399 151 55 6,911 25,045 2,821 1,428 1,286 1,856 941 361 175 56 15 3 -33,986 431 531 1,932 1,105 2,129 2,199 2,598 4,288 3,337 4,459 23,009 26,557 4,399 6,519 1,980 2,958 1,969 1,720 2,009 882 714 33,936 Source: 1992 Census of Retail Trade, Department of Commerce (1997 data to be reported in 1999/2000) I-19 DISTRIBUTION OF MAIL ORDER SALES BY MERCHANDISE LINE # of Establishments Mail Order Sales ($000) % of Mail Order Sales Catalog and mail-order houses (SIC 5961) 7773 34,579,632 100.0 Groceries and other foods Cigars, cigarettes, and tobacco 429 68 715,188 42,924 2.1 0.1 Drugs, health aids, and beauty aids Prescriptions Non-prescription medicines Vitamins, minerals, and dietary supplements Health aids Cosmetics Other hygiene needs Soaps, detergents, and household cleaners Paper and related products Men's wear Women's, juniors, and misses wear Children's wear Footwear 1,244 176 97 171 207 874 143 610 621 2,881 3,004 2,331 2,509 4,000,704 3,380,022 44,988 221,896 77,040 224,722 53,036 19,932 34,979 1,909,712 5,400,036 455,088 630,195 11.6 9.8 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 5.5 15.6 1.3 1.8 Sewing, knitting, and needlework goods Curtains, draperies, and dry goods Major household appliances Small electric appliances 414 2,307 2,391 1,915 169,815 1,265,297 547,776 456,699 0.5 3.7 1.6 1.3 Televisions, video equipment, videotapes 2,604 1,030,532 3.0 Furniture and sleep equipment Floor coverings Computer hardware, software, and supplies Kitchenware and home furnishings Jewelry Books Photographic equipment and supplies 2,871 2,526 500 268 1,810 997 1,843 2,481 2,075 823 526 1,168,100 600,883 535,485 31,732 387,802 90,889 2,200,210 1,879,620 1,588,990 986,600 90,717 3.4 1.7 1.6 0.1 1.1 0.3 6.4 5.4 4.6 2.9 0.3 Toys, hobby goods, and games Toys Games Hobby goods and craft kits 2,580 2,168 1,153 667 1,748,688 464,223 64,749 1,199,716 5.1 1.3 0.3 3.5 Audio equipment, musical instruments, and supplies Audio equipment and accessories Records, tapes, and compact discs Musical instruments and related items I-20 (continued) Optical goods Sporting goods Hardware, tools & plumbing and electrical supplies Lawn and garden equipment Lumber, millwork, building materials Automotive tires, batteries, accessories Pets, pet foods, and pet supplies 204 1,812 1,825 2,063 941 2,315 34 181,714 1,264,254 440,726 523,412 112,610 986,627 94,020 0.5 3.7 1.3 1.5 0.3 2.9 0.3 3,265 96 103 210 1,580 229 398 1,384 55 97 106 3,602,747 94,989 28,070 27,949 152,381 93,904 1,051,329 146,399 18,558 836,056 43,457 10.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 3.0 0.4 0.1 2.4 0.1 Coins, medals, and other numismatic terms Stamps, autographs, and other philatelic materials Artists' materials and supplies Religious goods Souvenirs and novelty items 61 80 26 47 144 171,805 147,957 23,433 31,263 106,651 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 Seasonal decorations Craft supplies All other merchandise Miscellaneous merchandise 40 79 262 (X) 37,878 156,570 412,594 21,504 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.1 574 1,468 189,779 343,878 0.6 1.0 (X) 19,372 0.1 All other merchandise Stationery School supplies Office supplies Office equipment Greeting cards Magazines and newspapers Luggage and leather goods Antiques Collectibles Art goods Unclassified merchandise Non-merchandise receipts Miscellaneous merchandise Source: 1992 Census of Retail Trade: Merchandise Line Sales (1997 data to be reported in 19992000) I-21 SALES CONCENTRATION -- NON STORE MARKETING FIRMS Firms Establishment s Sales ($Million) % of Sales 34,558 100.0 5,475 9,135 14,982 20,546 15.8 26.4 43.3 59.4 6,330 100.0 1,408 1,634 1,978 2,468 22.2 25.8 31.3 39.0 10,170 100.0 Catalog and Mail Order Houses Firms 7,773 4 largest firms 8 largest firms 20 largest firms 50 largest firms 459 468 717 770 Merchandising Machine Operators Firms 6,391 4 largest firms 8 largest firms 20 largest firms 50 largest firms 505 1,072 1,132 1,217 Direct Selling Establishments Firms 13,641 4 largest firms 8 largest firms 20 largest firms 50 largest firms 992 1,214 1,387 1,566 I-22 1,732 2,189 2,953 3,753 17.0 21.5 29.0 36.9 (continued) LEGAL FORM OF ORGANIZATION NON STORE MARKETING FIRMS Firms Sales ($ Million) 6,798 34,580 100.0 4,079 2,444 246 29 31,633 1,200 N/A N/A 91.5 3.5 --- 4,778 6,330 100.0 3,274 1,291 201 12 5,728 439 155 8 90.5 6.9 2.5 0.1 11,392 10,170 100.0 7,244 3,638 476 34 9,041 903 215 11 88.9 8.9 2.1 0.1 % of Sales Catalog and Mail Order Houses All types Corporations Individual Proprietorships Partnerships Other Automatic Merchandising Machine Operators All types Corporations Individual Proprietorships Partnerships Other Direct Selling Establishments All types Corporations Individual Proprietorships Partnerships Other Source: 1992 Census of Retail, Department of Commerce (1997 data to be reported in 19992000) I-23 DISTRIBUTION OF MAIL ORDER SALES BY LOCATION OF FIRM Establishments (number) United States Sales ($ Million) Sales % Growth 1987-1992 7,773 34,580 70 Alabama 93 222 130 Alaska 12 5 -78 Arizona 146 552 114 Arkansas 93 71 -- California 882 2,309 49 Colorado 157 550 238 Connecticut 123 1,253 107 Delaware 22 383 59 District of Columbia 15 22 -7 Florida 369 2,668 162 Georgia 214 455 35 7 8 -15 Idaho 39 38 121 Illinois 331 2,339 15 Indiana 153 1,581 51 Iowa 125 146 100 96 220 105 Kentucky 104 121 122 Louisiana 96 54 -29 Maine 71 N/A -- Maryland 112 156 99 Massachusetts 193 1,035 68 Michigan 204 338 21 Minnesota 206 N/A -- Mississippi 73 43 -14 Missouri 210 414 3 Montana 44 40 Hawaii Kansas I-24 97 (continued) DISTRIBUTION OF MAIL ORDER SALES BY LOCATION OF FIRM Establishments (number) Sales ($ Million) Sales % Growth 1987-1992 Nebraska 65 414 161 Nevada 58 433 323 New Hampshire 66 314 40 New Jersey 244 1,065 24 New Mexico 65 187 266 New York 593 2,812 32 North Carolina 204 556 91 North Dakota 25 25 27 264 1,744 176 87 46 -19 Oregon 142 474 48 Pennsylvania 289 3,972 117 Rhode Island 34 194 158 South Carolina 74 86 0 South Dakota 33 85 29 Tennessee 171 274 90 Texas 392 1,453 139 Utah 61 41 -9 Vermont 54 105 8 Virginia 206 1,244 146 Washington 189 563 190 42 19 -54 Wisconsin 191 1,744 88 Wyoming 34 85 168 Ohio Oklahoma West Virginia Source: 1992 Census of Retail Trade, U.S. Department of Commerce (1997 data to be reported in 1999/2000) I-25 TOTAL U.S.: MAIL ORDER SALES AND CONTRIBUTIONS 1998 % of Amount ($ Million) Consumer: Products Specialty General Merchandising Services Non-Financial Financial TOTAL Consumer Mail Order Total Per Capita GNP % of *General MerchRetail andise Consumer Sales Sales Services 108,910 90,810 18,100 59 49 10 30 25 5 $403 336 67 1.2 1.0 0.2 4.0 3.3 0.6 **11.5 ** 9.6 1.9 ____ ____ ____ 76,080 39,840 36,240 184,990 41 22 20 100 21 11 10 52 282 148 134 685 0.8 0.4 0.4 2.1 ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 2.2 1.1 1.0 104,020 ____ 29 ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 69,810 358,820 ____ ____ 19 100 ____ ____ ___ ___ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ 270 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 8,509,000 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 17,590,000 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 2,696,000 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 923,800 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ 3,421,000 ____ ____ ____ ___ ____ ____ ____ Business: Products & Services Charitable Contributions Mail Order Total U.S. Population Gross National Product Total Aggregate Sales Retail Sales *General Merchandising and Specialty Sales Consumer Services * General merchandising, apparel, drug, liquor, building materials, hardware, garden supply, furniture, home furnishings and equipment **Excludes mail order food (food not part of denominator) U.S. consumer mail order sales of products and services were $185.0 billion in 1998, $109.0 billion in products and $76.1 billion in services. This represents a significant but still modest contribution to U.S. economic activity. 2.1 percent of gross national product 4.0 percent of retail sales 11.5 percent of general merchandise sales 2.2 percent of consumer service sales I-26 On a per capita basis Americans spent a modest total of $685 each by mail order in 1998. Specialty mail order vendors enjoy a substantially greater share of consumer mail order product sales (83 percent) than do general merchandising mail order vendors (17 percent). U.S. business mail order sales in 1998 were $104.0 billion and charitable contributions were $69.8 billion. The total of U.S. mail order/sales and contributions were $358.8 billion. While U.S. consumer mail order product sales may appear modest on the overall scale of Gross National Product, retail sales or general merchandise sales, they are immense as a source of sales. Consumer mail order product sales are equivalent to 63% of sales of the top 100 specialty stores ($174 billion), more than Catalog Showrooms, Direct Selling and Vending Machines combined ($68 billion), and as much as any single consumer selling channel except mass general merchandisers and supermarkets. It is a leading consumer selling channel for specialty merchandising with prices under $1,000. Remember, this information should be used as a base to build from. For current direct marketing statistics please refer to these titles: The Direct Marketing Statistical Fact Book the Direct Marketing Response Rate Study the Catalog Age 150 the Consumer Directory of Mail Order Catalogs and the Business to Business Directory of Mail Order Catalogs. I-28