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Vol. III, No 3 August 2006 Comments? Email: [email protected] Monitoring Trade Data Reduces the Cost of Asset Management Global equity trading costs have been on a steady decline over the last decade, especially for those large investors who keep a watchful eye on their trading data. This statement can be quantified through the Elkins/McSherry Universe. Since 1998, Elkins/McSherry clients have experienced a 25% reduction in overall global trading costs. Commission Basis Points Fees Basis Points Market Impact Basis Points Total Cost Basis Points 1998 32.93 8.13 18.55 59.61 1999 31.10 7.27 21.03 59.40 2000 31.18 7.20 22.80 61.18 2001 30.41 6.60 17.69 54.70 2002 27.24 6.85 20.16 54.25 2003 25.46 7.13 14.76 47.35 2004 25.84 7.42 13.69 46.95 2005 25.15 7.35 13.64 46.14 2Q06 24.53 7.25 12.67 44.44 1998 vs. 2Q06 -26% -11% -32% -25% Reductions in trading costs can be attributed to many factors but the most interesting advancement in equity trading this decade has been in the area of analytics and buy-side empowerment. Today, equity traders are constantly evaluating historical and situational averages to improve future decision making. Brokers are being measured daily, monthly, quarterly, yearly by comparison to situational averages, including trading by stock, country, speed, trade type and less quantifiable categories including service quality and research. The availability of this data has allowed buy-side traders to become sophisticated managers of resources and “Alpha Creators.” Analytics is one of the driving forces moving the physical “trading” function from the sell-side to the buy-side. Brokers are slowly becoming technology and liquidity providers as buy-side desks are demonstrably adding greater value to the investment process. For the typical $10 Billion dollar money manager with 100% turnover, a 5 basis point reduction in trading costs is equal to $5,000,000 in increased returns to investors. In the competitive world of money management a few basis points in returns can mean the difference between expanding rapidly and staying idol. Coincidentally, in a scan through the most recent money management asset rankings, as compiled by Pensions & Investments, it is evident that many of the fastest growing money managers are groups that have embraced sophisticated analytical tools. This trend should continue as money managers continue to find new and better ways to measure performance, not just overall performance but performance within every area of the investment process. © 2006 Elkins McSherry LLC. All rights reserved. -- Vol. III, No 3 August 2006 Comments? Email: [email protected] Despite Growth, Emerging Market Equity Trading Remains Costly Equity trading within emerging markets remains considerably more expensive, then trading within the developed markets as compared within the Elkins/McSherry 1Q06 Universe. Implementing investment ideas in emerging market countries are costly as measured against VWAP and Implementation Shortfall. The following chart compares broker commissions, price changes from broker receipt to execution and differences from VolumeWeighted Average Price within five emerging market countries. Country Commission Market Impact (Price to Price) (Deviation from VWAP) Brazil 24.99BP 59.05BP 19.16BP Hungary 35.68BP 55.56BP 11.88BP India 39.88BP 41.65BP 13.62BP Malaysia 30.24BP 37.56BP 13.14BP Philippines 43.71BP 39.43BP 14.21BP Market Impact As large money managers take positions in emerging market stocks the prices of those underlying stocks tend to move away from the original price. Liquidity and information leakage are the primary causes of the large impact of emerging market trading. Average stock price changes within the emerging markets are truly significant when compared to price changes within large developed markets. For example within the 1Q06 average price changes from broker receipt to execution on the NYSE was only 10.5 basis points as compared to 59.05 basis points in Brazil. Country Commission Market Impact (Price to Price) (Deviation from VWAP) Market Impact Canada 16.67BP 12.96BP 11.45BP Italy 16.78BP 12.09BP 12.99BP Japan 14.03BP 6.21BP 6.96BP U.K 15.79BP 11.65BP 7.86BP U.S. 13.38BP 11.57BP 6.13BP Broker commissions within the emerging markets are equally costly as you can see from the above data, average broker commissions in Hungary, India & Philippines are twice that of Japan, U.K. and U.S. Although, nowhere is broker commissions more costly than in Columbia, as measured by 1Q06 Elkins/McSherry client data, the average broker commission in Columbia is a whopping 60.41 BP. Commission Sharing Agreements in the Spotlight New SEC and FSA guidelines appear to be clearing the way for “Commission Sharing Agreements.” Commission Sharing Agreements are arrangements set up between executing brokers and research providers to allow money © 2006 Elkins McSherry LLC. All rights reserved. -- Vol. III, No 3 August 2006 Comments? Email: [email protected] managers to obtain broker research without being forced to direct trades to any particular research provider. Within a commission sharing agreement, money managers build up credits which may be used by the executing broker to pay for research from a third party provider. The arrangements allow money managers to balance their “Best Execution” obligation and need for broker research. Commission Sharing Agreements are already taking off in the United Kingdom where money managers are required to provide commission transparency to clients. Both the FSA and SEC are moving to a more transparent world of unbundling. Although the SEC still provides a “Safe Harbor” for bundled commissions, SEC spokespeople are clearly in favor of commission transparency. SEC commissioner Roel C. Campos supports the unbundling of commissions by US institutions on a voluntary basis, through public comments. In an SEC Open Meeting on July 12th 2006, Commissioner Campos stated, that he was “glad to see that some industry participants have taken a piece of the puzzle into their own hands with unbundling of commissions,” and further noted that “the power of transparency and disclosure can be enormous.” Even though the SEC seems to be taking a more liberal stance on unbundling than their U.K. counterparts, U.S. commission sharing agreements may independently promote unbundling. The New SEC Soft-Dollar Policy Takes Effect in January January 24th will be the start date for the new tightened soft-dollar regulation to take effect. New regulations are focused around tightening the “Safe Harbor” rules that have allowed money managers to pay research services through client commissions. Services which will continue to be eligible for soft-dollars, include, those that directly relate to executing trades and providing investment research. Mass marketed publications and computer hardware are two items that are specifically mentioned as ineligible within the new “Safe Harbor.” As always money managers must “determine in good faith that the commissions they pay are reasonable in relation to the value of brokerage and research services they obtain.” 1 The SEC has suggested a three step process for money managers to decide if a service falls within the “Safe Harbor” provision: 1) Identify the service and determine if the service falls within the SEC’s definition of investment research. 2) Decide if the service provides managers with information that benefits investment decisions. 3) Confirm that the commissions being paid are reasonable based on the service being provided. Although U.S. money managers are not required to officially breakout the costs commissions and research, they will need to understand what average broker commissions are in order to properly evaluate the cost of research. Step three of the above process, should keep downward pressure on commission costs, which have been on a steady decline over the last decade. 1 July 12th 2006 SEC Press release. www.sec.gov/news © 2006 Elkins McSherry LLC. All rights reserved. --