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A career in Meteorology Name: Job: Email: Before we start lets take a look at some interesting weather pictures… What are we going to cover? • • • • • • • • All about me Meteorology and me The Royal Meteorological Society Potential career paths Meteorological qualifications Employers Forecasting Climate change All about me... • E.g. Qualifications, job, where you studied, interests, photo Meteorology and me • Meteorological qualifications, experience Why am I interested in Meteorology? Text and picture here Examples of subjects I studied in Meteorology Examples could include: • • • • • • • • • • • Numerical Methods for Initial Value Problems Theory of Differential Equations Introduction to Weather Systems Fluid Dynamics of the Atmosphere and Oceans Atmospheric Physics Computing Techniques Climate Change Extra-tropical Weather Systems Numerical Methods for Boundary Value Problems Numerical Modelling of the Atmosphere and Oceans Global Circulation of the Atmosphere and Oceans Other possible areas of study • • • • • • • • • • Industrial Modelling Current Weather Discussions Finite Element Methods Conservation Laws Data Assimilation Tropical Weather Systems Oceanography Hydrology and Global Change Remote Sensing Forecasting Course About the Royal Meteorological Society Our aim : ‘To advance the understanding of weather and climate, the science and its applications, for the benefit of all’. Public Engagement Raising awareness Membership Events Strategy Merchandise Enquiries People at RMetS Head of Communications Dr. Liz Bentley Sarah Grintzevitch Rachael Fordham Interim Head of Education Chief Executive Prof. Paul Hardaker Public Programme Engagement Manager Meteorological Qualifications • OU course – Understanding the weather • BSc., MSc. or PhD in Meteorology • NVQ in Weather Forecasting • FRMetS • CMet Main employers • The Met Office •Private Sector - Metra - Met Check - WSI - The Weather Network - Meteo Group •ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting) Continued… • Armed Forces/MoD • National Meteorological Centres • Government Agencies – NERC – British Antarctic Survey – Centre for Ecology & Hydrology • • • • • • • Consultancy Energy companies Universities Oceanography IPCC UN WMO Industries that need forecasts • Transport – – – – – Airlines Airports Ports and harbours Highways agency (gritting?) Railways (ice, snow, leaf fall) • Health – Department of Health (extreme weather events) – SAD – Sufferers of lung associated disease • Retail – Supermarkets (shall we stock BBQs or soup?) – Fashion (shall we stock woollen jumpers or swimwear?) • Energy – Renewable energy – Offshore oil and gas • Finance – Insurance – Trading – Investment and asset management • Engineering & construction – Mining – Construction • Environment – Environment Agency (flooding) • Leisure – Big sporting events (eg Wimbledon) Different meteorological images and processes used in forecasting... A bit of info on forecasting… Forecast for 9am today taken from the BBC website Weather Station Circle Observations around the UK Satellite picture for today Radar for today Synoptic chart for 12pm today Comparing Satellite, Radar & the Forecast Data Assimilation Forecasting for a Large Field 1. Plot observations 2. Plot temperature contours 3. Plot contours of temp from previous forecast 4. Data Assimilated Result Numerical Weather Prediction Formula for Saturated Adiabatic Lapse Rate Γw = Wet adiabatic lapse rate, K/m g = Earth's gravitational acceleration = 9.8076 m/s2 Hv = Heat of vaporization of water, J/kg r = The ratio of the mass of water vapor to the mass of dry air, kg/kg Rsd = Specific gas constant of dry air = 287 J kg-1 K-1 Rsv = Specific gas constant of water vapor = 462 J kg-1 K-1 ε =The dimensionless ratio of the specific gas constant of dry air to the specific gas constant for water vapor = 0.6220 T = Temperature of the saturated air, K cpd = The specific heat of dry air at constant pressure, J kg-1 K-1 Clausius-Clapeyron Equation where dP / dT is the slope of the coexistence curve, L is the latent heat, T is the temperature, ΔV is the volume change of the phase transition. Climate Change In a recent survey of the public… • 52% don’t believe climate change will affect them • Only 18% respondents think that climate change will take effect during their children’s lifetime • But 74% said they would make changes to their lifestyle now if they knew climate change was going to affect their children But how has our climate changed already? • Central England temperatures have increased by 1 °C since the 1970s. • Total summer rainfall has decreased in most parts of the UK. • Sea-surface temperature around the UK has risen by about 0.7 °C over the past three decades. • The UK has experienced nine of the 10 warmest years on record since 1990. • Sea levels around the UK have risen 10 cm since 1900. Possible Future Changes • Medium emissions scenario, the annual average temperature rise by the end of the century ≈ 3.5oC • The summer average temperature rise in the SE is very likely to be approx is 4 °C. • Increased urbanisation and release of waste heat would increase this still further • In summer droughts are more likely, particularly in the SE. But possible flash flooding. • The extreme heatwave of 2003, when average summer temperatures were 2 °C higher than normal, led to more than 2,000 additional deaths in the UK. • Heavier winter precipitation is expected to become more frequent. • Sea-level across the UK is projected to rise between 11 and 76 cm by the end of the century. Projected Temperature Changes 2020-2029 2090-2099 Change in Temperature (°C), Scenario A2 (IPCC, 2007, Fig. WGI-SPM-6) Useful websites • • • • • • • • • www.rmets.org www.metoffice.gov.uk www.met.rdg.ac.uk/~brugge/jobs.html www.environmentjob.co.uk www.ecmwf.int/ www.meteogroup.co.uk/ www.bbc.co.uk/weather www.nerc.ac.uk www.antarctica.ac.uk/ Any Questions?