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GLOBAL LOGISTICS, CAUSES OF VARIATION Background Headquartered in Purchase, NY World’s largest producer of paper and forest products Forward integrated into distribution (XPEDX) Backward integrated into forestry mgt. Products papers, packaging products, building materials, pulp, chemicals International Shipping Production facilities located worldwide bulk is in eastern U.S. Small margin on paper prevents shipping large quantities internationally Pulp makes up largest portion of international shipments higher margin allows for more international sales Example: US to Australia IP Mills (Southeast US) Ocean Freight 30-60 days Rail 4-10 days (depends on origin) Freight Forwarder (New Orleans) Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane Closer Look at Ocean Freight New Orleans to Sydney Statistics Mean Standard Deviation Range Minimum Maximum # Carriers 38 11 17 31 48 13 New Orleans to Melbourne Statistics Mean Standard Deviation Range Minimum Maximum # Carriers 43 7 27 26 53 12 Statistics calculated from quoted transit times for IP’s contracted carriers Why the large discrepancy between carriers ? New Orleans to Brisbane Statistics Mean Standard Deviation Range Minimum Maximum # Carriers 45 9 28 31 59 13 Carrier Differences Primary Factor is Resource Allocation If US to Australia is a primary lane vessels make the trip non stop shipments aren’t transferred at an intermediary port IF US to Australia is a secondary lane vessels will stop in an intermediary port (most likely Asia) Shipments are transferred to different vessel before reach final stop Transit Time Variation by Carrier Primary Carriers Much less variable than by secondary carrier Typically more expensive Primary factors missing departure due to fumigation requirements mechanical failure Human error Usually no more than 7 days off Secondary Carriers More variable But usually less expensive Primary factors Missing connections in intermediary port missing departure due to fumigation requirements mechanical failure Human error Anywhere from 7 -14 days off Profile • Headquartered in Middletown, Ohio. • A leader in the production of coated and coldrolled carbon and stainless steel products. • Customers include automobile, appliance, construction, and distribution and service centers. Operations Operation facilities in Ashland, Kentucky Middletown, Ohio Rockport, Indiana Strategic partner in Mexico Hylsamex in Monterrey, Mexico Transportation Modes Rail 3-4 days AKSteel Plants 1-3 days Border Barge 40-50 days Brownsville, TX Truck 2-4 days Rail 1-2 days Truck 1 day Hylsamex Affecting Factors the time spent in Custom’s to process the paperwork the availability of capacity, such as containers, trucks, and so on traffic weather Smurfit-Stone New Company (1998) merger of Jefferson Smurfit Corporation and Stone Container Corporation Leading force in the paperboard and paper packaging industry Operates approximately 300 facilities worldwide Containerboard Mill Division Operation: 12 kraft linerboard mills, 11 medium mills Production: Unbleached kraft linerboard and Medium Products: Commodity and specialty paperboards for conversion into corrugated containers, folding cartons, and related products. Corrugated Container Operations Operation: More than 150 corrugated container plants in North America and 33 plants in Europe, Asia, Australia and South America Production: Nation’s largest supplier of corrugated containers, made linerboard and corrugating medium (supply by CMD) Products: High-quality corrugated containers Operation between CMD and CCO-Mexico Rail: From U.S. Mills to Mexican Border Truck: From Mexican Border to plants Project Scope: Rail Operations Causes of Variability in the Supply Chain Mills: Florida Louisiana Border: Weslaco, Tex Plants: Monterrey, Mexico From Florida to Mex. Border Rail Shipments Data Avg StDev Max Min 17 13.65 3.55 19.00 7.00 Normal Dist. From Louisiana Mex. Border Rail Shipments Data Avg StDev Max Min 17 9.76 2.11 13.00 7.00 No Normal Dist. Causes Of Variation Supply Chain Rail: Not Direct Route High Demand in Pick Season Customs: Shift to Truck Paperwork Traffic Congestion Truck: Availability Fibras Quimicas • Mexican company, Located in Monterrey, Mexico. • Fibras Quimicas' parent company is Akra. • Akra's holding company is Alpek. • Alpek is the petrochemical division of Group Alfa. • Group Alfa is one of the biggest industrial groups in Mexico. • Group Alfa is an association of Mexican companies focused on the diverse and quite varying industry sectors including the steel, food, petrochemicals, synthetic fibers, aluminum auto parts, mattresses, carpets and telecommunications. Fibras Quimicas Products Poliester Products : • Textured Yarns • Flat Yarns • Pre-oriented Yarns ( POY ) Final Uses : • Wrapped Yarns • Apparel • Twisted Yarns • Home Textiles • Out wear • Linings • Narrows • Upholstery • Mattress and thicking • Automotive fabrics • Comfort fabrics Operations of Fibras Quimicas By Truck Canada 8 to 9 Days U.S. Eastern Coast 5 to 6 Days This is where we got raw data, and where we will do a more extensive analysis. By Ship Europe 28 to 30 Days Africa 30 to 32 Days ( Morocco ) Middle East 38 to 40 Days ( Syria ) By Ship South America 20 to 25 Days By Truck Colombia 12 to 15 Days Central America 10 to 15 Days Shipping to The United States and Canada • We were able to gather raw data on 5 U.S. customers and 2 Canadian customers. • This customers account for 67% of Fibras Quimicas sales in the North America region. # of Shipments up to March Customer Location 2000 Blumenthal Mills Inc. Sumter, SC 58 Burke Mills, Inc. Valdese, NC 19 Culp Weaving Inc. Monroe, NC 18 Dan River Inc. Danville, VA 17 Guilford Mills Inc. Monroe, NC 47 Huntindong Mills Hawksbury, ON 21 Rayonese Textile Co. St. Jerome, PQ 39 Total 219 Buffer Inventory 3 weeks 2 weeks 2 weeks Average Lead time in Std Days Deviation 5.3 0.34 5.1 * 0.74 * 5.9 0.18 6 0.22 5* 0.64 * 8.8 0.13 7.8 0.12 W/O Team W/O Team drivers Avg drivers Std Lead time Deviation 5.3 0.34 5.3 0.21 5.9 0.18 6 0.22 5.2 0.19 8.8 0.13 7.8 0.12 * with the use of Team Drivers • Team Drivers = the use of two drivers for the same truck ½ the lead time. • We took out this effect, because it disrupted our data, only use less than 5% of the time ! Higher cost ! Crossing the Mexico – U.S. Border • One of the greater sources for variability is crossing the border. • Although for Canadian shipments, this doesn't affect that much! • Crosses at Laredo Texas ! Final Destination Canada The trucks, will have to wait their turn to cross, the traffic can go up to 1 mile.. Final Destination U.S. The Cargo is sealed as Inbound, and passes without inspection. + Var. If Inspection needed (determined randomly by U.S. Customs) It can delay the shipment for one whole day. The Truck is sent to a big facility, where it waits for an American driver, Mexican drivers still are not allowed to cross the border. Guilford Mills • Located in Monroe, NC. • Produces Automotive fabrics FORD FOCUS. • 47 Shipments • Mean 5 Days • Std Dev. 0.64 • Team drivers, we took out 4 points, mean went to 5.2 and std dev. to 0.19 • AKRA uses the same carrier. • Inventory buffer on site 2 weeks. • Lower lead time than Culp, that is on the same city ! • Pass the Normality Test. • Service important to this customer. Rayonese Textile • Located in St. Jerome, PQ. • Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery. • 39 Shipments • Mean 7.8 Days • Std Dev. 0.12 • Canadian Customer • No Team drivers ! • Fail the Normality Test. • AKRA uses different carriers depending on availability and price! • The distribution is shifted to the right. Other Customers Burke Mills Culp Weaving Dan River • Located in Valdese, NC. • Located in Monroe, NC. • Located in Danville, VA. • Dye yarns and resell them. • Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery. • Produces Bed in a Bag. • 19 Shipments • Mean 5.1 Days • Std Dev. 0.74 • Team drivers ! took out 2 points mean went to 5.3 days and std dev. to 0.21 • Pass the Normality Test. • 18 Shipments • Mean 5.9 Days • Std Dev. 0.18 • No Team drivers ! • 17 Shipments • Mean 6 Days • Std Dev. 0.22 • No Team drivers ! • Pass the Normality Test. • Inventory buffer on site 2 weeks. • Pass the Normality Test. Bluementhal Mills • Located in Sumter, SC. Huntingdon Mills • Located in Hawksbury, ON. • Produces Mattress & thicking and upholstery. • Produces Polar fleece. • 58 Shipments • 21 Shipments • Mean 8.8 Days • Std Dev. 0.13 • Canadian Customer • AKRA uses different carriers in all of this customers, depending on availability and price! • Mean 5.3 Days • Std Dev. 0.34 • No Team drivers ! • No Team drivers ! • Inventory Buffer on site 3 weeks. • Pass the Normality Test. • Pass the Normality Test. AKRA's Conclusions We have found some important factors that affect variability, when shipping by truck to The United States and Canada. • Inspection by U.S. Customs. • Driver availability at the border. • Using different carriers or using a dedicated carrier, that reduces variability. • Traffic jams at border. • Weather conditions. Customer Blumenthal Mills Inc. Burke Mills, Inc. Culp Weaving Inc. Dan River Inc. Guilford Mills Inc. Huntindong Mills Rayonese Textile Co. Location Sumter, SC Valdese, NC Monroe, NC Danville, VA Monroe, NC Hawksbury, ON St. Jerome, PQ Normal Dist. YES YES YES YES YES YES NO General Conclusions Lead-Time Variability Volume Costs Medium Truck Mid-Small Low Mid-Small Rail Mid-Large Mid-Low Mid-Large Low Vessel Large High Large Low Barge Air Large Small Mid-High Low Large Small Low High