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Transcript
Deconstructing Dividends: Six Reasons to
Consider Dividend-Paying Stocks
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Research shows that allocating a portion of investable assets to dividend-paying stocks
has the potential to enhance a portfolio’s overall risk/return profile. Indeed, a close
look at this unique subset of stocks reveals that they historically outperform the market
"Dividend-paying stocks
historically outperform the
market with less risk and low
correlation with other investment
styles, making them excellent
portfolio diversifiers—especially
in a rising rate environment."
with less risk, with a low correlation with other investment styles, thereby making them
excellent portfolio diversifiers. Within the small- and mid-cap universes in particular,
dividend-paying stocks have compounded money over the past three decades at a rate
significantly higher than non-dividend payers. For example, in the small-cap universe,
dividend payers have compounded money at over 500 basis points higher than nondividend payers, creating more than four times the amount of dollar value.
Why are these stocks often overlooked? One reason might be that Wall Street thrives
on companies that need outside capital to grow. Generally, dividend-paying companies
rely less on external capital for growth. There is also a commonly held belief that
dividend-paying companies' growth must be plateauing if they are giving money back
to shareholders – believing that if a company had high return projects to invest in, they
would make that choice instead of giving the money back to shareholders. This mis-held
belief could not be further from the truth. We believe that companies are saying two
powerful things when they pay their first dividend. 1) They are signaling to the market
that their future is bright and that growth can be funded internally, and 2) they are going
to be disciplined, shareholder-friendly corporate managers.
This paper presents compelling evidence as to why small- and mid-cap dividend-paying
stocks should be part of a diversified portfolio.
Evidence includes:
I. Dividend-paying small- and mid-cap companies historically deliver higher returns compared to nondividend-paying companies.
II. Lower risk profiles relative to non-dividend-paying stocks make small- and mid-cap dividend-paying
stocks more attractive from a risk perspective.
III. The ability for dividend-paying small- and mid-cap stocks to participate in up markets while preserving
capital in down markets.
IV. Low historical correlations of dividend-paying small- and mid-cap stocks with other equity classes
make them good portfolio diversification candidates.
V. Small and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks have shown to be attractive investments in rising rate
environments.
VI. Investing in dividend-paying stocks enables our investment team to potentially amplify the positive
impact these stocks have on an investor’s portfolio.
SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
ANALYSIS
I. Dividend-paying small- and mid-cap companies historically deliver higher returns compared to non-dividend-paying companies.
According to Ned Davis Research, which has tracked the performance of dividendpaying stocks versus non-dividend-paying stocks as far back as 1983, the historical
returns of dividend payers are higher than those of non-dividend payers. Although the
universe for each study is slightly different, the results are similar. Within the smallcap universe, dividend-paying stocks outperformed non-dividend-paying stocks, on
average, over the last 33 years. Those that pay a dividend returned 13.3% annually
over the period versus 7.8% for non-dividend payers. This incremental return of
approximately 500 basis points has led to the creation of more than four times the
amount of dollar value.
Dividend-Paying Small-Cap Stocks Outperformed
Growth of $10,000 Investment
Dividend-Paying vs Non-Dividend-Paying Small-Cap Stocks
1983 to 2016
$610,827
13.3%
Compound
Annual
Return
$600,000
$550,000
$500,000
$450,000
Dividend-Paying
Small-Cap Stock
$400,000
$350,000
$117,942
7.8%
Compound
Annual
Return
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
Non-Dividend-Paying
Small-Cap Stock
$100,000
$50,000
$0
Dividend Paying
Non-Dividend Paying
©
Copyright Ned Davis Research, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Data as of 1/1/1983 through 12/31/2016. Based on equal-weighted
arithmetic average of dividend-paying and non-dividend-paying historical Russell 2000® Index stocks. Past performance does not
guarantee future results.
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
Similarly, within the mid-cap universe, dividend payers outperformed non-dividend
payers during the same period, delivering annual returns of 13.3% and 10.4%,
respectively. This means that dividend-paying stocks in this universe have compounded
money at a rate of 290 basis points higher than non-dividend payers, generating more
than two times the amount of dollar value. Dividend-Paying Mid-Cap Stocks Outperformed
Growth of $10,000 Investment
Dividend-Paying vs Non-Dividend-Paying Mid-Cap Stocks
1983 to 2016
$618,995
13.3%
Compound
Annual
Return
$650,000
$600,000
$550,000
$500,000
Dividend-Paying
Mid-Cap Stock
$450,000
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
Non-Dividend-Paying
Mid-Cap Stock
$50,000
$0
Dividend Paying
$260,916
10.4%
Compound
Annual
Return
Non-Dividend Paying
Copyright Ned Davis Research, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Data as of 1/1/1983 through 12/31/2016. Based on equal-weighted arithmetic
average of dividend-paying and non-dividend-paying historical Russell MidCap Index stocks. Past performance does not guarantee
future results.
©
Importantly, as the charts on the next page show, this phenomenon is not limited to highyielding sectors only. Compound annual growth rates for small- and mid-cap dividendpaying stocks are higher than those of non-dividend-paying stocks in every sector. The
risk level for dividend-paying stocks, as defined by standard deviation, is also lower in
every sector.
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
Dividends Outperformed Across Sectors: Small-Cap
Consumer Staples
Financials
60.00
70.00
50.00
60.00
12.5%
40.00
Consumer Discretionary
25.00
13.4%
30.00
20.00
10.00
20.00
8.7%
10.00
10.00
3.1%
-
-
45.00
9.5%
15.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
50.00
Materials
50.00
40.00
45.00
35.00
40.00
30.00
11.5%
25.00
Industrials
30.00
15.00
10.00
0.3%
5.00
-
5.6%
10.00
5.00
-
Energy
10.9%
25.00
15.00
20.00
15.00
Information Technology
30.00
20.00
25.00
20.00
-
35.00
12.2%
35.00
6.2%
5.00
10.00
3.0%
5.00
-
Utilities
Healthcare
120.00
120.00
100.00
100.00
80.00
80.00
12.9%
60.00
40.00
40.00
35.00
14.9%
60.00
1.8%
-
25.00
20.00
15.00
40.00
20.00
11.3%
30.00
6.6%
20.00
-
6.5%
10.00
5.00
-
Dividends Outperformed Across Sectors: Mid-Cap
70.00
Financials
45.00
13.1%
50.00
30.00
11.7%
35.00
30.00
40.00
25.00
30.00
20.00
7.2%
10.00
-
Materials
10.00
8.0%
10.00
5.00
35.00
10.2%
Industrials
18.00
11.1%
25.00
3.8%
-
20.00
10.00
15.00
8.00
25.00
4.00
3.6%
60.00
Energy
50.00
20.00
15.00
6.00
5.00
-
30.00
40.00
9.2%
30.00
-
60.00
Healthcare
50.00
12.3%
11.4%
12.2%
30.00
20.00
5.00
10.00
10.00
-
Utilities
40.00
20.00
2.9%
4.1%
2.00
10.00
-
9.0%
14.00
12.00
10.00
5.00
Information Technology
16.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
-
30.00
20.00
9.8%
9.4%
15.00
-
25.00
Consumer Discretionary
25.00
20.00
15.00
20.00
30.00
Consumer Staples
40.00
60.00
8.3%
-
Source: Factset, Clarifi. Internal calculations. Equal-weighted holdings, rebalanced monthly, 12/31/1983
through 12/31/2016. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Conclusion: Based on the charts, Small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks
outperformed non-dividend paying stocks in every economic sector.
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
II. Lower risk profiles relative to non-dividend-paying stocks (as measured by historical standard deviation) make small- and mid-cap dividend-
paying stocks appear more attractive from a risk perspective.
Modern portfolio theory states that, to achieve higher returns, an investor must take on
more risk. However, the analysis of small- and mid-cap dividend strategies has shown
otherwise. Using monthly return data from Ned Davis Research, we’ve charted the
rolling five-year standard deviation of dividend-paying and non-dividend paying smalland mid-cap stocks from 1983 through 2016. As you can see, dividend-paying stocks
exhibit significantly lower risk than non-dividend-paying stocks.
Attractive Risk Profile: Dividend-Paying Small-Cap Stocks
Rolling 5 Year Standard Deviation—Dividend Paying Small-Cap Stocks
vs Non-Dividend Paying Mid-Cap Stocks
40
Non-Dividend-Paying
Small-Cap Stocks
35
% Standard Deviation
30
25
20
15
Dividend-Paying
Small-Cap Stocks
10
5
0
Time
Attractive Risk Profile: Dividend Paying Mid-Cap Stocks
Rolling 5 Year Standard Deviation—Dividend Paying Mid-Cap Stocks
vs Non-Dividend Paying Mid-Cap Stocks
40
35
Non-Dividend-Paying
Mid-Cap Stocks
% Standard Deviation
30
25
20
15
10
Dividend-Paying
Mid-Cap Stocks
5
0
Time
Source: Ned Davis, Frank Russell Company. Data as of 1/1/1983 through 12/31/2016. Past performance does not
guarantee future results.
Conclusion: Small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks historically presented less
risk than small- and mid-cap non-dividend paying stocks.
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
III. The ability for dividend-paying small- and mid-cap stocks to participate in up markets while preserving capital in down markets.
A common misconception is that owning dividend-paying stocks is a defensive
strategy and only leads to outperformance in down markets. Since 1983, the average
performance of small-cap dividend-payers in up markets surpassed that of its core
benchmark by 2.1% while mid-cap dividend payers were flat with their benchmark.
In down markets, both small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks offered protection
relative to the benchmark, outperforming by 6.2% and 4.6%, respectively. Compared
to value benchmarks for the same time period, the relative performance also looks
strong. Small-cap dividend payers outperformed by 1.0% in up markets and by 3.3% in
down markets. Mid-cap dividend payers outperformed by 0.9% in up markets and 0.3%
in down markets.
Relative Outperformance of Dividend-Paying Stocks
Compared to Core Benchmarks
Russell
2000®
Index
Russell
2500®
Index
Russell
MidCap®
Index
Average Performance in Up Markets
2.1%
1.2%
0.3%
Average Performance in Down Markets
6.2%
5.1%
4.6%
Relative Outperformance of Dividend Paying Stocks
Compared to Value Benchmarks
Russell
2000®
Index
Russell
2500®
Value Index
Russell
MidCap®
Value Index*
Average Performance in Up Markets
1.0%
2.3%
0.9%
Average Performance in Down Markets
3.3%
2.2%
0.3%
*Denotes that the benchmark was established in 1986. All other data from 1/1/1983 through 12/31/2016. Data source:
Ned Davis. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Conclusion: Based on these charts, Small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks
outperformed in up and down years.
PAGE 6
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
IV.Low historical correlations of dividend-paying small- and mid-cap stocks relative t o other equity classes make them good portfolio diversification candidates.
In this section, we look at the correlation of small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks
to the nine common style indices. The following tables show that the correlations
between most of the indices and the small- and mid-cap dividend payers are attractive
from a portfolio construction perspective. For example, combining the Russell 1000®
Growth Index with a small- or mid-cap dividend-paying portfolio could provide positive
diversification benefits.
Correlation with DividendPaying Small-Cap Stocks
19832016
Correlation with DividendPaying Mid-Cap Stocks
Russell 1000® Index
0.79
Russell 1000® Index
0.90
Russell 1000 Growth Index
0.70
Russell 1000 Growth Index
0.80
Russell 1000® Value Index
0.83
Russell 1000® Value Index
0.94
Russell MidCap® Index
0.86
Russell MidCap® Index
0.94
Russell MidCap® Growth Index
0.73
Russell MidCap® Growth Index
0.79
Russell MidCap® Value Index
0.89
Russell MidCap® Value Index
0.99
Russell 2000 Index
0.91
Russell 2000® Index
0.85
Russell 2000® Growth Index
0.81
Russell 2000® Growth Index
0.78
Russell 2000 Value Index
0.97
Russell 2000® Value Index
0.91
®
®
®
®
19832016
Source: Ned Davis. Both mid-value and mid-growth indices began in 1986.
Additionally, small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks have delivered higher returns
while exhibiting less risk than nearly all other common style indices (from 1983 – 2016),
further strengthening the case for why small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks
should be part of a diversified portfolio.
Conclusion: Adding small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks to a portfolio could
be a good source of diversification.
V. Dividend-Payers Outperformed Before and After Rate Hikes
There may be concern in the market on how dividend payers may perform given that
we look to be starting an interest rate tightening cycle. Counter to what many may
perceive, dividend-paying small-cap stocks have outperformed in most periods leading
up to the first tightening, as well as the one-, two- and three-year periods subsequent
to the beginning of the tightening cycle. Dividend-paying mid-cap stocks generally
underperformed in the year leading up to the first tightening, as well as the year
following, but showed tremendous outperformance of the second and third years posttightening.
PAGE 7
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
Monthly Relative Outperformance of Dividend Payers
140
Small-Cap
Mid-Cap
(Ratio; Time Zero=100)
Relative Performance
130
120
110
100
90
80
First Rate Hike
70
-36
-30
-24
-18
-12
-6
0
6
12
18
24
29
35
Months Before/After Tightening Cycles
Small-Cap Dividend-Payers
Months Prior | Months Post
Event Date
-36 Months
-24 Months
-12 Months
-6 Months
6 Months
12 Months
24 Months
36 Months
1987-09-04
44.45
20.90
6.87
4.86
14.61
21.04
24.49
26.62
1994-02-04
15.49
26.72
2.95
-3.35
10.34
4.46
1.72
14.62
1999-06-30
39.24
4.64
-6.07
-8.06
-24.92
-23.81
23.85
102.09
2004-06-30
45.29
-5.70
-0.45
3.77
5.33
11.02
7.90
5.41
Median
41.84
12.77
1.25
0.21
7.83
7.74
15.88
20.62
Average
36.12
11.64
0.83
-0.69
1.34
3.18
14.49
37.19
100.00
75.00
50.00
50.00
75.00
75.00
100.00
100.00
% Positive
Mid-Cap Dividend-Payers
Months Prior | Months Post
Event Date
-36 Months
-24 Months
-12 Months
-6 Months
6 Months
12 Months
24 Months
36 Months
1987-09-04
34.80
1.77
-10.29
-3.92
8.13
9.32
6.01
4.64
1994-02-04
-1.99
6.91
-3.44
-5.93
4.98
-4.62
-9.17
-0.19
1999-06-30
-0.47
-17.10
-15.83
-12.08
-28.54
-36.28
29.71
106.50
2004-06-30
65.73
5.66
9.21
6.24
5.95
5.22
4.07
1.70
Median
17.16
3.72
-6.87
-4.93
5.46
0.30
5.04
3.17
Average
24.52
-0.69
-5.09
-3.93
-2.37
-6.59
7.66
28.16
% Positive
50.00
75.00
25.00
25.00
75.00
50.00
75.00
75.00
Source: NedDavis.
Conclusion: Based on the above chart, small and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks have
shown strong outperformance after the beginning of an interest rate tightening cycle.
PAGE 8
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
VI. Investing in dividend-paying stocks enables the team to potentially amplify the positive impact these investments have on an investor’s portfolio.
The Value investment team is solely focused on finding undervalued stocks that pay
dividends in its small-, smid- and mid-cap dividend portfolios. While this paper has
focused on the virtues of small- and mid-cap dividend paying stocks, smid-cap dividend
paying stocks generally have the same attractive risk-return profiles as dividend-paying
small- and mid-cap stocks.
The main tenets to the team’s investment philosophy are as follows:
nStock prices follow free cash flow and returns on capital over time.
n
Superior risk-adjusted performance is best achieved by investing in high-quality, dividend-paying companies that are trading at a meaningful discount to intrinsic value.
n A combination of quantitative screening and independent fundamental analysis increases research efficiency and provides an information advantage.
n A team decision-making approach provides diverse, in-depth perspectives, bringing the team’s best ideas into each client’s portfolio.
Regarding its investments in dividend-paying companies, the team believes that returning
capital to shareholders in the form of a dividend sends a clear and powerful message
about a company’s future prospects and performance. Specifically, the team looks for
high-quality companies with management teams that have a high level of shareholder
orientation and that earmark capital for shareholder return through dividends. The team
also looks for dividend-paying companies that can grow dividends while still investing
internally in value-creating projects.
The team brings a combined 145 years of investment experience to the table and a
wealth of informational diversity. Because team members have a variety of professional,
educational, and geographical backgrounds, breadth of knowledge is deep and varying
viewpoints are common. This ensures that current and prospective investments are
Portfolio Management
• 145 years of combined
experience
• 7 Chartered Financial
Analysts on the team
• Wide-ranging professional, educational and geographical
backgrounds
CFA is a trademark owned by the CFA Institute.
examined from multiple angles and that decisions are made with confidence.
Summary
Small- and mid-cap companies that pay dividends offer attractive risk/return potential.
Ironically, because of common misperceptions, these stocks are often missing from
investors’ portfolios. By providing evidence that demonstrates the many virtues of these
stocks, we hope to have dispelled the myths about dividend-paying companies and
presented a compelling case for why small- and mid-cap dividend-paying stocks can
enhance the risk/return profile of a portfolio.
PAGE 9
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SIX REASONS TO CONSIDER DIVIDEND-PAYING STOCKS
To learn more about the people and processes supporting the Westcore Small-Cap Value
Dividend Fund, the Westcore Smid-Cap Value Dividend Fund, the Westcore Mid-Cap Value
Dividend Fund and the Westcore Large-Cap Dividend Fund and the rewards of investing
in dividend-paying stocks, please contact us at 800.392.CORE (2673) or visit us online at
www.westcore.com.
For a global investment option, consider the Westcore Global Large-Cap Dividend Fund, a
Fund that seeks to provide enhanced, risk-adjusted returns by investing in companies with
the ability and willingness to increase their dividend payments over time.
RISKS: Diversification does not eliminate the risk of experiencing investment losses.
Investing in small- and mid-cap funds generally will be more volatile and loss of principal could be greater than
investing in large-cap funds.
Dividends are not guaranteed. A company’s future abilities to pay dividends may be limited and a company may
cease paying dividends at any time.
DEFINITION OF TERMS & INDEX DESCRIPTIONS:
All indices are unmanaged and index performance figures do not reflect any fees, expenses or taxes. Investors
cannot invest directly in an index.
A Basis Point is the smallest measure used in quoting yields on bills, notes and bonds. One basis point equals
one one-hundredth of one percent. Therefore, 100 basis points equal 1%.
The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000® Index,
which represents approximately 92% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index.
The Russell 1000® Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with higher price/
book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.
The Russell 1000® Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 1000 companies with lower price/
book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.
The Russell MidCap® Index measures the performance of the 800 smallest companies in the Russell 1000®
Index, which represent approximately 25% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 1000 Index.
The Russell MidCap® Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell MidCap companies with higher
price/book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. The stocks are also members of the Russell 1000®
Growth Index.
The Russell MidCap® Value Index measures the performance of those Russell MidCap companies with lower
price/book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. The stocks are also members of the Russell 1000® Value
Index.
The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the 2,000 smallest companies in the Russell 3000®
Index, which represents approximately 8% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000 Index.
The Russell 2000® Growth Index measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with higher price/
book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.
The Russell 2000® Value Index measures the performance of those Russell 2000 companies with lower price/
book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.
The Russell 2500TM Index measures the performance of the smallest 2,500 companies covered in the Russell
3000 universe of United States-based listed equities.
The Russell 2500TM Value Index measures the performance of the small- to mid-cap segment of the U.S. equity
universe. It includes those Russell 2500TM Index companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted
growth values.
An investor should consider investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of the
Fund(s) carefully before investing. To request a prospectus, which contains this and
other important information about the Fund(s), please call 800.734.WEST (9378) or visit
us online at www.westcore.com. Please read the prospectus carefully before investing.
Westcore Funds are distributed by ALPS Distributors, Inc.
The mountain logo together with "Westcore Funds Denver Investments" is a registered service mark of Denver
Investments.
WES003435 01312018
PAGE 10
FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT WESTCORE FUNDS, PLEASE CONTACT:
Westcore Funds | 1290 Broadway, Suite 1100 | Denver, Colorado 80203
Individual Investors: 800.392.CORE (2673) | Financial Advisors: 800.734.WEST (9378) | w w w.westcore.com
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