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Who Deciphering Terrorism A Multidisciplinary Approach to Threat Analysis A multidisciplinary approach to threat analysis Dina Subkhankulova, Kira Kowalska, David P. Esparza & Nilufer Tuptuk Greedland – Fairbourne conflict Kira Kowalska MEng Engineering Mathematics (University of Bristol) Previous Research: • BAE Systems – machine learning, maritime anomaly detection • Bristol Centre for Complexity Sciences – agent based modelling • University of Bristol – spatial pattern analysis, geodemographics Research Interest: • Pattern analysis in networks and spatio-temporal data • Agent-based modelling , modelling city complexity • Geo-demographics, geographic profiling Nilufer Tuptuk MSc Advanced Computing (Imperial College) BSc (Hons) Computer Science (QMUL) Previous Research: • CPD in Cybersecurity & Resilience , UCL • Secure Routing in Mobile Ad Hoc Networks, Imperial College • Trust, security and contract management in Virtual Organisations, Imperial College Research Interest: • Threats against Industrial Control Systems • Intelligent Anomaly Detection Systems Dina Subkhankulova MSci Physics with Theoretical Physics (Imperial College) Previous Research: • Imperial College – Analysing Quantum systems to determine conditions of emergence of classical behaviour • Duvas Technologies– UV differential absorption spectroscopy. • Project – designing sensor network to monitor air quality around Brighton primary schools Research Interest: • Energy distribution network modelling (ABM, supply-demand) • Potential impact of extending SuperGrid to Russia and Africa • Potential application to other networks David Perez Esparza MRes in Public Policy (EGAP-HKSG) MA in Gov - Conflict Resolution (University of Essex) Previous Research: • Drug policy reform • Organised crime and terrorism • Police and judicial reform Research Interest: • Pattern analysis and crime mapping • Anti firearms trafficking policy • Anti money laundering policy • Situational crime prevention Scanning Sensor network design for air quality monitoring (Dina) Sensor network behaviour analysis (Nilufer) Anomaly detection in air quality data (Kira) Scanning Border control: • Supply-demand modelling of imported & exported goods (Dina) • Statistical analysis & control of imported chemicals (David) Digital forensics: • Investigation of the video attack (Nilufer) Findings from the Analysis • Attackers behind the video (Nilufer) • Damaged sensors along the mountains (Nilufer) • Anomalous increase in ammonium nitrate levels in sensor data along the mountains (Kira) • Spike in legal and illegal supply of ammonium nitrate (David & Dina) Conclusion • Attack will most likely take place in the mountains • Explosion will be massive (capable of separating the island) Terrorist group identified: SGL Leader: Chemistry Professor at Fairbourne University Response • Short term: – Increase policing of the mountains – Explosive confiscation – Arrest terrorists involved • Long term: – Dissolve the terrorist network – Improve anti-terrorism intelligence – Implement anti-trafficking policies Who Deciphering Terrorism A Multidisciplinary Approach to Threat Analysis A multidisciplinary approach to threat analysis Dina Subkhankulova, Kira Kowalska, David P. Esparza & Nilufer Tuptuk