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Upgrading Socrates: Innovative Homeland Security Teaching and Technology Integrative Center for Homeland Security Dr. David H. McIntyre HTTP://HomelandSecurity.TAMU.edu 979-862-2432 The Narrative of Homeland Security • New Technology – – • New Enemy – – • Radical Ideology Deadly . . . And Appealing New Approach – – • Apocalyptic Terrorism No Negotiation or Alternative New Vulnerability – • Reversing the Balance -- Offense / Defense Big Weapons to Small People Specialization, Complexity, Expectations, Strategic Challenge A New World . . . . . . A Challenge to Domestic Legitimacy We Could Lose © mcintyre 2006 [email protected] What Would Losing Look Like • Lose race against WMD proliferation. • Lose common cause with friends and allies • Lose struggle for moderate states with common values. • Lose struggle against a wider war. • Lose capability and legitimacy to defend ourselves & our interests. • Lose national power at home. • Lose national coherence at home. • Lose national character at home. • Lose the character of the modern world. The Good News about Homeland Security Education • • • • Real Progress HSDECA Prospects with Technology An Example: TAMU – Integrating a suite of new technologies to promote inquiry and collaboration. – New Availability of Readings – Newsletters, RSS feed, the Power of dedicated sites • The importance to pushing student use – New Availability of Watchings: MediaMatrix • Next: Clips – New Availability of Listenings: • Next: Indexed and aligned with curriculum – New Course Delivery: • • • • • • Promise of course delivery (including lectures) by iTouch Readings delivered by electronic book Student exchange promoted by social software Student collaboration using desktop surveys. Student learning & experimentation by desktop exercises. New Degree - by Niche Result: new learning opportunities for students and faculty alike. What’s missing? Where is every body? • • • • • • • • National Educational Leaders Tenured Faculty Range of Issues / Partners / Solutions COEs Theories / Contribution theories Incentives / Value added Customers: Federal, State, Local, Business Jobs for our students Structured Inquiry as the focus of Education – (what is this all about?) inquiry What’s the problem? – Recognition of the problem – A structured way to think about it • Definitional • Holistic • Inquiry: Upgrading Socrates – A structured way to manage information • Networked Educators each from their educational niche • Using modern technology • Raising our profile / Having an IMPACT – Pressing for Incentives . . . Read Jobs We better get busy: Alternative Narratives Alternative Realities At Work What Would Winning Look Like • New Technology, New Economy • Improved Responder Skills – Initiative, Early Decisions, Structured Thinking • Improved Government Capabilities – ICS, NIMS, NRP, Analysis, Fusion, Policy, Doctrine • • • • • • Much Better Use of Resources Improved Interagency / Interjurisdiction Improved Deterrence / Security Reinvigorated International Community Relegitimized Government Reinvigorated Citizenship and Engagement Upgrading Socrates: Innovative Homeland Security Teaching and Technology Integrative Center for Homeland Security Dr. David H. McIntyre HTTP://HomelandSecurity.TAMU.edu 979-862-2432 Initial DHS COEs back Summary – Theories for National Level Strategies Political • Power • Balance of Power • Collective Security • International Regimes • Hegemonic Stability • Democratic Peace • Power Preponderance Economic • Mercantilism • Colonialism • Liberalism – Free Market – Government Market • Marxism • Third Way? Security • Progress • Social Cohesion • 3d Wave • Long Wave • Disease • Rational Actor • Power • Values • Leaders • Regimes Strategic Concept: © mcintyre 2005 • Traditional: Balancing Ends, Ways and Means . . . Or . . . [email protected] • Holistic: “If X over time against a ThinkingEnemy then Y.” Operationalizing Strategy: Balancing Ways, Means, and Ends.” The Logic of War: Military Concepts -- Attack Center of Gravity - Cause and Effect - Ends & Means -- • Attrition • Annihilation – Overwhelming Force • Disruption/Paralysis • Exhaustion • Symmetric vs. Asymmetric Attack • Sinews of War • Nodal War • War of the Rings – Leadership – Production – Transportation – Population – Forces • • • • • • • • Military Theorists Jomini Clausewitz Mahon Corbet Hart Douhet - Tedder - ACTC Warden Pape Precision War Sequential War Cumulative War Deterrence Punishment Denial Preemption Combat Multipliers – Elements of National Power – Coalition War • Info War: – Attack Perception – Defend Truth © mcintyre 2003 [email protected] Theory in support of Homeland Security Dynamics of Homeland Security Policy System Under Stress – Ch. 7 Dr Donald F. Kettl University of Pennsylvania Dynamics of Homeland Security Policy Chap 7: System Under Stress-- How Policy Change Takes Place Dr Donald Kettl 1) Incrementalism – “The Science of ‘Muddling Through’,” Chales E. Lindblom – Compare to traditional theory of Evolution – Policy change through small steps, which provide a selfadjusting process of correcting little mistakes before they become big ones – Implications not stated: Control thru bureaucratic process 2) Punctuated Equilibrium – Baumgartner and Jones – Compare to new theory of Evolution – Policy is relatively stable most of the time, with change occurring incrementally. However, pressures may build until they erupt explosively in large, fundamental change when big events rock the system. How does the Political System (Government) React to Stress? • Which model better captures the results of a terrorism stress test? – Kettl argues neither – Periodic rapid fundamental change discredits the “incrementalism model” – The ability of some powerful forces to put brakes on some changes discredits the “punctuated equilibrium model” • Alternative: Punctuated Backsliding – A system when faced with a major shock reacts quickly and forcefully, but then tends to settle back to a new equilibrium of bureaucratic pressures over time – Ex. Homeland security system What causes backsliding? 1) Bureaucracy – Instinct for autonomy – Different organizational cultures – Multiple, conflicting missions 2) Federalism – Inattention by federal officials to state-local problems – Difficulties in state-local coordination – Difficulties coordinating among local governments 3) Congress – Multiple, overlapping committee jurisdictions – Instinct to use homeland security funds for pork 4) Nature – Few rewards for preventing attacks – Recurring argument that money is more urgently needed elsewhere – Tendency for complacency over time Recommendations / Implications for establishing “new normalcy” • • • • Pursue enduring values Reduce fear Counter terrorist threat Use theory to leverage change: – – – – Anticipate Devise new strategies for effective governance Use lessons: Execute in policy windows Note: Adapting our historic institutions to new and unforgiving problems is the largest challenge to democracy in the twenty-first century back Most Promising Solution: Education The Challenge of Homeland Security Framework for Inquiry • #1 What is the Context? – Definitions, Interests, Agendas, Sides, Beliefs/Values – What does the end state / victory look like? • #2 What is the Best Strategy? – What concept(s) of cause and effect will achieve this end state against a thinking enemy over time? Bridge 2-3: – How to operationalize your strategic concept -Plans • Balance Ends, Ways, Means • #3 What are the Right Policies? -Budgets -Doctrine – Who Can and Should Do What? – Grounded in, Protecting, and Limited by the Constitution – Guided by • National Culture back • National Systems • Realities of Organization, Jurisdictions, Authorities, and Agencies -- Federal, State, Local, Industry (International) • #4 What are the decisive influences on strategy/policy? – Perceptions, People, Politics, Priorities . . . Reality