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Biology 1410 Problem Set # 1 Evolutionary Genetics Due Thursday 2/14/2013 Note: This is a two-part exercise: the first part will be done as an out-of-class exercise on 2/4/13, and the second part will be due on 2/14/13. Write up in a Word document, and Submit on the Assignments link of the BIOL 141 Canvas web page. You must also HAND IN A HARD COPY in Class Thursday 2/14/13. POPULATION GENETICS SIMULATIONS USING POPULUS Accessing Populus You can download Populus from the Populus Web site http://www.cbs.umn.edu/populus/installer. There are PC and MacOS versions. If you have problems, you can use Populus on the PC Clusters in the CIT or Science Library. Log on to a Cluster PC, locate the Instructional Folder and then All Programs, then Populus. Click on the icon and it should launch. Launch Populus You will select different Models from the menu (e.g., Natural Selection). You will have to 1) Cut and paste some graphs, and 2) answer questions about specific simulations. Background on the model you run is available by clicking on the Help button (a PDF file will open). Additional Options and information buttons are at the top of the screen and provide menus for various display options or file-saving options. Genetic Drift: Monte Carlo A warm-up exercise: The Monte Carol simulation of drift uses a random number generator to mimic the process of random fluctuation of allele frequencies from one generation to the next. Choose Model … Mendelian Genetics … Genetic Drift. The screen opens under the Monte Carlo option. Set Runtime = Other: Generations = 50, Population size (N) = 10, leave Number of Loci at 6, and set frequencies collectively = 0.5. Click View, then on the Output screen, Click Iterate several times. Do several runs to convince yourself that drift acts faster at smaller population sizes. Notice the jaggedness of the lines (frequency trajectories at separate loci) and how common it is for loci to reach fixation (p = 1.0) or loss (p = 0.0). Now quantify this by running 20 simulations at 3 different population sizes and count the number of events among the 6 loci. For each population size, click Iterate 20 times and record each outcome: Population size 20 30 40 # to loss # to Fixation # polymorphic Question 1) Explain how will “selfing” will change these outcomes? Find the Permit Selfing button, and re-run the simulations to see if your predictions are correct. You can read the Help file PDF that downloads with Populus for additional information on drift. (3 points: 1data+2ans.) Biology 1410 Problem Set # 1 Evolutionary Genetics Due Thursday 2/14/2013 Genetic Drift: Markov Model The Markov model determines the next generation’s allele or genotype frequencies by multiplying the current generation by a transition function. For drift, this can be some proportional loss of variability each generation. Choose Model … Mendelian Genetics … Genetic Drift and click on the Markov tab. Press View, and then Iterate on the Output screen. Compare your Output plots to the Buri Experiment in Slide 6 of the 3.1.Drift PowerPoint lecture. Buri bred 107 populations of fruit flies using 16 individuals per generation, starting at p=0.5. After 19 generations of drift, 30 populations went to p=0.0, and 28 went to p = 1.0. Use this Markov model in Populus to estimate the effective population size. This is done by trial and error: Try different population sizes to reconstruct the Buri data of ~ 27% p=0.0, ~ 27% p = 1.0 after 19 generations (we’ll assume that the same number of populations went to fixation and to loss). Population Size is changed by adjusting the values in the screen shown to the right. To keep the allele frequency at 0.5, set the “Number of “A” genes per population” equal to the “Population size” (as diploids, this gives 0=0.5), as shown in the screen shot. Question 2) Document your estimate: Cut and paste a plot from Populus into your write-up that shows a genetic drift result similar to that observed by Buri. Screen shot on a Mac: press [shift-Apple-4] simultaneously, and the mouse arrow becomes a ‘crosshair’. Click and drag over the desired graph. When you release the mouse, a picture is pasted to your desktop (as ‘picture1’ or ‘picture2’…). In Word, select the Insert menu and select Picture…From file. Navigate to the desktop, locate picture1, and insert. It should appear in the Word document. (1 point; sum=4) Question 3) A) Why is the estimate of Effective Population size smaller than 16? B) Identify two different ‘kinds’ of genetic drift that could account for this effect (hint Lecture 3 notes). (4 points: 2 each; sum = 8) PART 2. Populus Simulations of Natural Selection BRING the p’s and q’s of Selection handout (in Lecture Notes folder of Canvas page). Under Model choose "Natural selection", then “Selection on a Diallelic Autosomal locus” You will be presented with a menu for changing various conditions of the simulation. Start with p vs. t (allele frequency vs. time), the Fitness option (input fitnesses rather than selection coefficients), and six-frequency option (simultaneously runs six different simulations with different starting frequencies). Set the fitnesses to the values listed below. Set the number of generations to 300 (you can change this for different strengths of selection to let the simulation approach equilibrium). When you run the simulation (by clicking the View button), a graph will appear. Different graphs can be plotted by clicking the appropriate button (e.g., genotype frequency vs. time (generations); ∆p vs. p; wbar vs. time). Run the simulation for each of the following conditions (two different sets of values for each general condition). Click the buttons to view the different graphs: ∆p vs. gene frequency (p); wbar vs. gene frequency (p) plots. The Help menu describes how to zoom the screen or place a grid on the graphs. Run each of the Biology 1410 Problem Set # 1 Evolutionary Genetics Due Thursday 2/14/2013 conditions below, and understand the graphs of p vs. t and wbar vs. gene frequency so that you can compare the shapes of the plots for each condition. You will have to hand in some of the graphs with descriptions of each conditions (see below). When you have run them all, answer the questions below. NOTE: Populus on the Mac OS may not let you enter 3 different fitness values, so you may have to use a Cluster PC. Condition Run wAA wAa waa Selection against a recessive genotype 1A 1B 0.9 0.5 1 1 1 1 Selection with codominance 2A 2B 0.9 0.6 0.95 0.8 1 1 Selection with overdominance 3A 3B 0.9 0.4 1 1 0.8 0.6 Do This: Cut and paste the graphs for p vs. t and for wbar vs. gene frequency for runs 1A and 1B, 3A and 3B above. Provide a one-sentence description of the difference between each pair of graphs 1A-B, 2A-B, 3A-B, 4A-B, but you only need to show graphs 1A, 1B, 3A, 3B in the writeup. Note for PC users, in the Graph window, click on the File icon and a picture is copied to the clipboard for pasting. Resize these graphs to reduce paper waste. Question 4) Why do the runs 1B, 2B, 3B, 4B take fewer generations to reach equilibrium than runs 1A, 2A, 3A, 4A? (1 points: sum=9) Using your graphs of the Wbar vs. gene frequency (p) plots for each run (‘Adaptive Topography’ plots), explain the following facts: Question 5) For runs 1A, 1B why does the graph reach a maximum at one extreme allele frequency, while in graph 3A, 3B, the maximum is between 0 and 1? Answer this for #1 Runs vs. the #3 runs. (2 points, sum=11) Question 6) Why is the adaptive topography line curved in case of dominance / recessive, but linear in case of co-dominance? (4 points, 2 each explanation; sum = 15). Part 3. Interaction of Drift and Selection Choose Model … Mendelian Genetics … Drift and Selection. You will do four separate simulations, two each under two different modes of selection: Set Population Size = 10; Initial frequency = .5; Generations = 200. Set the genotypic fitnesses as: Co dominance (2 simulations) Over dominance (2 simulations) Genotype Simulation #1 #2 #3 #4 wAA 1.00 1.0 0.98 0.4 wAa 0.99 0.8 1.00 1.0 waa 0.98 0.6 0.96 0.3 Biology 1410 Problem Set # 1 Evolutionary Genetics Due Thursday 2/14/2013 For each simulation, press View 10 times (10 different runs) and for each run record 1) the number losses (line hits the x-axis [same as fixation of "a" allele]), 2) the number of fixations (line hits the top of screen [same as fixation of the "A" allele]). Record your results in the table below, and determine the mean number of generations to fixation or loss under each simulation. OK, it sounds boring, but remember: repetition is the mother of learning. (For the write-up, you can cut and paste table into a new Word document; this problem set can be obtained on the course web page). Simulation #1 Loss Fixed Mean = Simulation #2 Simulation #3 Simulation #4 Gener. Loss Fixed Gener. Loss Fixed Gener. Loss Fixed Gener. Mean = Mean = Mean = Question 7) Does the “A” allele always get fixed?; WHY? (1 point, sum = 16) Question 8) Does heterozygote advantage (overdominance) guarantee that both alleles will be maintained in the population? WHY? (1 point, sum=17) Question 9) Population genetics theory tells us that evolution is “neutral” when the product of (effective population size) x ( selection coefficient) </= 1.0. Explain based on the results from runs 1-4 above, and with reference to Gillespie, page 94. (3 points, sum=20).