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Review for TEST 3 STA 3145 (Ch. 9, 11, 13) Make sure to identify all elements of Test of Hypothesis and Confidence Interval, such as : Point estimator, Sampling Error, Test statistic, Critical value, P-value, Rejection Region, Level of significance, Error type I and II, Null and Alternate hypotheses. Good luck! 1. A salesman for a shoe company claimed that runners would record quicker times, on the average, with the company's brand of sneaker. A track coach decided to test the claim. The coach selected eight runners. Each runner ran two 100-yard dashes on different days. In one 100-yard dash, the runners wore the sneakers supplied by the school; in the other, they wore the sneakers supplied by the salesman. Each runner was randomly assigned the sneakers to wear for the first run. Their times, measured in seconds, were as follows: Sneakers 1 Company 10.8 School 11.4 2 12.3 12.5 3 10.7 10.8 4 12.0 11.7 5 10.6 10.9 6 11.5 11.8 7 12.1 12.2 8 11.2 11.7 Note. For the differences, X D = -.225 and s D = .276. Assume the population of differences is approximately normal. 2. A new insect spray, type A, is to be compared with a spray, type B, that is currently in use. Two rooms of equal size are sprayed with the same amount of spray, one room with A, the other with B. Two hundred insects are released into each room, and after 1 hour the numbers of dead insects are counted." There are 120 dead insects in the room sprayed with A and 90 in the room sprayed with B. Do the data provide enough evidence to indicate that spray A is more effective than spray B? Use α = .05. 3. To compare two methods of teaching reading, randomly selected groups of elementary school children were assigned to each of the two methods for a 6-month period. The criterion for measuring achievement was a reading comprehension test." The 11 students assigned to method I had a mean score of 64 with a variance of 52. The 14 students assigned to method II had a mean score of 69 with a variance of 71. Do the data provide enough evidence to indicate a difference in the mean scores on the comprehension test for the two teaching methods? Use α = .01. 4. A study at the University of Michigan wants to determine student options regarding non-revenuegenerating athletics. Specifically, one question in a survey asks students "Do you think the women's basketball program should be discontinued?" The data collected revealed that 100 of the 1,000 females surveyed responded "Yes" and that 400 of the 1,000 males surveyed responded "Yes". Suppose a 99% confidence interval resulted in the following confidence interval for the true difference in population proportions: (-.5, -.1). Interpret the interval. 5. How does wives' employment status affect their husbands' well being? To answer this question, a survey of the job satisfaction of 25 male accountants who were employed full-time and married was conducted. In this sample, 15 wives were employed and 10 were unemployed. The goal of the study is to compare the mean job satisfaction levels of the two groups of husbands: (1) those with working wives and (2) those with unemployed wives. The observed significance level (p-value) of the test is .03. Is this sufficient evidence to conclude that the mean satisfaction level of husbands with working wives is less than the mean satisfaction level of husbands with unemployed wives? Test using =.05. I. Operations managers often use work sampling to estimate how much time workers spend on each operation. Work sampling, which involves observing workers at random points in time, was applied to the staff of the catalog sales department of a clothing manufacturer. The department applied regression to the following data collected for 40 consecutive working days: TIME: y = Time spent (in hours) taking telephone orders during the day ORDERS: x = Number of telephone orders received during the day Initially, the simple linear model E(y) = β0 + β1x was fit to the data. PREDICTOR VARIABLES --------CONSTANT ORDERS R2 = 0.7229 COEFFICIENT ----------10.1639 0.05836 STD ERROR --------1.77844 0.00586 STUDENT'S T ----------5.72 9.96 P -----0.0000 0.0000 S = 3.40844 1. Conduct a test of hypothesis to determine if time spent (in hours) taking telephone orders during the day and the number of telephone orders received during the day are positively linearly related. 2. Give a practical interpretation of the correlation coefficient for the above output. 3. Give a practical interpretation of the coefficient of determination, R2. 4. Give a practical interpretation of the estimated slope of the least squares line. 5. Find a 90% confidence interval for β1. Give a practical interpretation. 6. Give a practical interpretation of the model standard deviation, s. 7. Give a practical interpretation of the estimate of the y-intercept of the least squares line. 8. Based on the value of the test statistic given in the problem, make the proper conclusion. II. Example 13.2 on page 747 Suppose an educational TV station has broadcast a series of programs on the physiological and psychological effects of smoking marijuana. Before the series was shown, it was determined that 7% of the citizens favored legalization, 18% favored decriminalization, 65% favored the existing law, and 10% had no opinion. Test at the level to see whether these data indicate that the distribution of opinions differs significantly from the proportions that existed before the educational series was aired. Ho: Ha: _______________ D.F. = _____ α = .05 RR: _________________ ___________________ Test Statistic: _____________, Decision: ___________________________________________ E(n1) = ________, E(n2) = ________, E(n3) = ________, E(n4) = ________. prob observed 0.07 0.18 0.65 0.10 39 99 336 26 chi-sq expected O - E 4 9 11 -24 = __________ O-E sq 16 81 121 576 terms 0.4571 0.9000 0.3723 11.5200 p-value = 0.00412732 III. The following table displays the educational level and social activity of employees from a certain company. A researcher wants to determine whether association exists between an educational level and social activity of employees. At the 0.01 level of significance conduct the appropriate test. IV. A multinomial experiment with possible outcomes A, B, C, and D, and n = 400 observations produced the results shown below. H0 : PA = 0.3, PB = 0.25, PC = 0.25, PD = 0.2. Class Observed A 126 B 104 C 96 D 74 V. The Example on page 754 The researchers investigated the relationship between the gender of a viewer and the viewers brand awareness. 300 TV viewers were asked to identify products advertised by male celebrity spokespersons. Ho: _________________________ α = .01 D.F. = _______ Ha: ____________________________ RR: ______________ χ2 = ____________________________ , E(n21) = ________, E(n12) = ________. Decision: ___________________________________________ male female Total Yes 95 41 136 No 55 109 164 150 150 300 Total ChiSq = 10.721 + 10.721 + 8.890 + 8.890 = 39.222 VI. Cocoon Problem Researchers investigated the relationship between the mean daily air temperature and the cocoon temperature of wooly-bear caterpillars of the High arctic. The regression equation is Cocoon = 3.37 + 1.20 Air Predictor Constant Air s = 0.8558 Coef Stdev t p 3.3747 1.20086 0.4708 0.09375 7.17 12.81 0.000 0.000 R-sq = 94.3% Obs. Air 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.5 9.2 10.4 Cocoon 3.600 5.300 6.800 6.800 7.000 7.100 8.700 8.000 9.500 9.600 14.600 15.100 Fit St.Dev.Fit 5.416 5.776 6.017 6.497 6.977 7.578 7.818 8.298 8.658 8.779 14.423 15.864 Residual 0.345 0.326 0.314 0.293 0.274 0.258 0.253 0.248 0.247 0.248 0.524 0.625 -1.816 -0.476 0.98 0.38 0.03 -0.478 1.08 -0.298 1.03 1.00 0.26 -0.764 1) According to MINITAB, the least squares equation is _____________ . 2) When the air temperature was 4.4oC the cocoon temperature was ______, and the estimated cocoon temperature is ___________. 3) Since t = ____________ with p-value ____________, there _________ enough evidence at the 5% level to indicate that the to of the related to the air temperature, for air to _________ cocoon is linearly 4) The estimated slope of the regression line is ___________. 5) The correlation coefficient for this data is r = ______. ; r2 = ____________. 6) Hence, we can conclude that ___________% of the variability in the cocoon temperatures is explained by the estimated least squares line relating cocoon temperature to air temperature. 7) Suppose we put a single woolly-bear caterpillar cocoon in a controlled environment with the air temperature set at 7oC. Predict the cocoon temperature. VII. Real-estate investors, home buyers, and homeowners often use the appraised value of property as a basis for predicting the sale of that property. Data on sale prices (y) and total appraised value (x) of 78 residential properties sold in 2006 in an upscale Tampa, Florida, neighborhood are collected. The simple linear model: E ( x) 0 1x , was fit to the data. Regression Analysis: SALEPRICE versus APPVALUE The regression equation is SALEPRICE = 184 + 1.20 APPVALUE Predictor Constant APPVALUE S = 44859.7 Coef 184 1.19956 SE Coef 9834 0.02234 R-Sq = 97.4% T 0.02 53.70 P 0.985 0.000 R-Sq(adj) = 97.4% I. Give the correlation coefficient for the above output. Describe the nature of the relationship (if any) that exist between the sale price for residential properties in this neighborhood and the appraised property value. r Interpretation: II. Approximately what percentage of the sample variation in the sale price can be explained by the linear model? ________% III. Complete the sentence: “We expect approximately 95% of the observed sale prices to lie within _____________ points of their __________________ values. IV. Find and interpret the 95% confidence interval for 1 . 95% CI for 1 Interpretation: V. Predict the estimated average sale price for residential properties in this neighborhood that have an appraised property value of $400,000.