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ENLARGEMENT: THE NEW FACE OF THE EU Economic Growth and the Euro What is the Euro? The Maastricht Treaty gave green light to Economic and Monetary Union (EMU), a process intended to slowly harmonise the economic and monetary policies of the EU Member States with the view of creating a common space of economic growth and stability. In brief, the introduction of the Euro is intended to be part of a process to: Enable the completion of the single market and the desire to facilitate trade between the EU countries by eliminating uncertainties about exchange rates and cutting out currency exchange costs. To reach increased integration between the economies of the EU countries, fostering a better economic environment leading to a strong growth rate and a higher level of employment. The introduction of the Euro goes along with other important developments: - The creation of the European Central Bank, which manages European Monetary policy on behalf of the participating Member States A tight economic discipline was imposed on Member States, which are expected to pursue sound macroeconomic management of their internal affairs. Even if it was not visible until later, the Euro was born on New Year’s Day 1999. On that day 11 of the 15 EU Member States locked their currencies irrevocably to the Euro. Three years later, during the first months of the year 2002, they eventually substituted their existing currencies for the Euro. Greece joined the Euro by January 1st 2001, and also took part in the introduction of notes and coins in January 2002. Which countries participate in the Euro? There are twelve Member States of the European Union that have adopted the single currency creating the so called Euroland: Belgium, Germany, Greece, Spain, France, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, The Netherlands, Austria, Portugal and Finland. Which are the conditions to become a Member of the Euro Area? The Maastricht Treaty established both a timetable and a set of conditions that all those Member States wanting to adopt the Euro should fulfil. Those conditions are represented by a series of economic indicators, including inflation, public deficit, etc. The reason for this is that the achievement of these conditions ensures not only stable economic conditions but also a degree of convergence between participating Member States thus enabling EMU to function properly. These conditions are broadly known as the convergence criteria and involve the following measures: - The annual government deficit must not exceed 3% of GDP - Total outstanding government debt must not exceed 60% of GDP. Rate of inflation cannot exceed 1.5% of the three best performing EU countries. Average nominal long term interest rate cannot be more than 2% of the average rate in the three countries with the lowest inflation rates. Exchange rate stability, meaning that for at least 2 years the country concerned has kept within the 'normal' fluctuation margins of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) Before the Euro eventually replaces the national currency there is a transition period. During this, Member States will still use their national currencies, which will have been linked to the euro according to their fixed conversion rate. Euro and enlargement Even if the new Member States are going to become part of EMU as soon as they join, they will not adopt the euro at the same time. Instead, the accession countries must continue the process of structural, administrative and economic reform in order to have solid market structures that allow the adoption of the price and fiscal stability objectives of EMU. Only this will allow them to fulfil the convergence criteria on a permanent basis. When will the new members adopt the euro? The new Member States have drawn up Pre-Accession Economic Programmes. These programmes have enabled the European Commission to ensure that their economic policies are compatible with EMU membership. All the countries interested in eventually adopting the euro must first meet the five convergence criteria, which are prerequisites for becoming part of the euro area. On the top of that, because of the way the criteria on exchange rate stability is worded, new Member States cannot adopt the euro until 2006 at the earliest. However, there is no fixed timetable, and they may choose to wait for a while longer if they think their economies are not yet ready. The adoption of the common currency by a country, following accession, will only occur if the following conditions take place. This involves three stages: - The current, pre-accession stage, during which the applicant country must demonstrate clear and irreversible progress towards a functioning market economy. - An intermediary phase between accession and the adoption of the euro, in which the new Member State participates fully in the Single Market and demonstrates progress towards achieving the conditions necessary to adopt the euro. - Participation in the euro area provided the new member fulfils all the criteria that apply to current members for the adoption of the single currency (the convergence criteria described above) It should be stressed that, so far, several accession countries have made good progress towards these goals, at the same time strengthening their economic reforms. The EU is also ensuring that the "sequencing" towards economic and monetary integration is right, by encouraging and monitoring progress towards the fulfilment of the so called Copenhagen economic criteria1. One of the conditions of these criteria requires candidate countries to be functioning market economies, able to cope with competitive pressures and market forces within the EU by the time of accession. How does the Euro affect SMEs? The euro brings about more choice and business opportunities for SMEs through the following circumstances: - Exchange rate risk disappears in most of the European Union’s largest markets. In the past, smaller companies have not had the same access as larger companies to financial instruments to hedge against currency movements. - Competition increases in the banking industry and, therefore, lowers interest rates. These new conditions should enable SMEs to finance their operations at a much more favourable cost than before. - Treating the euro area as one domestic market. SMEs will have the possibility of selling their products and services across a far wider area (economies of scale) to more potential customers. In the process, SMEs will be encouraged to incorporate innovation and new technical solutions into their business strategies, to the benefit of the entire European economy. - Lastly and most importantly, transparency becomes a crucial issue. Facilitating cross border transactions, making travelling easier, or being able to compare prices in different markets that use the same currency contribute to enhance the business environment and support the development of the internal market. For more information: - European Commission: http://www.europa.eu.int/comm/enlargement/index.htm European Parliament: http://www.europarl.eu.int/enlargement/default_en.htm Economic and Social Committee: http://www.ces.eu.int/sections/enlargement/index_en.htm Euro in motion – practical guide. Eurocommerce. 2001 FLASH EUROBAROMETRE 105 “SMEs and the euro” – July and August 2001European Commission EURO PAPERS 41: Communication from the Commission on practical aspects of the euro. State of play and tasks ahead. European Commission Eastward enlargement of the Eurozone - Office of the European Integration Committee and National Bank of Poland. Warsaw 2003 One Currency for all the Europes? Relative Advantage and Political Economy Problems of EMU Enlargement - Rainer Schweickert, Kiel Institute of World Economics Ezoneplus: www.ezoneplus.org – website specialized in the enlargement of the eurozone 1 The existence of a functioning market economy as well as the capacity to cope with competitive pressure and market forces within the Union; Copenhagen European Council.