Physical Climate Processes and Feedbacks
... system to changes in forcing. In many cases there is a fairly direct and linear response and many of the simulated changes fall into that class (Chapter 9). These concern the large-scale general circulations of the atmosphere and ocean, and they are in principle represented in current comprehensive ...
... system to changes in forcing. In many cases there is a fairly direct and linear response and many of the simulated changes fall into that class (Chapter 9). These concern the large-scale general circulations of the atmosphere and ocean, and they are in principle represented in current comprehensive ...
on the front line of climate change and displacement
... initiative of the Brookings-LSE Project on Internal Displacement, the Regional Office for the Pacific of the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) and the Sub-Regional Office for the Pacific of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). The workshop brought to ...
... initiative of the Brookings-LSE Project on Internal Displacement, the Regional Office for the Pacific of the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) and the Sub-Regional Office for the Pacific of the Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). The workshop brought to ...
Methane, the Clathrate-gun conjecture and a disturbed
... I asked about later updates and raised questions about the age of current methane gas hydrate deposits and the part they had played, or had not played in altering atmospheric methane concentrations, or indeed climate, during the Pleistocene. Glacial conditions increasingly predominated during the la ...
... I asked about later updates and raised questions about the age of current methane gas hydrate deposits and the part they had played, or had not played in altering atmospheric methane concentrations, or indeed climate, during the Pleistocene. Glacial conditions increasingly predominated during the la ...
Entering Uncharted Waters
... humanitarian system. The strongest El Niño in recent times occurred in 1997–1998. This brought record global temperatures and droughts, floods and massive forest fires. It caused 2000 deaths and at least $33bn in property damage. Scientists say that this year’s event is likely to be at least on a pa ...
... humanitarian system. The strongest El Niño in recent times occurred in 1997–1998. This brought record global temperatures and droughts, floods and massive forest fires. It caused 2000 deaths and at least $33bn in property damage. Scientists say that this year’s event is likely to be at least on a pa ...
Articles Climate Change Vulnerability and Policy Support
... University, B-258 Clark Building, Fort Collins, CO 80523-1784, USA. E-mail: szahran@ bushschool.tamu.edu ...
... University, B-258 Clark Building, Fort Collins, CO 80523-1784, USA. E-mail: szahran@ bushschool.tamu.edu ...
LOUISIANA AND THE SURGING SEA
... Low-end sea level projections lead to a greater than even chance of record-breaking floods exceeding 6 feet above the high tide line by 2040 at Grand Isle, Louisiana, on the sinking Mississippi Delta; ranging to 2070 at Sabine Pass North, just across the border in Texas. Statewide in Louisiana, more ...
... Low-end sea level projections lead to a greater than even chance of record-breaking floods exceeding 6 feet above the high tide line by 2040 at Grand Isle, Louisiana, on the sinking Mississippi Delta; ranging to 2070 at Sabine Pass North, just across the border in Texas. Statewide in Louisiana, more ...
Climate response to imposed solar radiation reductions in
... These results suggest that it might be possible to moderate global climate change, especially some of the substantial impacts in the Arctic that have the potential to impact the global climate (e.g., amplified warming, sea ice retreat, glacier and ice sheet melting, permafrost thawing), without indu ...
... These results suggest that it might be possible to moderate global climate change, especially some of the substantial impacts in the Arctic that have the potential to impact the global climate (e.g., amplified warming, sea ice retreat, glacier and ice sheet melting, permafrost thawing), without indu ...
Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the US Urban Northeast
... following counties were included in the city-specific mortality data: Suffolk County, MA for Boston, New York County, NY, Kings County, NY, Queens County, NY, Bronx, NY and Richmond County, NY for New York City and Pennsylvania County, PA for Philadelphia. Daily mean temperature data for the same pe ...
... following counties were included in the city-specific mortality data: Suffolk County, MA for Boston, New York County, NY, Kings County, NY, Queens County, NY, Bronx, NY and Richmond County, NY for New York City and Pennsylvania County, PA for Philadelphia. Daily mean temperature data for the same pe ...
Full-Text PDF
... following counties were included in the city-specific mortality data: Suffolk County, MA for Boston, New York County, NY, Kings County, NY, Queens County, NY, Bronx, NY and Richmond County, NY for New York City and Pennsylvania County, PA for Philadelphia. Daily mean temperature data for the same pe ...
... following counties were included in the city-specific mortality data: Suffolk County, MA for Boston, New York County, NY, Kings County, NY, Queens County, NY, Bronx, NY and Richmond County, NY for New York City and Pennsylvania County, PA for Philadelphia. Daily mean temperature data for the same pe ...
Feeling the Heat - Development and Peace
... Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing our world today. The people who are doing least to cause it are suffering the most. Those with the power to address it, including our leaders here in Canada, have so far failed us. Canadians have one of the highest carbon footprints in the worl ...
... Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing our world today. The people who are doing least to cause it are suffering the most. Those with the power to address it, including our leaders here in Canada, have so far failed us. Canadians have one of the highest carbon footprints in the worl ...
Get Real on Climate: Climate change lesson
... 1. Organize the class into “expert groups” of (preferably three to four) students per topic: • Team 1: Climate Change Basics • Team 2: Effects of Climate Change • Team 3: Taking Action on Climate Change (Industry/National/International level) • Team 4: Taking Action on Climate Change (Personal/Commu ...
... 1. Organize the class into “expert groups” of (preferably three to four) students per topic: • Team 1: Climate Change Basics • Team 2: Effects of Climate Change • Team 3: Taking Action on Climate Change (Industry/National/International level) • Team 4: Taking Action on Climate Change (Personal/Commu ...
Climate Change in Prince George - Canadian Institute of Planners
... climate variability, such as the El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), on climate and hydrology are presented. During the ENSO warm phase (El Niño) winters are 1.5°C to 2.0°C warmer on average with 5% to 15% less precipitation than usual; during its cool ph ...
... climate variability, such as the El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), on climate and hydrology are presented. During the ENSO warm phase (El Niño) winters are 1.5°C to 2.0°C warmer on average with 5% to 15% less precipitation than usual; during its cool ph ...
An ensemble analysis to predict future habitats of striped marlin
... using generalized additive models fitted to data from longline fisheries. Future distributions were predicted using an ensemble analysis, which represents the uncertainty due to several global climate models and greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The increase in water temperature driven by climate cha ...
... using generalized additive models fitted to data from longline fisheries. Future distributions were predicted using an ensemble analysis, which represents the uncertainty due to several global climate models and greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The increase in water temperature driven by climate cha ...
Impact of the Kyoto Protocol on Stabilization of Carbon
... asymptotically from above. Some analysis suggest that there could be substantial changes in the carbon cycle in the latter half of the century leading to a slowed removal of CO2 from the atmosphere (e.g. Cox et al. 2000). Overshoot scenarios would rely on the fast removal of CO2 in the latter half o ...
... asymptotically from above. Some analysis suggest that there could be substantial changes in the carbon cycle in the latter half of the century leading to a slowed removal of CO2 from the atmosphere (e.g. Cox et al. 2000). Overshoot scenarios would rely on the fast removal of CO2 in the latter half o ...
joint submission - The Internal Displacement Monitoring Centre
... its effects.10, 11 While severe weather events affect rich and poor countries alike, poor and vulnerable communities are worst affected. Since 2008, close to 175 million people who live in developing countries have been displaced by disasters, accounting for 95 per cent of ...
... its effects.10, 11 While severe weather events affect rich and poor countries alike, poor and vulnerable communities are worst affected. Since 2008, close to 175 million people who live in developing countries have been displaced by disasters, accounting for 95 per cent of ...
PDF
... power of discounting. 5 However, a high discount rate also dampens the uncertainty of future development and climate; and it may be that authors who advocate lower discount rates would also be more alarmed about climate change. Figure 1 also shows the difference between all studies and the studies t ...
... power of discounting. 5 However, a high discount rate also dampens the uncertainty of future development and climate; and it may be that authors who advocate lower discount rates would also be more alarmed about climate change. Figure 1 also shows the difference between all studies and the studies t ...
Document
... experiment’s statistical power was weak, and many climate models have poor performance at simulating ENSO, this result suggests any effect may be relatively small as compared to background variability [Gabriel and Robock, 2015]. Like modes of variability, synoptic weather patterns, such as so-called ...
... experiment’s statistical power was weak, and many climate models have poor performance at simulating ENSO, this result suggests any effect may be relatively small as compared to background variability [Gabriel and Robock, 2015]. Like modes of variability, synoptic weather patterns, such as so-called ...
4.3 Approach to CLIMATE CHANGE Scenario Development
... Although it is likely that temperatures will rise in most regions of the world,2 changes at the regional scale in many other key variables, such as precipitation, are uncertain for most regions. Even if the direction of change is likely, there can be uncertainty about the magnitude and path of chang ...
... Although it is likely that temperatures will rise in most regions of the world,2 changes at the regional scale in many other key variables, such as precipitation, are uncertain for most regions. Even if the direction of change is likely, there can be uncertainty about the magnitude and path of chang ...
Global warming hiatus
A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.