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4.3 Approach to CLIMATE CHANGE Scenario Development
4.3 Approach to CLIMATE CHANGE Scenario Development

... Although it is likely that temperatures will rise in most regions of the world,2 changes at the regional scale in many other key variables, such as precipitation, are uncertain for most regions. Even if the direction of change is likely, there can be uncertainty about the magnitude and path of chang ...
Climate change and energy security – global challenges and
Climate change and energy security – global challenges and

... • Dr Swenja Surminski of the Grantham Research Institute discusses the potential impact of extreme weather events on developing countries and the role of insurance in reducing risks and spreading awareness of climate change. • Professor Lord Julian Hunt of University College London (UCL) and Dr ...
S e c u r i t y A n...
S e c u r i t y A n...

How Does a Regional Climate Model Modify the Projected Climate
How Does a Regional Climate Model Modify the Projected Climate

... signals over different domains for Africa, Europe, South America and West Asia for regions that are based on climate types as defined by Köppen-Trewartha [23]. This allows for climate type specific analysis of simulated annual mean temperature and precipitation values across multiple model domains ...
Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear
Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear

... performed in order to quantify the trends and variance surrounding possible impacts of climate change on polar bear populations. 2. Polar bears have become an iconic species in the communication of climate change. Negative impacts of climatic warming on polar bears have been suggested, but cannot be ...
Maryland Commission on Climate Change
Maryland Commission on Climate Change

... However, in 2014, taking notice of new reports on the consequences of climate change in Maryland, a second Executive Order was issued to strengthen the MCCC. The new order expanded the membership of the commission to include nongovernmental members, consisting of representatives from local governmen ...
- Wiley Online Library
- Wiley Online Library

... most recent release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Reports. Our search terms ...
Document
Document

... Conservation of mass & energy critical Want to know the PDF of all possible states Don’t really care where we are on the PDF Really want to know tails (extreme events) ...
ADDENDUM: Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States AD
ADDENDUM: Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States AD

THE COST OF DELAYING ACTION TO STEM CLIMATE CHANGE
THE COST OF DELAYING ACTION TO STEM CLIMATE CHANGE

... such as fire, theft, or other loss. This logic of self-protection also applies to climate change. Much is known about the basic science of climate change: there is a scientific consensus that, because of anthropogenic emissions of CO2 and other GHGs, global temperatures are increasing, sea levels ar ...
- Wiley Online Library
- Wiley Online Library

... Most studies are conducted at the national level with survey questions focused on individual-level perceptions of the cause, occurrence, and impacts of climate change. While these studies have added greatly to our understanding of public attitudes toward climate change in the United States, they typ ...
Potentials for Adaptation to Climate Change in Human
Potentials for Adaptation to Climate Change in Human

... changes over this period as on temperature and other climate changes. Other U.S. studies include Seattle (Hoo and Sumitani, 2005) and Los Angeles (Koteen et al, 2001) (Table 1). Internationally, studies have included several major metropolitan areas, such as London (London Climate Change Partnership ...
Maske für Factsheet (Vor- und Rückseite), Stand Mai 2006
Maske für Factsheet (Vor- und Rückseite), Stand Mai 2006

... extension of areas suitable (if higher areas have been too cold) or an reduction of agricultural land for coffee growing if the area has high annual mean temperatures already. Some regions could experience temperature stress at certain growing periods - necessitating shifting of planting dates to mi ...
- Human Organization, Practicing Anthropology
- Human Organization, Practicing Anthropology

WHAT IS WRONG WITH STERN? Peter Lilley MP The Global Warming Policy Foundation
WHAT IS WRONG WITH STERN? Peter Lilley MP The Global Warming Policy Foundation

... costs of cutting emissions have begun to hit households and companies. Global warming seems to have paused in recent years. The ‘Climategate’ emails and IPCC scandals dented public confidence in scientists’ predictions that warming will resume. Political parties committed to costly climate policies ...
Climate Change and Invasive Alien Species
Climate Change and Invasive Alien Species

... Already there is evidence indicating climate change impacts on physical and biological systems across the globe. Examples include glacial retreat/shrinkage, permafrost thawing, lengthening of growing seasons, particularly at mid to high latitudes, poleward and altitudinal shifts in organisms’ distri ...
outreach materials for climate day partners
outreach materials for climate day partners

... Climate change is the greatest threat our planet has ever faced but it’s also the greatest opportunity we’ve ever had to make positive change through innovation and leadership. The natural products industry has a proud history of successfully leading the way on issues like animal welfare, organic ag ...
18_Lecture_Presentation_PC
18_Lecture_Presentation_PC

...  Documented observed trends in surface temperature, precipitation patterns, snow and ice cover, sea levels, storm intensity, etc.  Predicted impacts of current and future climate change on wildlife, ecosystems, and human societies  Discussed strategies to pursue in response to climate change ...
The Climate Deception Dossiers - Union of Concerned Scientists
The Climate Deception Dossiers - Union of Concerned Scientists

... the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the U.S. Congress introduced the National Energy Policy Act of 1988 in an effort to reduce emissions of heat-trapping gases. By that year, the well-established science of global warming was making front-page headlines; the issue had moved from ...
Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past

Report on climate change and migration scenario
Report on climate change and migration scenario

... This estimate puts climate change displacements second in rank after development project displacements (e.g. the 1.2 million official displaced migrants caused by the Three Gorges Project that dams China’s Yangtze River/Chang Jiang). A figure of 250 million is proposed or about 5.5 million per year ...
NorthSouth asymmetry in the modeled phytoplankton community
NorthSouth asymmetry in the modeled phytoplankton community

... Hemisphere (SH) compared to the Northern Hemisphere (NH) [Meehl et al., 2007]. In climate modeling studies, this has been largely attributed to more ocean coverage and hence larger heat capacity and thermal inertia in the SH compared to the NH [e.g., Bryan et al., 1988; Manabe et al., 1991; Flato an ...
a new report
a new report

... effects we can control and adapting to those we cannot. The U.S. should become a more constructive partner with the international community to help build and execute a plan to prevent destabilizing effects from climate change, including setting targets for long term reductions in greenhouse gas emissi ...
National Security and the Threat of Climate Change
National Security and the Threat of Climate Change

... effects we can control and adapting to those we cannot. The U.S. should become a more constructive partner with the international community to help build and execute a plan to prevent destabilizing effects from climate change, including setting targets for long term reductions in greenhouse gas emissi ...
Paper - Department of Economics
Paper - Department of Economics

... Climate policy target variables including emissions and concentrations of greenhouse gases, as well as global mean temperatures are non-stationary time series invalidating the use of standard statistical inference procedures (Pretis & Hendry 2013, Kaufmann et al. 2013, Kaufmann & Stern 2002, D. I. S ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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