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NG-ACCESS
NG-ACCESS

... The Roadmap describes nine impact areas and three associated infrastructure requirements. Enabling a "seamless approach" to decision making is an underlying paradigm. The scope of the activities is significant, encompassing more impact areas and science domains than originally envisaged under ACCESS ...
the results of the scientific congress
the results of the scientific congress

... Climatic Trends Recent observations show that greenhouse gas emissions and many aspects of the climate are changing near the upper boundary of the IPCC range of projections. Many key climate indicators are already moving beyond the patterns of natural variability within which contemporary society an ...
Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the
Large-scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the

... States (excluding Alaska and Hawaii), Chile and China. Many highly impacted regions, particularly those in the tropics, are socioeconomically vulnerable to these changes. Thus, our results indicate the need to develop adaptation policy that could minimize climate change impacts through fisheries. Th ...
On the interpretation of inter-model spread in CMIP5 climate
On the interpretation of inter-model spread in CMIP5 climate

... The CO2 radiative forcing has been commonly taken as the radiative flux change at the top of the atmosphere ...
Asymmetric Trends of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature
Asymmetric Trends of Daily Maximum and Minimum Temperature

... cal databases on a country-by-country basis (Karl et Daily maximum and minimum temperatures from al. 1991) or try to work with the hourly GTS synoptic observations. The former is a painstakingly slow pro- more than 2000 stations were available for analysis in cess, and the latter has been limited by ...
Impact analysis of climate change for an Alpine catchment using
Impact analysis of climate change for an Alpine catchment using

... balances. While global climate models are designed to describe climate change on global or continental scales, their resolution is too coarse for them to be suitable for describing regional climate change. Therefore, regional climate models are applied to downscale the coarse meteorological fields t ...
The Impact of Climate Change on Air Quality
The Impact of Climate Change on Air Quality

... were compared to meteorological observations, providing a quantitative evaluation of the model performance. The years from 2000 to 2006 and 2047 to 2053 were chosen to represent the current and future climatology, respectively. An interval of approximately 50 years was taken because PCM has been kno ...
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic

... CO2, documented a temperature amplification at the North Pole of 1.5°-4.5°C times the global mean change in temperature at time of CO2 doubling (Holland & Bitz 2003). Further, the extent of Arctic amplification was mostly uncorrelated with the range of the global temperature responses: large amplifi ...
ocean literacy - Friends of Shoreham Beach
ocean literacy - Friends of Shoreham Beach

... Important stages for the UK. In 2013 the Galway Statement on Atlantic Ocean Cooperation was signed on 24 May by the EU, the United States and Canada. The statement sought to stimulate a much closer cooperation between the EU, the US and Canada on transatlantic marine, maritime and Arctic research. O ...
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic
Evidence and Implications of Dangerous Climate Change in the Arctic

... CO2, documented a temperature amplification at the North Pole of 1.5°-4.5°C times the global mean change in temperature at time of CO2 doubling (Holland & Bitz 2003). Further, the extent of Arctic amplification was mostly uncorrelated with the range of the global temperature responses: large amplifi ...
Climate Change in Afghanistan Deduced from Reanalysis and
Climate Change in Afghanistan Deduced from Reanalysis and

... the general influence of climate change and human impact on water resources in the Amu Darya basin, including the Aral Sea as part of this basin [22–24]. Other studies focus on hazards, mainly floods [25,26] and landslides [27], but without a climate change perspective. Beside these studies, some gr ...
chapter conduct a cl mate change vulnerab l ty assessment
chapter conduct a cl mate change vulnerab l ty assessment

... The following chapters recommend how to reach CRC Milestone Two, “Conduct a Climate Resiliency Study.” ...
Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and
Climate Change Effects on Vegetation Distribution and

... and others 2000) is one example of the new dynamic global vegetation models (DGVM) that can now illustrate year-to-year variability in the C budget due to climatic variations such as drought and disturbances such as fire under more realistic climate change scenarios that include the influence of dyn ...
The Effect of Climate Change on the Variability of the Northern
The Effect of Climate Change on the Variability of the Northern

View/Open - University College Cork
View/Open - University College Cork

... certain observations are under continuous threat of termination and no mechanism currently exists to assure their funding support over time scales relevant for climate studies. Complete and regular detailed analysis should be carried out and reported on all ECV observations, including satellite data ...
Waning habitats due to climate change: effects of streamflow and
Waning habitats due to climate change: effects of streamflow and

... Linnaeus 1758), and their synergistic relationships at the rear edge of its natural distribution. 31 sites in 14 mountain rivers and streams were studied in Central Spain. Models at several sites were built using regression trees for streamflow, and a non-linear regression method for stream temperat ...
Cirrus cloud radiative characteristics from continuous
Cirrus cloud radiative characteristics from continuous

Mechanisms of Southern Ocean Heat Uptake and Transport in a
Mechanisms of Southern Ocean Heat Uptake and Transport in a

... of the net global uptake in CM2.6. In the control simulation, the sea surface temperature is on average warmer than the atmosphere over most of the Southern Ocean, and therefore the sensible heat flux cools the ocean. The prominent Southern Ocean heat uptake peak, between 508 and 608S, is dominated ...
Full-Text PDF
Full-Text PDF

... eustatic sea level rise 9 kyrs ago, due to the increased water column pressure regardless of the eustatic model. After 9 kyrs ago the GHs grow downward quickly to ~20 mbsf within about 1.5 kyrs ago. Subsequently and until the present, the reformed GH layer thins only slightly as the transient effect ...
Report - UNHCR
Report - UNHCR

... Climate change is often viewed as a “threat multiplier”, exacerbating threats caused by persistent poverty, weak institutions for resource management and conflict resolution, fault lines and a history of mistrust between communities and nations, and inadequate access to information or resources. The ...
Weighing the costs and benefits of climate change to our children
Weighing the costs and benefits of climate change to our children

... fundamental tradeoff between costs borne today and benefits that accrue to the children and grandchildren of the current generation. In making investments today that affect future generations’ prospects, we need to think carefully about how we value their welfare compared to our own. A common econom ...
Constraining temperature variations over the last
Constraining temperature variations over the last

Poverty and Climate Change
Poverty and Climate Change

... limiting greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. We also reaffirm that industrialized countries should take the lead in combating climate change and its adverse effects. We share a commitment to assisting and working with poor people, partner governments, civil societies, and the private sector in copin ...
Read this Publication
Read this Publication

... Canada. It was found that all of these sites are well modeled by a first-order autoregressive process using three parameters: the mean, variance, and first-order autocorrelation coefficient. For slight changes in the mean or variance there are increases in the frequency of both single days and runs ...
Polar Bears Are Smarter Than Al Gore
Polar Bears Are Smarter Than Al Gore

... Fish and Wildlife Service to list the polar bear as “threatened.” This petition was based, as described above, on studies of only two polar bear populations, and from this, the petition makes general statements about the entire worldwide polar bear population. Although the petition claims to be base ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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