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Temperatures in transient climates
Temperatures in transient climates

Climate change : quantifying the health impact at national
Climate change : quantifying the health impact at national

... United Nations Disaster Management Training Program ...
PDF
PDF

Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in
Climate change intensification of horizontal water vapor transport in

... (1979–2005) and two emissions scenarios (2073–2099). Considering the more extreme emissions, multimodel mean IVT increases by 30–40% in the North Pacific and North Atlantic storm tracks and in the equatorial Pacific Ocean trade winds. An acceleration of the high-latitude IVT is also shown. Analysis of ...
Effect of climate change on air quality
Effect of climate change on air quality

... indicate that the general spatial patterns of warming and precipitation are similar for the other SRES scenarios, with a 30% difference in warming relative to A1B depending on the scenario (B1 coolest, A2 warmest). The trends are roughly linear in time, so that the results in Fig. 3 can be interpol ...
The Climate Public Expenditure and Institutional Review (CPEIR
The Climate Public Expenditure and Institutional Review (CPEIR

... The first step in building a Climate Fiscal Framework is to develop a methodology that allows an analysis to be made of how climate change related expenditure is integrated into national budgetary processes. This analysis has to be set within the context of the national policy and institutional arra ...
Climate change impacts on the waters around the UK and Ireland
Climate change impacts on the waters around the UK and Ireland

... The salinity of the upper ocean (0-800 m) to the west and north of the UK (Region 8) has been generally increasing since a fresh period in the 1970s. A minimum occurred in the mid 1990s, and present day conditions are relatively saline. The decadal-scale pattern of change around the UK reflects the ...
STATE OF THE ANTARCTIC AND SOUTHERN OCEAN CLIMATE
STATE OF THE ANTARCTIC AND SOUTHERN OCEAN CLIMATE

... data also show a strong relationship between the magnitude of each warming event in the Antarctic and the duration of the warm period that follows each abrupt warming event in Greenland [EPICA Community Members, 2006]. This relationship is interpreted to reflect the extent to which the MOC is reduce ...
Potential Effects of Climate Change on Crop Pollination
Potential Effects of Climate Change on Crop Pollination

... Insect pollinators are valuable and limited resources (Delaplane and Mayer 2000). Currently, farmers manage only 11 of the 20 000 to 30 000 bee species worldwide (Parker et al. 1987), with the European honey bee (Apis mellifera) being by far the most important species. Depending on only a few pollin ...
Open Letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations
Open Letter to the Secretary-General of the United Nations

... migration of temperature-sensitive species are not evidence for abnormal climate change, for none of these changes has been shown to lie outside the bounds of known natural variability. • The average rate of warming of 0.1 to 0. 2 degrees Celsius per decade recorded by satellites during the late 20t ...
PDF
PDF

... the prosperity of temperate agriculture. The following paragraphs describe several of these studies that concentrate on physical agricultural production impacts of climate change. Kokic et al. (2005) explore the impact on Australian agriculture of two climate change scenarios. They used estimates of ...
Argentina - Met Office
Argentina - Met Office

... climate has changed and will continue to change in future in response to human activities. Across the world, this is already being felt as changes to the local weather that people experience every day. Our ability to provide useful information to help everyone understand how their environment has ch ...
Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon
Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon

... of the monsoon overturning circulation — and precipitation — has been linked theoretically to the maximum in subcloud MSE5,13–15 (in the boundary layer beneath the cloud base), which is neatly shown as a reasonable limit for South Asian precipitation in Fig. 1. Finally, idealized studies14 have show ...
The dynamics of vulnerability: why adapting to climate variability climate change
The dynamics of vulnerability: why adapting to climate variability climate change

Seasonal Variations in Diurnal Temperature Range From Satellites
Seasonal Variations in Diurnal Temperature Range From Satellites

... (Ts ) and compared with weather-station observations based on Ta . Geographical and seasonal differences were identified in both ground- and satellite-derived DTRs. Estimates of DTR from station-observed air temperature represent all-sky conditions while satellite estimates of DTR from surface skin ...
Science or Spin? Assessing the Accuracy of Cable News Coverage
Science or Spin? Assessing the Accuracy of Cable News Coverage

... statements that question whether climate change is humaninduced—or is even occurring at all—rather than debating whether and how to respond to risks from climate change that scientists have identified. Media outlets can do more to foster a fact-based conversation about climate change and policies de ...
Programme Plan - Norges forskningsråd
Programme Plan - Norges forskningsråd

... Based on reconstructed climate parameters over the last 1000 years and observed climate parameters and climate model simulations over the last 150 years, the IPCC concluded1 that there has been a demonstrable change in the global climate as a result of anthropogenic (human-induced) emission of so-ca ...
Programme plan - Norges forskningsråd
Programme plan - Norges forskningsråd

... Based on reconstructed climate parameters over the last 1000 years and observed climate parameters and climate model simulations over the last 150 years, the IPCC concluded1 that there has been a demonstrable change in the global climate as a result of anthropogenic (human-induced) emission of so-ca ...
Scientific aspects - Wageningen UR E
Scientific aspects - Wageningen UR E

The effect of heat waves on hospital admissions for renal disease in
The effect of heat waves on hospital admissions for renal disease in

... CI 1.037–1.519). The risk was greatest in males (IRR 1.350, 95% CI 1.049–1.736), specifically males aged 15–64 years (IRR 1.786, 95% CI 1.169–2.730). During the summer of 2004, three heat waves occurred within four weeks in Adelaide. Figure 1 shows ARF admissions and temperatures in Adelaide during ...
Four Case Studies in the United States
Four Case Studies in the United States

... explaining the increase in fires in the American West after accounting for human settlements and fire management. Extreme heat events in the United States are on the rise. DeGaetano and Allen (2002) found that minimum and maximum temperatures increased in the latter half of the 20 th century, with ...
Potential Effects of Climate Change on Crop Pollination
Potential Effects of Climate Change on Crop Pollination

... Insect pollinators are valuable and limited resources (Delaplane and Mayer 2000). Currently, farmers manage only 11 of the 20 000 to 30 000 bee species worldwide (Parker et al. 1987), with the European honey bee (Apis mellifera) being by far the most important species. Depending on only a few pollin ...
Katsman et al (2011)
Katsman et al (2011)

Modelling forest growth and carbon storage in response to
Modelling forest growth and carbon storage in response to

Text - Reading`s CentAUR
Text - Reading`s CentAUR

... circulation. Since changes in both GHGs and ODSs are required for this to happen (i.e., ozone loss in the extended region would not occur if only one of the forcings were to vary), the response would be nonadditive. In setting up the CCM simulations, it is important that the sea surface temperatures ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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