HEAT IN THE HEARTLAND: Climate Change and Economic Risk in
... fact-based look at the potential risks facing specific sectors and regions of the national economy. As in a classic business risk assessment, we analyze not only the most likely scenarios, but also the scenarios that, while less likely, could have more significant impacts. In this report, we focus o ...
... fact-based look at the potential risks facing specific sectors and regions of the national economy. As in a classic business risk assessment, we analyze not only the most likely scenarios, but also the scenarios that, while less likely, could have more significant impacts. In this report, we focus o ...
Sun exposure, nest temperature and loggerhead
... exposure and nest temperatures at the Mon Repos turtle rookery, south east Queensland, Australia was explored and the relationship between nest temperature and hatchling attributes examined. Shading decreased nest temperature, and higher nest temperatures were associated with smaller sized hatchling ...
... exposure and nest temperatures at the Mon Repos turtle rookery, south east Queensland, Australia was explored and the relationship between nest temperature and hatchling attributes examined. Shading decreased nest temperature, and higher nest temperatures were associated with smaller sized hatchling ...
Garamvölgyi - Climate change - Applied Ecology and Environmental
... Lags between biotic responses and contemporary climate changes have been reported for plants and animals by Bertrand et al. (2011). Theoretically, the magnitude of these lags should be the greatest in lowland areas, where the velocity of climate change is expected to be much greater than that in hig ...
... Lags between biotic responses and contemporary climate changes have been reported for plants and animals by Bertrand et al. (2011). Theoretically, the magnitude of these lags should be the greatest in lowland areas, where the velocity of climate change is expected to be much greater than that in hig ...
Impacts of climate change on vegetation distribution. No. 1
... Lags between biotic responses and contemporary climate changes have been reported for plants and animals by Bertrand et al. (2011). Theoretically, the magnitude of these lags should be the greatest in lowland areas, where the velocity of climate change is expected to be much greater than that in hig ...
... Lags between biotic responses and contemporary climate changes have been reported for plants and animals by Bertrand et al. (2011). Theoretically, the magnitude of these lags should be the greatest in lowland areas, where the velocity of climate change is expected to be much greater than that in hig ...
Water storage change in the Himalayas from the Gravity Recovery
... are small. However, the sinusoidal fit does not quantify systematic errors in GRACE data. Agreements between the GRACE‐ and ECM‐estimated storage changes are also favorable at both monthly (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 5.46 mm) and seasonal (R2 = 0.83, RMSE = 7.64 mm) cycles. The agreements (significant at p < ...
... are small. However, the sinusoidal fit does not quantify systematic errors in GRACE data. Agreements between the GRACE‐ and ECM‐estimated storage changes are also favorable at both monthly (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 5.46 mm) and seasonal (R2 = 0.83, RMSE = 7.64 mm) cycles. The agreements (significant at p < ...
The global hydrological cycle and energy budget under climate
... return immediately to its initial state after CO2 concentrations are back to their initial levels and this leads to large anomalies in surface temperature, precipitation and sea ice area extent. Overall, this thesis demonstrates that the low agreement among different climate models about precipitati ...
... return immediately to its initial state after CO2 concentrations are back to their initial levels and this leads to large anomalies in surface temperature, precipitation and sea ice area extent. Overall, this thesis demonstrates that the low agreement among different climate models about precipitati ...
Bony et al., 2006
... although these processes might have a substantial impact on the magnitude, the pattern, or the timing of climate warming (NRC 2003). Water vapor constitutes a powerful greenhouse gas, and therefore an increase of water vapor with temperature will oppose the increase in radiative cooling due to incre ...
... although these processes might have a substantial impact on the magnitude, the pattern, or the timing of climate warming (NRC 2003). Water vapor constitutes a powerful greenhouse gas, and therefore an increase of water vapor with temperature will oppose the increase in radiative cooling due to incre ...
How well do we understand and evaluate climate change feedback
... although these processes might have a substantial impact on the magnitude, the pattern, or the timing of climate warming (NRC 2003). Water vapor constitutes a powerful greenhouse gas, and therefore an increase of water vapor with temperature will oppose the increase in radiative cooling due to incre ...
... although these processes might have a substantial impact on the magnitude, the pattern, or the timing of climate warming (NRC 2003). Water vapor constitutes a powerful greenhouse gas, and therefore an increase of water vapor with temperature will oppose the increase in radiative cooling due to incre ...
Abrupt climate change: can society cope?
... the characteristic of climate change associated with the most frequently cited example of abrupt climate change, the collapse of the THC in the North Atlantic. Figure 2 gives two examples from the work of Rahmstorf & Ganopolski, in both cases with a reversal in temperature trend. Severity. Strictly ...
... the characteristic of climate change associated with the most frequently cited example of abrupt climate change, the collapse of the THC in the North Atlantic. Figure 2 gives two examples from the work of Rahmstorf & Ganopolski, in both cases with a reversal in temperature trend. Severity. Strictly ...
Chapter 9. Establishing Common Ground: Finding Better Ways to
... with it is slowing down the process of implementing solutions. Even if high-level decision makers want to put in place the policies, incentives, and ready-to-be-deployed technologies required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, they are unable do so to the extent needed because they have to answer t ...
... with it is slowing down the process of implementing solutions. Even if high-level decision makers want to put in place the policies, incentives, and ready-to-be-deployed technologies required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, they are unable do so to the extent needed because they have to answer t ...
the User Guide
... Figure 1.1 indicates the relationship between the CCSP partners and their roles in delivering the project outputs. Table 1.1 presents the CCSP versioning. ...
... Figure 1.1 indicates the relationship between the CCSP partners and their roles in delivering the project outputs. Table 1.1 presents the CCSP versioning. ...
Publication: Hydrologic Impacts of Climate Change on the Nile River
... whereas for drier scenarios (below 75 BCM), water was a constraint to agricultural production into the 21st century, the result of which was that resources were diverted to less water demanding crops and the livestock and non-agricultural sectors. Tate et al., (2004) analyzed the sensitivity of the ...
... whereas for drier scenarios (below 75 BCM), water was a constraint to agricultural production into the 21st century, the result of which was that resources were diverted to less water demanding crops and the livestock and non-agricultural sectors. Tate et al., (2004) analyzed the sensitivity of the ...
Indices for monitoring changes in extremes based on daily
... very small, such as tropical regions, and a more flexible indicator of heat waves has therefore been proposed.34 ETCCDI adopted most of the ECA indices,29 but modified those that appeared problematic when applied to a wide range of areas. In total, 27 indices were defined (see Table 1). ETCCDI also ...
... very small, such as tropical regions, and a more flexible indicator of heat waves has therefore been proposed.34 ETCCDI adopted most of the ECA indices,29 but modified those that appeared problematic when applied to a wide range of areas. In total, 27 indices were defined (see Table 1). ETCCDI also ...
text_2ed_rev - Department of the Geophysical Sciences
... Mars). For the threat of human-induced climate change to go away, we’d have to toss out greenhouse theory, and come up with some other explanation for why the Earth has been warming over the past decades. But there is no existing model or theory of climate that can reproduce the present-day natural ...
... Mars). For the threat of human-induced climate change to go away, we’d have to toss out greenhouse theory, and come up with some other explanation for why the Earth has been warming over the past decades. But there is no existing model or theory of climate that can reproduce the present-day natural ...
Reports of Phase 2 Activity, January 2005
... the risk of these failed south-west winters has been increased by climate change of the last quarter century. However, it is still too early to be scientifically conclusive on the extent of base-line change in recent years. Ultimately water managers and other decision-makers must formulate their own ...
... the risk of these failed south-west winters has been increased by climate change of the last quarter century. However, it is still too early to be scientifically conclusive on the extent of base-line change in recent years. Ultimately water managers and other decision-makers must formulate their own ...
Climate change and changes in global precipitation patterns: What
... precipitation separate from ENSO and other modes (patterns) of climate variability. 2.1.1. Mid- and high latitudes Over the 20th century, annual zonally averaged precipitation increased by between 7% and 12% for the zones 30-N to 85-N and by about 2% between 0-S and 55-S. The increase in the Norther ...
... precipitation separate from ENSO and other modes (patterns) of climate variability. 2.1.1. Mid- and high latitudes Over the 20th century, annual zonally averaged precipitation increased by between 7% and 12% for the zones 30-N to 85-N and by about 2% between 0-S and 55-S. The increase in the Norther ...
The Positive Externalities of Carbon Dioxide
... crop yields and increased global food production. And with the ever-burgeoning population of the planet, the increase in food production was a welcomed societal benefit. But what remained largely unknown to society at that time, was the birth of an ancillary aid to agriculture that would confer grea ...
... crop yields and increased global food production. And with the ever-burgeoning population of the planet, the increase in food production was a welcomed societal benefit. But what remained largely unknown to society at that time, was the birth of an ancillary aid to agriculture that would confer grea ...
6. Climate change in the Arctic: A discussion of the impact on
... The great complexity of changes in ocean currents, temperature and nutrient availability makes predictions about how fisheries will be affected by climate changes in the Arctic uncertain. An expected increase in ocean temperature alone could improve growth conditions in northern waters; nevertheless ...
... The great complexity of changes in ocean currents, temperature and nutrient availability makes predictions about how fisheries will be affected by climate changes in the Arctic uncertain. An expected increase in ocean temperature alone could improve growth conditions in northern waters; nevertheless ...
Overpeck and Cole, 2006
... The reality of anthropogenic global warming is by now well established, but the pace and amplitude of future change remains uncertain, particularly on a regional basis (1). A growing body of evidence from past climate studies argues that even if radiative forcing changes gradually, the climate syste ...
... The reality of anthropogenic global warming is by now well established, but the pace and amplitude of future change remains uncertain, particularly on a regional basis (1). A growing body of evidence from past climate studies argues that even if radiative forcing changes gradually, the climate syste ...
Global warming hiatus
A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.