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... impacts with increasing temperature. The reality, however, is that climate change is unlikely to be a smooth transition into the future and that there are a number of thresholds along the way that are likely to result in significant step changes in the level of impacts once triggered. The existence ...
Warm Arctic—cold continents: climate impacts of the newly open
Warm Arctic—cold continents: climate impacts of the newly open

Australia`s 21 Century Carbon Budget
Australia`s 21 Century Carbon Budget

... It is widely accepted that in order to minimise the risks associated with human-induced climate change, global greenhouse gas emissions will have to be significantly reduced over this century (IPCC 2007a). One way to plan for and facilitate emission reductions is through the use of national carbon b ...
The age of consequences—the foreign policy and national security
The age of consequences—the foreign policy and national security

... scale of change and pernicious challenges, such as pandemic disease. The internal cohesion of nations will be under great stress, including in the United States, both as a result of a dramatic rise in migration and changes in agricultural patterns and water availability. The flooding of coastal comm ...
About observed and future climate changes in Flanders and Belgium
About observed and future climate changes in Flanders and Belgium

... ‘What are the expectations for the future?’, these are the central questions that this MIRA Climate Report 2015 seeks to address. The report begins with an explanation of the mechanism that is at the basis of global climate change. It then searches for signals of climate change in existing datasets, ...
The Age of Consequences - The Web site cannot be found
The Age of Consequences - The Web site cannot be found

... scale of change and pernicious challenges, such as pandemic disease. The internal cohesion of nations will be under great stress, including in the United States, both as a result of a dramatic rise in migration and changes in agricultural patterns and water availability. The flooding of coastal comm ...
Solution Aversion: On the Relation Between Ideology and Motivated
Solution Aversion: On the Relation Between Ideology and Motivated

... problems and (b) dependent on how strongly individual Republicans hold specific ideological beliefs that are challenged by these policies (such as faith in the free market). This model also leads to the prediction that if solutions to some societal issue (e.g., crime) strongly threatened an importan ...
The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy
The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy

... next 30 years with the expected level of climate change. The severe scenario, which posits that the climate responds much more strongly to continued carbon loading over the next few decades than predicted by current scientific models, foresees profound and potentially destabilizing global effects ov ...
The Third Oregon Climate Assessment Report
The Third Oregon Climate Assessment Report

... square miles of wildfire burned area in the western United States during 1984–2015, contributed to the 2014–2015 snow drought in Oregon through warmer temperatures, and made Oregon’s coastal waters more acidic in 2013. The 2015 snow drought foreshadows mid-century normal conditions Oregon’s warmest ...
Arctic Climate Impact Science – an update since ACIA
Arctic Climate Impact Science – an update since ACIA

... observed changes are happening at rates significantly faster than predicted in previous expert assessments, notably ACIA and IPCC AR4, and therefore faster than accommodated for in climate models. While this primarily reflects the current limits of scientific understanding of the Arctic it also rais ...
Final Background paper UNFCCC Latin American workshop on a…
Final Background paper UNFCCC Latin American workshop on a…

... the International Development Bank. ...
Ted Hamilton∗ - Vermont Journal of Environmental Law
Ted Hamilton∗ - Vermont Journal of Environmental Law

... based. Legal action at the core usually seeks government intervention to stop public or private contributions to warming or to provide relief from climate-change harms. The climate periphery is where issues indirectly related to global warming form the substance of legal conflict. Legal action here ...
Modelling Abrupt Glacial Climate Change
Modelling Abrupt Glacial Climate Change

... Martin. Guys, putting up with me was at times an ordeal, but I hope you agree we had a blast most regularly. And, since we’re all foreigners, we banded nicely in Þguring out the peculiarities of living in the Netherlands. I will never forget those times. Han Thomassen and Philip Ward, my two ‘parani ...
North Africa: The Impact of Climate Change to
North Africa: The Impact of Climate Change to

... North Africa, future decreases will likely have a significant and noticeable impact. Precipitation trends in the interior semiarid and arid regions of North Africa are more difficult to predict due to the very small amount of natural precipitation that characterizes these areas. Climate change will ...
the Report - ULI Europe
the Report - ULI Europe

... underestimated as tracked data only accounts for direct losses and not consequential losses (e.g., a reduction in tourism) or indirect losses (e.g., reduced turnover and rent). The depreciation of natural capital is also ...
Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change: Concepts, Issues
Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change: Concepts, Issues

... vulnerability literature and climate negotiations. In preparing this paper, a review of the relevant literature was undertaken with the objective of identifying various adaptation issues. Assessments of vulnerability in various regions— developing countries, in particular—were covered. In addition, ...
Slight glacier reduction over the northwestern Tibetan Plateau
Slight glacier reduction over the northwestern Tibetan Plateau

... (Neckel et al., 2014) for glacier elevation changes from 2003 to 2009. At Muztagh Ata (eastern Pamir), geodetic measurements show the averaged glacier mass budgets are slightly but insignificantly negative between 1973 and 1999 and positive after 1999 (Holzer et al., 2015). Slight mass gain observat ...
- The University of Liverpool Repository
- The University of Liverpool Repository

Climate Change Assessment for the San Juan Mountain Regions
Climate Change Assessment for the San Juan Mountain Regions

... data gaps and to support regional and local efforts towards climate adaptation. The document describes observed conditions and trends, modeling results, and projections of future conditions. It also incorporates a growing body of ecological knowledge that helps us to understand and interpret these h ...
Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise and the Vulnerability of
Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise and the Vulnerability of

... Finally, Raupach et al. (2007) and Canadell et al. (2007) have shown that global greenhouse-gas emissions are now tracking well above the (high-impact) A1FI scenario, and that the world is not yet following any reasonable mitigation pathway. Therefore, it seems reasonable to view the higher end of t ...
View/Open - Dora.dmu.ac.uk
View/Open - Dora.dmu.ac.uk

... participating in conversations with journalists, activists, NGOs and members of the public 56. This analysis based on coded conversations of participants on Twitter according to whether or not they expressed support for the IPCC, found that the densest network of conversational connections occurred ...
WETLANDS, CARBON STORAGE, AND FUTURE CLIMATE
WETLANDS, CARBON STORAGE, AND FUTURE CLIMATE

... Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has estimated that global surface air temperatures will increase another 2-8F in the next hundred years with a “best guess” increase of 3.5 degrees by 2100. The most significant increases will occur in the northern latitudes. The temperature of wetlan ...
Annotated draft outline of the 2016 EEA CCIV report
Annotated draft outline of the 2016 EEA CCIV report

... CLIM003: Heat extremes (indicator changed) CLIM002: Mean precipitation CLIM004: Heavy precipitation (indicator changed) CLIM0xx: Hail (new indicator) CLIM005: Wind storms CLIM010: Arctic and Baltic Sea ice CLIM009: Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets2 (indicator changed) CLIM007: Glaciers CLIM008: Sn ...
European atmosphere in 2050, a regional
European atmosphere in 2050, a regional

... are based on the recent representative concentration pathways (RCP) produced for the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) whereas regional air quality modelling is based on the updated emissions scenarios produced in the framework of the Global Energy ...
No Slide Title
No Slide Title

... normal proportion of total annual precipitation from 1-day extreme events (more than 2 inches or 50.8mm) ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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