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Recent observed climate change over the Arabian Peninsula
Recent observed climate change over the Arabian Peninsula

... countries have benefited from assessments of observed climate changes, especially in relation to temperature and precipitation owing to the societal importance of these parameters [Goddard et al., 2001]. According to the IPCC fourth assessment report [Solomon et al., 2007], the surface temperatures ...
What to Do? Does Science have a Role?
What to Do? Does Science have a Role?

... • Climate change is real • The costs of unregulated climate change greatly exceed the costs of mitigation • There exist various technologies that, in combination, could limit global warming to acceptable levels (< 20C above pre-industrial) • The estimated costs (-1% to 4% of GDP), although appearing ...
Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Coastal and Marine Ecosystems
Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Coastal and Marine Ecosystems

... 2000; NAST 2001). Even if greenhouse gas emissions are stabilized, the rate of sea-level rise will likely continue to increase beyond 2100 because of the time it takes for oceans and ice sheets to approach equilibrium conditions with the atmosphere. Regional differences in land movement and impacts ...
Mechanisms for millennial-scale global synchronization during the
Mechanisms for millennial-scale global synchronization during the

... which mostly affect the North Atlantic region. The model is freely available from http://www.knmi.nl/onderzk/CKO/ ecbilt.html. In the standard model setup an imbalance in the global, interannual freshwater budget is compensated globally for numerical reasons. However, in our experiment the imbalance ...
01-04_iniziali:Layout 1 - Associazione Italiana di Agrometeorologia
01-04_iniziali:Layout 1 - Associazione Italiana di Agrometeorologia

... Ibadan in the Tropical Wet-and Dry Climate, during the period 1981-2010 is characterized by strong climatic variations. Agriculture is predominantly rain-fed and depends on 6 to 7 months of rainfall with intermittent dry spells in between rains. The study conducted in the last three decades in Ibada ...
(2009-2011) in public attitude towards climate change
(2009-2011) in public attitude towards climate change

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... reality” state of the ocean and atmosphere. The model evolves according to both the initial conditions and the physical equations ruling the earth’s system. ...
Excel exercise #1
Excel exercise #1

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microbial Ecology of the oceans
microbial Ecology of the oceans

The Nature of Weather and Climate
The Nature of Weather and Climate

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Climate Change
Climate Change

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A Focus on Climate During the Past 100 Years
A Focus on Climate During the Past 100 Years

Extreme Weather Report 2012
Extreme Weather Report 2012

... New York Times: Carbon Tax Will Reduce Taxes And 'Increase Personal Freedom': NYT: 'The Most Sensible Tax of All':NYT on carbon tax: 'It's an opportunity to reduce existing taxes, clean up the environment & increase personal freedom & energy security' Washington Post endorses carbon tax 'to fight gl ...
45:211: Environmental Geography
45:211: Environmental Geography

... Observatory, Hawaii, Scripps Institute of Oceanography, August 1998. A. Neftel et al, Historical CO2 Record from the Siple Station Ice Core, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Switzerland, September 1994. See http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/contents.htm ...
North Atlantic warming: patterns of long
North Atlantic warming: patterns of long

... North Atlantic Ocean, making it critical to understand why the NAO paradigm does not always operate. While the physical mechanisms for generating MDV may differ from model to model (e.g. Latif 1998), there is a consensus that long-term changes in the thermohaline (e.g. density-driven) circulation (T ...
The PRUDENCE project
The PRUDENCE project

... One parent GCM and associated RCMs at 50km and 20km. Comparisons can be made between (a) different forcings (SRES A2 and B2) (b) different ensemble members (c) different scales. Attention will focus on the range of scenarios. ...
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Effects of Climate Warming, North Atlantic Oscillation, and

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... In the first article on the climate effects facet, Elodie Blanc and John Reilly review the latest climate change impact assessments on crop productivity in the United States. Their findings suggest that under current agricultural practices, a lower future yield trajectory is expected for the major c ...
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The ocean`s role in polar climate change
The ocean`s role in polar climate change

... radiation is maximal. Where sea ice is lost and water is exposed, warming due to absorbed shortwave radiation can be large and enhance sea ice loss through lateral melt ([10]). In addition to these processes, the warmed ocean mixed layer delays sea ice growth ([11]) and thus influences wintertime su ...
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Climate Services

The PETM and Leaf Margin Analysis
The PETM and Leaf Margin Analysis

...  The reason this method works is because toothed leaves are able to begin photosynthesis earlier than smooth edged leaves in the spring.  However toothed leaves lead to a high amount of water loss which does not provide adequate water to the tree in ...
Vanuatu - Pacific Climate Change Science
Vanuatu - Pacific Climate Change Science

... per year since 1993. This is larger than the global average of 2.8–3.6 mm per year. This higher rate of rise may be partly related to natural fluctuations that take place year to year or decade to decade caused by phenomena such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation. This variation in sea level can be ...
EOP-G Work Plan 2010
EOP-G Work Plan 2010

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Bates_2004 - Bowdoin College
Bates_2004 - Bowdoin College

... collective picture of a warming world…” “…most of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.” “ Anthropogenic climate change will persist for many centuries.” “Emissions of greenhouse gases… continue to alter the atmosphere in ways that are expected to affect th ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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