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Lending a caring hand - University of New England
Lending a caring hand - University of New England

... careful about extrapolating from your own backyard to the globe.” For example, while people in the East and Midwest were complaining about a cold winter this year, Redmond’s Nevada and neighboring California were having some of their warmest winter months ever. To determine what parts of the country ...
A Burning Question [Transcript]
A Burning Question [Transcript]

... Prof.  John  Sweeney:  And  perhaps  the  best  way  of  explaining  it  is  to  actually  look  at  some   of  these  processes  in  terms  of  what  the  earth's  atmosphere  is  composed  of.  Well,  you  can   see  here  that ...
1/8 An experimental model to understand
1/8 An experimental model to understand

... container, not forgetting that the set-up represents the Earth and sun etc, thus they must find realistic solutions (for example, switching the lamp off to reduce the temperature would be the same as extinguishing the sun, which is not possible). 3. If you wish, set a more precise challenge to the p ...
Decided to establish a Global Framework for Climate Services
Decided to establish a Global Framework for Climate Services

...  WCRP should develop an implementation plan for its activities, taking into account new initiatives that have emerged since COPES was completed in 2005 as well as the observations of accelerated climate change which place new demands on the science to be relevant  WCRP should shift its implementat ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

Predicting Climate Change Impacts: Regional
Predicting Climate Change Impacts: Regional

... In parallel to model improvement and applications, it is important to use detailed diagnostics to interpret the simulations and compare them to analyses of observations. With his team of students and research associates, Professor Laprise has developed recently a detailed energy budget formulation t ...
"Climate Change: Moonshine, Millions of Models, Billions of Data - New Ways to Sort Fact from Fiction"
"Climate Change: Moonshine, Millions of Models, Billions of Data - New Ways to Sort Fact from Fiction"

Author`s personal copy
Author`s personal copy

... language, the authors note that the record for previous Arctic sea ice summer minimum extent was ‘‘shattered’’ in 2007, ‘‘something not predicted by climate models . . . This dramatic retreat has been much faster than simulated by any of the climate models assessed in the IPCC AR4’’—with summer sea ...
Vol.11, No.2, 2011
Vol.11, No.2, 2011

article
article

... The models exhibited statistically significant sensitivities to T and P that are consistent with process-based crop models and the broader agronomic literature (figs. S6 and S7). Given the hillshaped yield-temperature function, predicted decreases are larger the warmer a country is to begin with. A ...
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980

... The models exhibited statistically significant sensitivities to T and P that are consistent with process-based crop models and the broader agronomic literature (figs. S6 and S7). Given the hillshaped yield-temperature function, predicted decreases are larger the warmer a country is to begin with. A ...
6g_CCNet-coach-training-presentation
6g_CCNet-coach-training-presentation

... Identify potential climate adaptation strategies based on new conceptual model Rank strategies by feasibility, cost, benefit, and robustness to different future climate Develop detailed logic chains for climate adaptation strategies ...
Biomass production in experimental grasslands of different species
Biomass production in experimental grasslands of different species

... Aboveground biomass (Bshoot ) was determined by cutting plants 3.5 cm above the soil surface in all containers. Such harvests were carried out in five periods: late October 2003, 2004 and 2005, early June 2004 and late May 2005. Of half of the heated and unheated chambers, biomass was collected per ...
Global Environmental Change Issues in the Western Indian Ocean
Global Environmental Change Issues in the Western Indian Ocean

... Within the limits of available measurements, researchers calculate that the mean·annual temperature has steadily increased by about 0.55°C during the past century (KUO et a/. , 1990). ANGELL (1990) suggests , however, that when the warming effects of 'El Nino' events are removed from the data, the i ...
Public opinion on climate change
Public opinion on climate change

Climate Change: Observed, Projections and Impacts in ASEAN Plus Three
Climate Change: Observed, Projections and Impacts in ASEAN Plus Three

Arctic Climate Modelling
Arctic Climate Modelling

... the near-term, further sea-ice loss, increases in marine plant (such as phytoplankton) growth rates, and other environmental and physical changes are expected to cause a limited net increase in the uptake of carbon dioxide by arctic surface waters. ■ In the long term, net release of carbon is expect ...
View Document - Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford
View Document - Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford

... new jobs. These opportunities clearly provide medium-term benefits and may also deliver short-term net gains, although the latter is more contentious in times when and places where clean technologies are not yet cheaper than unclean technologies. Nevertheless, the local benefits from reduced emissio ...
(Paper title:) - The Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research
(Paper title:) - The Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research

... goal, AntarcticClimate21 will focus on three themes of research: - Theme 1. Quantification of Antarctic climate variability. - Theme 2. Climate model verification for the Antarctic region. - Theme 3. Antarctic climate projection to 2100 AD The Antarctic region has already experienced substantial cha ...
Plenary White Paper
Plenary White Paper

... The oceans move heat around through convection and advection (in which the heat is carried by the currents, whether small-scale short-lived eddies or large-scale currents). Hence ocean currents carry heat and salt along with the fresh water around the globe. The oceans therefore store heat, absorbed ...
Climate Science for Decision Support .
Climate Science for Decision Support .

... - Predictions are for states of system for which we have no observations. - Observations are in-sample. - Confirmation of weather forecasting systems using related models can not inform us about the long timescale processes in question; or their interaction with short timescale processes. [Q: It is ...
EARTH
EARTH

... carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O) in air trapped within the ice cores and from recent atmospheric measurements. Data cover 650,000 years and the shaded bands indicate current and previous interglacial warm periods. ...
How is Defra Tackling Climate Change? - UK-Air
How is Defra Tackling Climate Change? - UK-Air

... ‘greenhouse’ effect, the earth would be 30°C cooler than it is. Human activities, such as burning fossil fuels (coal, natural gas, and oil), agriculture and deforestation, are creating additional greenhouse gases which build up in the atmosphere. So temperatures around the world have risen and will ...
Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar up
Southern Ocean warming delayed by circumpolar up

... Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 ...
exploring adaptation to climate change in agriculture: the potential of
exploring adaptation to climate change in agriculture: the potential of

... variations in weather, will this affect how suitable the area is for farming? How critical is the climate variance? If future climate variance increases, will this lead to damages or benefits? The analysis done to date shows that, depending upon the season, average weather is critical but variance i ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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