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The Medieval Quiet Period - Department of Geosciences
The Medieval Quiet Period - Department of Geosciences

... magnitude of TSI reduction during solar minima is much greater than current models indicate, with the higher irradiance due to orbital forcing, we view earlier cold periods as most likely the result of periods of major explosive volcanism. Additional uncertainty is introduced by processes internal t ...
OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE SCIENCE
OVERVIEW OF CLIMATE SCIENCE

... • Long-term increase since Earth’s origin • Shorter-term variations may be partially the cause for changes on shorter time scales of – Decades – Centuries – Millenia ...
rainStormsAprIsrael_final
rainStormsAprIsrael_final

... Air holds more water vapor at higher temperatures A basic physical law tells us that the water holding capacity of the atmosphere goes up at about 7% per degree Celsius increase in temperature. (4% per F) Observations show that this is happening at the surface and in lower atmosphere: 0.55C since ...
English - Global Environment Facility
English - Global Environment Facility

...  International airports, roads and capital cities in the small islands of are sited along the coast.  Sea-level rise will threaten vital infrastructure, settlements and facilities that support the livelihood of island communities. ...
Climate Change and Climate Politics; Strategic Moran, Daniel
Climate Change and Climate Politics; Strategic Moran, Daniel

... change may pose over the next few decades. All the research that follows takes as its starting point what might be described as “down the middle” assumptions about how anthropogenic climate change will unfold over the next few decades: i.e. that basic trends, both human and natural, will continue in ...
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gcc policy

IOSR Journal Of Humanities And Social Science (IOSR-JHSS)
IOSR Journal Of Humanities And Social Science (IOSR-JHSS)

... Apart from the latter, the above-mentioned causes of climate change are natural occurring though their paces have been influenced by human activities recently. However, the increasing human induced causes have enhanced the natural causes and are doing even more on their own (though they are reversib ...
Climate research must sharpen its view
Climate research must sharpen its view

... event, atmospheric carbon concentration tends to be elevated, due to the dominating reduced uptake by the land surface combined with the reduced outgassing in the warmer tropical Pacific. And the ocean carbon sink, the largest contribution to which comes from the Southern Ocean, shows substantial de ...
Salluit - Canadian Institute of Planners
Salluit - Canadian Institute of Planners

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International Protocols Regarding Global Climate
International Protocols Regarding Global Climate

... Climate change is by its very nature a global challenge that can only be met through the coordinated efforts of all nations. Arriving at an effective and equitable international agreement that achieves the necessary emissions reductions is one of the greatest efforts to institutionalize internationa ...
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... variability, which is driven by the model-generated El NinÄo/Southern Oscillation (ENSO). A realistic response to internal climate variability is an important prerequisite for any carbon-cycle model to be used in climate change predictions. Fluctuations in annualmean atmospheric CO2 are correlated w ...
now - Coventry City Council
now - Coventry City Council

... change is going to make the climate much more erratic—hotter in some places, cooler in others; drier in some places; wetter elsewhere. In a nutshell, climate change means the type of weather we experience will change—perhaps quite dramatically in some places—as the years go by.  So our climate is c ...
Climate Models for the Layman - The Global Warming Policy
Climate Models for the Layman - The Global Warming Policy

... Climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide Human-caused warming depends not only on how much carbon dioxide is added to the atmosphere, but also on how ‘sensitive’ the climate is to that carbon dioxide. Climate sensitivity is defined as the global surface warming that occurs when the concentration of car ...
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Conveyor Belt Circulation

... Zickfeld, 2005; Wood et al., 2006; Zickfeld et al., 2007). One key driver for this deep uncertainty is that the current AMOC observations are sparse and very uncertain and that the AMOC show considerable inter- and intra-annual variability (Bryden et al., 2005; Cunningham et al., 2007). As a result, ...
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... to climate change There is large consensus that in WA one of the major climate change impacts will be on rainfall, making it more variable and less reliable. This will affect the onset and length of growing seasons, particularly in semi-arid areas where yields from rain-fed agriculture could be redu ...
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Climate change DRAFT

... With the majority of the state’s population located in the region, there is extensive existing infrastructure providing water, power, communications and transport services. Climate change impacts, including rising sea levels, increased risk of storm tide inundation, coastal flooding and increased co ...
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GCOS Status and Plans

... • GCOS/IPCC/UNFCCC Workshop, 10-12 February 2015 (moved from Nov 2014) • AOPC/TOPC sessions, to be held in part jointly, 16-20 March 2015; OOPC in April • Expert Workshop to consider Report (2 days) and IP (3 days), Jan/April/May 2015 • Report in draft for open review by end of May, and finalised Au ...
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Changes to the Arctic Environment

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Melting of Polar Icecaps – Impact on Fisheries

... ice sheets in Antarctica and Greenland over this period is not well established and is the subject of conflicting assessments, but it is generally thought that it could account for around one third of the present rate of sea level rise which is estimated in the region of 2 mm per annum. Icecap melt ...
Northern High-Latitude Heat Budget Decomposition and
Northern High-Latitude Heat Budget Decomposition and

... The first such relationship concerns the AMOC decline and its control climate magnitude. Gregory et al. (2005) show that models with initially stronger AMOCs tend to show an enhanced weakening compared to models with initial weaker AMOCs. The second relationship concerns the role of convection in th ...
Global Climate Change The Evidence of Climate Change 2.1 Short
Global Climate Change The Evidence of Climate Change 2.1 Short

How global warming could transform B.C.`s real estate sector
How global warming could transform B.C.`s real estate sector

... This landslide destroyed two homes, killing one person and seriously injuring another, and resulted in the temporary evacuation of 100 homes. Subsequent safety assessments led to the permanent evacuation of eight properties (purchased by the province at fair market value), and requests that about 40 ...
Erian-IPCC report on Climate Change & DRR-Day2
Erian-IPCC report on Climate Change & DRR-Day2

... vulnerability over the longer term (high agreement, medium evidence). There are tradeoffs between current decisions and long-term goals linked to diverse values, interests, and priorities for the future. Short- and long-term perspectives on disaster risk management and adaptation to climate change t ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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