Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to
... local sea level rise. First, steric sea level changes due to variations in ocean temperature and salinity display large spatial variations. Although in many places local thermosteric changes are the most important (see for example Bindoff et al, 2007, Fig. 5.15b), changes in ocean salinity can give ...
... local sea level rise. First, steric sea level changes due to variations in ocean temperature and salinity display large spatial variations. Although in many places local thermosteric changes are the most important (see for example Bindoff et al, 2007, Fig. 5.15b), changes in ocean salinity can give ...
Kelsey Lahr | University of Utah
... Climate Change, demonstrate the breadth of environmental discourses that can be mobilized in climate change communication. Personal testimony is crucial in making climate change comprehensible and narratable because it moves climate change out of the realm of the theoretical and abstract, into the r ...
... Climate Change, demonstrate the breadth of environmental discourses that can be mobilized in climate change communication. Personal testimony is crucial in making climate change comprehensible and narratable because it moves climate change out of the realm of the theoretical and abstract, into the r ...
BACKGROUND PAPER Prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment
... climate risk and development concerns (p.10). The role of climate change itself – the range of potential futures depending on how much greenhouse gas concentrations are allowed to rise – is a less-explored dimension of the links between climate change and DRR. Yet this dimension is critical for unde ...
... climate risk and development concerns (p.10). The role of climate change itself – the range of potential futures depending on how much greenhouse gas concentrations are allowed to rise – is a less-explored dimension of the links between climate change and DRR. Yet this dimension is critical for unde ...
DELAWARE AND THE SURGING SEA - Climate
... Local Sea Level Rise Projections Local sea level rise can differ from global sea level rise for many reasons. The ocean is not flat, and shifting currents and sea surface temperatures can alter local sea level trends over years or decades. In addition, the land itself is slowly sinking or (more rare ...
... Local Sea Level Rise Projections Local sea level rise can differ from global sea level rise for many reasons. The ocean is not flat, and shifting currents and sea surface temperatures can alter local sea level trends over years or decades. In addition, the land itself is slowly sinking or (more rare ...
The impact of climate change on global river flow in HadGEM1
... in predicted changes in river flow were observed (Figure 2(a) and Figure 2(b)). For the 2071–2100 period, significant decreases in river flow were predicted for large areas of the globe, including southern Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, northern South America and Midwest USA. In contrast, la ...
... in predicted changes in river flow were observed (Figure 2(a) and Figure 2(b)). For the 2071–2100 period, significant decreases in river flow were predicted for large areas of the globe, including southern Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, northern South America and Midwest USA. In contrast, la ...
The ocean`s role in polar climate change
... response of SST after 100 y in CO2 quadrupling experiments computed from 15 general circulation models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects phase 5 (CMIP5, [58]). In such experiments coupled models were integrated out to (quasi) equilibrium forced with pre-industrial GHG conce ...
... response of SST after 100 y in CO2 quadrupling experiments computed from 15 general circulation models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects phase 5 (CMIP5, [58]). In such experiments coupled models were integrated out to (quasi) equilibrium forced with pre-industrial GHG conce ...
Here - MtnClim 2016
... and assess past range contraction. A subset of 564 yellow-cedar plots which had previous measurements from 1995-1998 was used to estimate recent population change for more than 65 percent of the area where yellow-cedar occurs in Alaska. We estimate there are 1.39 billion live yellow-cedar trees in A ...
... and assess past range contraction. A subset of 564 yellow-cedar plots which had previous measurements from 1995-1998 was used to estimate recent population change for more than 65 percent of the area where yellow-cedar occurs in Alaska. We estimate there are 1.39 billion live yellow-cedar trees in A ...
Biogeosciences
... While BC is a post-processing step that is a widely applied for climate change impact (CCI) studies, there are several known issues. One concern is that most studies that use BC GCM/RCM data without adequate quantification of the effects of BC, thereby introducing additional uncertainties (Ehret et ...
... While BC is a post-processing step that is a widely applied for climate change impact (CCI) studies, there are several known issues. One concern is that most studies that use BC GCM/RCM data without adequate quantification of the effects of BC, thereby introducing additional uncertainties (Ehret et ...
California Bar Environmental Law Conference Presentation
... projections and the inevitability of the changes on which those projections are based…Population growth, with its concomitant effects on traffic and air quality, is not hypothetical in Los Angeles, it is inevitable.” ...
... projections and the inevitability of the changes on which those projections are based…Population growth, with its concomitant effects on traffic and air quality, is not hypothetical in Los Angeles, it is inevitable.” ...
Interannual variability and expected regional climate change over
... change signal, a term that is entering common use. In our study, we concentrate on interannual variability, leaving aside model error and assuming a single GHG emissions scenario. Deser et al. (2010) asked themselves a similar question but instead of wondering about the number of years needed to obt ...
... change signal, a term that is entering common use. In our study, we concentrate on interannual variability, leaving aside model error and assuming a single GHG emissions scenario. Deser et al. (2010) asked themselves a similar question but instead of wondering about the number of years needed to obt ...
Testing the robustness of the anthropogenic climate change detection statements using different empirical models
... [2] Central to the debate surrounding global warming is whether or not a trend of increasing temperatures can be detected and in particular if it can be attributed to anthropogenic causes. The methods developed to detect and attribute climate change are based on a multiregression approach that assum ...
... [2] Central to the debate surrounding global warming is whether or not a trend of increasing temperatures can be detected and in particular if it can be attributed to anthropogenic causes. The methods developed to detect and attribute climate change are based on a multiregression approach that assum ...
The effect of experimental warming and precipitation
... Climate change is therefore likely to result in a continuum of enzymatic responses across biomes; though to date there have been no systematic evaluations of such changes in the N cycle. In this study, we use soils from 16 existing global change experiments to understand the long-term effect of clim ...
... Climate change is therefore likely to result in a continuum of enzymatic responses across biomes; though to date there have been no systematic evaluations of such changes in the N cycle. In this study, we use soils from 16 existing global change experiments to understand the long-term effect of clim ...
A Critical Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol using Monte Carlo
... of the large scale production, distribution and combustion of fossil fuels present an average atmospheric warming of 0.7°C since the industrial revolution (Victor, 2001). While quantitatively small in relation to fluxes in the natural carbon cycle (Figure 2.2) the biogeochemical uptake of the anthro ...
... of the large scale production, distribution and combustion of fossil fuels present an average atmospheric warming of 0.7°C since the industrial revolution (Victor, 2001). While quantitatively small in relation to fluxes in the natural carbon cycle (Figure 2.2) the biogeochemical uptake of the anthro ...
The influence of vegetation dynamics on anthropogenic climate
... carbon cycle interactions during anthropogenic climate change are assessed by using the Earth System Model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI ESM) that includes vegetation dynamics and an interactive carbon cycle. We assume anthropogenic CO2 emissions according to the RCP 8.5 scenario ...
... carbon cycle interactions during anthropogenic climate change are assessed by using the Earth System Model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI ESM) that includes vegetation dynamics and an interactive carbon cycle. We assume anthropogenic CO2 emissions according to the RCP 8.5 scenario ...
Systems thinking methodology in researching the
... impact the industry both in short term and long term. There are four main stakeholders in this research including cattle producers, traders, scientists and policy makers. Consumers and communities can also be considered as other stakeholders, their choices and attitudes have influence on the mental ...
... impact the industry both in short term and long term. There are four main stakeholders in this research including cattle producers, traders, scientists and policy makers. Consumers and communities can also be considered as other stakeholders, their choices and attitudes have influence on the mental ...
Hydro_CC_0729 - University of Washington
... the distribution of climatic zones with drier arid area and wetter humid area. Most nonpolar arid areas and the Amazonia become drier, likely because of the weakening of the tropical circulation systems. The northern high latitudes and Asian monsoon regions become wetter. It suggests the enhanced la ...
... the distribution of climatic zones with drier arid area and wetter humid area. Most nonpolar arid areas and the Amazonia become drier, likely because of the weakening of the tropical circulation systems. The northern high latitudes and Asian monsoon regions become wetter. It suggests the enhanced la ...
13_02 Unstable Climates
... on shorter periods would not capture the full climatic cycle; normals based on longer periods were not necessary since climate was believed to repeat itself. Brückner’s cycles did not long survive the twentieth century; neither the statistical evidence for them nor any understanding of their cause ...
... on shorter periods would not capture the full climatic cycle; normals based on longer periods were not necessary since climate was believed to repeat itself. Brückner’s cycles did not long survive the twentieth century; neither the statistical evidence for them nor any understanding of their cause ...
United Nations Development Programme
... (Please provide information on the areas of work in relation to the items included in decision 3/CP.18 as listed in the introductory note as well as any additional focus areas, that your organization/associated network has been mandated to address. These could include relevant institutional policy s ...
... (Please provide information on the areas of work in relation to the items included in decision 3/CP.18 as listed in the introductory note as well as any additional focus areas, that your organization/associated network has been mandated to address. These could include relevant institutional policy s ...
Changing times, changing stories: generational differences in
... 2014). These changes have the potential to affect traditional knowledge systems and livelihoods and to stress the adaptive capacities of indigenous communities. In response to the accelerating rate of environmental change in the Arctic and Subarctic, studies focused on indigenous knowledge (IK) and ...
... 2014). These changes have the potential to affect traditional knowledge systems and livelihoods and to stress the adaptive capacities of indigenous communities. In response to the accelerating rate of environmental change in the Arctic and Subarctic, studies focused on indigenous knowledge (IK) and ...
Nitrogen Flows in Agricultural Systems: A Modeling Perspective
... expected to provide significant mitigation to the effect of warming. ...
... expected to provide significant mitigation to the effect of warming. ...
Climate change and the impact of aerosol
... are more regional and less persistent into the future than those of the long lived greenhouse gases. Aerosol concentrations are highly variable in space and time due to their short lifetime. This variability is an important factor in the relatively large uncertainty surrounding aerosol effects on cl ...
... are more regional and less persistent into the future than those of the long lived greenhouse gases. Aerosol concentrations are highly variable in space and time due to their short lifetime. This variability is an important factor in the relatively large uncertainty surrounding aerosol effects on cl ...
Responses of reference evapotranspiration to changes in
... affected months were May, June, July and August, while the least affected months were November, December and January. KEY WORDS: Evapotranspiration · Climate change · Temperature · Relative humidity · Spain Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher ...
... affected months were May, June, July and August, while the least affected months were November, December and January. KEY WORDS: Evapotranspiration · Climate change · Temperature · Relative humidity · Spain Resale or republication not permitted without written consent of the publisher ...
Does adaptation to climate change provide food security? A micro-perspective from Ethiopia: Working Paper 19 (334 kB) (opens in new window)
... in sub-Saharan Africa there is the issue of food security. In this part of Africa, millions of small scale subsistence farmers farm land and produce food in extremely challenging conditions. The production environment is known to be characterized by a joint combination of low land productivity and h ...
... in sub-Saharan Africa there is the issue of food security. In this part of Africa, millions of small scale subsistence farmers farm land and produce food in extremely challenging conditions. The production environment is known to be characterized by a joint combination of low land productivity and h ...
Effects of global warming
The effects of global warming are the environmental and social changes caused (directly or indirectly) by human emissions of greenhouse gases. There is a scientific consensus that climate change is occurring, and that human activities are the primary driver. Many impacts of climate change have already been observed, including glacier retreat, changes in the timing of seasonal events (e.g., earlier flowering of plants), and changes in agricultural productivity.Future effects of climate change will vary depending on climate change policies and social development. The two main policies to address climate change are reducing human greenhouse gas emissions (climate change mitigation) and adapting to the impacts of climate change. Geoengineering is another policy option.Near-term climate change policies could significantly affect long-term climate change impacts. Stringent mitigation policies might be able to limit global warming (in 2100) to around 2 °C or below, relative to pre-industrial levels. Without mitigation, increased energy demand and extensive use of fossil fuels might lead to global warming of around 4 °C. Higher magnitudes of global warming would be more difficult to adapt to, and would increase the risk of negative impacts.