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A hydrogeologic framework for characterizing summer streamflow
A hydrogeologic framework for characterizing summer streamflow

... (e.g., rain-dominated, mixture of rain and snow, and snowdominated), sensitivity validation was primarily driven by the snow-dominated watersheds, which are subjected to a wider range of change in recharge timing and magnitude as a result of increased temperature. Overall, two patterns emerge from t ...
Mapping South African Farming
Mapping South African Farming

... yields losses (Erasmus et al. 2000; Poonyth et al. 2002). Other studies develop a more comprehensive analysis of the economic impacts by including adaptation options (Deressa 2003; Gbetibouo 2004; Gbetibouo and Hassan 2005; Benhin 2006). Based on predictions regarding the physiological responses of ...
Climate Adaptation Outlook
Climate Adaptation Outlook

Climate Change and International Economic Law
Climate Change and International Economic Law

... economic law. Indeed, as Suzanne A. Spears notes, the question of ―how to strike a balance between principles regarding the protection and promotion of foreign investment on the one hand and principles regarding the protection of society and the environment on the other‖12 is ―[o]ne of the most impo ...
Situation Analysis on Climate Change - 400 Bad Request
Situation Analysis on Climate Change - 400 Bad Request

... Ecosystems for Life will develop, through dialogue and research, longer-term relationships between various stakeholder groups within and between the countries. It will develop a common understanding to generate policy options on how to develop and manage natural resources sustainably such that livel ...
The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis
The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis

... These already alarming figures may prove too conservative. Weather-related disasters alone cause significant economic losses. Over the past five years this toll has gone as high as $230 billion, with several years around $100 billion and a single year around $50 billion. Such disasters have increase ...
Diagnosing Present and Future Permafrost from Climate Models
Diagnosing Present and Future Permafrost from Climate Models

... Permafrost is a characteristic aspect of the terrestrial Arctic and the fate of near-surface permafrost over the next century is likely to exert strong controls on Arctic hydrology and biogeochemistry. Using output from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), the author ...
Payne and Pates 2009 Wetlands Ecology and Management
Payne and Pates 2009 Wetlands Ecology and Management

... of these results; very rapid peat accumulation, as suggested by the radiocarbon dates, and ...
Vanishing Polar Ice Sheets
Vanishing Polar Ice Sheets

... the past 50 million years (m.y.), the world has evolved from a largely ice-free Greenhouse Earth with atmospheric CO2 concentrations 3–6 times pre-industrial levels, and sea level over 60 m higher, into an Icehouse Earth with lower CO2 concentrations. Concentrations were low enough by 34 m.y. ago to ...
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Adaptation at the negotiations

Cool Response: The seC & CoRpoRaTe ClimaTe Change RepoRTing SEC Climate Guidance &
Cool Response: The seC & CoRpoRaTe ClimaTe Change RepoRTing SEC Climate Guidance &

... companies.4 The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that no more than one-third of coal, oil and gas companies’ reserves can be burned without causing dangerous global warming of 2 degrees Celsius or more.5 If publicly traded fossil fuel companies cannot use significant amounts of fossil fue ...
Ecosystems and Wildlife: Climate Change Adaptation Plan
Ecosystems and Wildlife: Climate Change Adaptation Plan

... Guidance Document also outlines more specifically how climate change can be incorporated into each of the “eight elements” required in the original Wildlife Action Plans. While not required of individual states, updating plans to better address climate change is a first step in the revision of Wildl ...
A brief description of models used in this staff working document
A brief description of models used in this staff working document

... concentration. The developments in the energy system and in agricultural demand and production are described on the scale of 24 or 26 world regions, respectively. Environmental parameters are simulated at a 0.5 by 0.5 degree resolution by the ecosystem, crop and landuse models of IMAGE. Greenhouse g ...
time invariance and implications for bias correction
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... and it is the aggregate statistics of all years in the sample that are assessed. For each of these sets, ...
TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS

... At the first World Climate Conference (WCC) in 1979, scientific evidence was presented linking human interference with climate. In 1988, the United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution urging the ‘Protection of global climate for present and future generations of mankind.’ Two years later, ...
DOC - unece
DOC - unece

... Figure I: Number of total affected people by drought, extreme temperatures and flood disasters* in the UNECE Region (1970-2008) (Source: EM-DAT database by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters CRED –Universitè Catholique de Louvain – adapted by ...
Strategy 3 of the National Strategy on Climate Change
Strategy 3 of the National Strategy on Climate Change

... committee which composed of representatives from public and private sector as well as NGOs has provided helpful technical supports. It is hoped that this report will prove useful to the national and international community and increase general awareness of climate change among interested readers. Th ...
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- NERC Open Research Archive

... sponsored by IGBP, SCOR and the Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC), was developed as a response to the need to understand global change effects on the abundance, diversity and productivity of marine populations (from zooplankton to fish) and hence marine ecosystems. GLOBEC made importan ...
International Council on Human Rights Policy (Stephen Humphreys), Climate Change and Human Rights: A Rough Guide (ICHRP, 2008) - FULL TEXT
International Council on Human Rights Policy (Stephen Humphreys), Climate Change and Human Rights: A Rough Guide (ICHRP, 2008) - FULL TEXT

... and conflicts will result. Only very gradually will these awful consequences reach those whose lifestyles and activities are most to blame. Climate change will, in short, have immense human consequences. We have known this for a long time. This report is not by any means the first to draw attention ...
Dear editor and reviewers, Thanks for your comments concerning
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... recorded an obvious increasing trend for precipitation, while the increasing trend was weak at the Xiehela Hydrological Station. However, the inter-annual variability was larger at Xiehela Hydrological Station than that at the Aksu Meteorological Station. Although precipitation is generally much dif ...
What are the next steps? - Environmental Law Institute
What are the next steps? - Environmental Law Institute

... This publication is part of a project to strengthen legal capacities in Mexico, to analyze and propose alternatives that facilitate climate change mitigation and the transition to a low carbon economy. It started as an initiative of the Ministry of the Environment and Natural Resources (Semarnat). I ...
Assessment Report
Assessment Report

... land waterlogging, flooding, drinking water deficit, and road and bridge problems due to landslides). Adaptation shall be focused on preventing or abating the aggravation of the ecoregion’s existing problems resulting from “abnormal” weather and climatic events. In their studies the authors took int ...
Climate Policy Integration, Coherence, and Governance
Climate Policy Integration, Coherence, and Governance

... other policy aims been decided and are there procedures for determining the relative priorities? ...
Australian rangelands and climate change – Cenchrus
Australian rangelands and climate change – Cenchrus

... is generally considered that C4 plants have an advantage in a warmer climate due to their higher CO2 assimilation rates at higher temperatures and higher photosynthetic optima than their C3 counterparts (Dwyer et al. 2007). Indeed, plants of buffel grass were able to acclimate to warmer temperatures ...
Climate Change in the Baltic Sea Area
Climate Change in the Baltic Sea Area

... global emissions of large quantities of greenhouse gases, particularly since the middle of the 20th century. Greenhouse gases have been shown to account for a significant proportion of the global increase in temperature during the past century. “Climate change” is a neutral term, however, as changes ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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