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Climate Change North | Signs of Change: Studying Tree Rings
Climate Change North | Signs of Change: Studying Tree Rings

... The understanding and awareness of historical climate change is steadily growing as people around the world gather information from glacier ice, trees, lake bottoms and oral traditions. While scientists use glacier ice and muck from the bottom of lakes and oceans to determine that the climate was li ...
The perspective of climate change impacts on agriculture and the
The perspective of climate change impacts on agriculture and the

... The impact of climate change on water resources will become a critical issue. Even if emissions of greenhouse gases were stabilised today, increases in temperature and the associated impacts, including water availability and flooding will continue for many decades to come (EEA 2007a). There is recen ...
Robust Analysis of Future Climate Change Impacts on Water for
Robust Analysis of Future Climate Change Impacts on Water for

... cycle from input climate time series. This allows for direct simulation of water management responses to climate change without resorting to perturbations of historically observed climate conditions. In the Sacramento River Basin, the four climate time series adopted for the 2006 Climate Change Repo ...
Regional assessment of climate change impacts on maize
Regional assessment of climate change impacts on maize

... the frequency distribution of yield responds to changes in the climatic settings (Kaylen and Korom 1991; Park and Sinclair 1993). There are several ways to infer a distribution of yield from climatic data. A first possibility is to use process-based models of crop growth along with a set of daily we ...
Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles
Efficiently Constraining Climate Sensitivity with Ensembles

CLIMATE CHANGE 2013 The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers climate change
CLIMATE CHANGE 2013 The Physical Science Basis Summary for Policymakers climate change

... interannual variability (see Figure SPM.1). Due to natural variability, trends based on short records are very sensitive to the beginning and end dates and do not in general reflect long-term climate trends. As one example, the rate of warming over the past 15 years (1998–2012; 0.05 [–0.05 to 0.15] ...
Lecture13_Atmospheres Part 2_sm
Lecture13_Atmospheres Part 2_sm

... •  Increase in greenhouse gases leads to warming, while a decrease leads to cooling ...
India`s climate pledge and the global goal of limiting warming below
India`s climate pledge and the global goal of limiting warming below

... countries like India to find a balance between poverty alleviation goals and GHG emission reductions. Given limited international co-operation and India’s huge reliance on coal for power production, one worries if India will be able to fulfill its developmental goals in the next 15 years, while stil ...
Global Climate Change Policies: From Bali to Copenhagen and
Global Climate Change Policies: From Bali to Copenhagen and

... But neither the precise nature, nor the duration, of such commitment periods are specified. Theoretically, a second commitment period (CP2), together with the issue of which Parties it applies to and how, could be negotiated under the framework provided by Kyoto or as part of a new protocol under th ...
An overview of climate change impacts on European viticulture
An overview of climate change impacts on European viticulture

... content, and yield. Other berry organoleptic properties such as color, flavor, and aroma components are inhibited by excessive solar radiance and severe dryness too. This results in unbalanced wines, with high alcoholic content and excessively low acidity (Jones 2004). In this context, the Mediterra ...
Nonstate Actors in the Global Climate Regime
Nonstate Actors in the Global Climate Regime

Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and
Forest ecosystem climate change impact assessment and

... suggest adaptation strategies that could be adopted by policy makers to cope with this change. The expected changes in distribution of different forest ecosystems, as well as in their parameters of growth, were determined for the years 2020, 2050 and 2080 taking 30 yr average climate data for the pe ...
PPT
PPT

... • Increase in greenhouse gases leads to warming, while a decrease leads to cooling ...
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation
The 4 ‘I’s of Adaptation

... Introduction Climate change is an environmental, economic, energy, social justice and equity issue, which is a major threat to all aspects of human development and to the achievement of the Millennium Development Goals. The poorest and most vulnerable communities are already experiencing the impact ...
Hasan, F.A. Human Agency, Climate Change, and Culture
Hasan, F.A. Human Agency, Climate Change, and Culture

... of the local population. It is only through long-term archaeological and historical analysis, as well as detailed examination of the social dynamics on local and regional scales within an interregional framework, that we can begin to detect the differential impact of the same climatic event. I wish ...
2. Global warming is occurring
2. Global warming is occurring

... Joseph Florence, staff researcher for Earth Policy Institute, July 2007, USA Today, p. 61 Elevated temperatures primarily are due to the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, particularly carbon dioxide (C02) from the burning of fossil fuels. Once released, C02 traps heat that would otherwi ...
Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea
Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea

... Climate change is a serious issue, but in many cases is remains questionable if it is a dominant issue., Printed at ...
Climate change and livestock production in Ethiopia
Climate change and livestock production in Ethiopia

... country. It is the source of many social and economic values such as food, draught power, fuel, cash income, security and investment in both the highlands and the lowlands/pastoral farming systems (FDRE, 2001). The recent livestock population of Ethiopia estimates that the country has about 52.1 mil ...
The social cost of atmospheric release
The social cost of atmospheric release

... (CO2) emissions in a given year. The US Government describes it as being Bintended to include (but not limited to) changes in net agricultural productivity, human health, property damages from increased flood risk, and the value of ecosystem services due to climate change.^ (US Government 2013; here ...
Handbook on the OECD-DAC Climate Markers
Handbook on the OECD-DAC Climate Markers

... management of natural resources. For example, a sustainable forest management project can contribute to biodiversity conservation, to capturing carbon (climate change mitigation) and to reducing climate risk (climate change adaptation). In drylands such a project can also help to combat desertifica ...
BIODIVERSITY SECTOR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
BIODIVERSITY SECTOR RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

... biodiversity (Cowling et al. 1996, Myers et al. 2000), and many of its natural ecosystems are relatively intact (Scholes & Biggs, 2005), despite the changes in land cover that have accompanied societal development. • Anthropogenic climate change are likely to cause increasingly adverse impacts on th ...
Climate Change, Adaptive Strategies and Rural Livelihoods in
Climate Change, Adaptive Strategies and Rural Livelihoods in

... adaptive capacities in semiarid areas of Tanzania. The methods used in this study included focus group discussions, key informant interviews, household surveys and field observations. Results from the study indicate that communities understood climate change in terms of variability in rainfall patte ...
Personal Efficacy, the Information Environment
Personal Efficacy, the Information Environment

... like stem-cell research, where scientists will line up on opposing sides to debate the scientific merits of differing positions. In fact, Bord, O’Connor, and Fisher (2000, p. 215) report that “[a]ccurate knowledge of global warming is the strongest single predictor of behavioral intentions . . .”.(5 ...
Assessment of the impacts of climate change and weather extremes
Assessment of the impacts of climate change and weather extremes

... One aspect of the forestry sector that sets it apart from most other industrial sectors is its long-term planning horizon; in practice, a full tree generation is in the order of 70 to 120 yr, indeed about the same order of duration as the time-frame of most climate change scenarios. A complicating f ...
Impacts of Climate Change on the Management of Upland Waters
Impacts of Climate Change on the Management of Upland Waters

... Since 10 years, several models have detailed the General Circulation Model proposed by the IPCC (1996 and 2002) and predicted changes of the natural components of the hydrological cycle, from temperature and precipitation, to ice and snow cover and to river discharge. They anticipate on a decrease o ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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