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Droughts, floods and freshwater ecosystems: evaluating climate
Droughts, floods and freshwater ecosystems: evaluating climate

... groundwater recharge is expected to occur earlier in the season (Tague et al. 2008). Thus, the streams with groundwater contributions (Sprague, Williamson) have additional increased winter flow. We applied all these changes to historic data. By using the above information, we calculated the new flow ...
Climate change and global justice
Climate change and global justice

... In the absence of mitigation, climate change is projected to have profound, often devastating effects, on hundred of millions of people by the end of this century. Human health is expected to suffer significantly. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), ‘The health status ...
PDF
PDF

... citizens cannot be satisfied without significantly increasing global energy use, and CO2 emissions. Therefore, the author asserts that climate engineering and adaptation are preferable to mitigation, particularly since the science is less than adequate for making firm statements about the Earth’s fu ...
The importance of the Montreal protocol in protecting climate
The importance of the Montreal protocol in protecting climate

... ~11 GtCO2-eq/yr 5-6 times Kyoto target (incl. offsets: HFCs, ozone depl.) Velders et al., PNAS, 2007 Guus Velders, Montreal Protocol and Climate ...
Climate change and animal health in Africa
Climate change and animal health in Africa

... how this might be influenced by human-associated and other factors (20). Moreover, the size and geographical diversity of sub-Saharan Africa make climate change predictions particularly challenging. Nevertheless, observations show that the African continent is warmer than 20 years ago, with an avera ...
Reshaping the Debate on Climate Change A lecture by Mary Robinson,
Reshaping the Debate on Climate Change A lecture by Mary Robinson,

... or reduce the chance of it becoming severe or irreversible. A second way of managing it is to learn how to adapt to those changes that will take place. As to the first, the idea that we can stop climate change happening at all is looking increasingly out of reach. As things stand, as I think you wel ...
Guest Speakers and Presentations
Guest Speakers and Presentations

... important cause of disaster losses for the Canadian P&C insurance industry. ICLR has been working with academic,  insurance and municipal partners to develop tools and resources aimed at assisting key stakeholders in the  mitigation of urban flood risks. This presentation will provide an overview of ...
Climate Change Effects On Wind Speed
Climate Change Effects On Wind Speed

... 2050 using the A2 emission scenario. The map is created by counting the number of model simulations that predict increased wind speed values and dividing by the total number of simulations (i.e., 14). The map provides no information concerning the magnitude of the expected change, but it does provid ...
Public!Intellectuals
Public!Intellectuals

Integrated Development and Climate Policies: how to realise benefits at national
Integrated Development and Climate Policies: how to realise benefits at national

... costs would be about the same as for coal-based electricity, energy security would however decrease. The “Working for water programme” aimed to eradicate water guzzling exotic tree species and to create employment, but also reduced the vulnerability to drought. Current water management mechanisms an ...
Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change
Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change

... because changes in precipitation and other climatic variables may lead to significant changes in water supply in many regions (6–11). The effect of climate change on water resources is, however, uncertain for a number of reasons. Climate model projections, although rather consistent in terms of globa ...
The impact of climate change on the electricity market A review
The impact of climate change on the electricity market A review

... likely to produce higher air and water temperatures, the heat differential between the machine and the environment will decrease, thus reducing the net power generated from a given amount of fuel. Even though the research has mostly been silent on this issue, the problem has grabbed the attention of ...
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning
Climate Change Class at Osher Lifelong Learning

... Global climate change, driven largely by the combustion of fossil fuels and by deforestation, is a growing threat to human well-being in developing and industrialized nations alike. Significant harm from climate change is already occurring, and further damages are a certainty. The challenge now is t ...
Establishing Accountability for Climate Change Damages: Lessons
Establishing Accountability for Climate Change Damages: Lessons

... Oceanography. Without their generous support, this workshop would not have been possible. The Union of Concerned Scientists is the leading science-based nonprofit working for a healthy environment and a safer world. More information about UCS is available on the UCS website at www.ucsusa.org. The Cl ...
climate change: challenges Facing india`s Poor
climate change: challenges Facing india`s Poor

... play and amplify global warming (Lenton, Held et al 2008). The terrestrial biosphere which is now a net sink for carbon dioxide (absorbs CO2) may become a net source as temperatures rise. Methane frozen in permafrost in the Arctic may be released as the permafrost thaws, leading to still higher temp ...
Dealing with the uncertainties of climate engineering
Dealing with the uncertainties of climate engineering

... that they are confronted with uncertainties inherent in the situation and experienced on a psychological level. It also means that they need to remain capable of acting despite of these uncertainties. They are required to act under uncertainty or more specifically, they need to take decisions under u ...
Consultation Questions - Aviation Environment Federation
Consultation Questions - Aviation Environment Federation

... This factor would be difficult to calculate. A practical way forward would be to exclude it on the basis that doing so would counterbalance the effect of some aircraft taking on fuel in the UK for return trips, as mentioned in our reply to question 1. We suggest, however, that the Office for Nation ...
A. Proposal Cover Page and Summary Project title: Natural
A. Proposal Cover Page and Summary Project title: Natural

... projects are usable. This work will also meet key science needs identified by the SRLCC, including protection of riparian and wetland species, vulnerability assessments and adaptive management, and connectivity of migration corridors. By contributing to REVAMP, this project will share a process by w ...
Climate change and the oceans: legal and policy
Climate change and the oceans: legal and policy

... effects on marine biodiversity in the Asia-Pacific region and analyses current and projected legal and policy responses to these dimensions of climate change. Continuing sea level rise, which is already affecting the South China Sea and South East Asia, is expected to have similarly deleterious eff ...
NASA faked the moon landing—therefore
NASA faked the moon landing—therefore

... who espouse science denial is not entirely surprising because if an overwhelming scientific consensus cannot be accepted as the result of researchers independently converging on the same evidence-based view, then the very existence of the consensus calls for an alternative explanation. The ideation ...
A human-induced hothouse climate?
A human-induced hothouse climate?

... at geologically unprecedented rates that far outstrip natural rates of change in CO2 emissions. Evaluating related warming in coming centuries has warranted considerable scientific attention (e.g., IPCC, 2007, and references therein). The geologic record preserves accounts of ancient warmth beyond t ...
Climate Change North | Signs of Change: Studying Tree Rings
Climate Change North | Signs of Change: Studying Tree Rings

... The understanding and awareness of historical climate change is steadily growing as people around the world gather information from glacier ice, trees, lake bottoms and oral traditions. While scientists use glacier ice and muck from the bottom of lakes and oceans to determine that the climate was li ...
Stern Review
Stern Review

... different levels of stabilisation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Scientists also now understand much more about the potential for dynamic feedbacks that have, in previous times of climate change, strongly amplified the underlying physical processes. The stocks of greenhouse gases in the atmo ...
Presentation (power point file)
Presentation (power point file)

... these conflicts such as poverty and economic shocks. ...
Get Real on Climate: Climate change lesson
Get Real on Climate: Climate change lesson

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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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