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Chapter 2: Framework for analysis - Australia`s Low Pollution Future
Chapter 2: Framework for analysis - Australia`s Low Pollution Future

... delivered heat, light and motion to firms and households, and underpinned rising living standards. Continued growth in greenhouse gases emissions from human activities increases the risk of dangerous, human-driven interference with the Earth’s climate (IPCC, 2007a). To respond to these risks, the in ...
Climate vulnerability of socio-economic systems
Climate vulnerability of socio-economic systems

... associated with floods were deaths and injuries from drowning, infectious diseases, exposure to toxic substances, infrastructure damage, crops and livestock damage, community breakdowns, increased psychological stress, and increased demands on health systems and social security. Future projections s ...
Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and
Climate change impacts, adaptive capacity, and

... 2007). Atmospheric CO2 concentration in 2100 is projected to increase to at least 486 ppm (in some scenarios even beyond 1000 ppm) compared to the pre-industrial concentration of 280 ppm (Nakicenovic et al., 2000). Forests are particularly sensitive to climate change, because the long life-span of t ...
Ayni, Ayllu - Kings College
Ayni, Ayllu - Kings College

... ly agreed that the innovations in agricultural practices are based on pre-existing cultural values and traditional knowledge. For example, one specific change remarked upon in all of the focus group discussions was that certain potato crops can no longer be cultivated in the lower zones of the Park, ...
Risk of ruin paper - Institute and Faculty of Actuaries
Risk of ruin paper - Institute and Faculty of Actuaries

... IPCC (2007) is a survey of existing literature – it deals with what is known and considered to be most likely to happen. For example sea level rises are projected to rise between 0.18 and 0.58m by 2099. IPCC (2007a) then goes on to say “Models used to date do not include uncertainties in climate-ca ...
Achieving Sustainable Food Security in the Face of Climate Change
Achieving Sustainable Food Security in the Face of Climate Change

... 2080, we will be producing more food than we do currently, but it will be more expensive in real terms (Lybbert & Summer 2010). The higher prices of food traditionally acts as a boon to farmers because demand for food and other agricultural outputs tend to be inelastic, which means that demand for f ...
Northern Hemisphere glaciation and the evolution of Plio
Northern Hemisphere glaciation and the evolution of Plio

... Received 29 July 2009; revised 3 December 2009; accepted 20 January 2010; published 4 August 2010. ...
STRIVE Elucidating the Impact of Report Series No.52
STRIVE Elucidating the Impact of Report Series No.52

... climate, the smaller droplet size will also impact on air ...
Power Switch - Environmental Defense Fund
Power Switch - Environmental Defense Fund

... fast as the overall economy—to nearly $200 billion. In Connecticut, where I live, there’s almost as much solar power today as there was in the entire U.S. in 2004. Under the old model, coal-burning power plants generated electricity, which was sent hundreds of miles over power lines. Today, rooftop ...
Climate-change lore and its implications for
Climate-change lore and its implications for

... centers, and qualifying communities became officially designated as Kurort or Heilbad. As such, a Kur became ‘an accepted and state-supported form of therapy.’ (Maretzki, 1989:22). ...
Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget - Apollo
Sensitivity and the Carbon Budget - Apollo

... Each doubling in concentration is represented by the same distance along the horizontal axis. The temperature change illustrates the impact of change in CO2 concentration without any of the amplifying effects of the feedback system. The 280 ppm point marks the pre-industrial benchmark. Temperature v ...
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PDF

... particular, we look at optimal investment strategies in emerging economies in terms of energy capital and knowledge when different assumptions are made about the foresight of their own eventual commitment. We investigate the recent and projected investment trends in innovation and low carbon techno ...
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PDF

... McKinsey [1998] has developed a model of Indian agriculture which treats the three components of the Green Revolution as endogenous responses to more basic investments in agricultural technology and infrastructure. We extend the Ricardian idea into McKinsey’s technology model, and incorporate expli ...
CLIMATE CHANGE Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change: Outlook for Knowledge,Tools and Action
CLIMATE CHANGE Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change: Outlook for Knowledge,Tools and Action

Climate Risk Screening and Management Tool for Strategy Design
Climate Risk Screening and Management Tool for Strategy Design

... (pg. 13). These are the elements you will be screening. If you refine or modify your DO or IR, simply update that column. Screening at the IR level is recommended. However, screening can also be done at the DO level, especially in low-risk areas. OR… ● If DOs and IRs have not yet been drafted, you m ...
Climate Change in Pilot Point, Alaska
Climate Change in Pilot Point, Alaska

... between 1949 and 2008, average annual temperatures increased by 3.8 degrees Fahrenheit (°F) with most warming occurring in winter (+8.1°F) and the least in the fall (+0.6°F)(Alaska Climate Research Center). Long term records show a gradual increase in average annual temperature since 1925. The recor ...
Global change final
Global change final

... Here, microbial detritivores begin the decomposition process, impregnating the leaves with inorganic nutrients or accumulating the available nutrients into their own biomass, as well as releasing carbon dioxide or methane into the environment as a result of their respiration (Anderson 1979). The act ...
climate science
climate science

... the atmosphere and ocean, high dimensionality of the system (many different variables, varying in three dimensions and with time), and the linking of multiple subsystems (e.g. atmosphere, oceans, land surface, glacier ice). The aggregate properties and changes of complex systems cannot be determined ...
Full Congressional testimonials
Full Congressional testimonials

... the atmosphere and ocean, high dimensionality of the system (many different variables, varying in three dimensions and with time), and the linking of multiple subsystems (e.g. atmosphere, oceans, land surface, glacier ice). The aggregate properties and changes of complex systems cannot be determined ...
Call for proposals - Technical Centre for Agricultural and Rural
Call for proposals - Technical Centre for Agricultural and Rural

... understand the impacts of such solutions and draw lessons for scaling them up. It will gather and disseminate evidence in appropriate forms to key audiences, with a view to strengthening the capacity of farmers and stakeholders to develop, identify and adopt policies and practices that help agricul ...
Uncertainty, scepticism and attitudes towards climate change
Uncertainty, scepticism and attitudes towards climate change

... Uncertainty & attitudes towards climate change creating the impression that the causes of climate change are more controversial than they actually are. Corbett and Durfee (2004) have emphasised that the word ‘uncertainty’ need not be present in an article in order for the science to be portrayed as ...
Role of CO2 and Southern Ocean winds in glacial abrupt climate
Role of CO2 and Southern Ocean winds in glacial abrupt climate

Results Part A: amount of appearances
Results Part A: amount of appearances

... get an understanding of what climate change is. The definition of the IPCC will be used: “Climate change in IPCC usage refers to a change in the state of the climate that can be identified (e.g. using statistical tests) by changes in the mean and/or the variability of its properties, and that persis ...
1. COUNTRY PROFILE: CLIMATE CHANGE AND VARIABILITY
1. COUNTRY PROFILE: CLIMATE CHANGE AND VARIABILITY

... 1.1 Current climate and expected change Burkina Faso is a flat landlocked country with an area of 274,200 sq km. Located between 10 and 15 degrees northern latitude, the country is found in the Niger River Loop, despite a close link to the Gulf of Guinea through Volta River. Burkina Faso is bordered ...
Climate Change Threatens Penguins
Climate Change Threatens Penguins

... Flickr ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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