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Implementation of the Clean Development Mechanism in
Implementation of the Clean Development Mechanism in

... Preparation of its Initial National Communication to the UNFCCC Secretariat 3. Realization of the above project 4. Creation of the National Action Plan for the Climate Change 5. Creation of the Study on the Conditions for ratification of Kyoto protocol, and the Strategy of its ratification, includin ...
Paleoecological evidence for abrupt cold reversals during peak
Paleoecological evidence for abrupt cold reversals during peak

PETITION To the Commission on Human Rights
PETITION To the Commission on Human Rights

... beings. Hence, we demand accountability of those contributing to climate change. A recent research endeavour, undertaken by Mr. Richard Heede of the Climate Accountability Institute, quantified and traced “for the first time the lion’s share of cumulative global CO2 and methane emissions since the i ...
Adapting to climate change
Adapting to climate change

... The UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) are an important step forward in improving understanding of our complex climate. There are assumptions and uncertainties in any work of this kind, but these Projections represent strong and credible climate science. They begin to quantify the uncertainties we ...
Canadian Earth System Model CanESM2
Canadian Earth System Model CanESM2

... not clear. Likely candidates include more realistic treatment of atmospheric aerosols (Mishchenko et al., 2010), surface use changes (Pielke et al., 2002, 2007) and clouds, and perhaps a better characterization of 50–80 yr climate modes related to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillations (Polyakov and ...
Natural Disaster, Risk and Catastrophic Scenarios: a Review.
Natural Disaster, Risk and Catastrophic Scenarios: a Review.

... chosen. In fact, it is curious and funny to note that the authors of this critique will receive the same kind of comments after a couple of years (It is the case of comments of the Weitzman’s Dismal Theorem). Notwithstanding the doubts, the critiques and the controversies, the Stern Review is the en ...
the state of climate change adaptation in Canada`s protected areas
the state of climate change adaptation in Canada`s protected areas

Can International Law Improve the Climate
Can International Law Improve the Climate

... mix of these greenhouse gases at any given time determines what proportion of the radiation is contained and held close to the Earth. This in turn determines the temperature of the surface itself.' 3 Industrialization has contributed more greenhouse gases, specifically carbon dioxide and has added a ...
Protecting People Displaced by Weather
Protecting People Displaced by Weather

... climate-related displacement in a manner that respects the rights and dignity of those affected. I. CLIMATE CHANGE AND HUMAN MOBILITY As early as 1990, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that one of the most significant impacts of climate change could be on human mobility ...
Georgia report NEWER - Physicians for Social Responsibility
Georgia report NEWER - Physicians for Social Responsibility

... of stopping.1 During the past one hundred years, average global surface temperatures have increased by approximately one degree Fahrenheit. Each and every year from 1987 to 1999 has been one of the fifteen warmest years on record.2 Although uncertainties exist in measuring global warming, an overwhe ...
Hot Damned America: Evangelicalism and the Climate Change
Hot Damned America: Evangelicalism and the Climate Change

... force to be reckoned with, making up roughly 30 percent of the American population.2 Second, and perhaps more important, the response to climate change within the evangelical community has been quite discordant, thereby offering valuable insight into the complex and oft-misunderstood group labeled “ ...
Indigenous Peoples, Lands, and Resources
Indigenous Peoples, Lands, and Resources

... Ch. 7: Forests). Warmer, drier, and longer fire seasons and increased forest fuel load will lead to insect outbreaks and the spread of invasive species, dry grasses, and other fuel sources (see Ch. 7: Forests). Wildfire threatens Native and tribal homes, safety, economies, culturally important speci ...
Climate Change: An Agenda for Global Collective Action
Climate Change: An Agenda for Global Collective Action

... The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) notes that fossil fuelbased carbon dioxide emissions are “virtually certain to be the dominant influence on the trends in atmospheric CO2 concentration during the 21st century.”6 This dominance reflects the half-life of carbon dioxide: emissions c ...
Item 5 Climate Change Adaptation Strategy
Item 5 Climate Change Adaptation Strategy

... plants. In the 2007 floods in the South of England, whole counties were left without fresh tap water for days due to the pollution of water treatment facilities by the floodwaters, and at one stage the potential flooding of an electricity substation threatened millions of people with power cuts, unt ...
Climate Induced Migration - The International Journal of Climate
Climate Induced Migration - The International Journal of Climate

... remain under threat because 1 in every 11 people at that time will be affected by environmental factors (Christian Aid 2007). Brown (2007) suggests that four decades from now environmentally induced migration could be an issue for 3% of the current world population. The German Advisory Council on Gl ...


... dependent on the impact models used. The most common variables in impact studies are surface observations of air temperature and precipitation. Some impact models require a larger set of variables as input, such as solar radiation, humidity, windspeed, soil temperature and snow cover. Certain climat ...
- Bipartisan Policy Center
- Bipartisan Policy Center

... and mapping its location. Climate model projections of future warming due to global emissions of greenhouse gases were then used to estimate how much extra the projected warming would cost the state in maintaining its existing infrastructure. There are plans to update and extend this research as mor ...
Assessing Effects of Variation in Global Climate Data Sets on Spatial
Assessing Effects of Variation in Global Climate Data Sets on Spatial

... ranging from approximately 30 arc-seconds to 10 arcminutes. The CRU data set is also global in extent, covers a time span of 29 years (1961–1990) and is available at a resolution of approximately 10 arc-min (all models described herein were created at the common resolution shared by the two data set ...
Climate Justice Campaigns and Environmental
Climate Justice Campaigns and Environmental

... about the appropriateness of calls for international protection and/or asylum, and how to define the group of people who should be eligible for the term environmental refugees. Climate Justice Campaigns and Environmental Refugees One prominent example of the use of the term environmental refugees h ...
Business development meeting
Business development meeting

... • Very low confidence that annual and seasonal rainfall totals have changed in either direction over the past 50 years, but also very low confidence that there has been no change; • Very low confidence regarding changes in rainfall extremes (due to limited evidence & rarity of such events); • High c ...
Climate of the Past
Climate of the Past

... The development of scenarios and assessment cases starts with a good knowledge of the expected evolution of the disposal system and its environment and the possible disruptions to this evolution. It is, however, virtually impossible to predict exactly what will be the evolution of the disposal syste ...
Complaint
Complaint

Managing for climate change on federal lands of the western United
Managing for climate change on federal lands of the western United

... incorporate general language about climate change in regional and landscape-level planning documents, they are currently not planning on-the-ground adaptation or mitigation projects. However, managers felt that their organizations were most likely to adapt to climate change through use of existing m ...
Sample pages 2 PDF
Sample pages 2 PDF

... towards unearthing and documenting the experiences of the villagers to form recommendations that can be used by villagers who will experience similar relocation due to sea-level-rise. This research forms a key element to tackle the adverse impacts of climate change by proactively learning about clim ...
Word format - Australian Human Rights Commission
Word format - Australian Human Rights Commission

... for example through an increase in the range and spread of disease.1 The impacts of climate change are also a particular concern in the Asia Pacific region. According to the fifth report from the Working Group on Climate Change and Development, Up in Smoke? Asia and the Pacific, which was released i ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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