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Vienna Convention Trust Fund Advisory Committee
Vienna Convention Trust Fund Advisory Committee

... their utility” for long term monitoring  Develop capacity in Article -5 and EIT countries to address ORM ...
(condensed)(large file! 10Mb) - Department of Physics and Astronomy
(condensed)(large file! 10Mb) - Department of Physics and Astronomy

... The Global Warming Dilemma (Mahlman, 2002) “The harsh reality of the Global Warming Dilemma: Consider the policymakers’ sincere question: “What can we do in a mitigation context to keep global warming from happening?” The blunt answer is almost nothing; climate change is well underway and it carrie ...
Adaptation Planning – What U.S. States and Localities are Doing
Adaptation Planning – What U.S. States and Localities are Doing

... The scientific community has reached a strong consensus that the climate is changing. Current projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) indicate the continental United States can expect temperature increases of between 5.4ºF and 12.6ºF by the year 2100.1 This warming will h ...
Climate Action Plan - Reporting Institutions
Climate Action Plan - Reporting Institutions

Climate change : quantifying the health impact at national
Climate change : quantifying the health impact at national

... describes how the methods that were applied in the World Health Organization global comparative risk assessment project, and a regional assessment in Australasia, can be "down-scaled" to the national or sub-national level. It also highlights where further research is likely to improve the assessment ...
Climate change and drought policy in Victoria: context and
Climate change and drought policy in Victoria: context and

... implications of climate change within Australia has only recently emerged. The weight of scientific evidence now confirms that to avert dangerous climate change, global greenhouse gas emissions will need to reduce by 60 – 80 per cent over the next 45 years. Given the entrenched dependence of the Aus ...
Author's personal copy
Author's personal copy

... push model, for example, information may be seen as useful by scientists, but ultimately not usable by users. This first model represents the ‘‘loading dock’’ approach, where information that may or not be relevant, is simply released and may not ever be ‘‘picked up’’ due to a range of factors (Cash ...
Going to town - Germanwatch eV
Going to town - Germanwatch eV

... which the GCF will build on involves the funding institution, the implementing entity (IE) tasked with the implementation of the project, and the project beneficiary. Under these circumstances it is already possible to have a particular urban focus on an AF or GCF funded project, however in practice ...
Section 6.4
Section 6.4

... information available on global Climate Change climate change comes from the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel On Climate Change (IPCC). •IPCC reports: contain data and analyses that have been agreed & accepted by 2500 climate scientists worldwide & the governments participating in the stu ...
pdf
pdf

... long-term climate trends, much less attention has been given to comparisons of tree vulnerability across sites within a given system (but see Schröter et al. 2005). Different researchers have found either enhancement or decline responses in radial growth to increasing temperatures (Boisvenue and Runn ...
Text - American Meteorological Society
Text - American Meteorological Society

... Events under Nonlinear Climate Change) are assessed. In winter, variability in midlatitudes decreases whereas in very high latitudes and the tropics it increases. In summer, variability increases over most land areas and in the tropics, with decreasing variability in high latitude oceans. Multiple r ...
Protected area needs in a changing climate
Protected area needs in a changing climate

... We have used existing multi-species modeling efforts for three regions – tropical Mexico, the Cape Floristic Province of South Africa, and Western Europe – to assess protected area needs associated with climate change. Members of our group and co-workers have published a series of papers on multi-sp ...
Do the stock markets price climate change risks?
Do the stock markets price climate change risks?

... amount of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere. GHGs are important as they affect the amount of solar energy that is trapped on Earth and that is reflected back to the space. Typical greenhouse gases include for instance carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O). Climate chan ...
Superannuation Trustees and Climate Change Report
Superannuation Trustees and Climate Change Report

... on insurance earnings,19 but also reduced production for some miners20 and forced up global coal prices, which has flow on effects for companies relying on cheap coal for profitability.21 The insurance and mining industries factor in big climate events such as flooding in their respective decision m ...
Population Engineering and the Fight against Climate Change
Population Engineering and the Fight against Climate Change

... Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in Earth’s atmosphere are raising mean surface temperatures and altering our climate. These changes already imperil human well-being and will only get worse without intervention. The most frequently cited harms of climate change include those asso ...
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PDF

... AfJARE Vol 2 No 1 March 2008 ...
Biodiversity climate change impacts report card technical paper
Biodiversity climate change impacts report card technical paper

... 9. Lake plankton (Section 5.1) has provided the best examples of climate change effects because it is easily investigated and long-term data sets have been maintained. Behaviour of the lake plankton provides analogies for effects that may be occurring in less well investigated aspects of freshwater ...
Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in future scenarios
Strengthening of the hydrological cycle in future scenarios

... 3 % K−1 (Held and Soden, 2006; Andrews et al., 2010). Because the non-equilibrium condition is what normally exists in the real world, precipitation change displays marked transient variability at the inter-decadal and longer time scales, which affects the projections of 1P with a very large uncerta ...
Making the Connection: Population Dynamics and Climate
Making the Connection: Population Dynamics and Climate

... In just the last hundred years the world’s population has grown from just over 1 billion people to more than 7 billion people. We now live on a planet dominated by human activity, which has transformed vast areas of the Earth’s surface, altered the atmosphere, and resulted in the extinction of thous ...
The Conservative Case for a Carbon Tax
The Conservative Case for a Carbon Tax

... Conservative opposition to governmental initiatives addressing global warming has become something of a “third-rail” in Republican politics.1 Many conservatives doubt that global warming is happening at all.2 To whatever extent that warming is occurring, conservatives doubt that it is caused primari ...
Knowledge and perceptions about the health
Knowledge and perceptions about the health

... to the effects of climate change. Climate change thus presents a new face and a challenging scenario in the battle to improve global health overall and health in Africa in particular. The magnitude and effects of climate change have been estimated with increasing accuracy and reported from different ...
The Conservative Case for a Carbon Tax
The Conservative Case for a Carbon Tax

... Conservative opposition to governmental initiatives addressing global warming has become something of a “third-rail” in Republican politics.1 Many conservatives doubt that global warming is happening at all.2 To whatever extent that warming is occurring, conservatives doubt that it is caused primari ...
Global warming and 21st century drying - Lamont
Global warming and 21st century drying - Lamont

... agricultural production, and economic activity (e.g., Li et al. 2011; e.g., Ding et al. 2011; e.g., Ross and Lott 2003). Focus on drought vulnerabilities has increased due to a series of recent and severe droughts in regions as diverse as the United States (Hoerling et al. 2012, 2013; Karl et al. 20 ...
Will the Paris agreement save the world?
Will the Paris agreement save the world?

... global carbon emissions will not be achievable as long as the paradigm of perpetual growth is not questioned. The next two papers analyze the policies of climate change in some of the world’s largest carbon emitters. Taoyuan Wei considers the evolution of Chinese climate politics and how climate cha ...
PDF - 15.64MB - RTCC - Responding to Climate Change
PDF - 15.64MB - RTCC - Responding to Climate Change

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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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