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Nota di lavoro 1998.010 - Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei
Nota di lavoro 1998.010 - Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei

... the least cost set of global mitigation options. 3. Experience under the FCCC since Rio has not been auspicious. Although the Second Assessment Report (1996) of the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) expressed the substantial agreement of the scientific community that anthropogenic ac ...
2 20 Century Portuguese Climate and Climate Scenarios
2 20 Century Portuguese Climate and Climate Scenarios

... temperature and in the DTR was located in the year 1940-1941, corresponding to a reported change in the station height by 22 m, from the top of the Geophysical Institute to the nearby garden. Fig. 2.11 shows the DTR annual series, where the jump is clearly identified. The SNHT test gives an extreme ...
Book of abstracts for download
Book of abstracts for download

... D’Andrea, F. Summer heat and drought in continental midlatitudes: of soil moisture and other things ............................................................................................................................. 3 Dell’Aquila A. Reconstructing the past, projecting the future: a regiona ...
pdf 167kb
pdf 167kb

... nitrogen fixation rates in treatment and control plots of the OTC and STF experiments during the summer of 2002. In order to minimize the impacts of repeated samplings, three soil samples were randomly selected for collection in early summer (June 28–July 5) and six soil samples were harvested from t ...
Climate change and communicable diseases in the EU
Climate change and communicable diseases in the EU

... Climate change has already had measurable effects on the varied climates of Europe. Further changes, such as overall warmer temperatures, increased rainfall in Northern Europe, increased water scarcity in Southern Europe and even more extreme weather events, such as flooding and acute precipitation ...
Africa`s climate opportunity: Adapting and thriving
Africa`s climate opportunity: Adapting and thriving

Beckage, B., B. Osborne, D. G. Gavin, C. Pucko, T. Siccama
Beckage, B., B. Osborne, D. G. Gavin, C. Pucko, T. Siccama

... in many respects are analogous to latitudinal climatic gradients, but with distinct boundaries between forest types that facilitate detection of range shifts (Fig. 1) (20, 21). We used historic vegetation plots and remotely sensed data to examine elevational shifts in the distribution of forests in ...
Day3.C.Butchart.pdf
Day3.C.Butchart.pdf

... Distribution of parameterised momentum fluxes largely determined by filtering for nonorographic waves Parameterised momentum fluxes agree well with high resolution model fluxes Trends in the momentum flux follow those in the polar night and subtropical jets Eastward acceleration of the sub-tropi ...
Oceanic forcing of the late 20 century Sahel drought
Oceanic forcing of the late 20 century Sahel drought

... a moist turbulence scheme. The terrestrial component of the model, LM2, is based on the Land Dynamics model described by Milly and Shmakin [2002]. The vegetation categories of LM2 are prescribed to be constant on the basis of annual mean observations. Therefore, vegetation feedback is not included i ...
Ferruginous Hawk Climate Change Adaptation Plan for Alberta
Ferruginous Hawk Climate Change Adaptation Plan for Alberta

... The Ferruginous Hawk (FEHA) is a specialized, open-country buteo limited to grassland and shrub-steppe environments. The Alberta population has declined precipitously since the early 1990s leading to the species being listed as Endangered under the Alberta Wildlife Act. The Alberta Ferruginous Hawk ...
Towards Policy Integration of Disaster Risk, Climate Adaptation, and
Towards Policy Integration of Disaster Risk, Climate Adaptation, and

... The integration of existing global mechanisms into national and local regulatory systems is necessary to ensure the development of adaptive and resilience capacities. In this light, it is important to understand ASEAN member states’ policy and institutional convergence processes aimed at integrating ...
Key Developments in CCS- & John Gale General Manager
Key Developments in CCS- & John Gale General Manager

... Helped get CCS in CDM by addressing issues of concern directly with negotiators UNFCCC ADP TEM and COP Side-Event on CCS Projects (2014) An appreciation in UNFCCC of the reality of large-scale CCS projects IPCC AR5 (2014) see later ...
Soil erosion and climate change: the transect approach and the
Soil erosion and climate change: the transect approach and the

... key parameters that can be monitored to establish change. Some results are presented from the Judean Desert transect in Israel to show how a key indicator, in this case aggregate stability, varies with temperature and to show how process–pattern features vary along the limestone transect from the ar ...
Texas Coastal Bend Regional Climate Change Vulnerability
Texas Coastal Bend Regional Climate Change Vulnerability

... have future effects on sea level, storms, hydrology, geomorphology, natural habitats and species, land use, economy, human health, infrastructure and cultural resources. The assessment identified the stressors that are adding pressures to the ecosystems and humans in the Coastal Bend area. It also u ...
US Virgin Islands Climate Change Ecosystem
US Virgin Islands Climate Change Ecosystem

... actions to protect people from the impacts of climate change is to preserve, enhance and restore natural systems that provide critical protection from the elements, or that provide food, water or work opportunities. Ecosystem-based adaptation, or nature-based adaptation to climate change, is a holis ...
Climate change, species distribution models, and physiological performance metrics: predicting when
Climate change, species distribution models, and physiological performance metrics: predicting when

... environment C vs. less variable: environment A). Similarly, for species characteristic of highly variable environments, we expect TEM to be large relative to environmental fluctuations and we expect the decay slope, or right side of the curve, to be relatively shallow, reflecting the ability of the ...
Historical and idealized climate model experiments
Historical and idealized climate model experiments

... Earth system AOGCMs. New subcomponents (for example, continental ice sheets, representations of peatlands, wetlands or permafrost) are often developed within the EMIC framework before they are embedded into coupled AOGCMs, because development and testing is less computationally expensive. In additio ...
Download here
Download here

... might evolve over the next few months. We will then explore some current research issues including ENSO precursors, ENSO diversity if there are two (or more) types of events –and the potential impacts of ENSO beyond the tropical Pacific. Dr. Michael Alexander is a research meteorologist at the Physi ...
ICPDR Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change
ICPDR Strategy on Adaptation to Climate Change

... impacts is urgently needed. Water, together with temperature, is in ...
climate change adaptation guided by the law
climate change adaptation guided by the law

... Our climate is changing. There is now greater certainty that human activity is the cause of most of the temperature increases in recent decades. It seems that sea levels could conceivably rise more than a metre by the end of the century if emissions continue at their current pace. For those of us li ...
Cause of the widening of the tropical belt since 1958
Cause of the widening of the tropical belt since 1958

... Figure 4. Linear trend (1958 –1999) (shading) (in d/year/decade) and climatological mean (contours) of the daily tropopause pressure PDFs for DJF. Results are for (a) ERA40 reanalysis; (b) SST+RAD; (c) SST; and (d) (Figure 4b) – (Figure 4c). The two vertical lines indicate the mean latitudes of the ...
Changing Planet: Past, Present, Future Lecture 3 – Earth`s Climate
Changing Planet: Past, Present, Future Lecture 3 – Earth`s Climate

... from Andy Knoll about how life has evolved throughout Earth history and he referred to climate change throughout that time period. What I want to do is explore a little bit, what is it that actually controls the climate of a planet and how does it vary over time. Then we'll look at our current predi ...
Day 17
Day 17

... • Evidence that climate conditions have changed since industrialization is now overwhelming and indisputable • The way each of us experiences these impacts will vary tremendously • The impacts on Canada could be particularly severe, depending on where we live ...
PDF
PDF

... Engle (2011) makes an important distinction between characterizing adaptive capacity and measuring it. He highlights how most studies have focused on characterizing adaptive capacity, intended as assessments based on predetermined system attributes that are assumed to increase adaptive capacity. The ...
Operating in Limits: Defining an Australian
Operating in Limits: Defining an Australian

... the first time, the law opens up the possibility of a way to link short- and long-term emissions reduction targets to a scientifically robust ‘carbon budget’ for the nation. The development of this national carbon budget is now central to the deliberations of the Climate Change Authority (the Author ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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