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The UK Climate Change Act 2008
The UK Climate Change Act 2008

... The central pillars of the legislation are legally-binding targets for reducing emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2020 and 2050. These correspond with climate science and international and EU commitments, and a series of five-yearly carbon budgets which set maximum UK emissions on the trajector ...
Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat
Observed and simulated full-depth ocean heat

... OHC changes, suggesting that some models are not state-ofthe-art and require further improvements. However, the ensemble median has excellent agreement with our observational estimate: 0.68 [0.54–0.82] × 1022 J yr−1 (0.42 Wm−2 ) from 1970 to 2005 and 1.25 [1.10–1.41] × 1022 J yr−1 (0.77 Wm−2 ) from ...
Climate Change and Variability in the Sahel Region
Climate Change and Variability in the Sahel Region

... The primary sector employs more than 60 percent of the active population and contributes 40 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the region. Rainfall variability, land degradation and desertification are some of the factors that combine to make life extremely difficult in this part of the ...
Climate-Smart Agriculture Sourcebook MODULE 14: Financing Climate-smart agriculture
Climate-Smart Agriculture Sourcebook MODULE 14: Financing Climate-smart agriculture

... This module addresses the issue of financing climate-smart agriculture (CSA). The first part of the module looks at how climate change affects investment needs for agricultural development to support food security, poverty reduction and economic growth. The focus of the module is on the near term – ...
Working Paper 198 - Castells-Quintana et al (opens in new window)
Working Paper 198 - Castells-Quintana et al (opens in new window)

... reduction have gained increasing attention over recent years in both the academic and policy literature. In this paper we review potential effects of climate change on the prospects for long-run economic development. These effects might operate directly, via the role of geography (including climate) ...
PDF
PDF

... paper e¤ectively provides a selection criterion. It emphasizes that countries bene…t more by choosing those types of adaptive measures that reduce marginal damage from emissions the most (i.e. those associated with a high ): Implementing this type of adaptive measures results in larger stable IEAs w ...
Final Report of the Select Committee on Climate Change
Final Report of the Select Committee on Climate Change

... consultations, informed by a climate change discussion guide, Building a Stronger New Brunswick Response to Climate Change, and reporting to the House with recommendations. The Committee was fortunate to hear from a wide diversity of New Brunswickers who shared their opinions about how New Brunswick ...
PDF
PDF

... Climate change adaptation is possible through farmers’ perception on changes and their autonomous response to the changes, aside from planned implementation of adaptation policy. Such autonomous adaptation usually happens on ad-hoc basis, triggered by climate variability and extreme events. Economic ...
climate vulnerability assessment – islands of dhidhdhoo and
climate vulnerability assessment – islands of dhidhdhoo and

... The Maldives program to Enhance Climate Resiliency and Water Security is intended to demonstrate the process and outcomes needed to allow island communities to maximize their opportunity to overcome impacts from global climate change. The program will provide assistance to the Government of the Mald ...
Treeline dynamics with climate change at the central Nepal Himalaya
Treeline dynamics with climate change at the central Nepal Himalaya

here - AWRA Colorado Section
here - AWRA Colorado Section

... similar warming for CO vs.CMIP3 ...
Summary Report CwD Project Profile 2012
Summary Report CwD Project Profile 2012

... Given the uncertainty of adequate rains, it is not surprising that frequent crop failures occur. For example, most farmers in Chiredzi District argue that they only get one good harvest every five-six years. Disastrous "droughts'' are most frequently the result of the adoption of inappropriate crops ...
The Effects of Climate Change and Urbanization on
The Effects of Climate Change and Urbanization on

... development. Changes in either or both of these factors can significantly alter the volume and timing of runoff throughout the watershed. It follows that research attempting to assess the future availability of regional water resources would incorporate both aspects into their modeling methods. The ...
MTA Adaptations to Climate Change – A Categorical Imperative1
MTA Adaptations to Climate Change – A Categorical Imperative1

... Model-based climate projections for the region are derived from global climate model simulations forced with internationally agreed upon green house gas emissions scenarios (IPCC, 2000). Using a suite of models and emissions scenarios allows characterization of uncertainties and risks associated wit ...
MCCA Regulations and Syllabus -Masters
MCCA Regulations and Syllabus -Masters

... adaptation. It explores the fundamental changes caused by anthropogenic and natural activities that influence the alteration of the living earth’s environment. As a result of the anthropogenic climate change drivers, the global mean surface temperature is projected to increase between 1.5°C and 5.8° ...
(GCOS) PROGRAM Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS, Office of
(GCOS) PROGRAM Howard J. Diamond, NOAA/NESDIS, Office of

... the region; a regional program officer is desired but not necessarily required. In the Pacific Region, SPREP was a natural for this. Need a solid and consolidated planning mechanism to advance projects in the region Need to identify partners and donors willing to participate in regional projects and ...
Climate Change Adaptation Plan for Coastal and Inland Wetlands in
Climate Change Adaptation Plan for Coastal and Inland Wetlands in

... deal of certainty among climate change scientists that temperatures will get warmer. What is less certain is exactly how that change in temperature will influence precipitation patterns including timing and duration of rainfall and other important factors such as ice cover and evapotranspiration. Ch ...
Climate Change and Its Impact on Groundwater
Climate Change and Its Impact on Groundwater

... humidity, and wind speed, and sometimes plant physiological properties. The estimated effect of a change in climate on potential evaporation depends on the characteristics of the site Many rivers and streams that are fed by glacier runoff could be significantly impacted as a result of climate change ...
Jessica Ayers - Initiative on Climate Adaptation Research and
Jessica Ayers - Initiative on Climate Adaptation Research and

... interests, so what would be the result of the participation process?”28 An expertdriven, impacts-based perspective on adaptation actually makes inclusiveness problematic because it “run[s] a high risk of encountering elements of local opposition, especially under conditions of scientific uncertainty ...
The Role of Methane in Climate (Change)
The Role of Methane in Climate (Change)

... comparison isn't too relevant unless you put it in rapidly, since it has such a short lifetime in the atmosphere. Large amounts of CO2, in contrast, last much longer. A couple years ago, Shakhova et al. (2010a) reported extensive methane venting in the eastern Siberian shelf and suggested that the s ...
SCIE103: Climate Change - Science, Medicine and Health @ UOW
SCIE103: Climate Change - Science, Medicine and Health @ UOW

... This subject examines the complex topic of climate change. It explores the basis for current and potential future climate change within the context of the historical and pre-historical records of climate change. The principal drivers (forcing functions) of climate change and their responses are exam ...
- Nottingham ePrints
- Nottingham ePrints

... We do not study the IPCC report itself or media reports of particular extreme weather events, and neither do we examine the increasing number of articles that speculate about the link between extreme weather and climate change. We focus instead on images which were chosen by news outlets to illustra ...
analysis of land skin temperature using avhrr observations
analysis of land skin temperature using avhrr observations

... globe, because it is a function of soil and vegetation conditions. In general, emissivity is approximately 0.95–0.97 for vegetated areas and 0.8–0.95 for most of the bare soil areas. In addition, evident seasonality is observed at emissivity fields (JL03). Utilizing MODIS-based emissivity in the LST ...
Abrupt Younger Dryas cooling in the northern tropics recorded in
Abrupt Younger Dryas cooling in the northern tropics recorded in

... unclear. This is in-part because tropical paleoclimate records present a conflicted pattern of past climatic conditions during the late Glacial stage (e.g. Rodbell et al., 2009), and there are a limited number of well dated terrestrial records spanning this period from South America. Exceptions exist ...
Collapse Informatics - Donald Bren School of Information and
Collapse Informatics - Donald Bren School of Information and

... The term “peak oil” has entered popular parlance to describe the point at which global oil production reaches its highest point and then enters a period of decline. There is some debate over the timing of this phenomenon; some researchers say it has already occurred, others that it will occur within ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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