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Environmental Change and Infectious Disease - ECDC
Environmental Change and Infectious Disease - ECDC

... This report presents the key findings and discussions from a meeting organised by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), in collaboration with the WHO Regional Office for Europe (WHO EURO), the European Environment Agency (EEA), and the Joint Research Centre (JRC) at Ispra. T ...
Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change Impacts in Cambodia
Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change Impacts in Cambodia

... for the Philippines over the period of 2011 to 2028. This document also generally assesses the current situation of the country with regard to climate change risk. On the other hand, the passage of Republic Act 10121, otherwise known as the Philippine Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Act of 20 ...
Trophic amplification of climate warming
Trophic amplification of climate warming

... Ecosystems can alternate suddenly between contrasting persistent states due to internal processes or external drivers. It is important to understand the mechanisms by which these shifts occur, especially in exploited ecosystems. There have been several abrupt marine ecosystem shifts attributed eithe ...
Mosquitoes and Culicoides biting midges: vector range and
Mosquitoes and Culicoides biting midges: vector range and

... Climate change is defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as a statistically significant variation in either the mean state of the climate or in its variability, persisting for extended periods. Atmospheric observations indicate that, during recent decades, the climate on Ear ...
Australian Government response - Coastal Collaboration Cluster
Australian Government response - Coastal Collaboration Cluster

... 2020 if the world agrees to an ambitious global deal to stabilise greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at or below 450 parts per million. If the world is unable to reach such an ambitious agreement, Australia will reduce its emissions to 5 to 15 per cent below our 2000 levels by 2020, dep ...
Possible impact of the Earth`s magnetic field on the history of ancient
Possible impact of the Earth`s magnetic field on the history of ancient

... [29] method revised by Coe [30] and the Triaxe procedure [28] (Table 2). When both types of data are available from the same fragments, we simply average them at the fragment level before computing a site mean intensity value. The latter values therefore update the site mean intensity results given ...
Biodiversity Climate change impacts report card Technical paper 11
Biodiversity Climate change impacts report card Technical paper 11

... species (particularly in the Crambidae and Pyralidae moth families) that occasionally occur as irruptive immigrants, some of which are considered pest species (Sterling & Parsons 2012). As the lifespan of the adult (or imago) is relatively short, the migratory journeys of butterflies and moths may b ...
RAPPOR T Effects of climate change in the Kolubara and Toplica
RAPPOR T Effects of climate change in the Kolubara and Toplica

Full Press Release
Full Press Release

... ecosystems,” said study leader Dr. van Hooidonk of NOAA and the University of Miami. “Further, annual bleaching will greatly reduce the capacity of coral reefs to provide goods and services, such as fisheries and coastal protection, to human communities.” The need to act is clear. Between 2014 and ...
The Cost of Adaptation to Climate Change in Africa
The Cost of Adaptation to Climate Change in Africa

... adaptation may outweigh the costs by a factor of about two and that this ratio may be higher in nonOECD countries than OECD countries. Sectoral specific studies in agriculture and health, two crucial sectors for Africa’s adaptation efforts, provide further evidence on the cost effectiveness of adapt ...
Climate Change and Wetlands: Impacts and Mitigation
Climate Change and Wetlands: Impacts and Mitigation

... The focus of this paper is the impacts of climate change on wetlands, and adaptation and mitigation options. To set the context for this, the paper also provides a brief overview of the importance and global distribution of wetlands, as well as of recent and projected changes in global and regional ...
Climate Change in the La Plata Basin
Climate Change in the La Plata Basin

... southeast of South America. Part of the knowledge of the impacts of climate variability in the hydrology of the Plata basin was developed in the PROSUR project ...
6 Climate change and urban transportation systems
6 Climate change and urban transportation systems

... gas emissions from transport vehicles are related to VMT. However, the relationship is far more complex and other measures including the price of fuel, employment levels, trip origins and destinations and the size of cities have much influence on vehicle miles traveled. A recent study in Indonesia ( ...
Annals of the Association of American Geographers Climate
Annals of the Association of American Geographers Climate

... tectonic and topographic responses to climate perturbations need to be systematically explored. This study focuses on understanding climate variations in relation to glacier erosion and relief production. Field data, climate modeling, remote sensing, geomorphometry, geochronology, glaciology, and ge ...
Assessing the Social Costs and Benefits of Regulating Carbon
Assessing the Social Costs and Benefits of Regulating Carbon

... Atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases (GHGs), which include carbon dioxide and methane, have been increasing for more than a century. Rising human emissions of these gases, especially from the combustion of fossil fuels and from agriculture, appear to be the primary cause of this increase i ...
Climate change vulnerability of the US northeast winter recreation
Climate change vulnerability of the US northeast winter recreation

... snow model. The technical capacities (minimum temperature at which snow can be made economically, daily snowmaking capacity) and decision rules for the snowmaking module (start/end dates, target snow pack depth to maintain) are consistent with Scott et al. (2003, 2006, 2007) and are outlined in Tabl ...
p4418-4433 - Parliament of Western Australia
p4418-4433 - Parliament of Western Australia

... I refer now to emissions trading, which is at the crux of the different approaches by the state and federal governments. The states have had to run with the ball because the federal government has dropped it. This year a joint state and territory working group has been established to examine the iss ...
Vulnerability of Canada`s Tree Species to Climate Change
Vulnerability of Canada`s Tree Species to Climate Change

... productivity gains—at least up to 2050—in the northern portions of the region because moisture is not expected to be limiting. The southern montane forest is highly vulnerable whereas the northern montane forest is moderately vulnerable to climate change. The Pacific Maritime, Mixedwood Plains, and ...
A Review of Drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia
A Review of Drought in the Middle East and Southwest Asia

... vulnerable, and prone to severe droughts. Large-scale climate variability, particularly La Niña, ...
Assessing the impact of climate change on ecosystem services in
Assessing the impact of climate change on ecosystem services in

... characteristics that are of particular importance for ecosystem responses, especially high and low extremes, timing both seasonally and daily, and spatial incidence. Preliminary maps for rainfall and temperature have been produced for year 2030. The SIMCLIM simulations indicate that changes in rainf ...
Initial national communication on climate change: St. Vincent and
Initial national communication on climate change: St. Vincent and

... Recognizing our ecological fragility and our dependence on agriculture and tourism, we cannot afford to be spectators on issues as important as Climate Change. For this reason, St. Vincent and the Grenadines has taken its obligation seriously. We have conducted our greenhouse gas inventory and asses ...
Incorporating climate change into recovery planning for threatened
Incorporating climate change into recovery planning for threatened

... This rapid climate change is likely to negatively impact global biodiversity (Thomas et al. 2004), including that found in Australia (Lindenmayer et al. 2010). Hardest hit will be those species considered already at risk of extinction due to existing threatening processes such as habitat loss, intro ...
Observed relationships of ozone air pollution with temperature and
Observed relationships of ozone air pollution with temperature and

... data as a function of temperature shows how other variables influence ozone at a given temperature. This relationship between the location statistics (e.g., the 50th or 75th percentile values) and temperature reveals a consistently strong dependence of ozone on temperature, regardless of where the d ...
ABN AMRO`s response
ABN AMRO`s response

... - the issue, - the risks and opportunities, - the global solutions, ...
Environment and Development Challenges: The Imperative to Act 20
Environment and Development Challenges: The Imperative to Act 20

... 1.2.1 Demographic: The global population, which has now passed 7 billion people, and the average per capita energy consumption have both increased sevenfold over the past 150 years, for an overall fiftyfold increase in the emissions of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. And both are still increasin ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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