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Predicting survival, reproduction and abundance of polar bears
Predicting survival, reproduction and abundance of polar bears

... less accessible to polar bears as the sea ice declines. Terrestrial food sources may be opportunistically exploited but are unlikely to substitute for the high energy diet polar bears obtain from seals (Derocher et al., 2004; Wiig et al., 2008; Hobson et al., 2009; Molnár, 2009). The sea ice is also ...
CHAPTER 13 CLIMATE VARIABILITY, CLIMATE CHANGE, AND WESTERN WILDFIRE WITH IMPLICATIONS
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... 1.1 The agricultural sector and its significance The Tanzanian agriculture sector accounts for 27 per cent of GDP, 30 per cent of export earnings, and 65 per cent of raw material for domestic industries (URT 2006a). The sector is predominantly rainfed crop-based, and provides a livelihood to over 80 ...
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... greenhouse effect, is responsible for maintaining a habitable climate on Earth. Without the greenhouse effect,  Earth would not be able to support life as we know it.  Prominent GHGs contributing to the greenhouse effect are CO2, methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O),  hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), perflu ...
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Vulnerability of Fraser River Sockeye salmon to climate change

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Second National Communication of Brazil to the United Nations
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... and the Earth’s orbital configuration (obliquity and precession). Terrestrial ice sheets were set to either the “preindustrial” extents or the full Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) reconstruction of the Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project 3 (https://pmip3.lsce.ipsl.fr), in which case the ocean bath ...
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WHY DO WE CARE ABOUT METHANE?
WHY DO WE CARE ABOUT METHANE?

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PDF
PDF

... The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) also reports that seven of the eight warmest years on record have occurred since 2001 and the 10 warmest years have all occurred since 1995. Previous studies also suggest that global warming has been in increasing trend since the1980s althou ...
Alberta`s Natural Subregions Under a Changing Climate
Alberta`s Natural Subregions Under a Changing Climate

... Reconstructions of Hypsithermal vegetation suggest that Natural Subregions generally shifted one Subregion northward relative to their present distribution. In the Boreal, there is clear evidence of a conversion of Dry Mixedwood to Central Parkland. There is also evidence of a transition of Central ...
THE MIGHTY OPERATIONS OF NATURE
THE MIGHTY OPERATIONS OF NATURE

... challenged both science and superstition. Theories that the cold summer was caused by sunspots were hotly debated, and though most expert opinion held that sunspots were not the cause, the public could not quite seem to shake the suspicion that they were somehow involved. Other theories of causatio ...
The Role of Developing Countries in the Continuation of the Kyoto
The Role of Developing Countries in the Continuation of the Kyoto

... According to Burton et. al (2006), “human induced climate change presents societies for the first time with the challenge of adapting to climatic changes forecast but not yet experienced.” As a result of the non-linear and temporally delayed nature of climate change, the development of an effective ...
Environmental Change and Infectious Disease - ECDC
Environmental Change and Infectious Disease - ECDC

... This report presents the key findings and discussions from a meeting organised by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), in collaboration with the WHO Regional Office for Europe (WHO EURO), the European Environment Agency (EEA), and the Joint Research Centre (JRC) at Ispra. T ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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