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The Influences of WTO to International Direct Investment Chen Xuezhong1,2 Yuan Xuemei2 Li Guanghong2 Li Tongning2 1. School of Management and Engineering, Nanjing University, P.R.China, 210093 2.School of Management, Ji’nan University, P.R.China, 250022 , Abstract: In 1990s International Direct Investment developed more rapidly than ever. The investment status of developed countries improved, but the development was not balance. On the other hand, the investment status of developing countries declined, and their domestic direct investments had more differences. As an international economic organization, WTO constituted Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights, General Agreement on Trade in Services, Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures and Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures. These documents have played indispensable roles to the development of international direct investment. Key words: 1 WTO, agreement, international direct investment, influence Introduction The goal of WTO agreements is to reduce various distortions and impediments to international trade, ensure the validity of market access through establishing the agreement framework with higher transparency. Therefore the agreements inevitably come down to the issues related to investment. But the present WTO system only concerns part of these issues. The influence on investment of some agreements or conventions is still unclear. The following agreements have more influence to international direct investment: Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights, General Agreement on Trade in Services, Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures and Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures. Following is the deeper analysis of the influences. 2 Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights and the Development of International Direct Investment Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights makes the protection of , intellectual property rights become an indispensable part of multilateral trade system this agreement not only requires the national treatment and the most-favored-nation treatment, but also provides the process of dispute settlement and the lowest protection standard. From the angle of economic trade, the intellectual property right can be divided into three categories in Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights. a. Knowledge protection and prevention from abuse by companies, such as patents, layout-designs of integrated circuits, undisclosed information. B. Protection of expression forms of words and culture and the investment to their disseminations, such as copyright and related rights. c. The intellectual property rights which represent the quality of products by indications in order to reduce the information dissymmetry of some producers and consumers, such as trademarks, industrial designs , and geographical indications. In the fields of technical innovation the result of intellectual property right is patent. The purpose of patent protection is to promote research and development activities, we cannot restrict the use of achievements without patent protection. One of the main reasons of copyright and patent right is to prevent the use of new knowledge and technology without limit. Its influence to : investment is as follows (1) The protection of intellectual property right will rapidly promote R&D investment and the investment of new production equipment and technology. Thus the effective actualization of “Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights” can accelerate the investment of research and development on new technology, new product and the production technical improvement in both developed and developing countries. (2) Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights may prevent some companies from investing to the imitation commodities and pirated productions, and the decrease of investment opportunities may also cause capital flight. Considering that the multinational corporations take different ways to market access, the investment to imitation commodities can be replaced by international direct investment or the permitted domestic factories. This could stimulate the transfer of intangible assets to host nations, but the knowledge in the intangible assets will possibly not spread. (3) If the production of imitation products is substituted by imported products, the direct result is the imbalance of the balance-of-payment in the nation. With the decrease of local products, the change in trade volume, the lease expense and commission charge will bring the deterioration of the balance of payment, so the developing nations need absorb more foreign capital But the production of imitation commodities can continue under new admission agreements, thus the effect to the balance of payment will be reduced. (4) The implementation of the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights may cause temporary market monopoly from the intellectual property right holders and the following rise of commodity price. Analyzing from the elasticity of substitution and the price elasticity of demand, the rise of price will bring the increase of consumer expenditure and have negative effect to the economy development of some nations. (5) The implementation of the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights will also make the corporations probably not enter the market of host nations through international direct investment. Because in the nations without enough effective protection to intellectual rights, foreign corporations have to depend on international direct investment if they want to enter their markets, in order to insure the ownership of information and partly achieve the substituted implementation of intellectual property right by establishing more close relationship with consumers through market sales. International direct investment is very important to the market admission of knowledge and skill intensive products. For example, After Brazil abolished the patent of medicine products in 1959, the international direct investment towards Brazil increased rapidly. During 1971 to 1979, the international direct investment increased 600% valued by the USD then. In 1980, the medicine market share of foreign corporations was 71% in Brazil. If the implementation of the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights is strengthened, the owners or holders of intellectual property rights maybe enter the market of the host nation through license production or export instead of international direct investment. This will have some impact on the development of international direct investment. In a word, the implementation of the Agreement on Trade-Related Aspects of Intellectual Property , Rights awaits further research at present it can promote the R&D investment and change the investment environment of the those nations which absorb foreign capital so as to attract the inflow of foreign capital. 3 The Influence of General Agreement on Trade in Services In 1990s, the importance of service industries and trade in service stood out increasingly. The General Agreement on Trade in Services extended the basic principles under multilateral trade system to services, including all the services except government procurement, and regarded factor mobility service as the target of liberalization. The definition of trade in service not only deals with the cross-border service consumption and supply, but also relates to the service providers of one member nation who provides service through commercial ways in any other Members. Therefore, this situation also relates to the liberalization and ruless about international direct investment in service industries. General Agreement on Trade in Services requires every Member to comply with the principles of national treatment and most-favored-nation treatment. Because this agreement deals with 12 categories 155 divided service sectors, so it will certainly have significant influence to international direct investment and the investment law. (1) The General Agreement on Trade in Services promotes the liberalization of services in trade, especially all the Members of WTO joined this agreement and carried out liberalization in varying , degrees this provided a big market for the multinational corporations in service industry and stimulated their international direct investment in service industry and made some contributions to the economy development of the developing countries. The main reasons are: a. The multinational corporations in service industry invest vastly to some private companies which can provide basic facilities, and the , modernization of service facilities such as public facilities transportation, telecommunication, finance and insurance would greatly improve the investment environment in the developing host nations and attract more international direct investment. b. Since 1990s,the service industry of many developed and developing nations have carried through the reformation of privatization, this reformation was beneficial to the inflow of foreign capital and the improvement of management efficiency as well as the economic development of developing countries. (2) The implement of the agreements of WTO can lead the liberalization of commercial trade, and the liberalization of trade in service is beneficial to the international direct investment. Because these , stimulate more international direct investments tend to increase the possibility of market access investment. At the same time, international direct investment would aggravate the competition in host nations and compel domestic companies to increase the domestic and overseas investment. (3) The General Agreement on Trade in Services stipulates when the capital is required to provide service, the capital must freely transfer among nations, this can certainly accelerate international direct investment. For example, the footnote of Article 16 about market access indicates that “If a Member undertakes a market-access commitment in relation to the supply of a service through the mode of supply referred to in subparagraph 2(a) of Article 1 and if the cross-border movement of capital is an essential part of the service itself, that Member is thereby committed to allow such movement of capital.” This treatment obscures the distinction between capital and floating capital transaction. Because the international transfer of capital is absolutely necessarily to the trade in service. But from the other point of view, this represents a kind of capital flow which has nothing to do with current account, so it has positive influences to the liberalization of capital flow. (4) Because various kind of capital flow have higher substitution each other, the cross-border investment may increase further, where the increase of investment amount depends on the actual undertakings of each Members. The final liberalization of capital flow will help the global saving distribute efficiently in the world. 4 The Influence of Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures to the International Direct Investment The Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures forbids Members to carry out some investment measures such as requirements of local component, trade balance, import quota, foreign exchange balance and domestic sales related to the export restrictions. This agreement also requires the WTO members to observe the principle of national treatment when they deal with the investment measures. But the prohibited investment measures in the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures are only part of many investment measures, those measures which are not forbidden by this agreement are still used by the Members, and there are substitutions between the forbidden and permitted investment measures. Therefore, the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures has two sides influence to the international direct investment. (1) The implement of the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures requires developed and developing nations to carry out more positive stimulations to the investment, in other words, to create favorable investment environment for domestic and overseas investment investment opportunities for fair competition , provide the , not to distort the flow direction and competition of investment by government policies. It is not beneficial to those developing nations who attract foreign investment by adopting favorable taxation and expenses, this may has negative affect to the inflow of international direct investment. (2) The prohibited investment measures request the fulfilling of obligations to host nations, this can lead the increase of investment to host nations, the requirement of local content is a great barrier to the international direct investment, especially to those knowledge-intensive and skill-intensive companies, because the local input (such as capital, raw materials, parts) counts for nothing or unnecessary to the investors of multinational corporations. So the prohibition of some investment measures which have requirements of “actual performance” such as the requirement of local content and foreign exchange balance will attract the international direct investment. (3) The increase of trade volume of the input which substitutes for the local procurement will result in the increase of foreign direct investment from the nations of capital export. (4) The prohibited investment measures in Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures are limited, and they are confined only to the investment measures of trade in goods, there are still many unprohibited investment measures, if the governments widely use those investment measures without any restrictions by the other rules of WTO, and this change can make international investors have insecurity to the investment policy of the nation and lose confidence to the policy, finally the international direct investment will be postponed. In conclusion, the implement of the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment Measures has various influences to the nations with different investment policies. New investment policies will be issued when the Members carry out this agreement, some of the policies will promote international direct investment and others may restrict the further development of international direct investment. 5 Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures and the Development of International Direct Investment In Article 1 of the Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures, a subsidy shall be deemed to exist if there is a financial contribution by a government or by any public body within the territory, or there is any form of income or price support in the sense of Article XVI of GATT 1994 and a benefit is thereby conferred, a subsidy shall be deemed to exist. This is the first time for the multilateral trade system based on GATT to clearly definite “subsidy”. But this agreement can only apply to the trade in goods, it can not be used in trade in services. Therefore, this agreement will have effects on the international direct investment in industries except service industry, the influence on trade in services is limited. Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures divided subsidies into three parts, the first is “prohibited subsidies”, the second is “actionable subsidies”, the third is “non-actionable subsidies” , including some commonly used assistance, assistance for research and development, assistance to environmental protection and special assistance to disadvantage regions. This agreement improved the multilateral law system related to subsidies, but we should see that some Members may enhance their competition power by fully using “non-actionable subsidies”, this kind of subsidies will become actual “investment yield” ;At the same time, WTO Members may farthest make use of “actionable subsidies” and avoid being appealed to dispute settlement procedures by other Members as far as possible. Furthermore, there may be conversions between “actionable subsidies” and “non-actionable subsidies”. These may result in economic and trade policy uncertainty of WTO Members and affect the investment environment as well as international direct investment. Considering from the point of obligation requirements, the influences of this agreement to international direct investment are as follows: (1) The gradual cancellation of the prohibited subsidies will have positive effect to the economic development of Members. With the increase of economic benefits, international direct investment will also increase. (2) This agreement divided subsidies into three parts, different part of subsides have different treatments, if the investors can anticipate the change in the long run, the specific subsidies will lead the increase of international direct investment. But as an encouragement investment measure, subsidies have inside instability, it will affect the decisions of the investors, especially affect the international direct investment to developing countries. (3) Since the commonly used subsidies are still carried out, the governments may substitute them for the specific subsidies which are specific to an enterprise or industry or group of enterprise or industries. It certainly will add financial burden of the governments. The imbalance or deterioration of financial revenue and expenditure shall have negative influence to private investment and economic development. Originally developing countries have many difficulties in raising capital, and this particular situation will cause more financial burden on the governments. (4) Because this agreement prohibits and requires to phase out export subsidies, it may decrease the , export which used to compete by subsidies the balance of trade will deteriorate, as a result, the relevant Members need the capital import so as to improve the imbalance of the balance-of-payment and increase the foreign capital inflow. In the long run, the elimination of the export subsidies may affect the production structure of import and export commodities, but have few influences to the balance of trade. (5) The implement of this agreement mainly depends on the encouragement investment measures, especially for those nations and regions which encourage international direct investment by the use of subsidies, the international direct investment in their nations may be negatively affected by the cancellation or limitation of these subsidies and then decrease. (6) The subsidy obligation of this agreement shall not apply to agricultural subsidy and service, and there had some preferential clauses for developing country Members. The least-developed country Members and those Members whose GNP per capita is below US$1000 shall not be restrained by the agreement. These Members shall phase out their export subsidies within the eight-year period (i.e. until 2002); Transformation economy Members shall phase out the export subsidies within a period of seven years; Developing country Members, transformation economy Members and least-developed country Members shall respectively phase out the local content subsidies within periods of five years, seven years and eight years from the date of entry into force of the WTO Agreement. In addition, the privatization subsidies are deemed to “actionable subsidies”. Thus in the short term, the influence of this agreement to international direct investment in developing country Members is limited. But in the long term, the change of subsidy policies shall increase or decrease the investment to the Members who provide subsidies. The definition and classification of subsidies improve the farsightedness of the investment environment and promote international direct investment. In conclusion, the influence of Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Measures to international direct investment depends on the subsidy policies each Member used to apply and their changes. References [1] World Trade Organization. The Legal Texts: The Results of the Uruguay Round of Multilateral Trade Negotiations. Law Press, China, 2000 [2] Pertti Haaparanta. Competition for Foreign Direct Investments. Journal of Public Economics, 1996,63:141~153 [3] Koen De Backer, Leo Sleuwaegen. Does Foreign Direct Investment Crow Out Domestic Entrepreneurship?. Review of Industrial Organization, 2003,22:67~84 [4] Nikolina Kosteletou, Panagiotis Liargovas. Foreign Direct Investment and Real Exchange Rate Interlinkages. Open Economics Review, 2000,11:135~148 [5] Dorothee Feils, Florin Sabac. The Impact of Political Risk on the Foreign Direct Investment Decision: A Capital Budgeting Analysis. The Engineering Economist, 2000,45(2):129~143 [6] Michael Taylor. The United States’ Prohibition on Foreign Direct Investment in Cuba: Enough Already?. Law and Business Review of the Americas, Winter/Spring, 2002:111~139