* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Download MBA 669 - Infrastructure
Mathematical model wikipedia , lookup
Collaborative information seeking wikipedia , lookup
Perceptual control theory wikipedia , lookup
Clinical decision support system wikipedia , lookup
Human–computer interaction wikipedia , lookup
History of artificial intelligence wikipedia , lookup
Incomplete Nature wikipedia , lookup
Time series wikipedia , lookup
Personal knowledge base wikipedia , lookup
MBA 669 Special Topics: IT-enabled organizational Forms Dave Salisbury [email protected] (email) http://www.davesalisbury.com/ (web site) This Week’s Fun Stuff Codification of knowledge, expertise and procedures IT and the control of information/decisionmaking IT and the standardization and homogenization of organizations and industries Issues surrounding the codification of expertise and decision-making Why We Invest in IS&T Revenue + + + Management Support & Decision Systems IS&T Investment – – Costs Profit – IT and locus of control Some cases used to push decisionmaking to lower levels Some cases used to get control What is the effect of advanced IT in organizations? Liberating or constraining? Autonomy or top-down control? Isomorphism and homogenization Infrastructure Standards Systems Codified procedures Simon & the rational person Humans can be rational actors, their rationality is bounded by their limitations Humans tend to satisfice, or settle on the first acceptable option, rather optimizing Information stored in computers can increase human rationality if accessible when needed The central problem is not how to organize to produce efficiently, but how to organize to make decisions (i.e. process information) IT provides assistance to... Communicate and/or distribute knowledge Collaborate with other workers Routinize procedures Capture and codify knowledge Create knowledge Two key issues Uncertainty Lack of information Ambiguity Lack of structure Online analytical processing Enables interactive examination/manipulation of detailed & consolidated data from many perspectives Consolidation The aggregation of data. From simple roll-ups to complex groupings of interrelated data Drill-Down Analyze complex relationships to discover patterns, trends, and exception conditions in real time Display detail data that comprise consolidated data Slicing and Dicing The ability to look at the database from different viewpoints. When performed along a time axis, helps analyze trends and find patterns Decision support systems What If-Analysis Sensitivity Analysis Important Decision Support Systems Analytical Models Goal-Seeking Analysis Optimization Analysis Data mining for decision support Software analyzes vast amounts of data Attempts to discover patterns, trends, & correlations May perform regression, decision tree, neural network, cluster detection, or market basket analysis Models as decision making aids A model (in decision making) is a simplified representation of reality. The benefits of modeling in decision making are: Cost of virtual experimentation is much lower Simulated compression of time. Manipulating the model is much easier The cost of mistakes are much lower Modeling for “what-ifs” Analysis and comparison of a large number alternatives Models enhance and reinforce learning Artificial intelligence Artificial Intelligence Cognitive Science Applications •Expert Systems •Fuzzy Logic •Genetic Algorithms •Neural Networks Robotics Applications Natural Interface Applications •Visual Perceptions •Locomotion •Navigation •Tactility •Natural Language •Speech Recognition •Multisensory Interface •Virtual Reality AI application areas in business Neural Networks Fuzzy Logic Systems Genetic Algorithms Virtual Reality AI Application Areas in Business Intelligent Agents Expert Systems Expert systems The Expert System Expert Advice User User Interface Programs Inference Engine Program Knowledge Base Workstation Expert System Development Knowledge Engineering Knowledge Acquisition Program Workstation Expert and/or Knowledge Engineer Expert system applications Decision Management Diagnostic/Troubleshooting Maintenance/Scheduling Design/Configuration Major Application Categories of Expert Systems Selection/Classification Process Monitoring/Control Why have expert systems? Standardize procedures and their application throughout organization Share codified procedures more readily Protect against loss of expertise Preserve expertise for more important tasks Replace expertise with systems Codification & leveraging processes Focus on business processes rather than divisions or functions Processes tend to cross divisions and functions IT as enabler of process focus Choosing what goes to people and what goes to IT Re-engineering focus Standardization Standardization as diminishing freedom or as enhancing reliability? Does structure constrain or enable? What impact does it have on codification of knowledge (see more on this Tuesday)? Good or bad? Why or why not? Widespread analytics Heavy use of modeling and optimization routines Enterprise approach (can’t be piecemeal to get the big benefits) Ever more sophisticated tools Again, most of this was not doable until the advent of sophisticated IT Still need to apply expertise, experience and intuition Diffusion of responsibility The “myth” of technology neutrality that enables blame to be passed “The computer did it” “That’s what the model came up with” “The computer requires it” Use of technology implies control by technology At once empowered and dominated Dependent on it to complete tasks Lost expertise Codification detaches knowledge from context Experts are no longer so, and considered expendable Technology replaces bodies This effect is moving up the corporate ladder Lack of flexibility in applying the rules