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HIV vaccine research and development: current status, challenges and opportunities Thumbi Ndung’u, BVM, PhD HIV Pathogenesis Programme Doris Duke Medical Research Institute Nelson R. Mandela School of Medicine University of KwaZulu-Natal Clinical trial evidence for preventing sexual HIV transmission – July 2011 Study Treatment for prevention Effect size (CI) 96% (73; 99) (Africa, Asia, America’s) PrEP for discordant couples 73% (49; 85) (Partners PrEP) PrEP for heterosexuals 63% (21; 48) (Botswana TDF2) Medical male circumcision 54% (38; 66) (Orange Farm, Rakai, Kisumu) PrEP for MSMs 44% (15; 63) (America’s, Thailand, South Africa) STD treatment 42% (21; 58) (Mwanza) Microbicide 39% (6; 60) (CAPRISA 004 tenofovir gel) HIV Vaccine 31% (1; 51) (Thai RV144) 0% 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Efficacy 80 90 100% Major Infectious Disease Cases in U.S. before and after Vaccine Availability Year Cases in 1994 % Change Diptheria 206,939 1921 2 -99.9% Measles 894,134 1941 963 -99.9% Mumps 152,209 1968 1537 -99.9% Pertusis 265,269 1934 4617 -99.9% Polio 12,269 1952 0* 100% Rubella 57,686 1969 227 -99.9% Tetanus 1,560 1923 51 -99.9% Disease Total Cases Duration between discovery of microbiologic cause of selected infectious diseases and development of a vaccine Disease Years to develop vaccine Typhoid 105 Haemophilus influenzae 92 Pertussis 89 Polio* 47 Measles 42 Hepatitis B 15 HIV 30… *In the 1930s, two experimental polio vaccines failed because they were determined to be unsafe, and polio vaccines were almost abandoned. Source: Modified from H. Markel, NEJM, August 25, 2005 Vaccines in brief • Effective disease prevention strategies • Used for decades around the world, most commonly in children • Very safe when manufactured and used properly • Very cost-effective compared to treatment • Eliminated smallpox worldwide, almost polio… Steps to an HIV Vaccine Stage One: Ideas (Lab/Basic) Vaccine Ideas Best Vaccine Ideas Experimental Vaccines Test in tubes and other laboratory equipment. Stage Two: Animals (Pre-Clinical) Stage Three: People (Clinical) Stage Four: Stage Four: Delivery Delivery (Licensure) (Licensure) Experimental vaccines are produced in small amounts and tested and improved in animals. The vaccines that seem safe and most effective in animals are then considered for testing in people. Vaccines are tested in people in a series of studies. This process takes years. Once an an Once HIVvaccine vaccineisis HIV found to to be be safe safe found and effective, and effective, itit must be be delivered delivered must around the world around the world topeople peoplewho who to need it. it. need How do vaccines work? Immune Responses Humoral Neutralizing Antibodies stop the virus entering cells Cellular Cytotoxic T cells (CTL) destroy cells infected with HIV. Helper CD4 T cells stimulate immunity Aims of a Prophylactic HIV Vaccine Induces sterilizing immunity HIV is never detected in the body (Ultimate goal, but may not be possible) Induces immunity that allows transient HIV replication Induces immunity that holds the virus at low levels such that both progression to AIDS and transmission are prevented Past HIV Vaccine Concepts Although only three concepts have undergone clinical efficacy testing to date, each HIV vaccine efficacy trial has yielded unexpected outcomes that have transformed the HIV landscape. 2003 2005 2003: AIDSVAX STUDIES VaxGen Env gp120 Humoral Immunity • Phase III studies in highrisk subjects in the US/Thailand • Elicited type-specific Abs but not broadly reactive NAbs • No efficacy 2007 2009 2007: STEPPHAMBILI STUDIES Merck Ad5Gag/Pol/Nef Cellular Immunity 2009: RV144 Sanofi ALVAC prime, Phase IIb study in high-risk subjects in North/South America and South Africa •Elicited cellular immunity by IFN-γ ELISPOT assays •No efficacy, possible increased HIV-1 acquisition •Phase III study in low-risk subjects in Thailand AIDSVAX gp120 boost Humoral and Cellular Immunity •31% reduction in HIV-1 acquisition with no viral load effect Advancing HIV vaccine candidates to efficacy trials will accelerate progress in the field, bringing us closer to an effective global vaccine. from Nelson Michael and Jerome Kim June 2010 Why haven’t these vaccines worked?Scientific Obstacles • The natural immune response to HIV infection does not control the virus • The natural immune response to HIV infection does not protect against superinfection • Enormous sequence variability. We do not know how to construct an immunogen to cover this sequence variability • We do not know what constitutes a protective immune response Relative Genetic Diversity: HIV-1 and Influenza A Annual global Influenza A HIV-infected patient One HIV-1 subtype All HIV-1 subtypes, sub-subtypes, CRF Adapted from Francine McCutchan and from Korber B, et al. Brit Med Bull 2001; 58:19-42. What are Mosaic Antigens? Algorithm to Generate a k=4-Valent Mosaic Vaccine Input: Single clade or M group Iterations improve the populations, improve the cocktail Ad35, Ad26 and other vectors Fischer et al. Nat. Med. 2007; 13:100-106 SIV challenge revealed an entirely new pattern of protection in animals given CMV vectors! Group A (CMV/CMV) n=6 p = .0017 Plasma Viral Load 109 108 Group B (CMV/Ad5) p < .0001 109 108 n=5 109 Group C (DNA/Ad5) 108 n=9 107 106 106 106 106 105 105 105 105 104 104 104 104 103 103 102 102 n=6 102 n=7 103 102 0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224 0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224 n = 27 108 107 103 107 Group D (Controls) 109 107 0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224 n=1 0 28 56 84 112 140 168 196 224 Time Post Infection (days) 54% (13/24) of CMV vector-vaccinated RM, upon infection, manifested immediate virologic control, bringing plasma virus to undetectable levels, and 12 of these 13 maintained this stringent protection for >52 weeks. TEM biased, high immunogenecity, responses indefinitely maintained, no Ab responses Evolution of a T cell HIV/AIDS Vaccine Paradigm: Old Paradigm: 2006 Vaccine-elicited immunity controls infection below threshold for transmission 2010 New Paradigm: Vaccine-elicited immunity prevents or aborts infection, or provides early complete control. Stanley Plotkin, Review in CVI, 2010 "Correlates of protection induced by vaccination" • After the administration of nearly all vaccines, prevention of infection correlates with the induction of specific antibodies • It is likely that vaccines of the future, such as those for HIV, will obey the same paradigm • Promising data on neutralizing antibodies in humans and in monkey models New Minds: Making Breakthrough Discoveries Nobel Laureates 1901-2003 in Three Disciplines Stratified by Age at Time of Award-Winning Discovery Dietrich, Arne, and Narayanan Srinivasan. 2007. The optimum age to start a revolution. Journal of Creative Behavior. 41: 54-74. So, are we closer to developing a vaccine against HIV? Most certainly YES... • First sign of protection in humans • Significant advances in basic sciences BUT…… • We probably need to expect more failures than successes • A vaccine is NOT around the corner • It will NOT be a magic bullet • We need to do more basic and clinical research • This effort needs public and government support Acknowledgements • Dan Barouch- Harvard Medical School • Loius Picker- Oregon • Lynn Morris- NICD • Many others whose ideas, data and slides I have liberally borrowed