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Studia Generalia Lecture Sustainable Development: One of the Main Challenges for the OECD’s Future Work Kiyo Akasaka OECD, Deputy Secretary General 1 1 Overview I. What is the OECD? II. Sustainable Development III. OECD Recommendations IV. Finland’s track record V. OECD and the Global Challenges 2 2 I. What is the OECD? An intergovernmental organisation 30 Member Countries + 100 partners €188m budget and 2000 staff Mission: - Growth - Development - Trade 3 3 OECD is a forum where countries: Address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. Provide and pool comparative data. Do analysis and forecasts to underpin national policies and multilateral co-operation. Share experiences about policy among policymakers. Submit to “peer reviews” of their national policies and performance. 4 4 OECD work method Data collection & case studies Analysis Discussion Recommendations Implementation Peer reviews, multilateral surveillance 5 5 II. Sustainable Development 3 dimensions of Sustainable Dev: – Environmental Protection – Economic Growth – Social Development Our Common Future - Brundtland Report – development which meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs OECD aims to reduce trade offs between the three dimensions 6 6 OECD Environmental Challenges • Some air pollutants (lead, CFCs, NOx, SOx) • Forest coverage in OECD regions • Water use •GHG emissions • Surface water quality • Motor vehicle & aviation air pollution • Hazardous waste & toxic emissions from industry • Agricultural pollution & groundwater quality • Energy production & use • Forest quality in OECD regions •Waste management • Over-fishing • Biodiversity & tropical forest coverage • Chemicals in the environment 7 7 Considerable progress in: Water management: Water pricing, tradable permits, river basin management Clean up of most polluted waters, point-source pollution Challenges: groundwater pollution, diffuse pollution (e.g. agricultural) Reducing local air pollutants: OECD NOx emissions reduced by 15% since 1990, and SOx emissions by 40%. Regulatory timetables for air quality in all OECD regions to 2008 Better transport and air pollution taxes, charges and regulations Challenges: small PMs, VOCs, smog, critical loads for 8 8 acid rain Reductions in SOx and NOx emissions OECD SOx and NOx emissions 150 Index 1990=100 gross domestic product fossil fuel supply 100 NOx emissions SOx emissions 50 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 9 9 Progress (contd.) Environmental and health risks from chemicals & GMOs: Regulatory frameworks for assessing risks of GMOs, Unique Identifiers. Challenges: bioaccumulating and toxic chemicals in the environment. Entry into force of multilateral environmental agreements: Rotterdam Convention on Prior Informed Consent. Stockholm Convention on Persistent Organic Pollutants. 10 10 Major environmental challenges: Climate change Decoupling environmental pressures from economic growth Biodiversity management Resource mobilisation 11 11 Climate Change ●Only one-third of OECD countries have stabilised or reduced GHG emissions since 1990. ●Policies slowly being adopted, but insufficient. ●Only a slight decoupling of GHG emissions from economic growth. 12 12 13 13 The mitigation challenge 14 14 CO2 Emissions OECD emissions Index 1990=100 125 100 gross domestic product 75 GHG emissions fossil fuel supply 50 CO2 emissions from energy use 25 0 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 15 15 GHG Emmissions 1990-2001 % change Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Italy Japan OECD 21 10 6.7 18.5 -22.9 0.3 4.7 0 -18 26.1 -22.7 -4.1 31.5 7.2 9.5 1990-2001 % change Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States .. -55 .. 4.6 17.2 8.1 -32.2 36.4 -30.6 33.1 -3.1 0.7 .. -11.7 13 5.6 16 16 Decoupling Environmental Pressures from Growth Agriculture Government support to farmers = €229 billion (2003). 80% are environmentally damaging subsidies. Transport & Energy Air pollution, CO2 emissions, congestion, urban sprawl. New technologies: promising, but slow. Challenges: air transport, public transport, energy efficiency, fuel mix. 17 17 Biodiversity Protected areas have increased in OECD to 14.6% of land area, but biodiversity loss outside these areas continues. Percentage of endangered species continues to increase. 75% of marine fish stocks are fully exploited, overexploited, depleting, or recovering. Challenges: better management of protected areas, establishment of marine parks, integration of biodiversity concerns in sectoral policies. 18 18 Biodiversity (contd.) Protected areas, OECD % of total area 16 14 12 IUCN categories: I to VI Strict nature reserves (Ia) Wilderness areas (Ib) National parks (II) Natural monuments (III) Habitat/species management areas (IV) Protected landscapes/seascapes (V) Managed resource protected areas (VI) Without IUCN category assigned 10 8 6 4 2 0 1980 1985 1990 1997 2003 19 19 International Financial Resources Resources are insufficient: $68.5 billion ODA in 2003 Only $5-6 billion to environment-related projects. MDG goals to halve population without access to water & sanitation by 2015 Additional investment needs = $75 billion p.a. (current ODA and lending = $4 billion). 20 20 Traffic Lights Summary Some progress, but not enough. Priority red lights: climate change, biodiversity, decoupling in agriculture, transport, energy. More efficient and effective environmental policies -- taxes, tradable permits, subsidy removal. Need for greater environmental policy integration and international co-operation. 21 21 III. OECD Recommendations Based on: Costs & benefits of present and future environmental policies Costs of inaction on environmental issues Obstacles to reform, such as competitiveness concerns and social impacts Appropriate policy mixes for particular sectors 22 22 Environmental Goals & Economic Efficiency Environment protection costs about 1 to 2% of GDP in OECD countries. Design policies that lead to more economically efficient environmental policies. Costs could be reduced by approximately 25%. 23 23 Economic Instruments Voluntary agreements Regulations Trading Schemes Taxation Removal of Subsidies 24 24 Trends in environmental policy Increased use of economic instruments (taxes; tradable permits) Concern with impacts on society and competitiveness Increased use of voluntary approaches… but these are often ineffective and costly 25 25 Regulations The main instrument used to control air pollution and resource extraction. Many forms of regulations. Regulatory instruments typically impose different costs across emitters. Regulations mandating the use of a particular technology discourage innovation and have very high costs. 26 26 Environmentally related taxes 7 % of total tax revenue (OECD average) 2.5 % of GDP (range 1 - 4.5%) Motor vehicles 26% Other 9% Transport fuels Heating & process fuels 5% Electricity 3% 64% Waste 1% Other 1% http://www.oecd.org/env/policies/taxes/index.htm 27 27 Effectiveness of taxes? FINLAND: – Pioneer in carbon taxes (1990) DENMARK: – sulphur tax – tax on non-hazardous waste NORWAY: – CO2 tax SWEDEN: – sulphur tax 28 28 But… taxes can be distortionary Tax rate variations or exemptions such as: – – – – under-taxing transport diesel fuel. under-taxing coal. tax-free aviation fuel (& airlines tickets). almost full energy tax exemption to the industrial sector. Over 1500 tax exemptions recorded in the OECD environmental taxes database. 29 29 Voluntary approaches Broad use in EU, US, Japan Some Benefits Limitations: – may not achieve extra environmental benefits – asymmetry in information – industry knows more about costs – need of back-up policy for non-compliance 30 30 Tradable permits High potential for CO2/ GHGs: Continue/ extend in other areas: – SOx – Water, waste, transport OECD: strategic guidelines and ex post evaluation. 31 31 Reform of harmful subsidies OECD country subsidies: – Well over €400 billion p.a. – $318 billion (2002) for agriculture Environmentally harmful subsidy reform: Obstacles to reform: – lack of comparable/ reliable data. – vested interests. – difficult to agree on alternative (e.g. income support) 32 32 Estimates of Env-Related Subsidies – late 1990s Sector OECD countries non-OECD countries Total 335 65 400 Water 15 45 60 Energy 80 160 240 Forestry 5 30 35 Fisheries 10 10 20 Other sectors (mainly road transport) 280 30 310 Total 725 340 1065 (3.4) (6.3) (4) Agriculture (% GDP) 33 33 Integrated Decision Making Is there a common understanding of SD? Is there clear commitment and leadership? Are institutional structures in place to steer SD? Is stakeholder involvement in decision making encouraged? Is the diversity of knowledge and scientific input to problems well managed? 34 34 Future Work on SD at the OECD Obstacles to removing environmentally harmful subsidies Obstacles to the further use of economic instruments Material flow accounting, decoupling and resource productivity Inputs to the UNCSD process 35 35 IV. Finland’s Track Record The economy: Impressive record from 1993-2000 Strong recovery since 2002 GDP per capita well ahead of Euro-area and OECD averages Population aging a major challenge Need to enhance effectiveness of public spending 36 36 Finland and Sustainable Development What is Finland’s environmental policy track record? What more can it contribute to help reach targets such as those set out in the MDGs? 37 37 2002-2003 OECD Economic Surveys : S.D. in Finland 1. Climate Change 2. Air Pollution 3. Natural Resources - forests 38 38 SD Policy Advice to Finland (1) Climate Change: Participate in EU-wide permit trading scheme in order to increase cost effectiveness of emission abatement. Equalise carbon taxes across various sectors of the economy. Reassess exemption of energy taxes on peat. 39 39 SD Policy Advice (2) Air Pollution: Reduce particulate pollution by accelerating the replacement of older cars and diesel engines by new models. Reconsider tax differential between diesel and gasoline so they reflect externalities. Create a trading scheme for NOx emissions. Institute road pricing. 40 40 SD Policy Advice (3) Natural Resources: Good governance of forest resources. Costs and benefits of expanding protected areas needs to be weighed. Competitive bidding might expand forest protection at least cost to society. 41 41 V. Global Challenges Millennium Development Goals Plan of Implementation of the World Summit on Sustainable Development – – – – Poverty eradication Changing patterns of consumption and production Protecting and managing natural resources Health (HIV/AIDS, etc) 42 42 OECD Development Strategy Shaping Globalization – Regionalisation, Globalisation, the Doha Agenda, International Migration, Global Risk Management, Security and Development Supporting Reforms for Development – Policy Coherence, Poverty Reduction, Investment and Private Sector Development, Institutions, Governance and Capacity Building Improving Development Co-operation and Finance – Aid Effectiveness, Aid Harmonisation, Mobilisation of Domestic Resources and Taxation, Statistical Capacity Building 43 43 OECD Contributions OECD Clients: OECD Member Countries 100 partner Countries International organisations & forums – UNCSD, MDG+5, G-8 44 44 Finland and the OECD Julin Report Trade and Development Ministerial Active participation in the OECD 45 45 Kiitos! 46 46