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Issues with Urban Transport -- people and freight data David Gargett Transport Research Leader, BITRE Issues with Urban Transport – Passenger and Freight Data Two data (and modelling) types: Aggregate Detailed network Four major data pictures to fill in: Passenger and commercial (including freight) Tasks Resulting traffic (versus capacity) Resulting fuel use and emissions Resulting congestion Major Determinants of the City Transport Task • Passengers “It’s population growth” • Freight “It’s the economy, Stupid” Per capita transport generation Per capita task (thousand pkm or tkm per person) 25 20 15 10 Passenger task - pkm per person 1950-2006 5 Freight task - tkm per person 1961-2006 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Per capita income (GDP/population) - thousand dollars (1999 prices) 35 40 45 Urban Public Transport Passengers: 1900 to 2005 900 800 millions/year 700 600 500 Sydney Melbourne 400 Brisbane 300 200 100 0 City Mode Share 1977 to 2008 (est) Total Passenger Task Melbourne Issues with Urban Transport – Passenger and Freight Data Two data (and modelling) types: Aggregate Detailed network Four major data pictures to fill in: Passenger and commercial (including freight) Tasks Resulting traffic (versus capacity) Resulting fuel use and emissions Resulting congestion City Traffic Estimates and Projections Traffic in Individual Cities City Congestion Cost Estimates Issues with Aggregate City Data • Most data comes from the ABS Survey of Motor Vehicle Use • Due to budget cutbacks, the SMVU will not be repeated for 3 years • Solutions: – Modelling – UPT data from authorities – Vehicle use estimates from city fuel data Detailed Network Data and Modelling • Passenger Traffic – Data from State surveys and ABS journey to work survey – Models mostly 4-stage – Results are light vehicle traffic simulations on the city network • Freight Traffic – Data (in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane) from industry surveys – Tonnage -> Trucks -> Traffic on routes • Traffic count data – New methods of computer processing to get accurate vehicle type counts on road sections Detailed Network Data and Modelling • Issues – – – – – – – – – Cost = who pays? Cost = do they pay regularly and consistently? Cost = How much can we (should we) afford? Cost = Is there a better (cheaper) way? Output = What do we need in the way of data? Output = How regularly? Output = in what detail? Analysis system = retaining/training key staff Analysis system = sharing ways and means between cities Our Cities • Two out of every three Australians dwell in our capital cities • The trends/issues around increasing congestion, oil depletion and greenhouse emissions mean city transport is involved in many of the issues facing us as a nation. • But transport is also now more generally involved with the quality of life of Australian city dwellers, making the issues of data collection and model construction more important than one might think