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Energy and Industry Trends Dave Molin VP & General Manager Honeywell Building Control Systems Agenda • The Current and Future Energy Outlook • Economy and Market Changes • Business Opportunities 2 Rising Energy Prices Energy Prices | 1980 – 2035 (2008 Dollars Per Million Btu) Electricity Global Issues Coal Natural Gas Crude Oil SOURCE: U. S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics and Analysis (December/2009) 3 U.S. Energy Consumption Heating 31% Residential 22% Industry (gas) 32% Buildings (electricity) 40% Water Heat 12% Cooling 12% Lights 11% Refrigeration 8% Electronics 7% Wet Clean 5% Cooking 5% Computers 1% Other 4% Lights 26% Transportation (oil) 28% US DOE Buildings Handbook, 2008 Commercial 18% Heating 14% Cooling 13% Water Heat 7% Ventilation 6% Office Equipment 6% Refrigeration 4% Computers 3% Cooking 2% Other 13% Building automation can control 66% of energy in homes and buildings and can monitor 100% 4 Current Situation • Energy – the catalyst that helped tip us into the recession – It’s in the news everyday – We have the ability to provide relevant, robust and lasting solutions for building owners and end users • If you’ve been around long enough to have experienced past energy disruptions, you know they didn’t have any real lasting impact – This time it’s different and commercial building controls today can address a large enough portion of the energy consumed in commercial building facilities • We can mitigate uncertainty and risk by reducing the impact of energy volatility on our building owner customers – – – – 5 Demand Response Implementations Real Time Pricing Critical Peak Pricing Eventuality of some sort of cap and trade implementation, etc. Is this time really different? • Energy awareness, cost and volatility • Shift from new construction toward retrofits and renovation • Non-traditional competitors challenging the space • Legislative incentives and mandates • Standards and code development • Elevated social conscience • Capturing savings potential is complex and difficult Creates Opportunity to Increase Building Performance 6 Federal Policy and Legislation Source: US Dept of Energy Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy DOE Supplier Summit January 2010 7 State Energy Activity States ranked for energy efficiency efforts 8 Energy Is Our Business Air Traffic Modernization Biofuels Green Buildings Reduced Emissions Fuel Efficiency Industrial Process Efficiency Energy Efficiency, Demand Response & Smart Grid Energy Performance Contracts 60% of Honeywell ACS Products & Services Related to Energy Efficiency & Consumption 9 So, what’s a Smart Grid anyway Economics of Electricity Payback Period Benefits Availability Coal 10-15 Years 2-3 Years Nuclear 20+ Years 5+ Years Renewables Exceeds Useful Life of Asset Varies Energy Efficiency 2-5 Years Immediate • Energy Efficiency & Conservation are the Cheapest Sources of Power • Honeywell Products Leverage Existing Infrastructure in Homes, Buildings and Industrial Plants to manage peak and base-load demand Efficiency and Conservation are the Best Options 11 The Smart Grid • More than Smart Meters • Control of energy from and to the end user • Reduce energy and reduce the load on an over extended infrastructure • Optimize the Energy Infrastructure • Smart Production, Delivery, and Use of Energy 12 Source: 2009 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. Automated Demand Response 13 Agenda • The Current and Future Energy Outlook • Economy and Market Changes • Business Opportunities 14 Non-Residential Growth Forecast Non-Residential Construction to improve, but stay below peak levels for some time 15 Vertical Market Growth Forecast • Office Facilities • Commercial Facilities • Educational Facilities 16 Office Buildings Source: ITR 2012 17 Commercial Properties Source: ITR 2012 18 Educational Facilities Source: ITR 2012 19 Agenda • The Current and Future Energy Outlook • Economy and Market Changes • Business Opportunities 20 Facility Management Today • Increasingly, facilities are viewed as strategic resources, rather than as an expense • The facility manager is being elevated to the role of asset manager, supporting the organization's overall business goals 21 Business Challenges faced by FMs • Increase efficiency & reduce costs – Multiple user interfaces & redundant system applications/workstations – Requires significant time to train users – Primary building equipment can be large energy users – Energy supply and demand cannot be optimized without measurement, analysis and appropriate response • Minimize system downtime & disruptions – Difficult to implement routine maintenance & cleaning – Too many systems, not enough time/expertise • Improve decision making – Hard to get at information when you need it – Information exists within different systems – Limited reporting & trending capabilities 22 Industry Technology Trends • Our world is becoming instrumented – Ability to measure, sense & see exact conditions of everything • Our world is becoming interconnected – In 2011 we are 10 X more instrumented & connected then in 2006 – New ways for people, systems & objects to communicate – Use of the Internet in our daily lives is increasing • Cisco predicts 15 Billion devices by 2015 and 3 Billion users (40 percent of world population) – It was approx 5 Billion in 2010 • Customer data presentation expectations are changing – People want to see and use data and information the way they do everything else in their daily lives 23 Summary • Energy is expensive and prices are volatile – and there’s no end in sight • Measuring energy is the first step in improving energy performance • Independent forecast creates optimism for construction and retrofit opportunities, but the migration from new construction to retrofit is paramount • Smart BAS Systems can optimize business performance for building owners 24