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Proposed Regulation Changes for Striped Bass California Department of Fish and Game California Fish and Game Commission Meeting February 2, 2012 Trustee Responsibilities The Department of Fish and Game has Trustee responsibility to ensure the long-term sustainability of native fishes (Delta and longfin smelt and anadromous salmonids) and important non-native sport fish. Delta Fish Population Trends Winter-run 1980’s Chinook collapse since the Delta and longfin smelt populations have steeply declined since the 1990’s Recent indices are persistently low despite sometimes-favorable environmental conditions and intensive management Possible Causes of Decline of Listed Species Habitat degradation Water diversions Water quality Fishery and hatchery effects Predation and competition Changes in ecosystem and food web dynamics Proposal Goal Approach for Attaining Goal The Department seeks to increase the Reduce the abundance of striped bass abundance of the listed species through sport fishing regulations Allow increased harvest of striped bass Managing uncertainty impact of regulation change Proposed Changes Increase daily bag limit from 2 to 6 fish and possession limit from 4 to 12 fish Lower “Hot minimum size from 18 to 12 inches spot” at Clifton Court Forebay Daily bag limit = 20; Poss. limit = 40 No size limit; On-site Report card Allow harvest of striped bass in the Carmel, Pajaro, and Salinas rivers Historical Overview Concerns likely to be voiced by the public today You may hear that “the impact of striped bass predation on listed species is negligible.” Chinook salmon abundance winter spring 5 Winter-run (x 10,000) 4 ~200 ~800 1.5 3 1 2 0.5 1 0 0 70 74 78 82 86 90 Year 94 98 02 06 10 Spring-run (x 10,000) 2 Abundance Indices delta smelt 1.0 no index longfin smelt 6 4 2 0 no index Index (x 10,000) 0 8 no index 0.5 no index Index (x 1,000) 1.5 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 Year Striped bass abundance ~1.5 Million 1.0 no estimate no estimate no estimate 0.5 no estimate Abundance (x 1,000,000) 1.5 95 97 99 01 0 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 Year 93 03 05 07 09 Annual consumption by striped bass 60 Millions of Pounds 50 ~50 Million Pounds 40 30 20 10 0 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 Year Concerns likely to be voiced by the public today You may hear “there are more important issues that need to be addressed” Habitat Enhancement Bay Delta Ecosystem Restoration Program -Upwards of $700 million spent on: • Fish screens at diversions • Fish passage improvements (Battle Creek = $40M) • Riparian and in-stream restoration • Many (many) other restorations Concerns likely to be voiced by the public today You may hear “the striped bass fishery will collapse.” Abundance (x 1,000,000) 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 Year 93 no estimate 0 no estimate 0.5 no estimate 0.00 95 97 99 01 no estimate no estimate no estimate no estimate no estimate 0.05 no estimate Rate Estimate Striped bass harvest rate and abundance 0.20 0.15 0.10 1.5 1.0 03 05 07 09 Concerns likely to be voiced by the public today You may hear that “there will be predictable human health issues related to the increase in fish consumption?” Smaller fish have lower concentrations of mercury than larger fish OEHHA determines the advisory limit on consumption Managing the Uncertainty Prepare adaptive management plan Monitor striped bass fishery and other predator populations Monitor population dynamics of anadromous salmonids, delta smelt, and longfin smelt Report results of monitoring and surveys Analyze efficacy of regulatory changes Recommended Action Direct the Department and Commission Prepare a regulatory packet Commence environmental review under the California Environmental Quality Act Develop a robust adaptive management plan with partner agencies and stakeholders ADDITIONAL INFORMATION 30 Striped bass abundance versus prey-fish consumed Millions of Kilograms 25 20 15 10 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Abundance Age 3-6 (x 1,000,000) 2 2.2 Abundance Index 2.0 striped bass 1.0 0 no index 0.5 no index Index (x 10,000) 1.5 67 69 71 73 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 Year Potential Health Implications Increased consumption of striped bass may expose consumer to elevated levels of methylmercury Potential impacts of regulation change on consumption levels are unknown OEHHA will have to evaluate potential increased human health risk