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POPULATION DYNAMICS Population Dynamics and the Sea Otter • The population dynamics of the sea otter have helped us to better understand the ecological importance of this keystone species. • Sea otter – almost extinct in 1900’s, caused a population explosion of sea urchins because nothing to keep pop. In check • Kelp beds lost, decrease in diversity • When sea otters made a comeback, deforested kelp areas recovered Population Dynamics and the Sea Otter Population Dynamics • Population dynamics is the change in population structure due to environmental stress and changes in environmental conditions. Population Dynamics • Four ways in which population structure changes: – Size (# of individuals) – Density (# of individuals in a certain space) – Dispersion (spatial patterns) – Age distribution Dispersion – Spatial Patterns Population Size • Population change = • (births + immigration) – (deaths + emigration) – Immigration – organisms moving into a population – Emigration – organisms leaving pop. Population Size • To determine percent growth rate: • =[(CBR-CDR) + (IR-ER)] *100 CBR crude birth rate = #births/1000 CDR crude death rate = #deaths/1000 IR Immigration rate = #immigrating/1000 ER emigration rate = #emigrating/1000 Population Size • Biotic Potential – a population’s growth potential • Intrinsic Rate of Increase (r) – rate at which a population would increase with unlimited resources – Ex. One single female housefly could give rise to 5.6 trillion flies in 13 months with no controls on the pop. Population Size • ….but, as we know, in nature there are always limits to population growth. – Environmental resistance are all the factors that limit population growth Population Size • Together the biotic potential and environmental resistance determine carrying capacity (K) Population Size • Carrying capacity (K) -- # of individuals of a given species that can be sustained indefinitely in a given space (area or volume) Population Size • Exponential Growth – a population that has few resource limitations; growth starts out slowly, but gets faster and faster (j-shaped growth curve) Exponential Growth Logistic Growth • Involves exponential growth, with a steady decrease in population growth as it encounters environmental resistance, approaching carrying capacity and leveling off • Sigmoid growth curve Logistic Growth Logistic Growth • In reality, populations fluctuate slightly above and below the carrying capacity Population Size – Doubling Time • How long it takes for the population to double • = 70/ % growth rate – Ex. In 2002, world pop. Grew by 1.28%…..so 70/1.28=54.7 (so world pop. Should double in approx. 55 yrs. What if carrying capacity is exceeded? • This happens when a pop. Uses up its resource base and temporarily overshoots carrying capacity • Occurs because of reproductive time lag: period needed for birth rate to fall and death rate to rise • Pop. Would then suffer a crash or dieback Example of Overshoot • 26 Reindeer were introduced to an island off of Alaska in 1910 • 1935 – pop.= 2,000 (no predators and plentiful resources) • By 1950, the pop. Crashed with only 8 reindeer remaining Factors Affecting Carrying Capacity • Competition within and between species • Immigration and emigration • Natural and human caused catastrophes • Seasonal changes in resource availability What About Human Pop. Carrying Capacity? • Currently growing at an exponential rate • Humans can be affected by overshooting carrying capacity – Ex. Potato famine in 1845 (Ireland) 1 million people died and 3 million emigrated Population Density • Density-independent population controls: affect pop. Size regardless of density • Examples: floods, fires, hurricanes, unseasonable weather, habitat destruction, pesticide spraying Population Density • Density-dependent population controls: have a greater affect as population increases • Examples:competition, predation, parasitism, disease Population Density • • • • • • • • • Human Example: Bubonic Plague (bacterium usually found in rodents) spread like wildfire through cities of Europe in 14th century killing 25 million people Revisiting Predator-Prey Relationship Revisiting Predator-Prey Relationship • Top-down control hypothesis: the predator population keeps the prey population in check • …but is this really true? Revisiting Predator-Prey Relationship • Research shows that the snowshoe hare pop. Has a similar cycle even when lynx aren’t present • Bottom-up control hypothesis: the hare population overshoots its carrying capacity, and then crashes, so in reality the hare pop. Controls the lynx pop. Revisiting Predator-Prey Relationship • It has been found that both of these hypotheses are not mutually exclusive, they exist in different ecosystems Reproductive Patterns • Asexual Reproduction: all offspring are clones or identical copies Reproductive Patterns • Sexual Reproduction: half of genetic material coming from each parent; 97% of known organisms • Risks: females only ones producing offspring, chance of genetic errors, mating may spread disease, injury Reproductive Patterns • If sex is so risky, why do so many organisms reproduce this way? – Greater genetic diversity, so more likely to survive environmental change – Males can help provide for offspring, increasing chances for survival Reproductive Patterns • Two different patterns: • r-selected species • K-selected • species Reproductive Patterns • r-selected species or opportunists: reproduce early and put most of their energy into reproducing • Called opportunists because can rapidly colonize a new habitat or colonize after a disturbance; usually boom and bust cycles Characteristics of rselected species • Little or no parental care • Early reproductive age • Many offspring at once • Short lived Characteristics of rselected species • examples K-selected species or competitors • Tend to do well in competitive conditions when population size is near carrying capacity (K) • Thrive best when environmental conditions are stable K-selected species or competitors • Characteristics: – Develop inside mothers – Reproduce late in life – Mature slowly – Parental care – Fewer offspring – *prone to extinction due to these char. K-selected species or competitors K-selected species or competitors Survivorship Curves • Shows the # of survivors of each age group Survivorship Curves • Type I: late loss curves (humans, typical K-selected species) – High survivorship (parental care) until a certain age, then a high mortality Survivorship Curves • Type II – constant loss curve (songbirds, lizards) – Fairly constant mortality rate in all age classes Survivorship Curves • Type III: early loss curves (rselected species, fish, insects) – High juvenile mortality rate Conservation Biology • A multidisciplinary science to take action to preserve species and ecosystems • 3 principles: – Biodiversity is necessary to life on earth – Humans should not cause or hasten ecological damage including extinction – Best way to preserve biodiversity is to protect intact ecosystems Conservation Biology Conservation Biology • How humans have altered natural ecosystems: – Fragmenting and degrading habitat How humans have altered natural ecosystems: – Simplifying natural ecosystems (monocultures) Conservation Biology – Using, wasting, or destroying a percentage of earth’s primary productivity Conservation Biology • Genetic resistance of some pest and bacteria pops. Due to overuse of pesticides and antibiotics Conservation Biology • Eliminating some predators Conservation Biology • Deliberately or accidentally introducing nonnative species Conservation Biology • Overharvesting renewable resources Conservation Biology • Interfering with the normal chemical cycling and energy flows in ecosystems Conservation Biology • So… what can we do? – Learn about processes and adaptations by which nature sustains itself – Mimic lessons from nature