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PAMI DAILY REVIEW July 20, 2016 Markets At A Glance U.S.A. U.S.A. PSEi Index EUROPE CHINA HONG KONG Shanghai Comp Ind 3,036.60 HK Hang Seng Dow Jones S&P 500 FTSE 100 18,559.01 0.14% 2,163.78 -0.14% 6,697.37 0.03% -0.23% 21,673.20 -0.60% News Highlights - MANILA, Philippines – Investment pledges approved by the Board of Investments (BOI) more than doubled in the first half of the year as sustained investor confidence in the new government led to more power and transportation infrastructure projects. BOI data released yesterday showed approved investments reached P186.51 billion in the first six months of 2016, a 103% jump from the P92.02 billion generated in the same period last year. With the numbers already covering the months of May and June, BOI chair and Trade Secretary Ramon Lopez said the triple-digit growth is indicative of continued investor confidence as the country transitions to the Duterte administration. Lopez said BOI is expecting the upsurge in investment registration to continue in the coming months . (Source: The Philippine Star 8,036.01 +49.76 (+0.62%) 8,042.09 8,032.04 8,033.99 7,986.25 8,037.41 6,084.28 +6.51% +15.54% 23.68 9.3T High Low Open Prev Close 52w High 52w Low 1y Rtn YTD Rtn P/E Ratio Mkt Cap *Source: Bloomberg The Global Economy - - - US: Wall Street closed mixed Tuesday after weeks of record highs for stocks, as investors digested second-quarter earnings. Bank earnings continued to surprise with Goldman Sachs posting better-thanexpected results Tuesday. Oil prices fell as concerns over a global glut were offset by a new disruption in Libyan supply, Reuters reported. A protest shut down an eastern Libyan oil terminal, forcing the operator to suspend production of 100,000 barrels per day, according to Reuters. (Source: CNBC 07/19/2016) EU: European stocks closed largely lower on Tuesday, but pared some losses, as investors trod carefully amid earnings and geopolitical tensions. The French CAC index and German DAX provisionally ended 0.6% and 0.8% lower respectively. U.K. inflation rose 0.5% in June compared to a year ago, the Office for National Statistics reported on Tuesday. The Zew Institute's German economic index fell to -6.8 in July from 19.2 in the previous month, with the organization naming uncertainty around Brexit as the main driver. (Source: CNBC 07/19/2016) Asia: Asia markets opened mostly lower on Wednesday, following a mixed finish in the U.S. as investors digested second-quarter earnings. In Japan, the benchmark Nikkei 225 was down 0.85%, after finishing the Tuesday session at a six-week high. Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi was off by 0.54%. The Japanese yen traded at 106.02 against the greenback, weakening considerably from levels near 100 two weeks earlier. Oil prices advanced during Asian hours, with global benchmark Brent up 0.43% at $46.86 a barrel, while U.S. crude futures added 0.25% at $44.76. (Source: CNBC 07/20/2016) The Local Stock Market - STOCKS rose yesterday, with the main index returning to the 8,000 level, amid stable prospects for the Philippine economy following the Asian Development Bank’s (ADB) retention of its growth forecasts for the country. Philippine gross domestic product (GDP) is seen on track to expand by 6.1% in 2017, unchanged from ADB’s March estimate as strong domestic demand is set to stimulate the economy further to offset external headwinds. The benchmark Philippine Stock Exchange index (PSEi) ticked up by 0.62% or 49.76 points to finish at 8,036.01, successfully returning above the 8,000 mark. All counters ended in the green yesterday except mining and oil, which went down by 0.37% or 41.71 points to 11,241.39. In contrast, the holding firms counter posted the largest increase yesterday as it went up by 0.90% or 71.31 points to 7,925.73. (Source: BusinessWorld Online 07/20/2016) The Bonds Market - A COMBINATION of developments both at home and abroad, in particular the risk-on sentiment in the local equities market and continued uncertainty over the direction of economic growth in developed markets, sent yields on government securities (GS) upwards. GS yields shot up 15.81 basis points (bps) on average week-on-week, data from the Philippine Dealing & Exchange Corp. as of July 15 showed. At the secondary market last Friday, double-digit increases were seen in the short- and long-ends of the yield curve, as well as the belly. For the short end, the 364-day Treasury bills (T-bills) saw its rates jump by 57.83 bps to fetch 2.8933%. Yields on the 91-day paper likewise went up by 5.08 bps (1.8058%) while the 182-day T-bill’s yield movement was flat, only down by half a basis point (1.8743%). Government Security yields this week is expected to “show some downward bias,” expecting more dovish comments from the European Central Bank (ECB) when they meet on Thursday to decide on interest rates. (Source: BusinessWorld Online 07/18/2016) PAMI Funds PFI PHFI PEIF NAVPS 1.1537 4.2495 2.2895 17.5793 3.9323 53.7390 9.97% 10.37% 15.05% PSGF 575.6300 13.82% PABF PGBF 0.9194 3.83% 4.92% Funds PMIF PBF PDBF YTD -0.16% 6.62% 8.49% 1.1002 *as of previous day's closing. USDPHP Exchange Rate Previous day's Close 46.940 Change (P) Change (%) 0.2150 0.46% *Source: Bloomberg. PDST-Reference Rates Tenor 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 25Y PDST-R1 1.7437 1.8320 2.0690 2.8665 3.8787 3.9366 - PDST-R2 1.7437 1.8287 1.5774 2.8634 3.8753 3.9330 - *Source: PDS Group Economic Indicators SDA Rate Inflation Rate (June 2016) GDP Growth (1Q2016) 2.50% 1.90% 6.90% *Latest figures as of release dates. Readership: This document is intended solely for the addressee(s). Its content may be legally privileged and/or confidential. This material is only valid if distributed in the Philippines. Opinions: Any opinions expressed in this document may be subject to change without notice and is not intended to solicit or recommend any action based on this material. Risk Warning: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Our investment management services relate to a variety of investments, each of which can fluctuate in value. The value of the portfolios may fall as well as rise, and the investor may not get back the full amount originally invested. The investment risk vary between the different asset classes. For example, for portfolios denominated in foreign currencies, changes in the rate of exchange may cause the value of investments, and consequently the value of the portfolio, to increase or decrease. In the case of higher portfolio volatility, the realized loss upon redemption may be high, as the investment's value may decline substantially. In making an investment decision, prospective and existing investors must rely on their own examination of the merits and risks involved. Information in this material is public information, unless otherwise noted. Its content has been shared with various in-house departments within the member companies of Philam Group, in its ordinary course of completion. All Philam Group members companies comply with the confidentiality requirements of their respective jurisdictions. Parts of this presentation may be based on information received from sources considered reliable.