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PAMI DAILY REVIEW January 28, 2016 Markets At A Glance U.S.A. U.S.A. PSEi Index EUROPE CHINA HONG KONG Shanghai Comp Ind 2,735.56 HK Hang Seng Dow Jones S&P 500 FTSE 100 15,944.46 -1.38% 1,882.95 -1.09% 5,990.37 1.33% -0.52% 19,052.45 1.02% News Highlights - MANILA, Philippines — The domestic economy grew at a pace of 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2015, bring the full-year growth of 5.8%, the government announced Tuesday. The fourth quarter growth, meanwhile, was expectedly the highest quarterly growth for the year. Yet it is still slower than the 6.6% posted in the same period in 2014. The Philippine Statistics Authority said the fourth quarter GDP was driven by the services sector that grew by 7.4% from 5.6%, Industry followed as a major growth driver, decelerating to 6.8% from 9.1%. Services was also main driver of the full-year economy, accelerating by 6.7% from 5.9% the previous year. (Source: The Philippine Star 01/28/2016) 6,507.22 +195.62 (+3.10%) 6,507.22 6,344.06 6,344.06 6,311.60 8,136.97 6,084.28 -13.44% -6.40% 18.65 7.6T High Low Open Prev Close 52w High 52w Low 1y Rtn YTD Rtn P/E Ratio Mkt Cap *Source: Bloomberg The Global Economy - - - US: U.S. stocks closed more than 1% lower Wednesday, despite higher oil prices, as disappointing quarterly reports weighed and the Fed statement renewed concerns about global economic growth. As widely expected, the Federal Reserve left rates unchanged in its post-meeting statement Wednesday. The central bank said it is "closely monitoring global economic and financial developments and is assessing their implications for the labor market and inflation, and for the balance of risks to the outlook." (Source: CNBC 01/27/2016) EU: European markets eked out gains on Wednesday as investors tried to shake off oil's fluctuations and the slew of disappointing earnings ahead of the release of the U.S. Federal Reserve's next statement. Brent crude price closed at around $32.37 per barrel. Germany's BASF, the world's largest chemicals company by sales, said 2015 earnings would be lower than expected after it took impairment charges in its oil and gas division resulting from the low oil price. (Source: CNBC 01/27/2016) Asia: Markets in Asia trimmed losses to trade mixed, following a lower finish on Wall Street after the Federal Reserve kept its monetary policy unchanged, but appeared to signal expectations of weaker U.S. growth. Japan's retail sales for December fell 1.1% on-year, according to government data, showing some weakness in household demand. The Bank of Japan starts its two-day policy meeting on Thursday. On the earnings front, major companies in Japan and South Korea including Fanuc, Posco and Kawasaki Heavy Industries are set to announce earnings. (CNBC 01/28/2016) The Local Stock Market - STOCKS staged a strong rebound yesterday, sending the benchmark index past the 6,500 mark, fueled by optimism on the country’s economic growth performance and hopes that the US Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged. The US central bank concludes a two-day policy meeting today, with monetary officials expected to keep interest rates steady amid the turbulence in global financial markets. All counters saw sharp gains yesterday. Mining and oil was the session’s top performer, rising 514.36 points or 6% to 9,086.80. Likewise, services advanced 68.06 points or 4.8% to 1,486.04; holding firms went up 200.83 points or 3.41% to 6,077.56; and property added 69.77 points or 2.75% to 2,598.64.(Source: BusinessWorld Online 01/27/2016) The Bonds Market - Bureau of Treasury reported that government debt servicing marginally dropped in November last year due to lower interest payments. Data from the treasury bureau showed the government spent P26.5 billion for debt servicing in November, lower by two percent compared with P27.06 billion in the same month in the previous year. Meanwhile, the national government borrowed 90% lower in November last year due to rejections and partial awards made during bi-monthly auctions of treasury debt papers. In November, 2015, gross borrowings declined to P3.340 billion from P33.704 billion in the previous year. Of that, foreign borrowings reached P786 million, while domestic counterparts stood at P2.554 billion. But amid global uncertainty and volatility in the financial markets, the treasury bureau decided to defer its fresh offshore borrowings this month. National Treasurer Roberto B. Tan explained the government was just “more closely” monitoring the developments in the financial markets for its planned $2 billion worth of borrowings. (Source: Manila Bulletin 01/24/2016) PAMI Funds PFI PHFI PEIF NAVPS 1.1558 3.9889 2.1370 15.4549 3.4414 43.8474 -3.32% -3.40% -6.13% PSGF 476.3600 -5.81% PABF PGBF 0.8199 -7.41% 0.92% Funds PMIF PBF PDBF YTD 0.03% 0.08% 1.27% 1.0582 *as of previous day's closing. USDPHP Exchange Rate Previous day's Close 47.815 Change (P) Change (%) -0.1800 -0.38% *Source: Bloomberg. PDST-Reference Rates Tenor 1M 6M 1Y 5Y 10Y 20Y 25Y PDST-R1 2.4550 1.6135 1.7422 3.7889 4.3115 5.4517 5.1449 PDST-R2 2.4417 1.6135 1.7393 3.7725 4.2972 5.0485 5.0578 *Source: PDS Group Economic Indicators SDA Rate Inflation Rate (Dec 2015) GDP Growth (4Q2015) 2.50% 1.50% 6.30% *Latest figures as of release dates. Readership: This document is intended solely for the addressee(s). Its content may be legally privileged and/or confidential. This material is only valid if distributed in the Philippines. Opinions: Any opinions expressed in this document may be subject to change without notice and is not intended to solicit or recommend any action based on this material. Risk Warning: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Our investment management services relate to a variety of investments, each of which can fluctuate in value. The value of the portfolios may fall as well as rise, and the investor may not get back the full amount originally invested. The investment risk vary between the different asset classes. For example, for portfolios denominated in foreign currencies, changes in the rate of exchange may cause the value of investments, and consequently the value of the portfolio, to increase or decrease. In the case of higher portfolio volatility, the realized loss upon redemption may be high, as the investment's value may decline substantially. In making an investment decision, prospective and existing investors must rely on their own examination of the merits and risks involved. Information in this material is public information, unless otherwise noted. Its content has been shared with various in-house departments within the member companies of Philam Group, in its ordinary course of completion. All Philam Group members companies comply with the confidentiality requirements of their respective jurisdictions. Parts of this presentation may be based on information received from sources considered reliable.