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Lecture 1 EPSY 625 MEASUREMENT THEORY TIMELINE Chinese Greek European Stat- Measure- Exams system univ. exam istics meant 2000BCE 400BCE 800AD 1800AD 1900AD 2000AD 1000 BC Chinese civil service exam Democratic in principle: anyone could sit for the exam limitation: opportunity to learn; access to schooling low for peasants many modern issues: • reliability: test-retest, interrater agreement • validity: content, face, predictive • test formats: written vs. oral GREEK-ROMAN EDUCATION SYSTEMS Greek emphasis on oral examination Roman emulation of Greek systems (used Greek slaves as teachers for private tutoring) • Carryover to European university systems created about 800 AD- 1800 • Use of papyrus for written work Oral examinations for degrees- paper was very expensive Arabic university systems somewhat like European systems in 1000-1500AD 1800 Error of Measurement astronomy & gambling Discovery of Normal distribution • scoring agreement among astronomers; • disagreements as poor work vs. individual differences gambling with dice or cards: statistics and probability were invented- gambling noblemen wanted an edge 1850 Wundt's lab physiological measurement Measurement of human performance and perception jnd: just noticeable difference in perception WRITTEN EXAMINATIONS 1850 Cheap paper and lead pencil invented in 1840s Written essay advocated by American educators such as Horace Mann Reduction in emphasis on oral presentation, recitation Essay examination becomes important 1880 Galton's anthropometry human physical measurement Measurement of human physiognomy notion of relationships among variables: • correlation and causation: • ratio scaling led to Pearson’s correlation • nominal scaling led to chi square association 1890 test" reaction time, "mental J.M. Cattell - child intelligence Binet - Simon - “ : individual testing • developmental perspective • deviation at an age compared to cross-age development factor analysis - Spearman; concept of construct underlying observed measurement 1905 educational psychology - Thorndike learning and assessment First educational psychology text- 1906 1914 text topics: • The Original Nature of Man • The Psychology of Learning • Individual Differences and Their Causes • sex and race • ancestry (genetics) or family etc. 1920s IQ testing from WW I • need to classify men efficiently for military • Group testing duties need to assess large numbers: group testing attitude assessment - Thurstone Chave Fisher ANOVA (beginning of experimental design) 1930s Theory development Thurstone and Likert: assessment of affect, methodology KR-20, Rulon, etc. internal consistency Spearman-Brown: prediction of test characteristics 1940s More theory Hoyt’s reliability using ANOVA Guttman scaling of attitude Decision theory and WWII 1950s Computer-based analysis Cronbach’s alpha- pulling theory together construct validity - Cronbach, Meehl multitrait-multimethod validity MacCorquodale 1960s Computers and statistics latent trait theory- Rasch formalized true score theory - Lord & Novick covariance structure analysis - Jorekog multidimensional scaling - Torgeson latent partition analysis - Wiley 1970s generalizability theory- Cronbach criterion-referenced testing (CRT) bias in testing theory, differential item function (DIF) 2- and 3- parameter latent trait models Lord statewide assessments: “minimum competency” 1980s multitrait linear logistic model - Embretson Multitrait linear logistic modelEmbretson Item-individual interaction: cognitive function task demand item function (Mislevy, Willson) Development of testing standards 1990s Web-based assessment Automated response: web testing, computer adaptive testing AI systems widespread use of measurement model in quantitative theory (Structural equation modeling) accountability systems based on testing 2000s HIGH STAKES TESTING AND RESEARCH No Child Left Behind Multilevel modeling (HLM) Federal testing requirements for US States Great demands on testing industry to develop many tests