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Fundamentals Discussion Malthusian doomsayers claim: 1. Natural resources are running out 2. Population is growing, having less and less to eat 3. Species are becoming extinct in vast numbers, forests are disappearing, fish stocks are collapsing 4. Planets air and water is becoming more polluted Do you believe those statements? Is this something to worry about? Why/why not? Systems • System – A set of components that interact with one another – A system must be distinguishable from its environment – Systems analysis: concerned with the nature of interactions as well as the components – Interested in patterns, behaviors Earth as a Living System Earth itself a system of biological communities • Biota: – • All the organisms of all species living in an area or region up to and including the biosphere Biosphere: 1. 2. That part of a planet where life exists The planetary system that includes and sustains life 4 Main Systems • • • • Lithosphere Hydrosphere Atmosphere Biosphere The Lithosphere • Consists of the upper part of the mantle and the crust • Crust, less than 1% of the earth’s mass • Thickness varies from 5-35 km. • Made from rocks, 2000 minerals 8 elements account for 99% of mass – – – – Oxygen 47% Silicon 28% Aluminum 8% Iron 5% The Lithosphere • Igneous rocks (granite) – Solidification of molten materials • Sedimentary rocks (sandstone, limestone) – Erosion, dissolved material, biological activity • Metamorphic rocks (marble from limestone) – Alteration of parent rock • Constantly change but over long time-scales The Hydrosphere • Includes all water on Earth. • Lakes, rivers, ocean, water vapor in the atmosphere • 70 % covered with water; 97% in oceans, 2% in glaciers ice caps, 0,0001 vapor, 0,009 in rivers etc. • Hydrological cycle – Precipitation, evaporation – Changes occur much faster than in lithosphere BUT – Residence time varies, depending on the reservoir The Atmosphere • 3 main layers – Troposphere (weather, >0 degrees), stratosphere, mesosphere • Mostly composed of gasses – – – – Nitrogen 78% Oxygen 21% CO2 0.04% Methane 0.0002% • More rapid timescales of change, residence time – 10 yrs methane – 100 yrs CO2 The Biosphere • The biosphere is the life zone of the Earth and includes all living organisms, including man, and all organic matter that has not yet decomposed. • Extends from top of troposphere to 10km below sea level • Supports life – Water, usable energy, air, suitable temperature, essential nutrients, trace elements Thermodynamics • Study of energy transformations. Fundamentals to understanding environmental and economic systems • Energy: the potential to do work • Work: when something is moved • Power: work per unit of time Thermodynamics • First law: Law of Conservation of Matter, matter can neither be created nor destroyed, only converted – Implications, In = Out • Second law: Entropy Law – conversions means losses, increase in entropy or disorder in an isolated system – Never reaches 100% efficiency – Require energy for all transformations – Diminishing return to technological change Best First Principle • Extract best resources first • Best: – Most concentrated – Least entropy – Most distinguishable from the surrounding environment – Require least energy to extract • E.g. iron ore, copper Systems • System: – A set of components or parts that function together to act as one whole. • Isolated System – No matter in or out of the system • Closed System: – No material movement into or out of the system – The earth • Open System: – Not generally contained within boundaries – Some energy or material moves into or out of the system – Plants Systems • Plants as open systems – Exchange energy and matter with environment – Highly ordered system, takes from environment to maintain order (life). Death deacay and disorder begins – Autotrophs (producers), make organic matter from inorganic matter using energy via photosynthesis – Primary productivity: rate at which plants produce plant tissue – GPP: Total amount of solar energy fixed by photosynthesis – NPP: GPP – maintenance respiration Photosynthesis Energy and nutrient flows • Plants and animals open systems • Linked through feeding chains; foodwebs • Trophic pyramids: ecosystem structured based on the chemical energy stored at various levels in the foodweb Ecosystem • Ecosystem: – A community of organisms and its local nonliving environment in which matter (chemical elements) cycles and energy flows. – Life sustained by interactions of many different organisms, functioning together, and interacting through their physical and chemical environment – Inherently complex Basic Characteristics of Ecosystems • Structure – Living (Ecological Communities) – Hierarchical interactions – Non-living (physical/chemical environment) • Processes – Growth – Cycling of chemical elements – important and complex • Inflows, recycling, no waste in nature, interactions • Food webs – Flow of energy • Between trophic levels • Change – Evolution – Succession Structure • Ecosystems – A set of interacting species that occur in the same place and functioning together • Food chains, food webs, trophic levels (autotrophs, heterotrophs) – From a small pond to Biomes Biomes: Areas with similar climate and plant life Different productivity of Biomes Organization • Food webs • Food chains • Trophic levels – Autotrophs – Heterotrophs • Herbivores • Carnivores • Omnivores The trophic pyramid – Trophic level Energy Flows in Ecosystems 10% efficiency between levels Decomposers Fungi, Bacteria Animals Resease nutrients Origin of fossil fuels • All organic originally • Coal; compressed peat, converts to coal under pressure and heat as layers accumulate on top • Oil; animal tissue, incomplete decomposition under high heat and pressure • Natural gas: methane, byproduct to oil production Populations and population dynamics • Population; a set of individuals that belong to the same species which live in the same area • Species: set of individuals that are capable to reproducing Renewable Resources Population growth • Focus on G • Exponential growth • Characterizes anything that can grow without limit • Pt = Pt-1*(1+r) • Absolute increase increases over time Renewable Resources Population growth • Logistic or density dependent growth • Upper limit to the ultimate size • Determined by carrying capacity – What defines CC? • Growth curve inverted ushaped Growth determined by: Pt = Pt-1 + r*(CC - Pt-1)/CC Species types • r selected, non specialist, high growth rates • K selected, specialists, low growth rates • Keystone species; carry out essential roles in an ecosystem Systems features • Have Components – State variables – stocks • Sources, sinks – Interactions – flows • Energy, materials, information • Static behavior, comparative static • Dynamic behavior – Interactions • Relational • Physical Dynamic behavior • Feedback – Occurs when the output of the system also serves as an input, leading to further changes in the system • Negative Feedback – Occurs when the system’s response is in the opposite direction of the output – Self-regulating – Stabilizing • Positive Feedback – Occurs when an increase in output leads to a further increase in output – Destabilizing Dynamic behavior • Exponential growth: – Growth occurs at a constant rate per time period – Exemplifies positive feedback – Equation to describe exponential growth is: • Destabilizing Exponential growth • Exponential growth • Characterizes anything that can grow without limit • Pt = Pt-1*(1+r) • Realistic? Density dependent growth • S-shaped growth curves • Carrying capacity • Growth rate r Logistic or density dependent growth • Upper limit to the ultimate size • Determined by carrying capacity – What defines CC? • Growth curve u-shaped • Stabilizing Growth determined by: Pt = Pt-1 + r*(CC - Pt-1)/CC Feedback climate change Fig 3.8 © 2005 John Wiley and Sons Publishers Dynamic behavior • Lags – Separation between cause and effect in: • Time • Space – Results in oscillations Dynamic behavior • Negative loops with delayed feedback – Impact of overshoot not immediately realized. – Creates oscillations. • Coupled negative and positive feedback loops – E.g. logistic growth. Equilibrium and Stability • Equilibrium – More than one? – Will the variable remain at this level? • Stability – Will the variable return to equilibrium after a shock? • Resilience – Returns to equilibrium – Maintains functional integrity Environmental Unity • Environmental unity: – It is impossible to change only one thing; everything affects everything else. – Example: a food web Changes and Equilibrium in Systems • Uniformitarianism suggests changes in natural systems are predictable and based on the past • But how do systems change? Is this true? • Steady/Stable state: – A dynamic equilibrium – Material or energy is entering and leaving the system in equal amounts – Opposing processes occur at equal rates – E.g. climax state in mature ecosystems Fig 3.12 © 2005 John Wiley and Sons Publishers Changes and Equilibrium in Systems • Relationships between variables e.g. cause (inflow) and effect (outflow) – – – – – – – – Linear Nonlinear Deterministic Stochastic Continuous Discrete Thresholds Delayed • Wonderfully complex! Changes and Equilibrium in Systems • Multiple Dynamic Equilibria – Resiliency • How quickly a system returns to its equilibrium – Resistance • How unyielding a system is to a disturbance – Most are metastable – can go through rapid transitions Why Solving Environmental Problems Is Often Difficult 1. 2. Feedback loops - coupled or single Exponential growth • 3. The consequences of exponential growth and its accompanying positive feedback can be dramatic Lag time • • 4. The time between a stimulus and the response of a system If there is a long delay between stimulus and response, then the resulting changes are much more difficult to recognize. Irreversible consequences • • Consequences that may not be easily rectified on a human scale of decades or a few hundred years. When are activities irreversible? Why Solving Environmental Problems Is Often Difficult 5. Everything is interlinked – Makes it difficult to manage one species at a time 6. Synergy – Pollutants often interact to create something worse 7. Never static - always changing, always dynamic – E.g. succession - never constant. 8. Chaos – Chaotic behavior very common - difficult to predict movement