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Artificial Intelligence in Businesses Digital reinvention in the cognitive era with IBM Watson and Watson Health Dr. Stefan Ravizza Lead Swiss Cognitive & Analytics @StefanRavizza [email protected] Video “IBM Today” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OTzveEx-rQw&t=3s) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 2 We will cover three aspects of AI in businesses A new era Technology AI in projects © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 3 IBM Watson represents a bold step into a new era of computing System Intelligence Cognitive Programmatic Tabulation Search Deterministic Enterprise data Machine language Simple outputs Punch cards Time card readers 1900 © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 1950 Discovery Probabilistic Big Data Natural language Intelligent options 2011 4 Video “Watson and the Jeopardy! Challenge” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P18EdAKuC1U) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 5 IBM’s point of view is that there are three fundamental shifts SHIFT 1 SHIFT 2 SHIFT 3 Data is becoming the world’s new natural resource, transforming industries and professions The emergence of cloud is transforming IT and business processes into digital services Mobile and social are transforming individual engagement – creating expectations of security, trust and value in return for personal information OUR POINT OF VIEW OUR POINT OF VIEW OUR POINT OF VIEW Data is the new basis of competitive advantage Cloud is the path to new business models A systematic approach to engagement is required OUR PURPOSE - Be essential © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 6 Watson enhances, scales and accelerates human expertise Enhance Scale Accelerate the cognitive process of professionals to strengthen decision making in the moment expertise by elevating the consistency and objectivity of decision making across an organization development of expertise in others by capturing the expertise of top performers © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 7 A cognitive business has systems that can enhance digital intelligence exponentially UNDERSTAND Cognitive systems understand imagery, language and other unstructured data like humans do. REASON LEARN INTERACT They can reason, grasp underlying concepts, form hypotheses, and infer and extract ideas. With each data point, interaction and outcome, they develop and sharpen expertise, so they never stop learning. With abilities to see, talk and hear, cognitive systems interact with humans in a natural way. © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 8 Cognitive computing required the intersection of three trends Cognitive Cloud Digitized Data Machine Learning Computation Web / Digital Archives Deep Learning Newly generated data on a daily basis + Advanced Analytics CPU + GPU Clusters + Scalable Ingestion Platforms Only today we have enough data, the right models and the required computing power to move from research to business © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 9 We will cover three aspects of AI in businesses A new era Technology AI in projects © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 10 Keyword search is not the way how Watson works Question: Supporting Evidence: In May 1898 Portugal celebrated the 400th anniversary of this explorer’s arrival in India. In May, Gary arrived in India after he celebrated his anniversary in Portugal. Legend Keyword “Hit” arrived in Reference Text celebrated celebrated Answer Red Text In May 1898 Weak evidence In May 400th anniversary anniversary Portugal in Portugal arrival in India explorer © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation This evidence suggests “Gary” is the answer BUT the system must learn that keyword matching may be weak relative to other types of evidence India Gary 11 Watson leverages many algorithms for Q&A analysis Question: Supporting Evidence: In May 1898 Portugal celebrated the 400th anniversary of this explorer’s arrival in India. Legend On the 27th of May 1498, Vasco da Gama landed in Kappad Beach. Temporal Reasoning Statistical Paraphrasing GeoSpatial Reasoning celebrated Reference Text landed in Answer Portugal May 1898 400th anniversary arrival in India explorer © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 27th May 1498 Date Match Paraphrases GeoKB Kappad Beach Stronger evidence can be much harder to find and score… Search far and wide Explore many hypotheses Find judge evidence Many inference algorithms Vasco da Gama 12 Watson has the ability to understand a question and to derive an evidence-supported response Multiple interpretations ? Question Inquiry analysis Hundreds of answer sources • Primary search • Candidate answer generation Decomposition © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation Hypothesis generation Tens of thousands of evidence sources and scores • Answer scoring • Evidence retrieval • Deep evidence scoring Hypothesis and evidence scoring Synthesis Learned models • Combine and weigh evidence Final confidence merging & ranking 13 ! Answer We will cover three aspects of AI in businesses A new era Technology AI in projects © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 14 Efficiently generating medical insights: Advanced analytics on longitudinal health records (http://ibm.biz/medical_insights) • Longitudinal U.S. based healthcare representation in data platform • Provides insight into quality, cost-drivers and outcomes that is the key to succeeding in emerging delivery and reimbursement models • Subscription model for dynamic data access • Expanding national footprint and with Watson Health, internationally in 2017 23 360 55M 330K $70B 325B Health Partners Acute Care Facilities Patients & Members Providers & Physicians Network Patient Revenue Data Facts © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 15 RHÖN-KLINIKUM AG testet IBM Watson am Zentrum für unerkannte und seltene Erkrankungen „Patienten, deren Krankenakten mehr als fünf Kilogramm wiegen, sind bei uns keine Seltenheit. Unser Zentrum ist daher nicht nur durch die schiere Anzahl an Patienten, sondern auch durch die Flut an Daten überwältigt. Dies ist eine besondere Herausforderung, da unsere Arbeit oft der sprichwörtlichen Suche nach der Nadel im Heuhaufen gleicht. Wir dürfen keine einzige Information übersehen, denn gerade sie könnte am Ende für die genaue Diagnosestellung entscheidend sein“ Prof. Dr. Jürgen Schäfer, Universitätsklinik Marburg Source: https://www-03.ibm.com/press/de/de/pressrelease/50808.wss Image: https://www.flickr.com/photos/ibm_research_zurich/29717069375 © 2016 1 IBM Corporation © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 16 First Live Experience of Sugar.IQ with Watson for People with Diabetes “The Sugar.IQ app uses real-time continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) and insulin information from Medtronic insulin pumps and glucose sensors. It leverages IBM cognitive computing power, combined with Medtronic’s expertise in diabetes, to find important patterns in diabetes data. The app will offer real-time and personalized insights so people with diabetes can spend less time worrying about their data, and have more freedom to enjoy life.” Source and Image: http://www.medtronicdiabetes.com/blog/first-liveexperience-of-sugar-iq-with-watson-for-people-with-diabetes/ © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 17 Video “IBM Watson for Oncology Demo” (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=338CIHlVi7A) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 18 Support your relationship managers with a cognitive workplace (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHaJNM7PV6c&t=41s) 360 degree client view Gather and visualize relevant client insights from internal as well as external data (news, reports, social media,...) Prepare client meetings Enable efficient preparation by providing discussion points, investment recommendations and relevant insights Portfolio analysis Select the best product in a specific asset class based on investor criteria Prospect identification and evaluation Discover and score potential new prospects. Assess clients potential based their social networks connections © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation Image: Dashboard of IBM Wealth Manager Demo 19 Personality insights (https://watson-pi-demo.mybluemix.net) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 20 Match clients and agents (http://investment-advisor.mybluemix.net) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 21 There are many cognitive APIs which can be combined (https://www.ibm.com/watson/developercloud/services-catalog.html) Language AlchemyLanguage Conversation Document conversion Language Translation Retrieve and Rank Personality Insights Data Insights AlchemyData News Tradeoff Analytics Speech Speech to Text Text to Speech Dialog Natural Language Classifier Tone Analyzer Vision Visual Recognition https://console.ng.bluemix.net https://nodered.org https://developer.ibm.com/open/openprojects/node-red © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 22 Enterprise innovation in the cognitive era (https://www01.ibm.com/common/ssi/cgi-bin/ssialias?htmlfid=GBE03774USEN&) © 2016 2 IBM Corporation © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 23 Automated Cognitive Meeting Minutes (https://terminuter-demo.eu-gb.mybluemix.net/) © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 24 IBM has established principles for the cognitive era (https://www.ibm.com/blogs/think/2017/01/ibm-cognitive-principles) Purpose - Augment human intelligence Transparency - When and for what purposes AI is being applied - Which data and methods were used - Clients own their own business models and data Skills - Help students, workers and citizens acquire the needed skills © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 25 “Every generation of IBMers has the chance-and the responsibility-to reinvent our company. This is our time.” - Ginni Rometty Dr. Stefan Ravizza Lead Swiss Cognitive & Analytics @StefanRavizza [email protected] © 2017 International Business Machines Corporation 26