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Draft Project Terminal Report Implementing Agency/Agencies): Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock Project Title: Adaptation to the effects of Climate Variability and Change in Agro-ecological Regions I and II Project No(s): 00058205/00072197 (ZMB10) Project Start Date: Original: 1st January 2010 Actual: 1st June 2010 Project End Date: Original: 31st December 2013 Actual: 30th June 2015 Fiscal Year: 2015 Reporting Period: 10th January 2010 to 30th June 2015 Project Budget (US$) for the Reporting Period: Original Budget (US$) Total Budget (US$): 13,599,000.00 Submission Date: 12th August,, 2015 Contact Details (IP) (Insert the following information): Name of Contact Staff (Full Names): Evaristo Nyanoka Position of Contact Staff: Principal Agricultural Officer LM & CF Address (Physical and Postal): P.O. Box 50291, Lusaka Contact Telephone Number: 0977455032 Contact Email: [email protected] Latest Signed Revision (US$) Contact Details (UNDP Program Analyst) (Insert the following Information): Name of Contact Staff in UNDP (Full Names): Eric Chipeta Position of Contact Staff: Program Analyst Address (Physical and Postal): Lusaka Contact Telephone Number: 0977798656 Contact Email:[email protected] Table of Contents Table of Contents............................................................................................................................. 1 List of Tables.................................................................................................................................... 2 List of Figures .................................................................................................................................. 2 1. Background and Purpose of Climate Change for Adaptation Project ........................................ 3 1.1 Results Achievements Summary ............................................................................................... 6 2. Summary of Achievements and Non-achievements of Planned Results/Implementation ....... 16 3. Participating farmers................................................................................................................ 33 4.0 Key Lessons learnt and Best Practices ................................................................................... 34 4.1 Early warning and weather information ............................................................................. 34 4.2 Soil conservation .............................................................................................................. 34 4.3 Crop diversification ........................................................................................................... 34 4.4 Rice farming...................................................................................................................... 35 4.5 Alternative livelihoods – beekeeping ................................................................................. 35 4.6 Alternative livelihoods – goat farming ............................................................................... 36 4.7 Project management and coordination ............................................................................. 36 5.0 Success Stories ....................................................................................................................... 38 5.1 Mr and Mrs Mumbela’s Success Story – Crop diversification, Rice and Weather Forecast Application .................................................................................................................................. 38 5.2 Mr. Billy Muleya’s Success Story – Conservation Agriculture and Seed Multiplication ..... 39 5.3 Mr. Mayumbo Njamba’s Beekeeping Success Story ........................................................ 40 6. Project Challenges ..................................................................................................................... 41 7. Conclusion and Recommendations ........................................................................................... 41 Annex ............................................................................................... Error! Bookmark not defined. 1 List of Tables Table 1: Achievements and Non-achievements against planned results/implementation .............. 16 Table 2: Direct and Indirect Participating Farmers ......................................................................... 33 List of Figures Figure 1: Paddy & Upland Rice Field for Mr. & Mrs Imata ............................................................. 39 Figure 2: Crop diversification and seed multiplication farmer field day .......................................... 40 Figure 3: Mr. Njamba giving a bottle of honey to GEF Monitoring Mission .................................... 40 List of Annexes Annex 1: Early Warning System Needs Assessment – Kasaya Site Error! Bookmark not defined. Annex 2: Extract Copy of Kazungula District Development Strategic Plan ..... Error! Bookmark not defined. 2 1. Executive Summary The majority of Zambia’s farmers lack the capacity, resources and financial assistance to overcome worsening climatic conditions. The vulnerability of Zambian communities to climatic hazards as highlighted in the National Adaptation Programme of Action (NAPA) include drought, flooding, extreme temperatures and prolonged dry spells. These hazards precipitate widespread crop failure, negatively impacting food and water security, and ultimately affecting the sustainability of rural livelihoods. Within the last 20 years, prolonged dry spells and shorter rain seasons have reduced maize yields to only 40% of the long term average. Furthermore, based on the CO2 doubling scenario in these regions, estimates predict a yield reduction of approximately 66% under rain fed conditions. The ability of the agriculture sector in Zambia to cope with increases in temperature and potential reductions in rainfall is negligible. The climate change adaptation project was developed with the view of increasing the resilience of small-scale farmers to the adverse effects of climate change. At the end of the project, 250 government planners and extension staff were trained in the interpretation of climate information and its application in planning to reduce risks in agriculture activities and make small scale farming more resilient to climate shocks. In terms of Automatic weather Stations (AWSs) as of June 2015 (baseline of zero [0]), eight (8) automatic weather stations were installed and functional with mean temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, wind direction and rainfall weather indicators measured. Weather data for the 8 sites can be obtained on http://41.72.104.142:8080/livedata/map.jsf. Early warning system needs were assessed and documented for the 8 sites where both modern and indigenous Early Warning (EW) needs were documented. Maize production has increased from less than 1 ton per hectare to an average of 3 tons per hectare as a result of training and adoption of conservation measures. In terms of the number of small scale farmers practicing soil and water conservation measures to improve productivity, a total of 1083 (581M; 502F) are practicing. The target for this activity was 900. By the end of June 2015, 1500 farmers were trained in crop diversification practices, that is, early maturing, drought tolerant, alternative crop species and seed multiplication. So far, 1306 (645M; 661F) farmers are practicing and have adopted at least 2 or more alternative crops in rotation, for earliness, flood and drought tolerance. By the end of June 2015, 240 (152M; 88F) farmers were trained in beekeeping practices, beehive making and farming as a business. The training also included baiting beehives using both indigenous and improved methods, usage of beekeeping tools, action to be taken to those not showing interest in beekeeping and in leadership skills. Another 68 farmers (45M; 23F) were trained in fish farming and 20 fish ponds constructed measuring 6000 square meters. Regarding rice growing by December 2014, 473 (297 M; 176F) farmers were trained in rice farming practices in flood-prone areas, that is, paddy rice and upland rice agronomic practices, postharvest technologies and marketing. So far, 150 farmers are practicing rice farming in flood prone and dambo areas with 75 Ha under cultivation It is evident that the Climate Change Adaptation Project has contributed to the overall adaptive and resilient capacity of the communities in the 8 pilot sites which are prone to high temperatures, frost, flooding and drought. The communities have acquired capacity to apply modern early warning system methods combined with indigenous knowledge to ensure food security is 3 maintained and sustained. The communities have been sensitised and trained on how to combine multiple livelihoods options, which are adaptive to the hazards of climate/ weather. The more than 1,000 households across project sites have shown capacity and willingness to form management committees to ensure project sustainability in and outside the project sites. The likelihood of replicating adaptation measures in other parts of the pilot sites is high considering that the project has built capacity in the district implementation teams through staff trainings, provision of computers, automatic weather stations and vehicles to carry out activities. During the implementation phase of the project, the following challenges were observed: a) Community water access still the biggest challenge for the Kasaya, Chongwe, Sioma and Mambwe sites. Construction was not carried out largely due to high activity market cost that was significantly different from the cost estimates that were included in the budget and also technical constraints for suitable sites meant for storm dams, weirs and earth dams; b) Delayed funding of project activities on time coupled with delayed technical report submission to the project management unit by the districts. c) Bee keeping at one of the three (3) sub-sites (Kasaya sub-site) was constrained by failure to bait bees and open woodlands with flood plain exposing bees to severe weather conditions. d) Lack of provision of rice threshing equipment, which is used after cutting rice tillers before milling or polishing rice with rice dehuller. e) Partial implementation of output 2.3e on additional alternative livelihoods for NTFPs; difficulties with market linkage arrangements for Mongongo nut oil. f) Few instances of late release of seasonal rainfall forecasts and inadequate information on rain season distribution pattern for timely planning of farming operations. g) Inadequate animal draft power (ADP) to increase the area under soil and water conservation tillage still remains another main obstacle. Conclusion and Recommendations. It is evident that the Climate Change Adaptation Project has contributed to the overall adaptive and resilient capacity of the communities in the 8 pilot sites which are prone to high temperatures, frost, flooding and drought. The communities have acquired capacity to apply modern early warning system methods combined with indigenous knowledge to ensure food security is maintained and sustained. The communities have been sensitised and trained on how to combine multiple livelihoods options, which are adaptive to the hazards of climate/ weather. The more than 1,000 households across project sites have shown capacity and willingness to form management committees to ensure project sustainability in and outside the project sites. The likelihood of replicating adaptation measures in other parts of the pilot sites is high considering that the project has built capacity in the district implementation teams through staff trainings, provision of computers, automatic weather stations and vehicles to carry out activities. In conclusion the following recommendations could be considered for future programming of similar/follow-up projects: 4 a) In order to improve weather information dissemination discussions with mobile service providers to provide an SMS service to farmers on either weekly or daily dissemination of weather indicators could be tabled or considered in phase II (if any). b) Phase II (if any) should address the position of the project M and E officer to ensure consistent M and E reporting formats and data collection tools. c) Any project on disaster risk reduction and climate change should not be less than three (3) implementation year period and could include mitigation measures during the first to second year. d) On-farm trials would be critical to providing localized climatic conditions to enable easy adaptation of considered interventions. e) In order to ensure that project activities are sustained beyond the project period all the assets that are in the districts should be retained in those districts and to be used for climate change related activities. 2. Background and Purpose of Climate Change for Adaptation Project. The project terminal report provides a summary account on project background and purpose of the project, key results achieved to the extent possible and the project’s contribution to national development results and impact. It also outlines key responsible factors for over and underachievement, challenges, lessons learnt, best agricultural practices and conclusions during implementation of the Climate Change Adaptation Project (Adaptation to the effects of Climate Variability and Change in Agro-ecological Regions I and II) at the 8 sites of Kasaya, Lusitu, Kataba, Malombe, Kabeleka, Zalapango, Chikowa and Mundalanga. The Climate Change Adaptation Project was designed for the purpose of ensuring improved food security through enhanced adaptive capacity to respond to the risks posed by the effects of climate change (including variability) in Agro-ecological Regions I and II of Zambia. The keyword in the project is “Adaptation”. The adaptation interventions employed during the period under review, ensure that affected households in the project site receive maximum benefits and resilient to impacts of climate change and climate variability. The communities in the pilot sites easily understood the concept of climate change and ware able to characterize the observed changes and associated impacts of the phenomenon. The main observed changes to climate were the shortening of the rainy season, rise in temperatures and frequency of extreme weather events such as floods and drought/dry spells. The communities reported several severe impacts associated with climate change in the pilot sites. Key observed impacts were the increase in water stress due to the shortening of the rainy season coupled with rise in temperatures. This has led to competition for limited surface water among people, domestic animals and wildlife in some areas. Attendant impacts of this have been the increase in livestock diseases and introduction of previously unknown animal diseases, increased crop diseases such as cob rot and weevil and rodent infestations. Crop pests such as army worms were also observed in Chongwe, Siavonga and Kazungula in the 2012/13 season. Other observed impacts included increased crop raiding and predation by elephants and birds, invasion of grasshopper swarms in 2008/9 season in Kazungula, siltation and course changes of streams and rivers. Therefore, Climate Change Adaptation Project was developed with the understanding that climate change and variability will have detrimental effects on Zambia’s agricultural sector beyond the current baseline pressures. In light of the heavy reliance of small-scale farming on rain-fed 5 agriculture, the agricultural sector is highly vulnerable to increasing temperatures and variable precipitation in the coming years. Overall, climate change (the impacts of drought, flooding and increased evapo-transpiration) is likely to have numerous adverse consequences within Zambia including among other things: (i) reduced agricultural productivity (crop and livestock production); (ii) reduced fisheries production (iii) reduced water availability for human consumption (iv) human welfare impacts in urban areas due to increased migration from rural to urban areas; (v) reduced hydro-electric power generation; (vi) human health impacts; and (vii) biodiversity impacts. There are various factors driving Zambia’s overall agricultural performance. These factors include: (i) low levels of investment (ii) land degradation; (iii) limited access to agricultural inputs; and (iv) reduced labour force due to HIV/AIDS. Overall, the project designed to improve food security in the most vulnerable regions of Zambia, which would in turn contribute towards attaining poverty reduction (SNDP theme “sustainable economic growth and poverty reduction”) and contributing to the Agriculture Sector goal, “to increase and diversify agriculture production and productivity so as to raise the share of its contribution to 20 percent of GDP”. The project also contributed towards attaining MDG 1 (“Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger”). The resultant improved nutritional status of Zambians led to better health outcomes, thereby positively affecting MDG 6 (“Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases”). In addition, the project promoted environmental sustainability of all interventions, thus contributing towards MDG 7 (“Ensure environmental sustainability”). The overarching goal of this project was “to improve food security through enhanced adaptive capacity to respond to the risks posed by the effects of climate change (including variability) in Agro-Ecological Region I and II of Zambia”. The objective of the project was “to develop adaptive capacity of subsistence farmers and rural communities to withstand climate change in Zambia”. As a result, the projects’ expected outcomes were: a. Climate change risks integrated into critical decision-making processes for agricultural management at the local, sub-national and national levels. b. Agricultural productivity in the pilot sites made resilient to the anticipated impacts of climate change. c. National fiscal, regulatory and development policy revised to promote adaptation responses in the agricultural sector. d. Lessons learned and knowledge management component established. The project deliberately targeted women who attended trainings, supported with starter packs and hold decision making positions in management committees. The project attained 48% women participation and gender roles were emphasized during the project period. The project partners included District councils, Zambia Meteorological Department, Programme for Sustainable Rural Development implementing the Citizen Participation in Adaptation to Climate Change (CPACC), the Community Based Natural Resources Management Forum (CBNRMF) implementing the Zambia Climate Change Justice Initiative Project, Zambia National Farmers’ Union (ZNFU), Forestry Department and through the Agriculture and Natural Resources subcommittee of the District Development Coordinating Committee. Others were Department of Fisheries, Zambia Agriculture Research Institute (ZARI), Zambia Climate Change Network, World Vision and Common Markets for Conservation (COMACO). 1.1 Results Achievement Summary The project activities that were undertaken during the period 2010 to June 2015 in order to achieve the objectives were: 6 Outcome 1: Climate change risks integrated into critical decision-making processes for agricultural management at the local, sub-national and national levels. Output 1.1: Number of government planners and private sector trained on climate risk management for improved agricultural productivity. 1) The target was to train 250 government and extension staff to routinely include climate risk information in their decision making processes. At the end of the project, 250 government planners and extension staff were trained in the interpretation of climate information and its application in planning to reduce risks in agriculture activities and make small scale farming more resilient to climate shocks. The training included application of climate information in the agriculture systems and interpreting the seasonal weather forecast and seasonal agriculture calendar in terms of time of planting, choosing the variety of seed to be planted, flood probability and probability of animal disease outbreaks. The trainers then trained 1218 farmers in the application of climate information such as planning of the appropriate techniques for adaptation, use of the right crop varieties to suit extreme weather conditions (floods or drought) or adopt other alternative livelihoods. The trained farmers have since used the acquired skills appropriately in choosing seed varieties, the time and where to plant. For example in flood prone areas, farmers planted rice as opposed to the traditional maize crop. Other crops that could withstand dry conditions were also introduced such as cassava, sorghum, cowpeas and obatampa maize. In addition farmers have been sensitized not to start bush fires when the area is experiencing strong prevailing winds and the relative humidity is low. This has contributed to a reduction in bush fires which in turn has contributed to better forest management practices which is essential for promoting beekeeping. Farmers have also been sensitized on how to protect their crops against frost when this is predicted. 2) By the end of June 2015 (baseline of zero [0]) eight (8) automatic weather stations were installed and functional with mean temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, solar radiation, wind speed, wind direction and rainfall weather indicators measured. 3) Weather data for the 8 sites can be obtained on http://41.72.104.142:8080/livedata/map.jsf. Output 1.2: Effective EWS(s) developed to enhance preparedness and reduce climaterelated risks. At the end of June 2015, early warning system needs were assessed and documented for the 8 sites where both modern and indigenous EW needs were documented. It was indicated that each community has an array of early warning indicators and well-developed structures through which the wisdom shared by elderly community members is applied to deal quickly and efficiently with risks and extremes of weather vagaries. The structures include traditional, community based organizations and the Government. Climate is closely linked to sustainability of community livelihoods and lives. Extreme climate variability such as high temperatures, frost, floods and droughts often have far reaching environmental, health and socio-economic impacts in many of these communities. To counter this trend, there is need to have in place efficient and realistic climate risk reduction strategies, including availability of effective indigenous and modern early warning systems to enhance the planning efforts to: a) Reduce the negative impacts; b) Take full advantage of positive impacts; c) Help in adaptation to climate change. 7 Local communities through accumulated indigenous knowledge gained from generation to generation, knew: a) b) c) d) e) Patterns of weather; How and when local natural disasters occurred; When they were likely to recur; How to plan to cope with their impacts on the natural environment, livelihoods, and lives; These communities have used indigenous knowledge for critical knowledge base and survival tool for adapting to extreme climate events and other natural hazards; f) They have developed techniques and strategies for forecasting, and managing climate variability including coping mechanisms to respond to both normal and harsh conditions of their local environments. This forecasting depends on observation of the natural environment including: a) Flora; b) Fauna; c) Stars and moon. The modern early warning system on the other hand, uses the knowledge of the physics of the atmosphere to predict the most probable future weather/ climate scenario. The two knowledge bases, indigenous and modern climate science are very different but both try to solve the same problems. There is therefore need to integrate indigenous and modern early warning system strategies for better climate information, in order to provide the local communities with new tools for coping with the current climate extremes, be able to adapt to future climate changes, and for greater impacts. 1. Indigenous indicators for Early Warning System Indigenous knowledge and traditional methods of predicting weather/ climate were discussed with farmers in the 8 pilot sites and the following were the gathered indicators from the community: a) b) c) d) e) f) g) h) i) j) Changes in wind direction especially north westerly indicate likelihood of good rains; Persistence easterlies are associated with dry conditions; Extreme high temperatures indicate more rains but associated with severe thunderstorms; More ants after harvest indicate hunger for the next season; Mopani tree having more flowers was an indication of less rainfall; Appearance of some birds like swallows signifies commencement of the rain season. Delayed appearance signifies late start of the season; More baby boys born means more rains and vice versa; Singing of some birds associated with rains in the afternoon; Quantity of wild fruits (More- more rains) though these differed from one locality to the other; Heavy bearing of flowers for the following trees (Kigelia africaan: Sausage tree) and Mubula tree (Parinari curatellifolia: Coke tree, Hissing tree, Fever tree) is an indication of less rainfall. These methods have been found to be useful for early warning at local level. Documentation of these methods and indicators has to be enhanced though the communities are using them for early warning. 8 2. Modern Early Warning Indicators: Weather information interpretation Seasonal rainfall forecasts were given to farmers and translated in the local languages to give an indication of the likely start of the effective rains and how this could affect crop production after taking into account soil type and land preparation method. For example in Kazungula, Senanga and Sioma farmers were informed that frost occurrence was characterized by evening haze-smoke in valleys with winds coming from west/south side. Measures to address frost included fencing of small gardens, watering in the early morning hours before dawn, covering with grass and putting fire in coldest places around 04 to 06 hours (early morning). Early warning and disaster risk terminologies were discussed and other topics such as: a) b) c) d) e) f) g) h) i) Start of the season End of the season Duration of the season Drought/flood information Rainfall prediction Planting time Weather /climate forecasting Weather/climate recording Climate change information The various coping and adaptation methods in place in the communities included: a) b) c) d) e) f) g) h) i) j) k) Gardening Bee keg Goat keeping Wild fruit cropping Charcoal burning Timber cutting Early planting Crop diversification Conservation agriculture (minimum tillage, crop rotation and crop residue retention) Applying animal manure Grass cutting for fodder 3. Summary of indicators Comparison How communicated How taught How explained Indigenous EWS Oral, secretive Observation, experience Spiritual and social No. 1 Indicator Birds – Swallows by December 2 Ants in the field during the growing season North-westerly winds from October and during rainy season 3 Modern EWS Written Lectures, theories Theory, “value free” Forecast Signifying start of the season and a lot of rains during the season Hunger Signs of rains 9 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Dew point on the ground Fog lifting up Presence of spider webs Presence of a lot of wild fruits Below normal rainfall Red skies when the sun is setting A lot of mosquitoes during summer October to December When Mopani tree flowers Red ants experienced Millipedes Small red frogs crocking Persistent cold air from October – November Persistent southern winds A lot wild rats No rains Rains later in the afternoon Heavy flooding Expected drought and hunger Frost expected in winter Cold weather at night Rains expected A lot of rains expected A lot of rains expected Rains expected Rains expected Erratic rains and delayed start of the season Little rainfall Little rains Output 1.3: Economic impact assessment on the adaptation value of climate risk information to protect agricultural incomes from climate change effects. A socio-economic survey was conducted on the impacts of adaptation measures being undertaken to protect agricultural incomes from climate change effects (Economic impact assessment on the adaptation value of climate risk information to protect agricultural incomes from climate change effects 2015). It was observed that the Project has had a positive impact in diversifying livelihoods away from rainfall based crop patterns. The promotion of bee keeping has had a positive impact on household revenue for the participating households. The value of crop production was ranked and compared to mean revenue from bee-keeping1. This household value of production was compared to the average revenue from bee-keeping for bee keeping households. Bee keeping was ranked 5th out of the 13 crops included in the analysis. The income potential from bee keeping was even higher than the income from crops. The highest earning bee keeping household had annual revenue of K3,700 (US$475) compared to revenue of K2,529 (US$ 325) from maize production. Bee keeping is a low input activity and the gross margins are even higher when the cost of production is taken into account. Regarding small livestock (goat rearing) the mean number of goats kept per household during the project period had increased to 7. With sustainable management this was able to give households an average offtake rate of 10 animals per year. This will generate average household revenue in excess of K1,500 (US$ 200) per year. The production of goat milk was an additional benefit that can potentially increase household nutrition. The inclusion of additional household livelihood activities such as bee keeping and goat rearing had resulted in increased resilience by households as demonstrated by the increased incomes ranking among bee keeping and goat rearing households. The cycle of household resilience has also been increased due to the adoption of improved practices such as rotation with legumes. 1 Bee keeping activities were introduced in the project areas primarily by the CCAP 10 The report concluded that In general livelihood adaptation projects tend to have long term benefits that are not easily measured in the short run. Adaptation often required sustained extension efforts over a medium to long term period. As a proxy, indicators such as the adoption of bee keeping and goat rearing under the CCAP had been used to measure the trend in household adaptation to new livelihood patterns. The most significant impact of the project had been in the promotion of the cultivation of legumes, specifically groundnuts and cowpeas. The rotation of crops with legumes was one of the key pillars of Conservation Agriculture. As a result, the cultivation of legume crops such as groundnuts and cowpeas could be taken as a proxy indicator of households adopting improved practices. This had resulted in an improvement in the diversification index scores for most of the project districts. The improved diversification score meant that households had widened their livelihood base away from a single source. During periods of stress such as drought or flooding, households with a wider livelihood base were more likely to better mitigate the impact of the shock. The report further indicated that adoption of new technologies takes time, especially among smallholder rural agricultural households, it was important that mitigation and adaptation measures continued to focus on improving agricultural practices among smallholder farmers. Outcome 2: Agricultural productivity in the pilot sites made resilient to the anticipated impacts of climate change. Output 2.1: Techniques for soil and water conservation as well as soil improvement implemented to reduce erosion and improve the productivity of small-scale farmers. 1) The target of an increase in agricultural incomes of 10% was achieved by most small scale farmers and in some cases exceeded. According to crop surveys done by the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock, Policy and Planning department, there has been increase in the production of all crops that have been promoted by the project using conservation agriculture. For example maize production has increased from less than 1 ton per hectare to an average of 3 tons per hectare. The average number of family members per household is 6 and in terms of food security only 1 ton is needed per household per year. The remaining 2 tons is sold for cash at equivalent of US$ 360. For the small scale farmers in the project sites, the income from maize production was zero (0); with the practicing of conservation farming the income has been over US$ 350 in 2014 translating to an income of over 100%. The increase in income has contributed to communities paying for their children’s education, apart from meeting other social amenities such as making improvements to their houses and buying agricultural inputs. The social status for women in particular has increased as a result of the increase in oncome. For example, before the project, women were discriminated against signing up for agricultural input grants as they had limited confidence to put up their cases as women who would be capable of signing for the grants and be able to effectively use it to improve their productivity. The affirmative action by the project promoted women participation that has contributed to women building their confidence and able to apply themselves better in the development activities in their communities. In terms of the number of small scale farmers practicing soil and water conservation measures to improve productivity, a total of 1083 (581M; 502F) are practicing. The target for this activity was 900. The conservation agriculture principles and practices being practiced are minimum tillage, crop rotation and crop residue retention. Management 11 committees comprising 80 members were formed and trained for each site (1 committee per site) to foresee conservation agriculture and crop diversification activities during and after the end of the project. Output 2.2: Crop diversification practices promoted to improve the resilience of farmers to drought. 1) By the end of June 2015, 1500 farmers were trained in crop diversification practices, that is, early maturing, drought tolerant, alternative crop species and seed multiplication. So far, 1306 (645M; 661F) farmers are practicing and have adopted at least 2 or more alternative crops in rotation, for earliness, flood and drought tolerance. 2) Also, at the end of June 2015, a total of 423 (208M; 215F) seed growers were trained in the production and marketing of drought resistant seed locally. So far 150 farmers were practicing seed production. In Kazungula the farmers went ahead to form and register a local seed growers cooperative (namely, Kazungula Seed Growers Cooperative Society Limited) comprising 25 seed growers (10 female and 15 males). The seed growers are practicing seed multiplication of 2 or more alternative crops and thereby making improved and certified seed locally available and accessible at competitive prices. 3) At the end of December 2014, income levels from crop diversification coupled with improved soil and water conservation through conservation agriculture have been increasing significantly for crops such as rice. The income levels from rice increased from zero in 2012 to K9,000 (US$1,630.43 @ K5.52 per US$1) in 2013, then further increased from K9,000 in 2013 to K23,850 (US$3,758.28 @ K6.346 per US$1 and @K9/kg polished rice grain) per hectare in 2014 compared to maize grain valued at K4,480 (US$705.96 @ K6.346 per US$1) in 2014 (@ K1.4/kg maize grain) and valued at K3,900 (US$706.52 @ K5.52 per US$1) in 2013 (@ K1.3/kg maize grain). 4) Additionally farm households that have also engaged themselves in local seed multiplication, have gained extra income from various seed crops 5) Eight (8) management committees of 80 farmers were formed and trained to foresee crop diversification and conservation agriculture activities during and after end of project. Output 2.3: Alternative livelihoods tested for their ability to diversify livelihoods away from maize production. Output 2.3a: Bee keeping tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production. 1) By end of June 2015, 240 (152M; 88F) farmers were trained in beekeeping practices, beehive making and farming as a business. The training also included baiting beehives using both indigenous and improved methods, usage of beekeeping tools, action to be taken to those not showing interest in beekeeping and leadership. 2) All the 240 farmers have been equipped with 5 top-bar beehives each bringing the number of beehives to 1200. Four (4) bee keeping farmer management groups have been formed and equipped with beehive making tools. 3) At the end of June 2015, the Kasaya site in Kazungula formed and registered the NASIKA Beekeeping Cooperative Society Limited with a board of directors in place. 4) The average yield per beehive is at least 20 litres and 100 litres per 5 beehives. In Chongwe, the price of liquid honey is K45 per litre This has increased household income by K4,500.00 (US$576) per harvest per 5 beehives. The beekeepers are also engaged in other agricultural income activities such as rearing goats and growing of different crops. 2.3b. Fish farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production. 12 By the end of June 2015, 68 farmers (45M; 23F) were trained in fish farming and 20 fish ponds constructed measuring 6000 square meters. These were stocked with red breasted, three spotted and green headed breams. Yields from the ponds was an average of 18 Kg per harvest bringing the total harvest to 36 Kgs per pond per year. This has improved household income and nutrition for the practicing farmers. Output 2.3c: Rice farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production. 1. By end of December 2014, 473 (297 M; 176F) farmers were trained in rice farming practices in flood-prone areas, that is, paddy rice and upland rice agronomic practices, postharvest technologies and marketing. So far, 150 farmers are practicing rice farming in flood prone and dambo areas with 75 Ha under cultivation by end of December 2014 2. At the end of June 2015, the Kazungula rice farmers formed and registered the Sikaunzwe Rice Growers Association with ten (10) executive management committee members. Output 2.3d: Goat farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production. 1) By end of June 2015, 621 (325M; 296F) farmers were trained in goat rearing practices and improved goat structures and provided with 2 female goats each. Male goats were provided and used on a rotational basis. 2) At end of June 2015, there are now 981 goats from an initial stock of 346 goats. 3) The average price per mature goat is K250 for male and K150 for a female. The total value of goats as at end of June 2015 taking an average price of K200 per goat is K196,200 (US$25,154) 4) The goat farmers by the end of 2014 had formed five (5) management committees with bylaws to govern the committees. Each site doing goat rearing formed a committee (ie. Kazungula, Chongwe, Luangwa, Mambwe and Chama). Output 2.4. Community-based water storage and irrigation systems improved or developed to test their ability to raise agricultural productivity. At Mid term review it was indicated that the funds available could not be sufficient to construct water infrastructure (dams and weirs) as planned. Resulting from this, only one dam was built in Siavonga benefitting a total of 308 households. The dam is being used for gardening and livestock production. An irrigation scheme was also developed using water from shallow wells with solar pumps. A total of 40 (28M; 12F) farmers have benefitted from this undertaking with 4 hectares under irrigation. The dam management committee and the irrigation management committee are in place. Outcome 3: National fiscal, regulatory and development policy revised to promote adaptation responses in the agricultural sector. Output 3.1: Awareness of climate change risks and to the economic value of adaptation responses raised among policy- and decision-makers. 1) With the support of the project climate resilient agriculture has been integrated in the revised agriculture policy, climate change policy, revised forest policy and Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) Strategy. The reviewed policies include: promoting awareness on climate change adaptation and mitigation; 13 promoting and strengthening agricultural production methods that are resilient to climate change ; promoting environmentally friendly and climate smart farming systems; promoting weather based insurance schemes especially among small holder farmers; strengthening the capacity at local, sub-national and national levels on early warning system through trainings; establishment of the national call centre and development of a country wide information management system. The policy also proposes to build capacity at all levels to carry out climate change risk assessments through trainings of stakeholders in climate change risk assessments. Regarding the climate change and forest policies and the REDD strategy, sustainable agriculture is being promoted as a strategy for reducing climate change shocks on farming systems and also for reducing deforestation and promoting sustainable forest management. 2) iFarming information contained on Zedupad educational tablets from iSchool have been provided to all pilot sites to enhance adaptation options knowledge sharing among community members in all seven (7) main local languages and English language. The information has formed the extension package for dissemination to farmers resulting in more awareness on climate change issues and adaptation measures. Output 3.2: National policy dialogues conducted to discuss project findings in relation to cost-effectiveness of piloted adapted options. 1) By end of June 2015, 4 provincial and 8 district policy dialogues were conducted after which a policy brief was developed. The policy brief has since been submitted to the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock for consideration. This information from the dialogues has built the capacity of the Provincial and District Development Coordinating Committees ( PDCC and DDCC) to facilitate coordinated and climate-resilient development planning at provincial and district levels. Output 3.3: Policies that require adjustments to promote adaptation identified and reviewed. 1) With the support of the project climate resilient agriculture has been integrated in the revised agriculture policy, climate change policy, revised forest policy and Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD) Strategy. 2) At local level Kazungula district revised the district development strategic plan in order to support and influence policy change on climate change to include strategies on promoting crop diversification, soil conservation and sustainable livelihood options for increased food security, increased household income and job creation especially among the youth in both rural and urban areas. Outcome 4: Lessons-learned and knowledge management component established. Output 4.1: Knowledge and lessons learned to support implementation of adaptation measures compiled and disseminated. 1) By end of June 2015, the project had hosted three (3) Regional Missions on climate change and project lessons learnt information was shared. One international workshop on community based adaptation was also attended where lessons were shared. 2) By end of 2014, the project identified, documented and disseminated sixteen (16) lessons learnt and ten (10) good practices on adaptation measures employed. 3) In order to disseminate project information on how the community is applying adaptive measures that would ensure their resilience to the effects of climate change and variability, the National Agricultural Information Services disseminated project information through ten (10) field days (rice farming/seed multiplication/crop diversification), five (5) feature stories, 14 five (5) success stories, three (3) news articles to ZNBC, community video show on the project documentary and local community radio stations. 4) During the period under review the project disseminated project information in conjunction with other partners on the 14 series radio programme on community radio stations. 5) The project also facilitated a two-day workshop on “climate change and adaptation issues” on behalf of PSRD’s Citizens’ Participation in Adaptation Climate Change (CPACC Project – funded by Oxfam) among various stakeholders mostly community leaders from Kasaya site. The major topical issues were gender and climate; deforestation; climate change variability; and climate change adaptation. The number of participants was 30 (10 females and 20 males). The strategies/project interventions so far undertaken will contribute to national food security and the government’s policy of diversification such as beekeeping, goat rearing and cultivation of rice and industrial crops such as sorghum and sunflower meant for the processing industry, which can contribute to job creation and uplift standard of living among rural people. The interventions will also contribute to the country’s 2030 vision of a prosperous middle-income nation. During the period under review, the project achieved 48% women participation in trainings, project input provision and management committees. Gender and HIV/AIDS were mainstreamed and farmers were sensitised on the need to talk about gender issues and HIV/AIDS at household level. In conclusion, the Climate Change Adaptation Project as attested by beneficiaries has brought about changes in the way beneficiaries perceive agricultural practices for their maximum benefits. The early warning system is still the main planning and adaptation strategy for climate change and hence the main focal area of capacity building for Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock staff members and farmers. 15 l) Summary of Achievements and Non-achievements of Planned Results/Implementation Table 1: Achievements and Non-achievements against planned results/implementation Output Output Indicator(s) Baseline Project Specific Outputs and Results Target Results attained Reasons for achievement/ non-achievemen Outcome 1: Climate change risks integrated into critical decision-making processes for agricultural management at the local, sub-national and Output 1.1: Institutional capacity to support climate risk management in the agric sector at the national, district, village level developed ZMD staff trained to provide No. of ZMD staff 0 staff 2 staff All ZMD two (2) Staff commitment and good cooperation by the short-term & seasonal trained staff in Livingstone forecasts able to provide downscaled forecasts Extension staff & Agriculture No. of staff trained 0 staff 250 staff All 250 staff Staff commitment and good cooperation by the and natural resources trained subcommittee members trained on access, application & interpretation of forecasts for planning Farmers trained on access, No. of farmers NO farmers 250 farmers 1218 farmers (656 Staff commitment and good cooperation by the application & interpretation trained females & 562 of forecasts for planning males) trained Local weather station No. of automatic NO weather 8 AWS 8 AWS installed UNDP provision of financial assistance to ZMD installed weather stations and functional (AWS) Output 1.2: Effective EWS(s) developed to enhance preparedness and reduce climate-related risks EWS needs assessed and documented Number assessed & documented NO assessment & documentation 1 needs assessment and documentation Needs assessed & documented Staff commitment and good cooperation by the Outcome 2: Agricultural productivity in the pilot sites made resilient to the anticipated impacts of climate change Output 2.1: Techniques for soil and water conservation as well as soil improvement implemented to reduce erosion and improve the productiv farmers Farmers trained on soil and No. farmers 0 farmers 900 farmers Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten 1083 farmers water conservation trained (502 females and soil and water conservation techniques 581 males) trained Agricultural extension workers trained on soil and No. of extension workers trained 8 extension workers 8 extension workers 16 All 8 extension workers trained Cooperation with FISRI and CASU project on c provision of funds for staff training water conservation Farmers adopted soil and water conservation techniques No. of farmers 0 farmers 900 farmers Soil and water management committees formed and trained No. of management committees NO management committees 8 management committees Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (maize) Percent increase in agricultural incomes (maize) K1,300/hectare maize (in 2012) 10% 1083 farmers adopted soil and water conservation techniques 8 management committees of 80 farmers formed and trained 100% increase in maize income Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten soil and water conservation Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten soil and water conservation Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten soil and water conservation Output 2.2: Crop diversification practices promoted to improve the resilience of farmers to drought Farmers trained on crop No. of farmers 0 farmers 1000 farmers Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten 1306 farmers diversification trained (661 females and crop diversification 645 males) trained Farm trials undertaken No. of farm trials NO farm trials 16 farm trials Farmers trained on seed production No. of farmers trained NO farmers trained 300 farmers Crop diversification management committees formed and trained No. of management committees NO management committees 8 management committees Seed production management committee No. of management committees Percent increase in agricultural incomes (rice) NO management committees 1 management committee 0% 10% Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (rice) NO farm trials undertaken 423 farmers (215 females & 208 males) trained 8 management committees of 80 farmers. Lack of involvement of ZARI due to time factor implementation Failure by small-scale farmers to adhere to QD mistrust by fellow farmers on locally produced 1 seed growers cooperative registered >100% increase in rice income Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten crop diversification Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten crop diversification Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten crop diversification Output 2.3: Alternative livelihoods tested for their ability to diversify livelihoods away from maize production Output 2.3a: Bee keeping tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Farmers trained on bee keeping No. of beekeepers trained NO farmers trained 220 beekeepers Beehives made from No. of beehives NO sustainable 880 beehives 17 240 farmers (88 females & 152 males) trained 1200 beehives Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten bee keeping Pass-on of hives being done to increase the nu sustainable sources beehives Bee keeping management groups established No. of management committees NO management committees 3 management committee Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (honey) Percent increase in agricultural incomes (honey) 0% 10% made and given to 240 beekeepers (88 females & 152 males) 4 management committees formed and trained. 1 beekeeping cooperative registered 100% increase in honey income Farmers have been linked to Zambia Honey Co and market linkages. Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten bee keeping Improved management in bee keeping practice Output 2.3c: Rice farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Farmers trained on rice production, processing & marketing Equip rice farmers with processing equipment No of farmers trained 0 farmers 300 farmers No. of rice mills NO rice mill 2 rice mill Rice management groups established No. of management groups NO management committees 2 management committee Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (rice) 473 farmers (176 females & 297 males) trained 4 rice mills procured and installed in 4 project sites. Mills functional with rice mill structure 4 rice management groups formed. 1 rice growers association registered with two (2) subcommittees Good farmer cooperation and increasing exten rice production, processing and marketing Community contribution to rice mill structure an materials and rice mill Rice growers good cooperation and commitme Percent increase 0% 10% 100% increase in Increasing knowledge on rice production skills in agricultural rice income incomes (rice) Output 2.3e: Additional Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs) tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Identified suitable NTFPs No. of NTFPs 1 NTFP 3 NTFPs Mushroom Delayed project commencement and re-prioriti production done in 18 Feasibility assessments on extraction methods undertaken Community members trained on NTFP for use No. of assessments zero 3 feasibility assessments No. of community members trained zero 100 community members NTFPs management groups established NO management committees 5 NTFPs management committees zero 2 market sources Potential to access carbon finance assessed No. of management groups No. of market linkages No. of carbon finance assessed Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (NTFPs) Percent increase in agricultural incomes (NTFPs) 0% Market linkages established zero Chongwe and Luangwa. NO assessments done 50 community members trained in mushroom growing NO committees formed No market linkages One assessment report NO report to access carbon finance 10% 0% Output 2.3f: Goat farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Farmers trained on goat farming and entrepreneurship skills Goats distributed to farmers No. of farmers trained 0 farmers 120 farmers 621 farmers trained Farmer-to-farmer extension approach through provide capacity to remaining farmers No. of goats 0 goats 240 goats Pass-on system approach to provide goats to o Goat management groups established No. of management groups NO management committees 4 management committees Goats passed-on-system established Pass-on-system report NO pass-onsystem 1 pass-on-system guide 346 goats distributed by 2013 & increased to 981 goats by June 2015 4 management committees established with written by-laws 1 pass-on-system guide developed & each initial recipient passed on one pregnant female goat 19 Good farmer cooperation and commitment to e sustainability of activities Community commitment and project sustainab Percentage increase in agricultural incomes (goats) Percent increase 0% 10% 60% increase in Increasing knowledge on goat production and h in agricultural agricultural incomes (goats) incomes (goats) Output 2.4: Community-based water storage and irrigation systems improved or developed to test their ability to raise agricultural productivity Output 2.4a Community-level, multipurpose dams in Kasaya, Sioma, Zalapango and Kabeleka constructed and irrigation systems tested for their ability to productivity Dam management No. of NO management 4 dam management 1 management committees established management committees committees committee committees established for siankapu dam in Siavonga Dam management No. of dam NO management 4 dam management 1 dam committees trained committees committees committee of 10 management trained trained members trained Farmers trained on water No. of farmers 50 farmers 250 farmers NO farmers management, irrigation trained trained Delayed project implementation, high cost of ir techniques, water extraction poor site suitability. As a result the MTE recom methods, irrigated crop dam that could be financed with the available f production, fish farming, livestock production & use communal water resources Dams constructed No. of dams NO dam 4 dams 1 dam constructed constructed Extent of area under Area under 0 hectares 81 hectares 4 hectares irrigation irrigation Percentage increase in Percent increase 2% 10% 0% agricultural incomes in agricultural incomes Output 2.4c: A community-level storm water dam in Kasaya constructed and irrigation system tested for its ability to improve agricultural productivity Storm water dam No. of NO management 1 dam management NO committee management committees management committees committee established established committees Delayed project implementation, high cost of ir Storm water dam No. of committees NO management 1 dam management NO committee poor site suitability management committees trained committees committee of 10 trained trained trained members (Farmers at Kasaya Primary School utilising wa Farmers trained on water No. of farmers 0 farmers 150 farmers NO farmers road contractor) management, irrigation trained trained techniques, water extraction methods, irrigated crop 20 production, fish farming, livestock production & use communal water resources Storm water dams constructed Extent of area under irrigation Percentage increase in agricultural incomes No. of storm water NO storm water 6 storm water dams NO storm water dams constructed dams dams constructed Area under 5 hectares 28 hectares 0 hectares irrigation Percent increase 2% 10% 0% in agricultural incomes Output 2.4e: A community-level weir in Kasaya constructed and irrigation system tested for its ability to improve agricultural productivity Weir management No. of NO management 1 dam management NO committee committees established management committees committee established committees Weir management No. of committees NO management 1 dam management NO committee committees trained trained committees committee of 10 trained trained members Farmers trained on water No. of farmers 40 farmers 200 farmers NO farmers management, irrigation trained trained techniques, water extraction methods, irrigated crop Delayed project implementation, high cost of ir production, fish farming, poor site suitability livestock production & use communal water resources Storm water dams No. of storm water NO storm water 3 weirs NO weirs constructed dams constructed dams constructed Extent of area under Area under 8 hectares 39 hectares 0 hectares irrigation irrigation Percentage increase in Percent increase 2% 10% 0% agricultural incomes in agricultural incomes Outcome 3: National fiscal, regulatory and development policy revised to promote adaptation responses in the agricultural sector Output 3.1: Awareness of climate change risks and to the economic value of adaptation responses raised among policy- and decision-makers Functional climate resource and support centre No. of centres NO resource and support centre 8 centres of excellence 8 centres established Good community cooperation and commitment building sand and river sand Output 3.2: National policy dialogues conducted to discuss project findings in relation to cost-effectiveness of piloted adapted options Meetings conducted for DDCC members to enable No. of meetings conducted NO adequate coordination 8 district and 4 provincial 21 Conducted 8 district dialogues Good cooperation from stakeholders and other into knowledge acquired from CCAP implemen coordinated and climateresilient development planning in the vulnerable communities and 4 provincial dialogues Output 3.3: Policies that require adjustments to promote adaptation identified and reviewed Sectoral plans that promote or impede the resilience of communities within AER I & II to climate change analysed No. of plans NO plans exclusively addressing climate change 2 provincial plans and district plans and 5 key national policies Revised the Agriculture policy, developed the climate change policy, revised the forest policy and the REDD strategy. 1 district plan revised to include CC Revision done in consultation withother key sta At district level revision was done through regu meetings called upon by the Chairpersons. Outcome 4: Lessons-learned and knowledge management component established Output 4.1: Knowledge and lessons learned to support implementation of adaptation measures compiled and disseminated Regional and national workshops conducted for dissemination of project lessons Radio and television programmes developed to convey project lessons Lessons learnt captured and disseminated No. of regional workshops hosted NO regional missions 1 regional workshop No. of radio and television programmes NO systematic knowledge transfer on climate change adaptation 10 field days 5 feature stories 5 success stories 3 radio & TV news articles 2 documentaries No. of lessons learnt captured NO systematic knowledge transfer on climate change adaptation 20 key project lessons learnt Table 2. Project outcomes and progress made Goal: To improve food security through 22 Hosted 3 regional missions on adaptation in 2013 and 2015 10 field days, 5 feature stories, 5 success stories, 3 radio & TV news articles and 2 documentaries done 16 lessons learnt captured. Success stories from the sites interventions su production and goat pass-on system Committed NAIS officers to document and diss learnt and good agricultural practices (GAPs) enhanced adaptive capacity to respond to the risks posed by the effects of climate change (including variability) in AER I and II of Zambia Outcome 1 Climate change risks integrated into critical decision-making processes for agricultural management at the local, sub-national and national levels Performance Indicator 2010 baseline 2015 End of Project target 2015 End of project status Terminal Evaluation comments Rating Number of government planners and extension staff that include climate risk information in their decision making processes At present, climate risk information is not included in decisionmaking processes By the end of the project, 250 government planners and extension staff trained to routinely include climate risk information in their decisionmaking processes 250 government planners and extension staff using rainfall forecasting information in their decision-making processes and in turn training farmers in the use of the same Satisfactory Number of farmers using climate forecasting information for agricultural production purposes Farmers not using climate forecasting information for agricultural production purposes 250 farmers Number of Automatic Weather stations to provide local level climatic and weather information for 0 AWSs 8 AWS installed and functioning 1218 (656 female and 562 male) farmers using climate forecast information to choose seed varieties, time to plant, frost prevention, where to plant and production of 2 crops in one season as was the case in Kazungula in the 2013/14 season. Farmers are also using the information to select the type of crops to plant such as the early maturing varieties and planting two crops concurrently on the same price of land. Depending on the forecasts, farmers are now able to avoid growing certain crops in places where floods occur when more rain is predicted such as in mambwe district 8 AWSs installed and functional. ZMD in Livingstone using local weather information to This outcome has been achieved as all the targeted government planners have been trained in interpretation of climate information thereby contributing to stregthening of the EWS at community level and effective application of the information This outcome has been achieved as 1218 farmers are now using climate forecast information to plan for their farming activities resulting in improved yields and food security at household level The targeted AWSs have been installed and transmitting data to the central server at ZMD. At the Satisfactory 23 Satisfactory agricultural production Outcome 2. Agricultural Productivity in the pilot sites made resilient to the anticipated impacts of climate change advise farmers on agricultural production e.g. frost damage prevention Number of EWS needs assessed and documented and number of farmers using the Indigenous and modern EWS for agricultural production Zambia’s national disaster Management Policy identifies gaps affecting its functionality and measures that need to be undertaken to improve disaster risk reduction 1 assessment with 1000 farmers using the information Number of interventions implemented with appropriate management (including cost recovery) plans in place agreed by all stakeholders for sustainability beyond the project period. At present, although there are a number of measures that the government and other donors are implementing, these do not take into account climate change, neither are they mentioned for their adaptation value 900 farmers Percent increase in agricultural incomes resulting from climate resilient agricultural practices implemented. 100% increase in income for farmers using soil and water conservation techniques. 48% of women involved in climate resilient agricultural production practices. Number pf women involved in climate resilient agricultural production practices. Number of soil and water management committees formed using soil and water conservation techniques knowledge to improve agricultural productivity of their fields and those of other farmers Percent increase in output 1 Needs assessment done (including addressing the identified gaps) and documented. 1000 farmers are using indigenous and modern EWS for agricultural production purposes to protect their incomes against effects of extreme weather events. 1083 (502 F; 581M) farmers using soil and water conservation techniques increased maize crop productivity from 1 ton/ha to 3tons/ha. Lean months (months without food) have been reduced from 6 in some instances to 1 and in some cases to zero. local level weather forecasts are being used to advise farmers on agricultural production e.g frost damage prevention 1000 farmers using a combination of modern and indigenous EWS to plan their agricultural season and protect their incomes against extreme weather events Satisfactory In the pilot sites farmers have been using the soil and water conservation technique to improve their productivity. Maize yileds have increased to an average of 3tons/ha from an average of 1ton/ha. Lean months of food scarcity have been reduced from 6 months to 1 month and in some cases to zero. Women participation in project activities has risen to 48% and this has contributed to food security as most women are concerned with the issue of food security. Satisfactory 0 committees 8 committees with 1 ton/ha maize yield 8 management committees of 80 farmers using soil and water conservation techniques have improved maize yield from 1t/ha to 3t/ha The committee has provided the necessary platform as lead farmers in encouraging other farmers. This has resulted in improved yields. Satisfactory 0 farmers 1000 farmers 1306 (661 F; 645M) farmers The introduction of Satisfactory 24 and productivity of all crops introduced by the project and livelihood activities as registered by crop yield forecasts Number of farm trials undertaken to pilot crop diversification with more than 100% yield increases in diversified crops and alternative livelihoods. 0 farm trials 16 farm trials 0 trials However, lead farmer models have been used to address this issue for crops such as rice, legumes and vegetables Number of farmers trained in seed multiplication and producing quality seed 0 farmers 300 farmers Number of crop diversification management committees formed and trained to promote crop diversification for improved agricultural productivity and food security 0 committees 8 management committees 423 farmers (215F; 208M) producing quality and certified seed. Farmers in the areas targeted are accessing quality seed which has contributed to increased productivity. Seed growers have also increased their income due to the profitability of seed growing. 8 management committees of 80 members improved food security through crop diversification and that of other farmers they represent. Number of seed growers management committees promoting seed multiplication for improved agricultural productivity 0 management committee 1 management committee Percent increase in agricultural incomes (rice) as determined by district seasonal crop forecasts 0 income 10% 25 1 seed growers cooperative formed and registered promoting local level production of quality certified seed. Access to certified seeds have been achieved through this. 100 % increase in income from rice diversified crops has improved food security and resilience of the local communities to the adverse effects of climate change Despite trials not being undertaken, lead farmers were used as models to showcase technology transfer. This was enhanced with field days where lessons were shared and technology uptake by other farmers took place. Farmer to farmer trainings also improved technology uptake This outcome has been achieved. Quality seed is availed at local level thereby contributing to improved yields and income for seed growers. Moderately sa Satisfactory Manageemnt committee members are model farmers through which technologies are being transferred. They are also providing extension services to fellow farmers resulting in better uptake of technologies. Access to local level certified quality seed has been enhanced resulting into better yields and income at household level Satisfactory Flood waters were used to introduce a new crop of rice resulting in 100% income as this was non existent in Kazungula (Kasaya), and Satisfactory Satisfactory Percent increase in honey production 0 beekeepers 220 beekeepers Number of beehives made from sustainable sources 0 sustainable beehives 880 beehives Number of beekeeping management committees established and using the beekeeping knowledge to produce honey 0 management committees 3 management committees Percent increase in agricultural incomes (honey) 0% 10% Percent increase in rice production resulting from training of farmers in production, processing and marketing. No farmers and no production 300 farmers. 10% increase High quality rice as a result of polishing using the rice mill 0 mills 2 rice mills. 26 240 beekeepers (88F; 152M) have an average yield of 19,200 tons (average of 80kg/farmer/yr) of honey annually from a baseline of zero leading to increased income and household food security 1200 sustainable beehives produced and used by honey farmers. Forests stress has been reduced as this activity rejuvenated and promoted sustainable forest management 4 management committees formed and 1 beekeeping cooperative formed and registered and utilizing the beekeeping knowledge to produce honey. Processing of honey is being done and packaged in competitive packaging for the markets in urban areas leading to increased income and subsequent resilience of homes as a result of diversified livelihood options 100% in income (baseline of 0) utilizing the knowledge acquired from the training in beekeeping 473 farmers (176 F; 297M) increased production of rice by utilizing the knowledge provided through training. 4 rice mills. Farmers fetching high rice prices as a result of value addition through processing and reduced post Senanga (Kataba) Beekeeping was introduced in 4 pilot sites with honey production increasing from zero to 19,200 tons per year. This has contributed to increased household income and improved nutrition. Satisfactory Bee hives are made from carefully selected materials to ensure that as honey production is increasing the health and vitality of the bee population is maintained by maintaining a healthy local biodiversity. Management committees working closely with beekeepers to increase honey production and ensuring a healthy biodiversity by avoiding cutting trees and bush fires. Satisfactory Areas where honey is being produced had a baseline of zero. Income levels are above 100% currently Incomes for farmers growing rice have improved. Nutrition has also improved as children can now carry rice to school resulting into improved school attendance. Rice mills helping farmers to add value and reduce postharvest losses. This has improved income levels and Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory harvest losses. Number of rice management groups established and using the knowledge on rice production O groups 2 management committees Percent increase in income (rice) 0 10% Number of Non Timber Forest Products introduced 0 3 NTFP Number of assessments for extraction methods of NTFP 0 3 feasibility assessments None Number of community members trained in NTFP 0 100 30 farmers in Luangwa and 20 in Chongwe trained in mushroom growing Number of NTFP management groups formed 0 5 NTFP 2 27 4 rice management committees formed; 1 rice growers association registered with 2 subcommittees. Group members utilizing knowledge on rice production and now training other farmers. 100% increase in rice production resulting from trainings. This has led to food security, resilience to floods and income generation Mushroom growing in Luangwa and Chongwe provided by-products being used as feed for livestock production Management committee members are model farmers and their fields are being used as demo plots for rice growing through field days. This has improved the uptake of rice growing by other farmers. Satisfactory Food security, improved incomes and resilience to flooding have been achieved through rice growing. Satisfactory. Mungongo oil was targeted but market information did not provide enough data to engage in the activity. In Luangwa district farmers undertook mushroom growing with the help of the Chinese Technology Centre who provided the training and spores. Chongwe were supported by the University of Zambia in terms of training and sourcing of spores. Production of mushroom was contributing to household food security These were not developed as the mungongo oil which was targeted for this was not developed. The mushroom produced in the 2 districts was contributing to household food security and income One committee in Luangwa and another in Chongwe. These were model farmers and constantly in touch with Moderately sa Unsatisfactory Moderately sa Moderately sa Number of NTFP market linkages formed 0 2 1 Number of carbon finances assessed Percent increase in agricultural incomes (NTFP) 0 1 0 0% 10% 0% Percent increase in small livestock introduced by the project through technical and entrepreneurship skills trainings 0 120 621 farmers utilizing the technical training and entrepreneurship skills training for goat production Number of goat management committees established and utilizing the technical training on goat rearing 0 4 4 management committees of 40 farmers utilizing the technical training on goat rearing and training other farmers on the same. Number of goat pass-on systems established and being applied by farmers 0 1 Percent increase in agricultural incomes (goats) 0 10% Number of dam management committees established and utilizing the water resources 0 4 1goat pass-on system established and 621 farmers utilizing the system in passing on the goats to other beneficiaries in 7 districts. 60% in income from goats and increased nutrition from goat milk and meat 1 dam management committee established in Lusitu and utilizing the water 28 fellow farmers to ensure that technical knowledge was used to enhance production Most of the production was consumed at household level. Arrangements were made between the farmers in Luangwa with the Chinese Technology centre to be buying all their produce if production increased. No assessments were done Moderately sa Unsatisfactory The contribution to household nutrition was well noted though actual income increase was not determined Introduction of goats has contributed to improved nutrition through meat and milk, income levels and use of manure for vegetable production. Committees are ensuring that the activity is sustained through the passing-on the gift to cover more farmers. Maintaining a healthy head is also ensured by following appropriate livestock production management practices. The pass-on has contributed to sustainability of the activity Moderately sa Farmers having household incomes from the sale pf goats. The Mid Term review recommended the construction of 1 dam out of Satisfactory Satsifactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory from the constructed dams from the dam for livestock production Number of dam management committees trained 0 4 committees 1 trained Percent increase in agricultural productivity resulting from knowledge acquired through training in water management, irrigation techniques and water extraction Number of dams constructed 50 farmers 250 farmers 0 4 250 farmers improved livestock production from Siankapu dam resulting from the acquired knowledge through the trainings provided in water management. 1 Area under irrigation 0 ha 81 20 Percent increase in agricultural incomes 2% 10% 20% Number of storm water dam management committees 0 1 0 Number of storm water dam management committees trained 0 1 0 29 4 due to limited funds. The constructed dam is contributing to improved livestock production The committee is working towards safeguarding the dam by creating awareness to fellow farmers on the need to avoid activities that can increase siltation of the dam 20 hectare s have been earmarked for irrigation of horticultural crops. This will contribute to improved nutrition and household income in addition to livestock production The number of dams was reduced to accommodate the available funds and with the recommendation of the MTR 20 out of the planned 81 hectares have been earmarked for irrigation purposes. The increase in income from the dam so far has been due to improved livestock production where an estimate of 20% per year is made The storm water dams were not constructed due non availability of funds. The MTR and the PSC recommended that construction could not be done due to limited funds and that only one dam be constructed instead. No committees since no storm water dams were constructed. Plans changed based on evaluation by the Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately sa Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Number of farmers trained on water management, irrigation techniques and water extraction 0 150 200 Number of storm water dams constructed 0 6 0 Area under irrigation using water from storm water dams 5 hectares 28 ha 0 Percent increase from agricultural incomes 2% 10% 0 Number of weir management committees established 0 1 0 Number of weir management committees trained 0 1 0 Number of farmers trained in water management, irrigation techniques and water extraction and using the information for agricultural production Number of storm water dams constructed 40 200 200 0 3 weirs 0 30 MTR and the PSC regarding the limited budget 150 farmers trained in Lusitu for the siankapu dam and 50 in Chongwe for the irrigation scheme. Farmers have started applying the knowledge for the production of a variety of horticultural crops Budgetary limitations could not enable the construction of the storm water dams. This was confirmed by the MTR and the PSC who in turn advised that only one dam should be constructed in line with the available funds. Funds were not adequate for the construction hence no irrigation done. This was confirmed by the MTR and the PSC who then advised that only one dam be constructed in line with the available funds. This was expected from the storm water dams which were not constructed due to limited funds Limited funds hence weirs could not be constructed. This was confirmed by the MTR and the PSC Management committees not formed as there was no weir Farmers were trained in Mambwe, Siavonga and Chongwe and have since used the knowledge for production of horticultural crops Limited funds could not enable construction of Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Satisfactory Unsatisfactory Outcome 3. National fiscal, regulatory and development policy revised to promote adaptation responses in the agricultural sector Lessons learned and knowledge management component established Area under irrigation 8ha 39ha 0 Percent increase in agricultural incomes 2% 10% 0 Number of functional climate resource support centres 0 8 Awareness levels of rural population in pilot sites and local/national government of climate change and its impacts improved At present, rural populations’ understanding of climate change and its impacts is minimal Rural populations within the eight pilot sites will have been exposed to climate change information and adaptation training with catalytic intentions 8 climate resource centres being used for capacity building and sharing of climate resilient information. IPads have also been used in the resource centres to bolster the information resources A total of 5,926 rural populations in the eight pilot sites exposed to climate change information and adaptation training with catalytic intentions Number of sectoral plans that promote or impede the resilience of communities within AER I and II to climate change National policies as well as the provincial and district development plans that are available do not address climate change and adaptation issues in an integrated manner. 2 provincial plans and district plans and 5 key national policies are revised to promote sustainable climate resilient development Number of proposals, papers and other documents that incorporate learning from the project. Development projects do not systematically benefit from learning practices and project lessons on community- 31 At least four proposed or ongoing projects draw on lessons and knowledge generated by the LCDF Revised the agriculture policy, contributed to the development of the climate change policy, revised the forest policy and the REDD strategy. Revised 1 district plan to include CC. The policies are adapted to take into account climate change risks to promote sustainable climate resilient development. Conducted 4 provincial, 8 district policy review awareness meetings after which a policy brief was developed. Hosted 3 regional missions on adaptation in 2013 and 2015. Attended 1 international workshop on community weirs. This was confirmed by the MTR and the PSC Non construction of weirs could not enable irrigation Increased income expected from weirs could not be realized as they were not constructed. Farmers are using the resource centres to improve their knowledge on climate resilient agriculture through meetings, trainings and use of ipads Unsatisfactory Unsatisfactory Satisfactory Awareness levels of the rural populations in the pilot sites regarding climate resilient agriculture and adaptation has improved and this is being applied in the planning of agricultural seasons The revised policies will provide an input in the national development plans for the country Satisfactory The lessons will be used in future programming of similar projects and applied in projects that are currently running. Satisfactory Satisfactory Number of lessons included in the ALM based adaptation At least 20 key project lessons are captured and disseminated in the ALM Number of regional and national workshops conducted for dissemination of project lessons. The number of awareness campaigns conducted on the need to incorporate adaptation needs in policy 32 based adaptation where lessons were shared. At least 1 national and 1 international workshop on adaptation to effects of drought and climate change is conducted Conducted 10 field days, produced 5 feature stories, 5 success stories, 3 radio/TV news articles. 16 key project lessons captured and disseminated. At least 2 campaigns have been conducted. 2 documentaries produced and broadcast m) Participating farmers Table 3: Direct and Indirect Participating Farmers Direct Beneficiaries Output/Activities Male Female Total 1.1 Climate change adaptation techniques - EWS Indirect Beneficiaries Male Female Total No. of beneficiaries 562 2.1 Soil conservation techniques 665 1218 2540 2168 4708 No. of beneficiaries 2.2a Crop diversification 581 502 1083 2350 2385 4735 No. of beneficiaries 2.2b Seed multiplication 645 661 1306 2127 2337 4464 No. of beneficiaries 2.3 Alternative livelihoods 2.3a Bee keeping 208 215 423 963 427 1390 88 240 1119 782 1901 No. of beneficiaries 297 176 2.3f Small livestock production - Goat rearing 473 556 403 959 No. of beneficiaries Total no. beneficiaries No. of beneficiaries 152 2.3c Rice farming in flood prone areas 325 296 621 1560 1532 3092 572 564 1,136 11,269 9,980 21,249 of Note: Indirect Beneficiaries 1. Crop diversification/beekeeping/rice production/goat production/soil and water conservation. a) Indirect beneficiaries under 1 above include members of the direct household beneficiaries estimated by a factor of six (6) members per beneficiary to give us a the total number of estimated indirect beneficiaries b) Also project indirect beneficiaries include project site population who would benefit from the production outputs and sales. 2. Seed multiplication/Early Warning System a) Indirect beneficiaries under 2 above include the prospective buyers of commercial seed produced by seed growers and this includes number of households in the area where seed is being produced b) Indirect beneficiaries of EWS information include all farm households who might be vulnerable to the hazards of weather and climate 33 4.0 Key Lessons learnt and Best Practices 4.1 Early warning and weather information i. The community and the project learnt that timely dissemination of weather information and farming practices resulted into planting twice for crops like cowpeas and limiting frost damage on crops thus strengthening resilience of small-scale farmers to climate change and improving their food security and household income. Therefore, Early Warning Systems (EWS) are important for any interventions that beneficiaries wish to undertake at the Sites because it affects their ability to become resilient to effects of climate change and variability. It also resulted into good choice of crop types and varieties to plant. ii. Early Warning Systems (EWS) are important tools for any interventions that beneficiaries wish to undertake because it affects their ability to become resilient to effects of climate change and variability. This was quite clear with how some farmers tackled the issue of frost in June 2014, after early warning preparedness meetings were held on frost mitigation. iii. A combination of seasonal weather forecast, early warning and local indigenous early warning is contributing to timely planting, early planting and planting twice of field crops in the project area during the rainy season. The aspect of modern and indigenous early warning indicators and system should be explored in depth by researchers in order to devise appropriate mechanisms and strategies of disseminating such important information for farming. 4.2 Soil conservation i. The community learnt that minimum tillage practices and early land preparation practices improve crop production and productivity when compared to conventional farming system practices thus strengthening community resilience to climate change and sustaining soil productivity and farm ecosystem conservation. ii. Conservation agriculture provides good practices for drought prone areas; because it ensures moisture conservation and rational use of rare and expensive agricultural inputs. iii. Conservation agriculture practices application is increasing and non-project farmers are applying the use of planting basins. These good agricultural practices (GAPs) are forming one of the good practices that would be used by farmers in Agro-ecological region I and II of Zambia. Conservation agriculture (CA) results in better yields than conventional farming systems. CA contributes to the much talked about carbon credits which are held up by the soil through organic matter being placed as crop residue retention, later decompose for soil fertility improvement and stable soil ecosystem. 4.3 Crop diversification i. The project team learnt that lack of and/or inadequate marketing strategies in the project document resulted in delayed sale of seed produced by small-scale seed growers thus making them vulnerable to competition from seed products sold by seed companies who have aggressive promotion strategies. ii. The seed growers learnt that through look and learning approach, they adopted Obatampa maize variety into their seed multiplication activities because of its higher 34 iii. iv. v. vi. vii. viii. ix. protein content than the normal maize varieties, which would enhance their household nutrition security. The community and project team learnt that seed multiplication provides immediate access and availability of locally adapted seed varieties and additional household income, and thus strengthening community’s income levels even in times of climate change effects. Seed multiplication intervention ensures availability and access of appropriate and suitable seed among farmers. The farmer field day held at Mr. Billy Muleya’s farm in Kazungula had a variety of seed crops (maize, cowpeas, groundnuts and sunflower). Farmers acknowledged the importance of seed multiplication of drought tolerant crop varieties, which makes locally produced seed available and accessible to farmers at competitive prices. Local seed production offers one of the good agricultural practices (GAP), by ensuring adaptive crop varieties that climatologically, ecologically, socially, economically and nutritionally adapt to climate change affected communities. The community learnt that growing two or more alternative crops protected them from risks of general crop failure and instead enhanced their resilience to climate change and increased food security and household income. The project learnt that use of red sorghum variety (ZSV-36R) among targeted farmers reduced loss of production due to birds and saved on time for other farming activities and thus children that are normally sent for bird scaring had ample time for their social plays and assisting parents with house chores and reading their school books. The farmers learnt that growing of industrial crops like sorghum and sunflower leads to processing activities, which creates employment and enabling production of feed supplement for pigs, goats and chickens that are commonly being fed on the same. Crop diversification is forming a key strategy to reducing dependency on maize and in 2014, A Senior Headman, in Kasaya Mr. Samankondo, reported during the rice farming field day that in his area there was no need for relief food because of adequate food availability among his people. Rice farming has higher gross margin than maize, and therefore it will remain a main centre of focus for farmers in flood prone areas. The use of quality protein maize variety (such as Obatampa), early maturing crop varieties, and legume crops provides the farmers with an opportunity to use crop varieties with high nutrition content (variety in farmers’ diets and improved nutrition), with drought tolerant traits and opportunity for farmers to harvest early in case of early maturing crop varieties. 4.4 Rice farming i. The project learnt even though rice farming was not targeted for some flood prone sites like Kasaya, the promotion of paddy and upland rice through exchange visits and study tour increased production and productivity so as to take advantage of the flood water and reduce risks of climate change effects. ii. The rice growers learnt that untimely planting of paddy rice (after flood water rises) affects germination for direct sown seed and thus making the targeted farmers vulnerable to climate change effects of food insecurity and reduced household income. iii. Rice farmers are utilising dambo areas and areas prone to flooding. This practice requires sustainable use of dambos to prevent damaging effects to the ecosystem. The practice is that farmers would plant their rice crop before water collects in the dambos and before water floods the flood plains. If planted on time, the rice crop normally matures in readiness for harvest. 4.5 Alternative livelihoods – beekeeping i. The beekeepers learnt that apiculture as an alternative livelihood option plays an important role in combating deforestation through charcoal production and thus engages the community in forest ecosystem protection and conservation making the community resilient to effects of climate change. 35 ii. iii. The project learnt that strong community leadership and strong farmer group associations give way to long-term project results and ownership of outcomes as seen during the construction of the apiculture market/centre of excellence building when community members contributed local building materials. The rearing of bees will provide the much needed alternative sources of income at farm household among communities because the intervention when well managed will bring about rural development and ensure that in the event of crop failure, alternative sources of livelihood are available. 4.6 Alternative livelihoods – goat farming i. The project learnt that the use of the goat pass-on-the-gift approach of payback system and ensuring that each initial beneficiary signs an agreement form resulted into more than 70% payback and thus ensure that more farmers are recipients and provide sustainable alternative household income sources when climate change affects communities. ii. The use of adaptive livestock, goats, provides best options compared to growing maize and provides quick and regular incomes, which is characteristic of small livestock. 4.7 Project management and coordination i. The project team learnt that with increasing women participation in all adaptation measures and farmer group committees, it has resulted in high success rate in most interventions except in beekeeping were women participation was less than 38%. ii. The project team learnt that stakeholder coordination and involvement through meetings resulted in reduced double targeting, and increased knowledge transfer and sharing on areas of strength and thus increasing accumulative net contribution to strengthening community resilience to climate change. 5.0 Exit Strategy The project has defined transitional, long and short term activities. Transitional activities are critical activities that need to be undertaken before closure of the project. Long term activities are activities which will continue after termination of the project while short term activities are activities which will stop by the termination of the project. Long term activities require necessary national budgets to be allocated and effectively/ efficiently used for implementing the activities. Long term activities form part of the exit strategy of the project and are discussed in detail under section 5.1 below. 5.1 Exit Strategy activities The project is already being implemented within the framework of the MAL, Land Husbandry Section at HQ and the DACO at national and district level respectively. The project is also supporting activities that fit within the framework of the MAL and other relevant line ministry work plans. As the project phases over funding of long term activities to MAL and other relevant line ministries, the onus will be on these line ministries to ensure that adequate resources are allocated to these long term activities to ensure not only sustainability but also replication and expansion. There will be need to continue to build the capacity at the Land Husbandry section at HQ and the pilot district sites. Specific officers at both levels should continue to be designated to follow-up on climate change activities. Staff morale should continue to be boosted by ensuring that the officers have adequate resources to perform their duties i.e., office furniture and office equipment, 36 operational funds and adequate transport. Staff should continuously be upgraded through training and exposure visits. Communities are organized in farmer groups, have been trained in appropriate techniques and are implementing activities. The communities have been linked to service providers through the groups. However, farmer groups and service providers still need to be properly coordinated and supported through training, networking and continuous monitoring to consolidate efforts already made. Communities through the farmer groups have expressed keen interest in the technologies being advocated by the project and this is seen by their interest in using the techniques being disseminated and the crops/ commodities being promoted. Demand for the technologies is high with the project only being limited by availability of resources to expand the activities to include more farmers. Communities through the groups have expressed strong desire to continue with project activities in the long term. As part of this exit strategy it is being proposed that an input revolving fund/pass-on system be established/continued where it exists to be administered by the sub-committees where farmers that benefit from initial inputs supported by the project payback to the fund to enable other farmers to access inputs. The project is already supporting a payback system for goats (as well as seed growers) where farmers that are supplied with goats under the project payback to the committee for distribution to other farmers once the goat has off spring. There are also proposals to develop community nurseries and seed banks to benefit other farmers and disadvantaged groups in the community. It is also proposed that the cooperatives and or associations to be developed under the project operate as viable and sustainable organizations so that they can continue to purchase commodities from farmer groups, process/ package and sell the commodities at a profit to the organizations2. 2 The cooperatives and or associations should develop long term business plans and solicit for financial assistance to support plans 37 5.0 Success Stories The farmers interviewed testified that they have observed changes in weather and the prominent problems noticed due to climate change included: hot temperatures, poor rainfall, droughts, floods and frost. These occurrences affected farming hence leading to crop failure and food insecurity. However with the coming of Climate Change Adaptation Project two farmers gave a testimony of how they are becoming resilient and are adapting to whatever changes in the environment they can experience. The farmers are now using good farming practices like conservation agriculture which does well even when there is little rainfall. Others are practicing crop diversification, rearing goats, beekeeping and seed multiplication. All these interventions have proved to be helpful as can be attested by the following success stories by Mr and Mrs Mumbela and, Mr Billy Muleya. 5.1 Mr and Mrs Mumbela’s Success Story – Crop diversification, Rice and Weather Forecast Application Mr and Mrs Mumbela of 64 years old and 55 years old, respectively have 6 children and 4 grand children. Farming has been their livelihood at Mumbela Village in Sikaunzwe Camp. They say that they have observed a lot of changes in weather which has affected their agricultural activities. Mr. Mumbela says unreliable rainfall pattern, hot temperatures, persistent frosts and flash floods have affected the production leading to food insecurity and less income for the household. Hunger and poverty was the order of the day. Relief food was the only hope for his family like many other families in the area. However with the coming of the Climate Change Adaptation Project in the area the Mumbelas’ life has changed. They have embraced conservation agriculture and crop diversification as adaptation strategies. They grow drought tolerant crops and early maturing crops that they never used to like sorghum, sunflower and cowpeas. The flash floods which were a threat are now a blessing to their family as they are growing rice in the dambos. “We could just watch these dambos, without doing anything productive out of them,” he said. Mr &and Mrs Mumbela who harvested about 53 by 50kg of rice in the 2013/14 season say that there is more cash in growing rice than commercial dry maize grain since a 50kg bag of polished rice grain can fetch at K450 compared to K75 for grain maize. The Mumbela family have also seen the benefits of using weather forecast in farming. Because of following closely the seasonal forecast promoted in the project, they were able to make good decisions such as early planting and therefore increased their production. In the 2013/14 farming season, Mr and Mrs Mumbela planted two crops in one field in the same season. The first crop was sold as green maize and made K3,450. They later planted a second crop (sunflower) in the same field which also did well. 38 Figure 1: Paddy & Upland Rice Field for Mr. & Mrs Imata 5.2 Mr. Billy Muleya’s Success Story – Conservation Agriculture and Seed Multiplication Mr. Billy Muleya is 55 years old with two wives and 14 children of Namapande in Sekute Resettlement of Mambova Camp. He lives to testify the negative effects of climate change. He is one of the victims who were displaced by floods from the area called Kasaya in 2008 and were resettled in an area called Namapande. Mr. Muleya says his household and many others which were relocated to this area suffered loss of household property and animals. Their livelihood was distorted due to the extreme weather conditions. When they were relocated to Namapande people suffered from hunger. “Even if we were resettled here our problems were not over because the poor rainfall could not afford us to have enough food and we only depended on relief food which was also not sustainable,” he said. Mr. Muleya appreciates the good farming system introduced to them by the Climate Change Adaptation Project. He is practicing conservation agriculture using planting basins and has also diversified crops grown. “With these unpredictable rains, I have seen a better yield by using conservation agriculture and growing a variety of crops has made my household food secure” he said. Mr. Muleya testified on behalf of other farmers in Namapande that relief food is no more in the area as many farmers are growing a variety of crops to avoid any climate related risks. Mr. Muleya is also a seed grower who has successfully produced seed. “I have produced 4 by 50kg of cowpea seed, 7 by 50kg obatampa maize seed, 8 by 50kg sunflower seed and 5 by 50kg groundnut seed, which has already been certified by Seed Control Certification Institute and I am already getting some income out of the sales of the seed,” he said. Having local seed growers has alleviated problems faced by farmers such as long distances and availability. Mr. Muleya promises to continue growing seed so that his fellow farmers can easily access seed to enable them plant early as they adapt to climate change. 39 Figure 2: Crop diversification and seed multiplication farmer field day 5.3 Mr. Mayumbo Njamba’s Beekeeping Success Story The farmers interviewed testified that they have observed changes in weather and the prominent problems noticed due to climate change included: hot temperatures, poor rainfall, droughts, floods and frost. These occurrences affected farming hence leading to crop failure and food insecurity. However with the coming of Climate Change Adaptation Project the farmers gave a testimony of how they have become resilient and are adapting to whatever changes in the environment they can experience. The farmers are now using best farming practices like conservation agriculture which does well even when there is little rainfall. Others are practicing crop diversification rearing goats, beekeeping and seed multiplication. All these interventions have proved to be helpful as can be attested by the following success story of Mr. Mayumbelo Njamba (Beekeeper). Figure 3: Mr. Njamba giving a bottle of honey to GEF Monitoring Mission “59 year old Mayumbelo Njamba is a small scale farmer married to one wife with 7 children and 4 grandchildren who lives in Njamba village of Sikaunzwe agricultural camp. Mr Njamba was born in Sikaunzwe and has lived to see the changes and experience the variations in weather. Mr. Njamba has experienced three major disasters that affected his life adversely and he alludes them to climate change. In 1990s, Mr. Njamba was leading a normal and comfortable life, when things started changing by 1995 when they experienced severe drought which led to hunger. According to him, that was not a problem as they had a lot of cattle which cushioned everything as they could earn some income from sale of animals. In 2005/2006 season, the second disaster happened, the rainfall pattern seemed well, little did they know that climate change was real, they were hit by great floods which swept all the crops, the grazing grounds were submerged. At this point, farmers thought of protecting their animals from water and they shifted the entire animal population to upland areas. The third disaster happened when all animals were hit by Contagious Bovine Pleural Pneumonia (CBPP). Mr Njamba lost over 300 animals. And that was the beginning of problems as it was double loss of animals and food crops. He sold off all the household assets in order to find food, his house hold suffered to an extent of him allowing his daughter leading a promiscuous life to bring food home for the entire family, the daughter later contracted HIV/AIDS and later died. Mr Njamba’s hardships were too much. “I almost committed suicide”. He said, other 40 organizations came in to help from time to time with relief food. But Mr. Njamba said that was not very helpful as the households still remained in poverty and hunger. However Mr. Njamba saw light at the end of the tunnel in 2012 when Climate Change Adaptation Project came in his area as he was equipped with knowledge and skills to become resilient and adapt to the effects of climate change. Mr Njamba is one of the farmers that received trainings and materials to use in various activities. Mr. Njamba testifies that because of the project he has knowledge of conservation farming which assures good yields despite drought, crop diversification which assures food security despite crop failure in one crop due to floods or droughts. Mr. Njamba is now a beekeeper who is assured of enough income for the family in whatever weather condition. Mr Njamba who has started harvesting and selling honey boasts of making more than ZMW2,500 (US$320) per harvest. As a family head he cannot allow his child to find food using wrong methods now as he can now provide for his household. “There is no more relief food in the area, thanks to Climate Change Adaptation Project”, Mr Njamba said.” 6. Project Challenges During the implementation phase of the project, the following challenges were observed: h) Late commencement of project activities; the project implementation started in August of 2012 (2 years after signing the project agreement). i) Community water access still the biggest challenge for the Kasaya, Chongwe, Sioma and Mambwe sites, was not carried (output 2.4) for Kasaya Site; largely due to high activity cost caused by delayed project implementation and also technical constraints for suitable sites meant for storm dams, weirs and earth dams; j) Delayed funding of project activities on time due coupled with delayed technical report submission to the project management unit by the dictricts. k) Bee keeping at one of the three (3) sub-sites (Kasaya sub-site) was constrained by failure to bait bees and open woodlands with flood plain exposing bees to severe weather conditions. l) Lack of provision of rice threshing equipment, which is used after cutting rice tillers before milling or polishing rice with rice dehuller. m) Failure to implement output 2.3e on additional alternative livelihoods for NTFPs; difficulties with market linkage arrangements for Mongongo nut oil. n) Late release of seasonal weather forecast and inadequate information on rain season distribution pattern for timely planning of farming operations. o) Inadequate animal draft power (ADP) to increase area under soil and water conservation tillage still remains another main obstacle. 7. Conclusion and Recommendations It is evident that the Climate Change Adaptation Project has contributed to the overall adaptive and resilient capacity of the communities in the 8 pilot sites which are prone to high temperatures, frost, flooding and drought. The communities have acquired capacity to apply modern early warning system methods combined with indigenous knowledge to ensure food security is maintained and sustained. The communities have been sensitised and trained on how to combine multiple livelihoods options, which are adaptive to the hazards of climate/ weather. The more than 1,000 households across project sites have shown capacity and willingness to form management 41 committees to ensure project sustainability in and outside the project sites. The likelihood of replicating adaptation measures in other parts of the pilot sites is high considering that the project has built capacity in the district implementation teams through staff trainings, provision of computers, automatic weather stations and vehicles to carry out activities. In conclusion the following recommendations could be considered for future programming of similar/follow-up projects: f) In order to improve weather information dissemination discussions with mobile service providers to provide an SMS service to farmers on either weekly or daily dissemination of weather indicators could be tabled or considered in phase II (if any). g) Phase II (if any) should address the position of the project M and E Officer to ensure consistent M and E reporting formats, data collection tools and implementation of the M & E plan. h) Any project on disaster risk reduction and climate change should not be less than three (3) implementation year period and could include mitigation measures during the first to second year. i) On-farm trials would be critical to providing localized climatic conditions to enable easy adaptation of considered interventions. A longer time span is necessary with a minimum of five (5) years given other issues such as attitudes of farmers or beneficiaries that need to be changed. j) Exposure of assets and equipment. The project procured and distributed various taypes of assets and equipment. These are at National, district and camp level. It is recommended that for the project activities to be sustained the assets and equipment be handed over to the sites where they are located to be used in the promotion of climate change adaptation activities. ANNEX 1 Project budget and expenditure Co-financing (type/source) UNDP own financing (mill. US$) Government (mill. US$) Planned Actual 1,529,000 0 Partner Agency (GEF) (mill. US$) Planned Actual 3,795,000 3, 661, 910.59 Total (mill. US$) Planned 5,499,000 Actual Grants Planned 175 000 Loans/Concessions 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 710 452.31 In-kind support 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Totals 175,000 710 452.31 1,529,000 42 3,795,000 3,661,910.56 5,499,000 Annex 2 Project Exit strategy Components/ outputs District Management and Coordination: Strengthened capacity of district to plan, monitor and evaluate project activities Soil and water conservation: Techniques for soil and water conservation as well as soil improvement implemented to reduce erosion and improve the productivity of small-scale agriculture. Activities Provision of office furniture and equipment Provision of appropriate transport to support field activities especially in those districts facing challenges with transport Support with operating expenses Training of district staff Monitoring project activities Training of agricultural extension staff in soil and water conservation Continue supporting the farmer user groups that were formed and training them in soil and water conservation Assessment of soil and water conservation techniques Continue Established committees Crop diversification: Crop diversification practices tested for their ability to improve resilience of farmers to drought. Pilot sites All sites All eight sites supporting the management Continue supporting the established farmer user groups and training them on the importance of crop diversification as well as crop diversification techniques Farm trials to demonstrate drought resilient and alternative crops All eight sites Facilitate production of drought resilient seeds in communities Continue supporting the established management committees Beekeeping: Bee keeping tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Facilitate the support to beekeeping groups Facilitate the the linkage of beekeeping groups to Zambia Honey Council Kasaya, Chikowa , MundalangaN’ganjo, and Kabeleka Provision of tools and training of selected farmers in manufacture of beehives Provision of honey press equipment Strengthen the study circle groups that were formed. Goat rearing: Goat rearing tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Fish farming: Fish farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Continue supporting the goat rearing groups that were formed. Continue supporting the groups so that the pass-on concept is continued and sustained Formation and training of a fish farming group in fish farming Rehabilitation of drainage canals Stocking of newly constructed fish 43 Kasaya, Chikowa, MundalangaN’ganjo, Zalapango and Kabeleka Kataba ponds. Assessment of fish management? techniques Establishment and training of subcommittee Rice farming: Rice farming tested for its ability to diversify incomes away from maize production Continue supporting the rice farming groups that were formed Ensure proper maintenance of rice mills. Mundalanga-N’ganjo, Kasaya, Kataba and Sioma. Facilitate rice harvesting and processing Establishment and training of subcommittee Irrigation: Irrigation systems in Lusitu rehabilitated and tested for its ability to improve agricultural productivity EWS Formation and training of user group in water management irrigation techniques Rehabilitate irrigation systems Assess suitability of water harvesting and irrigation techniques Establishment and training of subcommittee Lusitu MAL in conjunction with ZMD to be sending the seasonal rainfall forecasts to the districts immediately they are received to help the farmers All the districts AWS to be taken over and be maintained by ZMD All the districts District Assets Land where resource centres were built to be secured by way of title. DACOs to obtain documentation showing the ownership of land on the sites where the centres were built Management strutures Management committees at each site to have a formal registration. DACO to facilitate their registration where they are not registered especially if they are managing assets. All the districts MAL to revise the PIF that was developed and submit to Ministry of Finance for possible funding of another phase of the project To be in all the 8 pilot sites. 44 45