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USC3002 Picturing the World Through Mathematics Wayne Lawton Department of Mathematics S14-04-04, 65162749 [email protected] Theme for Semester I, 2008/09 : The Logic of Evolution, Mathematical Models of Adaptation from Darwin to Dawkins Evolution = change in the form and behavior of organisms between generations, Darwin called it “descent with modifications”, p.4 Excludes p.4-5 - developmental change, e.g. growth, and change in the composition of ecosystems - common use of the word ‘evolution’ to describe changes in human politics, economics, history, technology, and scientific theories Darwin proposed that evolution gave rise to a repeated ‘splitting of lineages’ that exhibits a clear branching, tree-like structure of species (biologically defined as ‘interbreeding natural populations, p.351) page numbers from EVOLUTION by Mark Ridley Adaptation = properties of living things that enable them to survive and reproduce in nature p.6 Examples p.6 - woodpeckers’ beaks enables them to ??? - camouflage used by ??? enables them to ??? - other examples ??? Natural Selection = some kinds of individuals in a population reproduce more than others p. 6 How might natural selection be used to explain adaptation ??? History Who were Maupertius, Diderot, Erasmus Darwin ??? Jean-Baptiste Lamarck (1744-1829), in his book Philosophie Zoologique (1809) argued that species change over time and proposed - as the primary mechanism for that change an “internal force” that caused offspring to differ slightly from their parents - and a secondary mechanism the inheritance of acquired characters ( = characteristics), an idea proposed by the philosopher Plato ~350BCE How could giraffe’s evolve their long necks ??? Would Lamarck’s evolution produce branching ??? How were Lamarck’s ideas exploited by Stalinists ??? History What was the prevailing view of evolution prior to the publication of Darwin’s ‘Origins …’ in 1859 ??? Anatomist Georges Cuvier (1769-1832) studied the design of organisms, proposed that animals were divided into four branches: vertebrates, articulates, mollusks, and radiates, established that some species had gone extinct, and firmly promoted the idea that each species had a separate origin. His views were supported by his student Richard Owen (1804-1892) and Charles Lyell (17971875) whose book Principles of Geology (1830) criticised Lamarck. What was the prevailing view on the age of the Earth ??? Is it relevant to evolution ??? History Charles Robert Darwin (1809-1882) Ponders, after his voyage on the Beagle (1832-37) that each Galapagos island had its own species of finches, the geographical diversity of S. American rheas, etc Thinks that the finches may have evolved from a common ancestor, but struggled to explain why. Rejected existing theories because he thought that they failed to explain adaptation. p.10 October 1838 - reads Malthus’s Essay on Population “and being well prepared to appreciate the struggle for existence which everywhere goes on from long continued observation of the habits of animals and plants, it at once struck me that under these circumstances favourable variations would tend to be preserved and unfavourable ones to be destroyed. The result would be the formation of a new species.” Math: Malthus and Exponential Growth Web search on Malthus Geometric growth is described by the exponential function exp : R (0,infty) The inverse function, called the natural logarithm ln : (0,infty) R is described by the formula: ln ( x) x 1 1 s ds For x 1 the area of the shaded region 1 x What is the curved line above the shaded region ??? How might we define ln(x) for x < 1 ??? What is that funny symbol that looks like a long ‘S’ ??? Show geometrically that ln(xy) = ln(x) + ln(y) What is meant by the ‘inverse function’ ? Show that for small increments x 0 exp( x x) exp( x) x exp( x) History 1838-1858 Darwin proceeds to work out his theory Alfred Russel Wallace (1823-1913) travels to Malaysia and writes Darwin about his similar ideas, Charles Lyle and Joseph Hooker arrange for simultaneous announcement of their ideas at a meeting on the Linnean Society in London in 1858. p. 10 Darwin was then writing an abstract of his full findings which he published in 1859 under the title “On the Origin of Species History Darwin’s theory of evolution, though controversial in the popular media, was widely accepted by scientists - Joseph Dalton Hooker (1817-1911) who conducted a botanical expedition to Sikkim in 1849 - Thomas Henry Huxley (1825-1829) - Carl Gegenbauer (1826-1903) traced evolutionary relationships between animal groups - Ernst Haeckel (1834-1919) proposed his “ontology recapitulates phylogeny” theory Math: Graph Theory and Branching Although many scientist accepted evolution, their concept of evolution as a progressive process differed sharply from Darwin’s concept of a branching process A Graph is a set V of vertices together with a set E of unordered pairs {a,b}, a,b in V called edges. A Directed Graph is a set V of vertices and a set of ordered pairs (a,b), a, b in V called (directed) edges. In a directed edge we can write (a,b) as a b A Tree is a directed graph that contains no ‘circular loops’ such as a bcda, a tree is equivalent to having a partial order. A linear order is a partial order such that ab or ba for nodes a, b Show that progressive processes are described by linear orders whereas branching processes are described by more general trees that are not partially ordered but not linearly ordered Mendel’s Experiments Mendel experimented for 8 years with pea plants (species: Pisum sativum), which exhibit 7 pairs of phenotypic characteristics – for instance seed color: yellow or green These plants can be easily domesticated (selectively crossed) so as to produce types Y and G such that all decendents obtained from crossing type Y (G) with type Y (G) ONLY produce plants with yellow (green) seeds Mendel crossed type Y and type G pea plants and noticed that all of the resulting hybrid plants had all yellow seeds. Type Y is dominant and type G recessive. When Mendel crossed the first generation of hybrid plants with themselves – he was surprised ! What do you think he found? Mendel’s Ratios The first generation F1 of hybrid plants had yellow seeds The second generation F2 of hybrid plants (F1 plants crossed with themselves or with other F1 plants) gave a mixture: 75% yellow seed plants, 25% green seed plants Crossing F1 (hybrids) with Y plants gave: 100% yellow seed plants; with G plants gave: 50% yellow seed plants, 50% green seed plants The third generation F3 of hybrid plants (F2 plants crossed with themselves or with other F2 plants) showed that there were only three types of plants (genotypes): Y, G and H ( same as all of the F1 generation of hybrids) All plants with the green seeds were type G The F2 plants with yellow seeds were a mixture: 1/3 type Y and 2/3 type H Genotype Ratios Male Y H G Female Y 1.00 Y 0.50 Y 0.50 H 1.00H H 0.50 Y 0.50 H 0.25 Y 0.50 H 0.25 G 0.50 H 0.50 G G 1.00H 0.50 H 0.50 G 1.00 G Random Mating Frequencies Random mating between pairs of individuals in a population with genotype frequencies PY , PH , PG gives the following frequencies of mating combinations 2 2 2 YY Y HH H GG G P P ,P P ,P P PYH 2PY PH , PYG 2PY PG , PHG 2PH PG Remark: P is the frequency of matings where one YH parent is Y and the other is H, it can be computed by PYH prob([father Y and mother H ] or [father H and mother Y ]) prob(father Y and mother H ) prob( father H and mother Y ) prob(father Y ) prob(mothe rH ) prob( father H )prob(mother Y ) PY PH PH PY 2PY PH Population Dynamics: Random Mating We now combine the genotype frequency table with the random mating frequencies to compute the genotype frequencies in the next generation after random mating P PYY prob(Y | YY ) PYH prob(Y | YH ) PHH prob(Y | HH ) ' Y PYY PYH PHH P PY PH P 1 2 1 4 2 Y 2 H 1 4 P PYH prob( H | YH ) PYG prob( H | YG ) ' H PHH prob( H | HH ) PHG prob( H | HG ) 12 PYH PYG 12 PHH 12 PHG PY PH 2 PY PG 12 PH2 PG PH PG' PGG prob(G | GG) PGH prob(G | GH ) PHH prob(G | HH ) PGG PGH PHH P PG PH P 1 2 1 4 2 G 1 4 2 H Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium y y( PY , PH , PG ) PY 12 PH Define g g ( PY , PH , PG ) PG 12 PH Clearly y g PY PH PG 1 but amazingly P P PY PH P y ' Y 2 Y 1 4 2 H 2 P PY PH 2 PY PG P PH PG 2 yg 2 2 1 P PG PG PH 4 P g ' H ' G 2 H 1 2 2 H y y ( P , P , P ) P P y yg y ' 2 g g ( P , P , P ) P P g yg g ' ' Y ' Y ' H ' H ' G ' G ' Y ' G 1 2 1 2 ' H ' H 2 Bio-Jargon Gamete : a reproductive cell (or germ cell) having the haploid number of chromosomes, especially a mature sperm or egg capable of fusing with a gamete of the opposite sex to produce a fertilized egg Haploid: having half the number of sets of chromosomes as a somatic cell (or body cell). Diploid: having two sets of chromosomes : diploid somatic cells Chromosomes: a threadlike linear combination of DNA and associated proteins in the nucleus of animal and plant cells that carries the genes and functions in the transmission of hereditary information Botanical Jargon Pistil: the female, ovule-bearing organ of a flower, including the stigma, style, and ovary Ovule: a minute structure in seed plants, containing the embryo sac and surrounded by the nucellus, that develops into a seed after fertilization Nucellus: the central portion of an ovule in which the embryo sac develops Stigma: the receptive apex, on which pollen is deposited Style: the usually slender part of a pistil, situated between the ovary and the stigma Ovary: the ovule-bearing lower part of a pistil that ripens into a fruit Botanical Jargon Stamen: the pollen-producing reproductive organ of a flower, usually consisting of a filament and an anther Pollen: the fine, powder like material consisting of pollen grains that is produced by the anthers of seed plants Filament: the stalk that bears the anther in a stamen Anther: the pollen-bearing part of the stamen Evolution Mathematics Dynamics : growth of populations, population genetics, both discrete and continuous Combinatorics: graph theory, permutations, string matching Probability and Statistics: population genetics, Markov processes, genetic drift, Binomial, Poisson, and Gaussian (normal) distributions Game Theory: models for altruism and competition Physical Modeling: X-ray structure of proteins, radioactive dating of fossils Artificial Intelligence: evolution of language and reasoning ability Homework 1. Due Monday 25.08.2008 Question 1. Complete the derivation of the random mating frequencies PYG 2 PY PG , PHG 2 PH PG Question 2. In the derivation we assumed that genotype was uncorrelated with the sex of parents, this means prob(father U ) prob(mothe rU ) PU for U Y , H , G Compute random mating frequencies if this assumption is not valid using the 3 genotype frequencies for males and the 3 genotype frequencies for females. Question 3. Research and summarize the history of the discovery of the biological mechanism for Mendel’s findings in terms of gametes, chromosomes, genes, etc. (not the molecular level DNA mechanism) Question 4. Derive the HW equations using probability methods and the mechanism of gametes, genes, etc.